Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 7, NWS Marquette, MI
NWS Marquette, MI issued this gale warning at Jan 21, 2012, 5:16 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 22, 2012, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 21, 2012, 5:16 PM EST (22:16 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 22, 2012, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2012, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Marquette, MI
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
839 WHUS73 KMQT 212216 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 516 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 LSZ266-267-220630- /O.UPG.KMQT.GL.A.0005.120122T0600Z-120123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMQT.GL.W.0007.120122T0600Z-120123T0000Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 516 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ249>251-220630- /O.NEW.KMQT.GL.W.0007.120122T0600Z-120123T0000Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 516 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-220630- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.120122T0600Z-120123T0600Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 516 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ248-250-220630- /O.NEW.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.120122T0600Z-120123T1200Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 516 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
3 follow-up statements
593 WHUS73 KMQT 220308 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1008 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 LSZ249>251-266-267-221115- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0007.120122T0600Z-120123T0000Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 1008 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-221115- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.120122T0600Z-120123T0600Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 1008 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ248-250-221115- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.120122T0600Z-120123T1200Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 1008 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
289 WHUS73 KMQT 220913 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 LSZ264-221715- /O.EXA.KMQT.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120123T0000Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ249>251-266-267-221715- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120123T0000Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ248-250-221715- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST MONDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-221715- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120123T0600Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 413 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
465 WHUS73 KMQT 221516 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1016 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 LSZ249>251-264-266-267-222330- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120123T0000Z/ MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 1016 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-222330- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120123T0600Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 1016 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 12 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ248-250-222330- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/ SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 1016 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST MONDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 21, 3:52 PM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 21, 3:52 PM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
352 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
12Z RAOBS/LATEST WV IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS SHOW WNW FLOW ALF OVER
THE UPR LKS BTWN ARCTIC VORTEX CEMTERED OVER HUDSON BAY ASSOCIATED
WITH RECENT INTENSE CHILL AND PROGRESSIVE UPR RDG SHIFTING E THRU
THE NRN PLAINS. SFC/H85 RDG AXIS HAS BROUGHT RELATIVELY TRANQUIL WX
TO THE FA TDAY WITH MID LVL DRY AIR SHOWN ON THE 12Z GRB RAOB. TEMPS
HAVE RISEN STEADILY FM MRNG LOWS ARND -25F OVER THE INTERIOR W. SOME
LES LINGERS EARLY THIS AFTN OVER THE KEWEENAW AND IN AREAS WELL E OF
MQT WITH H85 TEMPS STILL AOB -15C...BUT BACKING LLVL FLOW TO THE SW
THAT SIGNALS A RETREAT OF THE ARCTIC AIR IS CAUSING THE SHSN TO
DRIFT TO THE NE. IN FACT...WAD MID CLD BEST DEPICTED BY THE RH SHOWN
ON THE 12Z NAM 290-295K ISENTROPIC SFCS/H6-7/ AND WELL IN ADVANCE OF
SHARP H85 WARM FNT PUSHING THRU THE NRN PLAINS IS ALREADY MOVING FM
NRN MN INTO THE WRN CWA. BUT GENERALY DRYNESS OF THE 12Z INL RAOB IS
PREVENTING ANY PCPN. SOME -SN IS SHOWING UP NEAR LK WINNIPEG. TO THE
S...THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF LO CLD S OF THE HI CENTER IN WI...AND
THIS ST/SC IS STARTING TO STREAM NWD INTO SW MN. FARTHER W...12Z H85
TEMPS WERE UP TO 6C IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES BEHIND THE WARM FNT. A
VIGOROUS SHRTWV IS DIGGING SEWD INTO THE SW STATES. THERE HAVE BEEN
A FEW LTG STRIKES NEAR THE TRACK OF THIS FEATURE...AND NEARBY PIREPS
INDICATE H3 WIND SPEEDS UP TO 175KT WITHIN SUPPORTING UPR JET THAT
IS WELL DEFINED ON WV IMAGERY.
&&
.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION /TNGT AND SUN/...
