Severe Thunderstorm Warning 304, NWS Morristown, TN

077 
WWUS54 KMRX 102241
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
641 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

TNC011-107-102251-
/O.CAN.KMRX.SV.W.0304.000000T0000Z-120810T2315Z/
BRADLEY TN-MCMINN TN-
641 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MCMINN AND BRADLEY COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS EXITED MCMINN AND BRADLEY 
COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3499 8477 3506 8475 3546 8426 3545 8398
      3541 8401 3537 8400 3535 8403 3525 8400
      3498 8439
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 274DEG 20KT 3544 8419 3497 8479

$$

NCC039-TNC123-139-102315-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0304.000000T0000Z-120810T2315Z/
CHEROKEE NC-MONROE TN-POLK TN-
641 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR POLK...MONROE AND CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

AT 639 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CITICO
TO CONASAUGA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MADISONVILLE TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF CLEVELAND...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  DUCKTOWN...CONASAUGA...ARCHVILLE...CITICO...COKER CREEK...BIG FROG
  MOUNTAIN...TURTLETOWN...VIOLET...UNAKA AND HIAWASSE DAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED
WITH THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8477 3506 8475 3546 8426 3545 8398
      3541 8401 3537 8400 3535 8403 3525 8400
      3498 8439
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 274DEG 20KT 3544 8419 3497 8479

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...CURRENT SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT GENERALLY ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU/
MOUNTAIN RANGE...WITH A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION OCCURRING ALONG
IT. MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT...AS AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE OHIO AND TN RIVER VALLEYS. THE AXIS
OF THIS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PROGGED TO STILL BE LINGERING OVER THE
FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY...BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A DRY AIR
MASS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH A MID-LEVEL STABLE LAYER THAT SHOULD
INHIBIT ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THUS...WILL MENTION A DRY
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH DEWPOINTS EXPECTED TO BE
NOTICEABLY LOWER THIS WEEKEND...LEADING TO A HINT OF AUTUMN AND
LOWER MINS AT NIGHT. AS FOR TEMPS...GFS AND NAM GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AND LOOK REASONABLE.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
REGION WILL PROVIDE FOR WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY. A WEAK
FRONT WILL MOVE IN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODEL/RUN DIFFERENCE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE EXTENDED HAVE KEPT CONFIDENCE LOW. CURRENT TRENDS SHOW A WEAK
FRONT AND DIURNAL HEATING CREATING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF CONVECTION ON
WEDNESDAY. BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON THURSDAY. THEN...ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM
MOVING IN AROUND THE FRIDAY TIME FRAME.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN   66  85  61  88  63 /  30  10   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN     64  83  60  86  62 /  30  10   0   0   0
OAK RIDGE, TN             64  84  60  87  62 /  30  10   0   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN    61  81  55  84  57 /  30  10   0   0   0
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

DMG/MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-111000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
1025 AM EDT (925 AM CDT) FRI AUG 10 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...TRIGGERING ADDITIONAL SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
404 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

TNZ067-068-084>086-102045-
LOUDON TN-MCMINN TN-MEIGS TN-NORTHWEST MONROE TN-ROANE TN-
404 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME NORTHERN MONROE...
MEIGS...EXTREME NORTHERN MCMINN...LOUDON AND ROANE COUNTIES UNTIL 445
PM EDT...

AT 402 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES EAST OF SPRING CITY...OR 12 MILES SOUTH
OF ROCKWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SWEETWATER...
LOUDON...TEN MILE...MURRAY STORE...FAIRVIEW...PAINT ROCK AND
PHILADELPHIA.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY!
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND! DON'T DROWN!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
445 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

TNZ098-102130-
MARION TN-
345 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARION COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 339 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOUTH PITTSBURG...OR 9 MILES
WEST OF JASPER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...JASPER...SOUTH
PITTSBURG...HALETOWN (GUILD) AND MARTIN SPRINGS.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY!
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND! DON'T DROWN!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
400 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012

VAZ006-008-102130-
RUSSELL VA-WASHINGTON VA-
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WASHINGTON AND RUSSELL COUNTIES
UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

AT 454 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LEBANON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...HONAKER...ROSEDALE
AND DYE.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY!
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND! DON'T DROWN!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
602 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

VAZ008-102230-
WASHINGTON VA-
602 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WASHINGTON COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM
EDT...

AT 558 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALTVILLE...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...GLADE SPRING.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY!
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND! DON'T DROWN!