Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 113, NWS Marquette, MI

October 12, 2012

NWS Marquette, MI issued this small craft advisory at Oct 12, 2012, 5:02 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 13, 2012, 1:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 23 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 12, 2012, 5:02 PM EDT (21:02 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 13, 2012, 1:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 14, 2012, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Marquette, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

861 
WHUS73 KMQT 122102
MWWMQT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
502 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LSZ250-251-122215-
/O.CAN.KMQT.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121013T0000Z/
MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
502 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LSZ249-122215-
/O.EXP.KMQT.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121012T2100Z/
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-
502 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LMZ221-130515-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.121013T0500Z-121014T0100Z/
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-
502 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ248-250-130515-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.121013T0500Z-121014T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
502 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MCD
5 follow-up statements
873 
WHUS73 KMQT 130206
MWWMQT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1006 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LSZ244-245-131015-
/O.EXB.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.121013T0600Z-121013T2000Z/
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
1006 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ221-131015-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.121013T0500Z-121014T0100Z/
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-
1006 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT SATURDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ248-250-131015-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.121013T0500Z-121014T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
1006 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MCD
611 
WHUS73 KMQT 130945
MWWMQT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
545 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

LSZ250-251-131745-
/O.EXB.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.121013T1100Z-121013T2000Z/
MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
545 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ244-245-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121013T2000Z/
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
545 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ221-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0100Z/
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-
545 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ248-250-131745-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
545 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
338 
WHUS73 KMQT 131459
MWWMQT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

LSZ244-245-132000-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121013T2000Z/
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ250-251-132000-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121013T2000Z/
MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 1 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ221-132300-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0100Z/
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ248-250-132300-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
686 
WHUS73 KMQT 132044
MWWMQT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
444 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

LMZ221-140100-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0100Z/
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-
444 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 16 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 19 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  6 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 9 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ248-250-140400-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
444 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 18 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 21 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT 
  SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MCD
132 
WHUS73 KMQT 140128
MWWMQT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

LMZ221-140230-
/O.EXP.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0100Z/
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LSZ240-241-140930-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0114.121014T1700Z-121015T1200Z/
SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012 /828 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012/

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ SUNDAY
TO 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/
SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 18 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 22 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  6 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 9 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT SUNDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ242-243-140930-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0114.121014T1400Z-121015T1800Z/
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST...WITH 
  GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES 
  WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET 
  POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT MONDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ244-245-140930-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0114.121014T1400Z-121015T2100Z/
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT SUNDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ246-247-140930-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0114.121014T1800Z-121015T1800Z/
POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING
KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 11 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT SUNDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ248-140930-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0114.121014T1800Z-121016T0000Z/
HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 17 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT MONDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ249>251-140930-
/O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0114.121014T1800Z-121016T0000Z/
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  12 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 17 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT SUNDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT MONDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ248-250-140400-
/O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-121014T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 10 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 12 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT SATURDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT SATURDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

07

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 12, 4:07 PM EDT, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 4:07 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
407 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

WV IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS INDICATED MAINLY ZONAL NRN STREAM
MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE NRN CONUS INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES.
A VIGOROUS SRN STREAM LOW WAS LOCATED OVER NW AZ. AT THE SFC...SRLY
WINDS WERE INCREASING FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY BTWN
HIGH PRES OVER LOWER MI AND A TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE WRN PLAINS.
VIS LOOP SHOWED DIURNAL CLOUDS OVER CNTRL UPPER MI THINNING AND
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AS SW WINDS DEVELOP. ANY LEFTOVER LAKE EFFECT
PCPN OVER ERN LAKE SUPERIOR HAD DISSIPATED

AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND THE
SHRTWV/SFC LOW LIFTS OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS...A
STRENGTHENING SW FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT. WITH STRONG WAA AND MOISTURE ADVECTION DEVELOPING WITH
MODERATE TO STRONG 295K-305K ISENTROPIC LIFT...RAIN WILL QUICKLY
DEVELOP AND SPREAD TO THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...WITH CONVECTION
LIKELY TO DEVELOP CLOSER TO THE SFC-850 MB WARM FRONT...MOISTURE
ADVECTION INTO UPPER MI MAY BE REDUCED. SO...THE NAM/ECMWF WHICH
INDICATES A SLIGHTLY LATER ARRIVAL(BTWN 09Z-12Z)OF THE PCPN WITH THE
HEAVIER PCPN MAINLY SOUTH OF UPPER MI WAS PREFERRED. EXPECT THE
STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT TO DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE EAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE SFC-850 MB WARM FRONT MOVES INTO NRN
LAKE MI AND NRN LWR MI. LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS ARE STILL
WARRANTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE FCST AREA EVEN FOR PCPN AMOUNTS LESS
THAN 0.10 NORTHWEST...0.10 TO 0.25 INCH CNTRL TO NEAR 0.50 INCH EAST
AND FAR SOUTH.

INCREASING CLOUDS AND WIND WILL LIMIT THE DIURNAL FALL OF TEMP...AND
FCST THERMAL PROFILES INDICATE ANY PCPN SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF
RAIN EVEN THOUGH TEMPS AT SOME OF THE INTERIOR COLD SPOTS MIGHT FALL
AOB 32 EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE THE THICKER CLOUDS ARRIVE. EVEN
WITH THE STRONG WAA...PCPN AND CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HIGHS TO THE MID
AND UPPER 40S SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