MAIN FCST CONCERNS IN THIS PERIOD ARE IMPACT OF RETURNING WARM AIR
IN VIGOROUS WAD PATTERN THAT WL SET UP IN RETURN SLY FLOW BTWN
DEPARTING HI PRES RDG TO THE E AND DVLPG LO PRES IN THE PLAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH VIGOROUS HGT FALLS IN ADVANCE OF SHRTWV NOW MOVING
INTO THE SW STATES.
TNGT...WITH STRENGTHENING LLVL SLY FLOW...EXPECT ANY LES NEAR LK SUP
TO DRIFT OFFSHORE BY LATE IN THE AFTN. SINCE THE AIRMASS WL STILL BE
COLD ENUF FOR LES EARLY WITH H85 TEMPS ARND -12C...GOING FCST OF
SOME LK CLD/SHSN OFF LK MI INTO THE FM ISQ-ERY STILL LOOKS ON TRACK.
BUT THIS PCPN SHOULD DIMINISH AS TEMPS RISE THRU THE NGT. IN FACT...
H85 WIND INCRSG UP TO 50KTS TOWARD WRN LK SUP BY 12Z SUN ARE FCST TO
PUSH H85 TEMPS NEAR 0C IN THAT AREA TOWARD DAYBREAK. THIS
STRENGTHENING SSW FLOW WL ALSO DRAW THE LO CLD NOW WELL TO THE S
INTO THE WRN AND CNTRL CWA. BUT DOWNSLOPE NATURE OF THE FLOW OVER
THE W AND NCNTRL SHOULD RESULT IN SOME DISSIPATION OF THIS CLD
COVER. TO THE NW...THE AREA OF SN NOW NEAR LK WINNIPEG WL LIKELY
SHIFT NEAR ISLE ROYALE WITH PERSISTENT ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOWN ON
THE 290-295K SFCS...MORE SATURATED PROFILE DOWN TO THE SFC...AND
INCRSG UPR DVGC IN RRQ OF H3 JET MAX IN ONTARIO AND IN EXIT REGION
OF ANOTHER UPR JET EMERGING ON THE E SIDE OF DEEPENING UPR TROF IN
THE PLAINS. WITH 5-6K FT DEEP DRY WEDGE SHOWN ON FCST SDNGS FOR
CMX...SUSPECT THE BULK OF THIS PCPN WL REMAIN TO THE NW OF THE
KEWEENAW. SO CUT POPS INTO THE CHC CATEGORY FOR THAT AREA WITH HIER
POPS TO THE N. EXPECT THE LOWEST TEMPS EARLY TNGT...WITH THE MERCURY
RISING LATER AS INCRSG S WIND ADVECTS MORE LLVL MSTR INTO THE AREA.
TENDED TO LOWER EARLY EVNG TEMPS OVER THE INTERIOR CNTRL BEFORE
ARRIVAL OF THICKER CLD COVER/ONSET OF STRONGER WINDS CAUSES TEMPS TO
RISE OVERNGT.
SUN...THE WX WL BE DOMINATED BY THE ARRIVAL OF INCRSG LLVL MSTR IN
STEADY SSE WIND BTWN DEPARTING HI PRES RDG AND DVLPG LO IN THE
PLAINS. ALTHOUGH CONTINUED WAD WL TEND TO RESULT IN INCRSG MID LVL
MSTR AS WELL...MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A PERSISTENT DRY WEDGE
CENTERED ARND H85 THRU THE DAY BTWN THE LLVL AND HIER LVL
MOISTENING. MAINTAINED MAINLY SCHC POPS FOR LARGER SCALE PCPN...HIER
TO THE NW. ANY PCPN WL LIKELY BE SN AND PSBLY SLEET WITH WARM
WEDGE/H85 TEMPS POTENTIALLY UP TO 5C IN THE DRY LYR THAT MIGHT MELT
SN FLAKES ABV RESIDUAL COLD AIR JUST ABV THE SFC...WHERE TEMPS ARE
FCST TO REMAIN AS LO AS -6C TO -8C. ALSO INCLUDED MENTION OF FZDZ
MAINLY OVER THE SCNTRL WHERE GUIDANCE SHOWS INCRSG SFC DEWPTS IN
AREA OF UPLSOPE SSE FLOW. LIMITING FACTOR WL BE FAIRLY HI SFC DEWPT
DEPRESSIONS NOW OBSVD TO THE S/STRONG WINDS THAT MIGHT MAINTAIN A
SLIGHT INVERTED V LLVL THERMAL/MSTR PROFILE.
