Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 46, NWS Marquette, MI
NWS Marquette, MI issued this gale warning at Dec 15, 2012, 5:07 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 15, 2012, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2012, 5:07 AM EST (10:07 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 15, 2012, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Dec 16, 2012, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Marquette, MI
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
915 WHUS73 KMQT 151007 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 LSZ267-151815- /O.NEW.KMQT.GL.W.0046.121215T2300Z-121216T0900Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MARQUETTE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-151815- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.121215T2200Z-121216T1600Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ244>246-151815- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121217T0000Z/ EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ247>249-151815- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.121215T1200Z-121216T2100Z/ LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-151815- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.121215T1200Z-121216T2100Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-248-250-151815- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1800Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 507 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
3 follow-up statements
629 WHUS73 KMQT 151537 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 LSZ267-152345- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0046.121215T2300Z-121216T0900Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ244>246-152345- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121217T0000Z/ EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ247>249-152345- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T2100Z/ LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-152345- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T2100Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-152345- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.121215T2200Z-121216T1600Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-248-250-152345- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1800Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 1037 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
689 WHUS73 KMQT 152205 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 LSZ267-160615- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0046.121215T2300Z-121216T0900Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-248-250-160615- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1200Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ244>246-160615- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121217T0000Z/ EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 15 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ247>249-160615- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T2100Z/ LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-160615- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1600Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-160615- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T2100Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 505 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
849 WHUS73 KMQT 160333 MWWMQT URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 LSZ267-160900- /O.CON.KMQT.GL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-121216T0900Z/ LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE GALE WARNING: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ244>246-161145- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1900Z/ EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ247>249-161145- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1400Z/ LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI- 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 22 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 10 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ250-161145- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1200Z/ MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 24 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ251-161145- /O.EXT.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1400Z/ GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 8 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EST SUNDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LMZ221-248-250-161145- /O.CON.KMQT.SC.Y.0152.000000T0000Z-121216T1200Z/ GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 1033 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. * WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GUSTS UP TO 26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF UP TO 14 FEET POSSIBLE. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST SATURDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 15, 4:47 AM EST, 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 4:47 AM EST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
447 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 442 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012
00Z RAOBS/LATEST WV IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS SHOW A SPLIT FLOW ACRS
NAMERICA WITH ZONAL NRN BRANCH OVER CANADA KEEPING THE REAL COLD
ARCTIC AIR LOCKED TO THE N OF THE BORDER. IN FACT...A LOOK AT THE
00Z H85 RAOBS SHOW TEMPS AT THAT LVL ABV 0C OVER ALL OF THE CONUS
EXCEPT THE NE AND PAC NW. EARLY THIS MRNG...THE UPR GRT LKS ARE
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A FAIRLY SHARP NRN BRANCH UPR RDG OVER
ONTARIO...AND LOCAL 00Z RAOBS SHOW A SHAPR SUBSIDENCE INVRN BASE
ARND H925 UNDER MID LVL DRY AIR. THE NEAR SFC LYR IS RATHER
MOIST...SO THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF LO CLD TRAPPED UNDER THIS INVRN.
TEMPS ARE GENERALLY WELL ABV NORMAL...IN THE 25 TO 30F RANGE. TO THE
SW...STRONG NEGATIVELY TILTED DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE WSW SRN
BRANCH FLOW IS LIFTING NEWD THRU THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUPPORTED BY
130KT H3 JET MAX OVER TX. ALTHOUGH THE MID LVLS OVER THE UPR LKS ARE
DRY...HI CLD WELL IN ADVANCE OF THIS SHRTWV IS SPILLING INTO THE
AREA. THE CLOSEST PCPN IN THE FORM OF RA AT 06Z HAS MOVED INTO
IA/NRN IL IN THE SURGE OF MSTR AHEAD OF THIS SHRTWV ENHANCED BY 50KT
H85 S LLJ OVER THE SRN PLAINS.
MAIN FCST CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM ARE MANY AND REVOLVE ARND
TIMING AND TYPE OF PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH DISTURBANCE MOVING NEWD THRU
THE PLAINS. ALTHOUGH NCEP INDICATES A PREFERENCE FOR THE 00Z GFS
GIVEN PRESENT NEGATIVE TILT OF THE DISTURBANCE/STRONG JET MAX
ROTATING NEWD ON ITS ERN FLANK...FCSTS SHOWING THIS DISTURBANCE
WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NE WITH JET CORE SHEARING OUT THRU
THE GRT LKS INDICATE THE VERY CONSISTENT...FARTHER S 12Z ECMWF MIGHT
BE ON THE RIGHT TRACK. SO OPTED TO USE THE COMPROMISE 00Z NAM FOR
FCST DETAILS. OVERALL GIVEN ANTECEDENT DRY AIR ALF AND TRACK OF
STRONGER DYNAMICS TO THE SE...THIS PCPN EVENT WL NOT BE SGNFT.
