Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Morristown, TN

March 31, 2012Blount County, Sevier County, Tennessee

NWS Morristown, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 31, 2012, 4:34 PM EDT for Blount County, Sevier County, Tennessee. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 31, 2012, 4:34 PM EDT (20:34 UTC)
Expired: Mar 31, 2012, 5:15 PM EDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Morristown, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Blount County, TN, Sevier County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1321 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 509 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

525 
WUUS54 KMRX 312034
SVRMRX
TNC009-155-312115-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0072.120331T2034Z-120331T2115Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
434 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BLOUNT COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
  WESTERN SEVIER COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 515 PM EDT

* AT 430 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS 
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KNOXVILLE...AND WAS MOVING   
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EAGLETON VILLAGE AROUND 445 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE 
SEYMOUR...WILDWOOD...MARYVILLE...WALLAND...TOWNSEND AND WEARS VALLEY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3588 8401 3589 8399 3587 8398 3587 8394
      3584 8389 3584 8385 3592 8374 3563 8347
      3556 8369 3556 8376 3551 8385 3552 8387
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 332DEG 19KT 3589 8388

$$

DMG

2 follow-up statements

125 
WWUS54 KMRX 312058
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
458 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

TNC009-155-312115-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-120331T2115Z/
SEVIER TN-BLOUNT TN-
458 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR BLOUNT AND SEVIER COUNTIES...

AT 453 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WALLAND...OR 12 MILES EAST OF
ALCOA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF BLOUNT
  AND SEVIER COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... TOWNSEND
  AND WEARS VALLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY 
INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3556 8376 3562 8380 3576 8385 3584 8389
      3584 8385 3592 8374 3563 8347 3556 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 321DEG 22KT 3577 8375

$$

13

385 
WWUS54 KMRX 312114
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
514 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

TNC009-155-312124-
/O.EXP.KMRX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-120331T2115Z/
SEVIER TN-BLOUNT TN-
514 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BLOUNT AND SEVIER COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM EDT...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LEVELS. THEREFORE...THE WARNING FOR BLOUNT AND SEVIER COUNTIES WILL 
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

&&

LAT...LON 3556 8376 3562 8380 3576 8385 3584 8389
      3584 8385 3592 8374 3563 8347 3556 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 321DEG 22KT 3569 8367

$$

DMG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 31, 2:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 2:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
259 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)...WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING
SOUTH INTO THE AREA IS COMBINING WITH A WEAK UPPER IMPULSE TO BRING
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.  THESE SHOULD DIMINISH
THIS EVENING...AND EXPECT SOME PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT.  WITH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL IN THE AREA SUNDAY MAY SEE SOME AFTERNOON
CONVECTION AGAIN...SO WILL CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.  MAV TEMPS LOOK A BIT TOO LOW TONIGHT AND TOO HIGH
SUNDAY...SO WILL BLEND IN SOME OF THE MET TEMPS TO MAKE THE RANGE A
BIT SMALLER.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...A DIRTY RIDGE WILL
SUMMARIZE THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. FLOW OVER THE
TOP OF THE RIDGE WILL PERMIT WEAK DISTURBANCES TO PLAY WITH THE CWA
/ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST HALF/ AND FOCUS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...HOWEVER
EVEN WHEN SUCH DISTURBANCES ARE ABSENT...THE WARM AND SORTA HUMID
AIR WILL YIELD ISOLATED CONVECTION MOST AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS. ONLY
AFTER A CLOSED LOW MOVES THROUGH THE AREA /THAT FOR NOW THE
GFS..DGEX..AND ECMWF AMAZINGLY AGREE ON/ DURING LATE THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY DO WE POTENTIALLY GET A COUPLE DAYS OF FAIR AND QUIET
WEATHER FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             56  84  59  87  60 /  20  20  10  30  30
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  54  79  59  85  59 /  20  20  40  30  30
OAK RIDGE, TN                       53  80  58  85  59 /  20  20  40  30  30
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              46  76  54  80  54 /  10  20  50  30  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

LW/GC

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 2:45 PM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-010830-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
245 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012 /145 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL RUMBLE ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY POSSIBLY BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY OVER EAST
TENNESSEE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR POTENTIAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 31, 3:46 PM EDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             LOUDON                  35.74N 84.36W
03/31/2012  E1.75 INCH       LOUDON             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KGUILLET

Local storm report, Mar 31, 4:03 PM EDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
403 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     HAIL             1 ENE CLINTON           36.10N 84.11W
03/31/2012  E1.50 INCH       ANDERSON           TN   911 CALL CENTER

&&

JWINTON

Local storm report, Mar 31, 4:21 PM EDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
421 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             1 W POWELL              36.03N 84.05W
03/31/2012  E0.75 INCH       KNOX               TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL

&&

JWINTON

Local storm report, Mar 31, 4:22 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
422 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             KNOXVILLE               35.97N 83.95W
03/31/2012  E0.50 INCH       KNOX               TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JWINTON

Local storm report, Mar 31, 4:23 PM EDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
423 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             KNOXVILLE               35.97N 83.95W
03/31/2012  E1.00 INCH       KNOX               TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JWINTON

Local storm report, Mar 31, 4:32 PM EDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
432 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0424 PM     HAIL             SODDY-DAISY             35.26N 85.17W
03/31/2012  E1.00 INCH       HAMILTON           TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JWINTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 31, 1:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Campbell, Scott	31 min
Mar 31, 2:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Anderson, Campbell, Union	45 min
Mar 31, 3:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Loudon, Monroe	48 min
Mar 31, 3:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hamilton, Sequatchie	47 min
Mar 31, 4:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Knox	45 min
Mar 31, 4:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Monroe	63 min
Mar 31, 4:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bradley, Hamilton	61 min
Mar 31, 4:50 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MRX	Hamilton, Sequatchie	115 min
Mar 31, 6:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Monroe	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.