Alert archive / Montana / Special Weather Statements in 2012
Special Weather Statement, NWS Missoula, MT
NWS Missoula, MT issued this special weather statement at Jul 22, 2012, 4:59 PM MDT for Lake County, Montana. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 22, 2012, 4:59 PM MDT (22:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 22, 2012, 5:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Missoula, MT
County Lake County, MT
The radar
The Missoula radar (KMSX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 22, 2:12 PM MDT, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 2:12 PM MDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
212 PM MDT Sun Jul 22 2012
...Windy and cooler day Monday with frontal passage...
.DISCUSSION...While most of the Northern Rockies has seen an
increasingly warm and dry day today, portions of south central
Idaho, including Lemhi county, have seen steady development of
isolated thunderstorms. These storms will gradually shift north and
east, impacting the Butte/Blackfoot region and adjacent
locations, including the southern Bitterroot valley. Storms will
continue through much of the night, and increase in areal coverage
to include the remainder of central Idaho and western Montana.
Frequent lightning and gusty winds are the primary features
expected with the thunderstorms.
A cool front is expected to cross on Monday, but timing has been a
persistent issue with this feature. It also appears that the front
could stall somewhere across the I-90 corridor in western
Montana by Monday afternoon. The biggest impacts from this frontal
passage will be an increase in afternoon winds and much cooler
temperatures. Confidence remains high that west winds of 15 to 25
mph with gusts up to 35 mph are likely through the evening across
all of the Northern Rockies. This will pose problems for those
with plans to be out on area lakes, including Flathead Lake, where
increased chop is likely. Winds will then dissipate shortly after
sunset.
Tuesday and Wednesday, moisture and energy will remain along the
Montana/Canadian border keeping a threat of showers and
thunderstorms across extreme northwest Montana. Temperatures will
begin to rebound back into the middle 80s as warmer air builds
back into the region. For the end of the work week into next
weekend, the extended models advertise a ridge of high pressure, but
disagree on the placement of the ridge axis. The European keeps a
drier scenario with the ridge overhead until Saturday, while the
GFS shows more of a southwest upper level flow with embedded waves
of moisture and energy moving through Lemhi county and southwest
Montana. The GFS has been more consistent with its solution, and
that's the way the current forecast is trended. Therefore, there
is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms each day with
temperatures warming back into the lower 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...High pressure will continue to limit winds and cloud
development today, keeping most locations across the Northern
Rockies under clear skies. At the same time, moisture from the
south will combine with instability to produce thunderstorms
across south central Idaho and southwest Montana. KBTM and KSMN
will be the most likely terminals to be affected by convective
activity this evening. Frequent lightning, small hail, and gusty
winds will be possible with any storms that do develop. Expect
nocturnal development of storms as well, spreading across the
rest of the region, impacting KMSO and KGPI as well as KBTM and
KSMN.
&
.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
ID...NONE.
&&
.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
Bitterroot/Sapphire Mountains...Butte/Blackfoot Region.
ID...RED FLAG WARNING until Midnight MDT tonight Eastern Lemhi County.
&&In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 22, 4:59 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT 459 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2012 MTZ002-043-222345- POTOMAC/SEELEY LAKE REGION-WEST GLACIER REGION- 459 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN FLATHEAD...EASTERN LAKE...NORTHEASTERN MISSOULA AND NORTHWESTERN POWELL COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM MDT... AT 454 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES NORTH OF SEELEY LAKE...OR 32 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POLSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...HIGHWAY 83 BETWEEN CONDON AND SEELEY LAKE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...MOVE TO A WELL PROTECTED AREA. && LAT...LON 4777 11356 4762 11320 4729 11360 4739 11382 TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 216DEG 37KT 4746 11358
The office that day
Everything else NWS Missoula, MT issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 3:39 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | MSO | Beaverhead, Deer Lodge, Granite, Jefferson, Madison, Powell and 1 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Montana, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.