Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 181, NWS Morristown, TN

July 2, 2012Cherokee County, North Carolina; Monroe County, Tennessee

NWS Morristown, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2012, 12:10 AM EDT for Cherokee County, North Carolina; Monroe County, Tennessee. It was in force for 50 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 2, 2012, 12:10 AM EDT (04:10 UTC)
Expired: Jul 2, 2012, 1:00 AM EDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Morristown, TN
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Cherokee County, NC, Monroe County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 2, 12:24 AM EDT	HAIL 0.75	Andrews, NC

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1719 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -116 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2371 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

162 
WUUS54 KMRX 020410
SVRMRX
NCC039-TNC123-020500-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0181.120702T0410Z-120702T0500Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1210 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
  MONROE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 100 AM EDT

* AT 1206 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
  MILES NORTH OF MURPHY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  MURPHY...ANDREWS AND MARBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3515 8430 3521 8429 3520 8435 3522 8435
      3526 8441 3539 8425 3534 8403 3524 8400
      3522 8397 3526 8384 3525 8371 3514 8381
      3514 8385 3505 8397 3503 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 0410Z 296DEG 15KT 3522 8406

$$

MJB

1 follow-up statement

605 
WWUS54 KMRX 020434
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1234 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

TNC123-020444-
/O.CAN.KMRX.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-120702T0500Z/
MONROE TN-
1234 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MONROE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3514 8416 3517 8414 3519 8412 3520 8411
      3521 8409 3522 8407 3526 8403 3524 8400
      3522 8397 3526 8384 3525 8371 3515 8382
      3514 8385 3505 8397 3503 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 0434Z 286DEG 25KT 3519 8387

$$

NCC039-020500-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-120702T0500Z/
CHEROKEE NC-
1234 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT
FOR CHEROKEE COUNTY...

AT 1232 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR MARBLE...OR NEAR ANDREWS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  ANDREWS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED
WITH THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3514 8416 3517 8414 3519 8412 3520 8411
      3521 8409 3522 8407 3526 8403 3524 8400
      3522 8397 3526 8384 3525 8371 3515 8382
      3514 8385 3505 8397 3503 8396
TIME...MOT...LOC 0434Z 286DEG 25KT 3519 8387

$$

TD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 10:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 10:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1000 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...STRONG UPPER RIDGE VERY SLOWLY BEGINS TO DAMPEN
OVERNIGHT BUT EXPECTED CONTINUED SEASONALLY VERY WARM LOWS TONIGHT.
SHOULD SEE A BAND OF CONVECTION ROLLING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.  WITH
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE...A STRAY STORM MAY BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE.  LINGERING ASSOCIATED CLOUDS MAY AID IN SLIGHTLY
LOWERING HIGHS ON MONDAY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE MRX CWA.
HOWEVER...THE CHA AREA IS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA.  THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE THE ADVISORY FOR THIS LOCATION
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.  OTHERWISE...ALL ON TRACK IN THE CURRENT
FORECAST...WILL UPDATE TO REMOVE EVENING WORDING AND ADJUST ADVISORY
HEADLINE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  77 102  75  97  72 /  10  20  20  20  20
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN    75 100  73  96  72 /  10  20  20  20  20
OAK RIDGE, TN            75  99  73  95  72 /  10  20  20  20  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN   70  95  66  94  67 /  30  30  30  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BLEDSOE...BRADLEY...HAMILTON...MARION...MCMINN...
     MEIGS...NORTHWEST MONROE...RHEA...SEQUATCHIE...WEST POLK.

VA...NONE.
&&

MJB

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 4:38 AM EDT, 19 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
438 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-020845-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
438 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012 /338 AM CDT SUN JUL 1 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

MORE HOT RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...AS THE HEAT
WAVE CONTINUES. FOR MORE ON THIS DANGEROUS HEAT...PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST HEAT ADVISORY PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRING SPOTTY AND BRIEF RELIEF FROM THE
HEAT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM COULD DEVELOP IN THE INTENSE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON
OR EVENING HOURS. GUSTY WINDS BELOW 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL WOULD BE
THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY NOT REACH RECORD VALUES MONDAY...BUT A HEAT
ADVISORY MIGHT BE NEEDED FOR AT LEAST SOUTHERN PARTS OF EAST
TENNESSEE.

AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WEAKENS ACROSS THE REGION...MOISTURE
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM MID TO LATE WEEK. THIS INCREASE IN
MOISTURE COULD LEAD TO A FEW AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE MAIN
THREATS BEING HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED...UNLESS COVERAGE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES DURING THE WEEK.

TG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:34 PM EDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1134 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1118 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHOOTING CREEK          35.03N 83.65W
07/01/2012                   CLAY               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN

&&

Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:42 PM EDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1142 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     TSTM WND GST     SWEETWATER              35.60N 84.47W
07/01/2012  M65 MPH          MONROE             TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:45 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1145 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     HAIL             MORRISTOWN              36.21N 83.30W
07/01/2012  E1.00 INCH       HAMBLEN            TN   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:52 PM EDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1152 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW CHARLESTON         35.25N 84.81W
07/01/2012                   BRADLEY            TN   911 CALL CENTER

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN.

&&

Local storm report, Jul 2, 12:00 AM EDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1200 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 PM     HAIL             BRISTOL TN              36.57N 82.20W
07/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       SULLIVAN           TN   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jul 2, 12:10 AM EDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1210 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     HAIL             FALL BRANCH             36.42N 82.62W
07/01/2012  E1.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         TN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Morristown, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 1, 11:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Clay	38 min
Jul 1, 11:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Clay	27 min
Jul 2, 12:17 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Cherokee	23 min
Jul 2, 12:20 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Clay	55 min
Jul 1, 8:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Monroe	31 min
Jul 1, 10:17 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hawkins	43 min
Jul 1, 10:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Sevier	42 min
Jul 1, 10:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Sevier	49 min
Jul 1, 10:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Anderson, Knox, Loudon, Roane	40 min
Jul 1, 10:51 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hancock	39 min
Jul 1, 10:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington	36 min
Jul 1, 10:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Cocke, Greene	49 min
Jul 1, 11:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bradley, Polk	45 min
Jul 1, 11:02 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Loudon, McMinn, Monroe	43 min
Jul 1, 11:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Cocke, Jefferson, Sevier	35 min
Jul 1, 11:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Meigs, Rhea	47 min
Jul 1, 11:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Greene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington	50 min
Jul 1, 11:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bradley, McMinn, Monroe, Polk	45 min
Jul 1, 11:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Johnson, Sullivan	60 min
Jul 1, 11:33 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Jefferson	42 min
Jul 1, 11:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Greene, Hawkins	35 min
Jul 1, 11:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Knox, Loudon	50 min
Jul 1, 11:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Loudon, Monroe	44 min
Jul 2, 12:12 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Blount, Monroe, Sevier	48 min
Jul 2, 12:12 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Carter, Greene, Unicoi, Washington	50 min
Jul 2, 4:55 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MRX	Bledsoe, Sequatchie	43 min
Jul 2, 5:02 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Bledsoe, Hamilton, Sequatchie	43 min
Jul 2, 5:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MRX	Marion	40 min
Jul 2, 7:54 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MRX	Bledsoe	88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2012 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.