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY/...
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER LAKES AND MIXED PRECIPITATION
ISSUES IS THE MAIN CONCERN OF THE LONG TERM.
BY SUNDAY EVENING...SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH AT LEAST TWO EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES/PV ANOMALIES WILL BE OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS. MAJORITY OF
MODELS AGREE IN THIS IDEA. 12Z NAM IS ON ITS OWN SHOWING STRONGER
PIECE OF ENERGY SHOOTING NORTH INTO MN. ALL OTHER GUIDANCE...SAVE THE
SREF WHICH HAS MANY NAM MEMBERS WITHIN IT...KEEPS STRONGEST ENERGY
MORE OVR SOUTHERN PLAINS. BASED ON POSITION OF UPPER JET AHEAD OF
TROUGH...THINK NAM IS TOO STRONG WITH SHORTWAVE OVR MN. THIS LEADS
TO A MUCH FARTHER NORTH TRACK TO SFC LOW ON MONDAY (NORTHERN LK
SUPERIOR MONDAY MORNING INSTEAD OF OVR SOUTHERN LK MICHIGAN). SO AS
MUCH AS WOULD HAVE LIKED TO HAVE THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM THERMAL
PROFILES TO USE IN THIS FCST...HAVE TO DISCOUNT THE NAM AT THIS
TIME. SHOULD NOTE THAT IT APPEARS THE 12Z NAM IS TRENDING TOWARD
MAJORITY OF OTHER MODELS...SO MAYBE IT WILL BE MORE USEFUL IN 24
HRS. MOVING ON THAT LEAVES THE ECMWF AND UKMET IDEA (WHICH HAVE BEEN
CONSISTENT AND PREFERRED WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR SOME TIME NOW) AS WELL
AS THE GFS WHICH BEGAN TRENDING TOWARD ECMWF/UKMET IDEA WITH THE 18Z
RUN ON 1/20. CANADIAN ALSO PRETTY MUCH IN LINE NOW AS WELL...THOUGH
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY WITH SFC LOW TRACK ON MONDAY STILL NOT THE
GREATEST. SHOULD NOTE...12Z GFS DID TREND A BIT TOWARD NAM IDEA AND
WAS NOT PREFERRED BY HPC. 12Z ECMWF/CANADIAN/UKMET REMAIN CONSISTENT
WITH PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS.
APPEARS THAT THOUGH THERE IS SOME INTERACTION WITH NORTHERN STREAM
LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MAINLY SOUTHERN
STREAM ORIGIN. WITH THAT WILL COME GOOD TAP OF GULF MOISTURE WITH
PWATS OVR 250 PCT OF NORMAL BY 12Z MONDAY OVR MOST OF THE CWA.
POSITION OF H85 TROUGH AND SRLY H85 WINDS PUT STRONGEST H85 THETA-E
ADVECTION OVER EAST HALF OF CWA BTWN 09Z-15Z MONDAY. HEAVIEST QPF IS
FCST OVR CNTRL AND EAST CWA. RUN TOTAL QPF THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY (WHEN
DEEPER MOISTURE/HIGHER PWATS SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST INTO
ONTARIO/QUEBEC) RANGE FROM 0.50-0.90 OF AN INCH WITH CANADIAN UP OVR
1 INCH...HEAVIEST CNTRL CWA DUE TO DEFORMATION ON BACK EDGE OF
H85-H7 LOWS AND IT IS ALSO WHERE THERE IS A HINT OF A TROWAL HANGING
BACK OVR THE AREA AS H85-H7 LOWS MAINTAIN STEADY STRENGTH WHILE
HEADING INTO ONTARIO.
