Alert archive / Nebraska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2012

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Omaha, NE

May 27, 20124 counties in Nebraska

NWS Omaha, NE issued this flash flood warning at May 27, 2012, 8:34 PM CDT for 4 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2012, 8:34 PM CDT (01:34 UTC)
Expired: May 28, 2012, 12:30 AM CDT
In force: 4 hr
Issued by: NWS Omaha, NE
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Boone County, NE, Madison County, NE, Platte County, NE, Stanton County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 849 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -92 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2094 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

242 
WGUS53 KOAX 280134
FFWOAX
NEC011-119-141-167-280530-
/O.NEW.KOAX.FF.W.0011.120528T0134Z-120528T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
834 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...
  PLATTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT

* AT 826 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
  ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. 

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  ST. EDWARD...LINDSAY...HUMPHREY...TARNOV AND CORNLEA. 

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 81 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 130 AND 137.

LAT...LON 4183 9761 4174 9736 4147 9762 4148 9771
      4153 9770 4153 9788 4151 9789 4151 9794

$$

PEARSON

1 follow-up statement

882 
WGUS73 KOAX 280529
FFSOAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1229 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

NEC119-167-141-011-280540-
/O.EXP.KOAX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120528T0530Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOONE NE-PLATTE NE-MADISON NE-STANTON NE-
1229 AM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN BOONE...PLATTE...
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL MADISON AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN STANTON 
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 AM CDT...

WHILE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 1 AM...THE 
HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A 
THREAT.

FLOOD WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE AND ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO 
POSE A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 

LAT...LON 4183 9761 4174 9736 4147 9762 4148 9771
      4153 9770 4153 9788 4151 9789 4151 9794

$$

DEWALD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 27, 3:28 PM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 3:28 PM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
328 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERN IS SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE EVENING AND POSSIBLY
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...
AND WILL KEEP PREVIOUS ISSUED FLASH FLOOD WATCH. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES SHOULD GENERALLY BE FROM 1.5 TO 2.0 INCHES THROUGH
THE EVENING. HIGHEST FOR FLASH FLOODING IS PROBABLY IN MINNESOTA
AND NORTHWEST IOWA.

UPPER AIR CHARTS FROM THIS MORNING INDICATED THE FOLLOWING. AT
300 MB...A JET MAX OF AROUND 100 KNOTS WAS NOTED OVER NORTHERN
ARIZONA. AT 500 MB...A BROAD AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS EXTENDED FROM
THE ROCKIES OUT INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. A MAX OF
AROUND 100 METERS WAS ESTIMATED OVER THE NORTHERN WYOMING/
SOUTHEAST MONTANA BORDER AREA. COOLER AIR AT 700 MB WAS MOVING
EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS...AS NOTED BY COOLING ON KOAX 18Z SOUNDING.
IT ALSO COOLED AT 850 MB. MIXED LAYER CAPE WAS 1038 J/KG AND
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WAS 70.

EXPECT STORMS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEE HWO AND SPC PRODUCTS
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA DOWN THROUGH NEBRASKA
AND DOWN INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS AT MID AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD EXTEND
FROM EASTERN MINNESOTA TO SOUTHWEST IOWA AND DOWN TO INTO WESTERN
OKLAHOMA. EXPECT A DECENT RANGE OF LOWS TONIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING
FROM 50S IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA TO 60S IN THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF
IOWA AND SOUTHEAST CORNER OF NEBRASKA.

COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY. OUR NEXT
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY.
THIS COULD YIELD DECENT BENEFICIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER TO
HALF AN INCH.

FARTHER OUT...GENERALLY USED A BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN FOR
TEMPERATURES AND POPS.

MILLER

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAFS FOR KOMA...KLNK...KOFK.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. A COLD
FRONT...CURRENTLY WEST OF ONL/EAR...WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA
THROUGHOUT THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. LATEST
THINKING IS THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ALL TAF SITES STARTING AROUND
22Z AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST 9Z. HIGHLIGHTED GREATEST THREAT
AT KOFK WITH SEVERE WIND MENTION. HAIL WILL BE A THREAT AT ALL
SITES.

PEARSON

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NEZ015-033-034.

IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR IAZ043.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 4:53 PM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
453 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-280500-
ANTELOPE-BOONE-BURT-BUTLER-CASS-CEDAR-COLFAX-CUMING-DODGE-DOUGLAS-
FREMONT IA-GAGE-HARRISON IA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LANCASTER-MADISON-
MILLS IA-MONONA IA-MONTGOMERY IA-NEMAHA-OTOE-PAGE IA-PAWNEE-PIERCE-
PLATTE-POTTAWATTAMIE IA-RICHARDSON-SALINE-SARPY-SAUNDERS-SEWARD-
SHELBY IA-STANTON-THURSTON-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
453 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
IOWA...WEST CENTRAL IOWA...EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCURRING MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
HARLAN IOWA TO BEATRICE...WITH SUPERCELL STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY.
HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE AS WELL AS STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE MAINLY
OVER NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY TOWARD MIDNIGHT AND
SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN
IOWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STORMS WILL OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH UP TO THREE
INCHES POSSIBLE IN MANY AREAS. DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAIN OVER THE
LAST FEW DAYS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR A FEW
COUNTIES IN EXTREME NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST IOWA FOR TONIGHT
AS WELL. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING THOUGH WILL BE A THREAT OVER MOST
LOCATIONS.

BECAUSE OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND THE MAGNITUDE OF STORMS
EXPECTED...CAMPERS ESPECIALLY SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE SEVERE STORM
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
AS ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES ARE ISSUED LATER TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN
EASTERN NEBRASKA.

DEE

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 6:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
653 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     HAIL             DAVID CITY              41.25N 97.13W
05/27/2012  E1.75 INCH       BUTLER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL BUT MOSTLY PING PONG AND
            SMALLER.

&&

MILLER

Local storm report, May 27, 7:43 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
743 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             2 ESE SEWARD            40.90N 97.06W
05/27/2012  E1.25 INCH       SEWARD             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MILLER

Local storm report, May 27, 7:45 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
745 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE WAHOO              41.23N 96.61W
05/27/2012  M58 MPH          SAUNDERS           NE   AWOS

&&

PEARSON

Local storm report, May 27, 8:14 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
814 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HAIL             ELGIN                   41.98N 98.08W
05/27/2012  E2.50 INCH       ANTELOPE           NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WINDOWS BROKEN OUT OF CARS AND BUILDINGS. LARGE TREE DOWN
            ON ROAD 4 MILES SE OF ELGIN.

0525 PM     HAIL             OAKDALE                 42.07N 97.97W
05/27/2012  E2.50 INCH       ANTELOPE           NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MOSTLY GOLFBALL, SOME TENNIS BALL SIZE. SIDING STRIPPED
            ON HOMES.GLASS BROKEN OUT OF CARS AND BUILDINGS.

&&

LANDSVORK

Special weather statement, May 27, 8:16 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
816 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

NEZ018-031>033-042-280200-
STANTON NE-MADISON NE-CUMING NE-PLATTE NE-WAYNE NE-
816 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STANTON...MADISON...
NORTHWESTERN CUMING...NORTHEASTERN PLATTE AND SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 812 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MADISON...OR 17 MILES SOUTH OF
NORFOLK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORFOLK...MADISON...STANTON...WISNER...WINSIDE...PILGER...HOSKINS...
CRESTON AND HUMPHREY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 HIGHWAY 275 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 70 AND 103.
 HIGHWAY 81 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 126 AND 161.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT
MONDAY MORNING FOR EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4209 9744 4209 9737 4215 9736 4223 9723
      4199 9688 4174 9723 4174 9725 4172 9725
      4157 9746 4193 9770
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 218DEG 59KT 4178 9743

ZAPOTOCNY

Local storm report, May 27, 8:20 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
820 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     HAIL             3 S HUMPHREY            41.64N 97.49W
05/27/2012  E1.00 INCH       PLATTE             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MILLER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Omaha, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 27, 7:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Butler, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward	40 min
May 27, 8:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OAX	Madison, Stanton	44 min
May 27, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Madison, Platte, Stanton	23 min
May 27, 8:26 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Cedar, Madison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne	4 hr
May 27, 8:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OAX	Cuming, Stanton, Wayne	22 min
May 27, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Colfax, Platte, Stanton	29 min
May 27, 8:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Cedar, Wayne	16 min
May 27, 9:21 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Platte	4 hr
May 27, 9:24 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OAX	Platte	4 hr
May 27, 9:25 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OAX	Stanton	4 hr
May 27, 9:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OAX	Butler, Colfax, Platte	12 min
May 27, 9:50 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OAX	Colfax	4 hr
May 27, 11:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OAX	Cass, Douglas, Sarpy	36 min
May 28, 1:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OAX	Butler, Lancaster, Saunders	28 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Nebraska, 2012 Every flash flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.