MOST ATTENTION IN LONG TERM ON SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN WITH A SYSTEM
THAT MAY BRING A COUPLE INCHES OF RAIN TO PARTS OF THE REGION. THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM DUE TO MODEL DISAGREEMENT.
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS INITIALLY ARE DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN UPPER
LEVEL MASS FIELDS AS A 250MB LOW MOVES FROM THE CURRENT POSITION
OVER SRN NV...TO WRN KS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD 00Z SUN. AT 00Z SUN...THE 00Z/12 ECMWF IS ABOUT 50-60M DEEPER
AND ALSO MORE NEUTRALLY TILTED WITH 250MB HEIGHT TROUGH THAN THE
POSITIVELY TILTED GFS. THE 12Z/12 NAM IS AN OUTLIER THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS WAS RULES OUT. THE REG-GEM IS MORE OF A MIDDLE GROUND
SOLUTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENT.. THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MODELS
CONTINUES AT 12Z SUN...WHEN THE GFS BECOMES NEUTRALLY TILED OVER THE
WRN MO BORDER WHILE THE ECMWF IS STRONGER...FASTER AND NEGATIVELY
TILTED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH OVER IA/NRN MO. EVENTUAL SFC LOW TRACK
DIFFERENCES ARE NOT DIFFERENT...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE STILL DIFFERENCES
IN SFC LOW STRENGTH...BUT SOME OF THE LARGER DIFFERENCES WITH PRECIP
AMOUNTS/PLACEMENT COME AROUND 850MB. WHILE THE STRONGER ECMWF
DEEPENS THE SYSTEM AND BRINGS A STRENGTHENING 850MB LOW FROM NE IA
12Z SUN TO NEAR THE STRAITS OF MACKINAW AROUND 00Z MON...THE GFS
BRINGS THE 850MB LOW FROM NRN LAKE SUPERIOR AT 00Z SUN TO NEAR THE
STRAITS AT 18Z SUN...THEN DEEPENS IT RAPIDLY OVER LAKE HURON BY 00Z
MON AS THE UPPER TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED AND UPPER JETS
PHASE. WILL BE INTERESTED TO SEE WHAT THE 12Z/12 ECMWF COMES IN
WITH...BECAUSE THE GFS AND GEM HAVE BEEN TRENDING WEAKER /TOWARD
WHAT THEY HAVE NOW/ OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THE
WEAKER SCENARIO IS THAT THE STRONG DEFORMATION/FGEN ON THE LEFT SIDE
OF THE 850MB LOW TRACK ARE DISPLACES SE OF THE CWA...WHILE THE ECMWF
SOLUTION BRINGS A COUPLE OF INCHES OF RAIN SAT NIGHT INTO SUN.
OVERALL THINK THE BEST CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL BE OVER THE SERN CWA
CLOSER TO LAKE MICHIGAN...BOTH SAT NIGHT WITH THE WARM FRONT THAT
WILL BE JUST S OF THE CWA AND AS THE LOW PASSES SUN. WILL SHIFT POPS
SE FROM WHAT IS CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST.

LINGERED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND E UPPER MI
INTO EARLY MON AS N WINDS OFF LAKE SUPERIOR MAY BRING IN SOME LAKE
EFFECT/UPSLOPE PRECIP WHILE 850MB TEMPS DECREASE TO AROUND -3C. ANY
PRECIP WILL BE LIGHT...AND SOME SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY MIX IN OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN LATE SUN NIGHT/EARLY MON MORNING. AS SFC RIDGE SLIDES
ACROSS THE CWA MON AFTERNOON/EVENING AHEAD OF AN UPPER RIDGE THAT
WILL MOVE OVERHEAD TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY TUE.

AFTER MON THERE IS CONSIDERABLE MODEL DISAGREEMENT...LIMITED
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST...ESPECIALLY POPS. HOWEVER...IT DOES
APPEAR MORE CERTAIN THAT TUE AND WED WILL BE WARMER WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 50S. USED CONSENSUS OF MODELS FOR MON NIGHT THROUGH
FRI.
&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 135 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

AS A DRY HIGH PRES RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREDOMINATE INTO TONIGHT. A STRENGTHENING SSW FLOW
TONIGHT BTWN THE DEPARTING HI AND LOW PRES TAKING SHAPE IN THE PLAINS
WILL RESULT IN SOME MARGINAL LLWS AS WELL AS INCREASING CLOUDS.
ENOUGH MOISTURE MAY ARRIVE LATE IN THE FCST PERIOD TO CAUSE MVFR CIGS
CLOSER TO THE WI BORDER AT IWD. STRONGER MOISTURE INFLOW AHEAD OF
WARM FRONT OVER WI WILL BRING LOWER CIGS INTO THE MVFR RANGE. SRLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW FAVORS EVEN LOWER CIGS INTO THE IFR RANGE AT SAW.
&&

.MARINE...(FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 406 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

A STEADY SSW WIND UP TO 25 KTS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT BETWEEN THE
DEPARTING HI AND DEVELOPING LO PRES IN THE PLAINS. AS THE LO PRES
CENTER MOVES TO THE E JUST S OF UPPER MI EARLY SUN...LOOK FOR THE
WINDS TO BACK TO THE N AND INCREASE UP TO 25 TO 30 KTS...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE E HALF. MAY SEE A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR SUN. THE APPROACH OF HIGH PRES ON MON WILL CAUSE
A STEADY DECREASE IN WIND SPEED LATER SUN INTO MON. SOUTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 25 KTS OVER MAINLY THE ERN HALF OF THE LAKE ON TUESDAY
AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NRN PLAINS.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
NONE.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
NONE.
LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JLB
LONG TERM...TITUS
AVIATION...JLB
MARINE...JLB
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 3:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
359 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-132200-
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
359 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012 /259 PM CDT FRI OCT 12 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-132200-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI-
BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI-
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI-
EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI-
POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING
KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-
MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-
GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
ROYALE NATIONAL PARK-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE-
LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
359 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012 /259 PM CDT FRI OCT 12 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FEW NORTH GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF
EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

LMZ221-248-250-132200-
GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-
359 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

TITUS

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.