LOW-LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES WILL BE CRITICAL COMPONENT WITH THIS
SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY THROUGH NOON ON MONDAY. BASED ON 0C H85
LINE...RAIN WILL BE MAIN PTYPE EAST OF MARQUETTE AND DICKINSON
COUNTIES...WITH SNOW TO THE WEST. TROUBLE IS THAT SFC-BLYR TEMPS
WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING AS THE RAIN ARRIVES FM THE SOUTH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. COULD EVEN BE SLEET OR SNOW RIGHT AT THE ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS COLD AIR ALOFT SLOWLY EVADES.
BELIEVE FREEZING RAIN WILL BE BIGGEST CONCERN TOWARD DAYBREAK MONDAY
AND THROUGH ABOUT MID MORNING...THEN BLYR WARMING IN THE EAST SHOULD
CHANGE PTYPE TO JUST RAIN. DUE TO COLD SPELL LATELY...WARMING OF
GROUND SFC TEMPS WILL LAG THE AIR TEMPS...SO MAY BE SITUATION WHERE
TEMPS AT OBSERVATION PLATFORMS (ASOS/AWOS/RAWS) ARE IN THE MID 30S
BUT THERE IS STILL ICING OCCURRING ON COLDER UNTREATED SURFACES.
UNFORTUNATELY...THESE THERMAL QUESTIONS ABOUND THE FIRST PART OF
MONDAY WHEN BULK OF HEAVIER QPF IS FCST WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION
ALOFT AT ITS PEAK. DO THINK THERE IS A GREATER THAN 50 PCT CHANCE
OF SIGNIFICANT ICING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...
ESPECIALLY AWAY FM THE IMMEDIATE SHORELINES OF LK SUPERIOR AND LK
MICHIGAN.
EVENTUALLY...BLYR WARMING WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY RAIN BY LATE MORNING
EAST OF MUNISING TO MENOMINEE AS SFC LOW IS FCST TO DEEPEN AND MOVE
FM SOUTHEAST WI TO SCNTRL UPR MI AND EVENTUALLY OUT OVR SOUTHEAST LK
SUPERIOR BY MONDAY EVENING. SITUATION COULD BECOME VERY FAVORABLE
FOR HEAVIER SNOW OVR CNTRL CWA THOUGH...MAINLY OVR HIGHER TERRAIN
JUST WEST OF MARQUETTE INTO PORTIONS OF KEWEENAW AND AS FAR SOUTH
AS WI BORDER...EVENTUALLY SPREADING INTO ALGER AND DELTA COUNTIES BY
LATE AFTN. PRIMARYDRIVER FOR POTENTIALLY HEAVIER SNOW IS VERY TIGHT
H85 TEMPERATURE GRADIENT OVR CNTRL CWA/INCREASING DEFORMATION ON
WEST SIDE OF CLOSED OFF H85-H7 LOWS AND LINGERING TROWAL REGION MOST
NOTED 950-750MB. NORTHERN STREAM WAVE DIGGING INTO THE SOUTHERN STREAM
SYSTEM WILL ALSO LEAD TO STRONGER DEFORMATION PRECIP REGION.
HEADLINES...GIVEN THIS SYSTEM WILL BE AFFECTING THE AREA ON A MONDAY
WHEN THERE IS LOT OF TRAVEL WITH WORK/SCHOOL/ETC AND SINCE THIS
SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL TO BE HIGHER IMPACT DUE TO AMOUNT OF MOISTURE
AVAILABLE...THINK GOING WITH A WATCH RIGHT NOW IS A GOOD IDEA. MAIN
ISSUE FOR ALGER AND DELTA COUNTY EASTWARD IS THE INITIAL ICE THREAT
LATER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. A MIXED BAG OF ICE AND SNOW
AND SOME SLEET IS MAIN ISSUE FOR AREAS OVR CNTRL UPR MI...BASICALLY
MARQUETTE AND DICKINSON/MENOMINEE COUNTIES. FARTHER WEST...IT WOULD
BE GENERALLY A SNOW EVENT. ONLY PLACE WHERE WINTER STORM WATCH WILL
NOT BE ISSUED IS FAR WEST CWA AS MODELS ARE VERY INSISTENT IN SHOWING
THEM BEING MISSED BY INITIAL WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING AND GENERALLY KEEPING THE PRIMARY
DEFORMATION AXIS TO THE EAST OF THOSE AREAS ON MONDAY AFTN/MONDAY
EVENING. WATCHES WILL RUN FM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR MARQUETTE AND DICKINSON COUNTIES WESTWARD BUT WILL KEEP
ENDING TIME SHORTER FARTHER EAST AS MOST PTYPE BY AFTN WILL BE
RAIN/DRIZZLE AND SNOW SHOULD NOT BE SIGNIFICANT...ESPECIALLY IN FAR
EAST TOWARD KERY.
