River Flood Advisory 1, NWS Nashville, TN

630 
WGUS84 KOHX 250226
FLSOHX
FLOOD ADVISORY 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 
826 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

 
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE DUCK RIVER...

  DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE AFFECTING HICKMAN COUNTY 
 
. HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LAST WEEKEND CAUSED THE DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE TO RISE
JUST ABOVE ADVISORY STAGE. IT IS EXPECTED TO CREST AND FALL BELOW ADVISORY
STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION 
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

TNC081-251426-
/O.CON.KOHX.FL.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120125T1800Z/
/CNVT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
826 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 08PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE BANKS.

$$

443 
WGUS84 KOHX 251209
FLSOHX
FLOOD ADVISORY 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 
609 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

 
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THE DUCK RIVER...
 
  DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE AFFECTING HICKMAN COUNTY
 
THE DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE HAS FALLEN BELOW ACTION STAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION 
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

TNC081-251239-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FL.Y.0001.120125T1209Z-120125T1800Z/
/CNVT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
609 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE DUCK RIVER AT CENTERVILLE
* AT 05AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE BANKS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
510 PM CST MON JAN 23 2012

.UPDATE...ADDED AVIATION SECTION FOR 12Z TAF'S.

&&

.AVIATION...BNA/CSV...EXPECT WINDS TO FINALLY DECOUPLE DURING THE
EVENING WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. MAY
EXPERIENCE FOG DOWN TO 2SM AT CSV LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MORNING.
OTHERWISE, VFR WX THE NEXT 24 HRS AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 305 PM CST MON JAN 23 2012/

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WAS OVER THE PLATEAU...MOVING EAST.
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR WAS COMING INTO THE MID STATE WITH
SOMEWHAT GUSTY WSW WINDS. PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WERE HELPING OFFSET
THE COOLER AIR...WITH TEMPERATURES HOLDING IN THE 50S ACROSS THE
AREA.

TONIGHT...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE DIRECTLY OVER THE MID
STATE. WIND GUSTS WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY THIS EVENING...WITH WINDS
BECOMING NEAR CALM OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH DRIER AIR IS MOVING
IN...LEFTOVER MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINFALL COMBINED WITH CLEARING
SKIES WILL PROMOTE AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL
FOR DENSE FOG WILL BE OVER THE PLATEAU. LATER SHIFTS WILL MONITOR
FOG DEVELOPMENT AND VSBYS...AND DETERMINE IF ANY FOG HEADLINES ARE
NEEDED. GFS GUIDANCE LOWS...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S...LOOK HARD
TO BEAT.

TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE A NICE DAY...AND PROBABLY THE NICEST DAY OF THE
ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S
AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.

THE NICE WX WILL BE SHORT LIVED...AS ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM
DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS AND MOVES TOWARD THE TN VALLEY. MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT BY WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LOW WILL BE
MOVING INTO TX...AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ALONG THE GULF
COAST...AND AN INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS UP THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE TRANSPORTED INTO MID TN AS THESE WEATHER
FEATURES WORK SLOWLY EASTWARD WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DEVELOPING OVER OUR SOUTHWEST
COUNTIES LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN SPREAD AREA WIDE ON WEDNESDAY.
THE RAIN WILL INTENSIFY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE
INVERTED TROUGH SHIFTS OVER THE MID STATE. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER IS
POSSIBLE...THIS SHOULD PRIMARILY BE A RAIN EVENT WITH NO STRONG
OR SEVERE STORMS. THIS WX SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT.

AT THIS TIME...FRIDAY LOOKS MAINLY DRY...BUT A COLD FRONT WILL BE
APPROACHING WITH MORE SHOWERS POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES COULD FALL BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY AS THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES. THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND LOOKS DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL. AS WE HAVE SEEN
THROUGHOUT THIS WINTER...THE COLD SNAP WILL BE BRIEF. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK.

13

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

ROSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
441 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-241130-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
441 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

07