Areal Flood Warning 14, NWS Missoula, MT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
258 PM MDT Mon Jul 2 2012

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will sweep across the area tuesday,
bringing gusty winds, with rainfall mainly for areas north and
west of Missoula. the heaviest rainfall will be concentrated in
northwest Montana. In addition, the gusty winds may impact
boaters on area lakes.

Aside from gusty winds, precipitation will also be an issue, but only
for locations in extreme northwest Montana. Confidence has increased
that between 0.25 and 0.50 inches of rain may fall from late
tonight through roughly noon on Tuesday in this area, with lighter
amounts possible across west central Montana and central Idaho.
Rain showers will quickly dissipate through the afternoon as high
pressure rebuilds over the western CONUS. This area of high pressure
will be the dominant feature for the rest of the week.
Temperatures will climb a few degrees each day, with values rising
into the 90s by Friday. Warm temperatures are likely to continue,
remaining in the upper 80s and low 90s through the weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...breezy and dry conditions, as well as sharp wind
shift, will elevate the fire weather conditions for Lemhi County
and other parts of southwest Montana for tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...Benign flying conditions are expected for the rest of
today, however a cold front will cross the Northern Rockies
beginning tonight through Tuesday morning. The main impact to
aviation operations will be gusty winds beginning 03/1700Z and
becoming gusty by 03/2100Z. Scattered thunderstorms may also
develop in the afternoon, impacting southwest Montana and south
central Idaho. Winds area-wide will diminish late Tuesday evening.
Rain will also be an issue, but rain will be heaviest across
northwest Montana, specifically impacting KGPI.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...RED FLAG WARNING from Noon Tuesday to Midnight MDT Tuesday Night
     Butte/Blackfoot Region.

ID...FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
     evening BELOW 6000 FEET FOR THE Eastern Lemhi County.

&&

gibson/allegretto