LK EFFECT...POSSIBLY ENHANCED BY DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL TARGET NW
FLOW AREAS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTY NW WINDS
WILL LEAD TO BLSN ISSUES AS WELL. WILL GO AHEAD AND RUN WATCHES
THROUGH 12Z WHERE LK EFFECT/BLSN WILL BE HAZARD LATER MONDAY NIGHT.
COORD WITH DLH...GRB...APX AND ALSO HPC ON THIS SYSTEM.
FOR THE EXTENDED /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A SLIGHTLY AMPLIFIED FLOW WITH A BROAD EASTERLY TROUGH AND WEAK
WESTERN RIDGE WILL DEVELOP AND LEAD TO A GENERALLY SUSTAINED WNW/NW
FLOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND RIDGES WILL PROGRESS ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE
OF THE EASTERN TROUGH AND ALLOW FOR PERSISTENT BUT SMALL PRECIP
CHANCES. HOWEVER...THERE IS DISAGREEMENT IN THE GUIDANCE WITH THE
TIMING OF EACH OF THESE PULSES.
CAA ON THE BACKSIDE OF MONDAYS DEPARTING LOW WILL CEASE TUESDAY
EVENING AS SFC/850MB WINDS BACK TO THE WEST WITH THE PASSAGE OF A
SHARP MID LEVEL RIDGE. SOME LES WILL REMAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING
ACROSS EASTERN PARTS OF THE CWA...AND THROUGHOUT THE EVENING IN THE
KEWEENAW PENINSULA. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK AFTER THE RIDGE
PASSES BEFORE THE FIRST IMPULSE DIGS SOUTHEAST OUT OF SOUTH CENTRAL
CANADA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF WERE IN
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE STRENGTH OF THIS WAVE...BUT THE 12Z GFS
HAS TRENDED STRONGER. AT THE SAME TIME...THE GEM HAS NEARLY ZONAL
FLOW WEDNESDAY BEFORE DEVELOPING A WEAK SHORTWAVE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. ALL THREE MODELS DO KEEPS MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER
LAKE SUPERIOR AND THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA...SO WILL KEEP CHANCES
IN THE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ONLY A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF
LES...6 TO 12 HOURS...IS POSSIBLE FOR WNW FAVORED WIND BELTS
THURSDAY AS BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE VERY AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING
DRY AIR AND A SHARP LOW LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR THURSDAY
EVENING. EVEN MORE...RAPIDLY LOWERING INVERSION HEIGHTS TO BELOW
3KFT AND TEMPERATURES BELOW THE INVERSION GENERALLY >-12C WILL LOWER
GOOD LES CHANCES.
MORE DISAGREEMENT RESIDES WITH THE NEXT WAVE PROGGED TO PASS TO THE
NORTH OF THE CWA ON FRIDAY. THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWS AN OPEN WAVE AT
500MB OVER WESTERN ONTARIO 18Z FRIDAY...WHEREAS THE GFS HAS A CLOSED
500MB LOW OVER NORTHERN MANITOBA. THE GFS HAS BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT
WITH THIS FEATURE FOR THE LAST DAY WHILE THE ECMWF PULLED THE TROUGH
FURTHER SOUTH. ATTM...THE GFS SEEMS TO BE THE BETTER CHOICE...THOUGH
BOTH HAVE A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS CWA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. AS
THIS OCCURS...THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE TRACKING JUST AHEAD OF THE
MIDLEVEL LOW ALONG THE SOUTHWEST SHORE OF HUDSON BAY. NEAR THE CWA
THE FORCING WILL BE PURELY FRONTAL...WITH THE STRONGEST BAND OF
FRONTOGENESIS NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR BETWEEN 500 AND 700MB.
THERE IS ALSO CONCERN ABOUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WITH THIS FRONTAL
PASSAGE AS AIR AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE PULLED FROM DRY
CONTINENTAL AIR IN THE LEE OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL BE OF WARMER PACIFIC
ORIGIN...WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS DROPPING INTO THE EVENING. NW FLOW
LES WILL STILL BE A POSSIBILITY...BUT WILL BE GREATLY SUPPRESSED BY
LOW INVERSIONS AND HIGH 850/925MB TEMPERATURES. AIR OF MORE ARCTIC
ORIGIN COMES IN BEHIND A SECONDARY COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY
MORNING...THOUGH MOISTURE IS LACKING WITH THIS FRONT AS WELL. WILL
STAY GENERALLY DRY IN TERMS ON POTENTIAL FRONTAL AND LES PRECIP
EXCEPT ALONG THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA.
&&
.AVIATION /FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE/...
ALTHOUGH SOME LO CLDS/MVFR CIGS MAY LINGER AT CMX EARLY IN THIS TAF
PERIOD...EXPECT THIS LO CLD TO LIFT AWAY TO THE N SOON AFTER TAF
ISSUANCE WITH STRENGTHENING S WIND. OTRW...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL INTO TNGT. THEN STEADY S WIND WILL ADVECT ABUNDANT LLVL
MSTR/LO CLD NOW SHOWING UP WELL TO THE S INTO UPR MI LATE TNGT THRU
SUN MRNG. EXPECT DOWNSLOPING WIND COMPONENT AT IWD/CMX TO BREAK UP
THE BULK OF THIS CLD IN THOSE LOCATIONS...WITH BETTER CHC OF MVFR
CIG IMPACTING THE SAW LOCATION WITH MORE OF AN UPSLOPE WIND
COMPONENT THERE.
&&
.MARINE /FOR THE 4 PM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE/...
OPTED TO UPGRADE GALE WATCH TO A WARNING OVER THE E PART OF LK SUP
FOR LATE TONIGHT THRU SUN WITH STRENGTHENING SLY FLOW UNDER
SHARPENING PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN DEPARTING HI PRES RIDGE TO THE E
AND DEVELOPING LO IN THE PLAINS. A NNW GALE IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY
FOR MON NIGHT/TUE AS DEEPENING LO PRES TRACKING JUST TO THE E MOVES
INTO SE CANADA. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY TUE NIGHT WITH APPROACH
OF HI PRES RIDGE. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER LO PRES MAY IMPACT THE LAKE ON
THU...NO GALES APPEAR LIKELY ATTM.
&&
.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
FOR MIZ001-003-004.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT FOR MIZ005-006-011>014-085.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR MIZ007.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LSZ266-267.
LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KC
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...JLA
EXTENDED...TK
AVIATION...KC
MARINE...KCHazardous weather outlook, Jan 21, 4:19 PM EST, 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 419 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-221200- KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE- GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT- SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT- 419 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 /319 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2012/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES MAY BRING A HEAVY...WET SNOW TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN IS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN DURING THIS TIME. A SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. SEE THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR COMPLETE DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. LSZ162-240>251-263>267-221200- LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI- BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE ROYALE NATIONAL PARK- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 419 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 /319 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2012/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT EXPECT SOUTH GALES TO 35 KNOTS OVER MAINLY THE EAST HALF OF LAKE SUPERIOR LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EXPECT SOUTH GALES TO 35 KNOTS OVER MAINLY THE EAST HALF OF LAKE SUPERIOR ON SUNDAY. NORTH TO NORTHWEST GALES TO 40 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MAINLY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR. SEE THE LATEST LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST AND MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. LMZ221-248-250-221200- GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 419 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. KC
The office that day
Everything else NWS Marquette, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 4:59 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | MQT | Alger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Houghton, Keweenaw and 4 more | 23 hr |
| Jan 21, 5:16 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | MQT | 48 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.