TODAY...THIS MRNG SHOULD BE MAINLY PCPN FREE WITH LINGERING MID LVL
DRY AIR. THE ONLY CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME -DZ/-FZDZ OVER
MAINLY THE CENTRAL ZNS WITH UPSLOPE ESE FLOW OFF LK MI AND THE
ARRIVAL OF BIT HIER H95-9 SPECIFIC HUMIDITY. DEEPER MSTR IS PROGGED
TO ARRIVE THIS AFTN...BUT MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT SHOWING SHARPEST
H85-5 QVECTOR CNVGC PASSING TO THE SE AS DISTURBANCE WEAKENS AS IT
MOVES OUT OF THE SRN BRANCH TROF OVER THE DESERT SW. THE IMPRESSIVE
JET CORE IS ALSO FCST TO WEAKEN AND SHEAR OUT A BIT JUST S OF THE
LOWER LKS. IN FACT...MODEL QPF IS RATHER MODEST...WITH A BIT MORE
OVER THE SE CWA CLOSER TO THE SHARPER ISENTROPIC ASCENT/QVECTOR
CNVGC/UPR DVGC. TENDED TO CUT POPS FM PREVIOUS FCST A BIT ESPECIALLY
AWAY FM THE SE CWA TO REFLECT THE CONSENSUS ON THE TRACK OF BETTER
DYNAMIC SUPPORT. GIVEN THE WARMTH OF THE AIRMASS IN PLACE...SUSPECT
ANY PCPN WL AT LEAST START AS RA. BUT DRYNESS OF THE MID LVLS AND
POTENTIAL EVAP COOLING MIGHT CAUSE SOME OF THIS PCPN TO AT LEAST MIX
WITH SN...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL. BUT THE
LACK OF SGNFT DYNAMIC FORCING/OMEGA SUGS THIS PROCESS WL NOT BE AS
VIGOROUS AS MIGHT OTRW BE THE CASE. WITH THE SFC LO WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES TO THE NE...TENDED TOWARD THE LOWER SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR
TEMPS...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
TONIGHT...MAIN DISTURBANCE PASSING TO THE SE IS FCST TO SHIFT AWAY
TO THE E...SO SUSPECT PCPN OVER MUCH OF THE CWA WL DIMINISH TO JUST
A BIT OF -RA/-SN PERHAPS -DZ/-FZDZ AFTER 00Z AS GUIDANCE SHOWS
LARGER SCALE QVECTOR DVGC IN PLACE THIS EVNG. ADDED MENTION OF FOG
IN UPSLOPING AREAS OVER MAINLY THE CENTRAL IN LLVL SE FLOW WITH
LINGERING LLVL MSTR UNDER SOME UPR DRYING. BUT SHRTWV EMBEDDED IN
NRN BRANCH IS PROGGED TO BRING A RETURN OF SOME LARGER SCALE QVECTOR
CNVGC/UPR DVGC LATER OVER THE W...SO TRENDED POPS HIER THERE OVERNGT.
.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 442 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012
SUNDAY...THE MODELS ARE VERY SIMILAR WITH THE OVERALL
PATTERN...INDICATING A LINGERING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND A DOWNSTREAM BLOCKING RIDGE OVER QUEBEC.
THERE ARE MORE SUBTLE DIFFERENCES WITH THE WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING
THROUGH NRN WI AND UPPER MI THAT MAY ENHANCE ANY PCPN. WITH
RELATIVELY ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER THE AREA...THE WEAK TO
MODERATE QVECTOR CONV AND POTENTIAL FOR 800-600 MB FGEN (ESPECIALLY
OVER THE WEST PER NAM) THE FORECAST KEEPS LIKELY POPS GOING BUT FOR
LIGHT QPF...LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. AT THE SFC...A TROUGH WILL
WILL LINGER OVER UPPER MI...RESULTING IN A RELATIVELY WARM LOW LEVEL
TEMP PROFILE. USING A GFS/NAM/ECMWF COMPROMISE ON LOW LEVEL
TEMPS...EXPECT MAINLY SNOW OVER THE WEST BUT A RAIN/SNOW MIX EAST AND
MAINLY RAIN NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN.
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...THE MORE WIDESPREAD PCPN SHOULD DIMINISH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE MID LEVEL AND SFC TROUGHS LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST.
COLDER AIR WILL THEN FILTER INTO THE AREA BRINGING 850 MB TEMPS DOWN
TO NEAR -6C. THE COLD AIR COMBINED WITH MOIST CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL
FLOW MAY SUPPORT SOME LIGHT LAKE ENHANCED SNOW OVER THE NORTH. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY OVER THE WEST
WHERE THE ONSHORE FLOW WOULD BE A BIT STRONGER COMPARED TO THE EAST
WHERE ONLY LIGHT WINDS PREVAIL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LAKE INDUCED
TROUGHING.
TUE-FRI...MODELS WERE SIMILAR WITH TREND TOWARD A PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN WHICH WILL BRING A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE WRN CONUS
TUE AND INTO THE PLAINS BY WED NIGHT. MID LEVEL AND SFC RIDGING
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER WITH TEMPS NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM BY THU INTO FRI MOVING OUT OF THE PLAINS
TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. THE GFS/ECMWF BRING THE SFC LOW INTO THE SRN
LAKES WITH POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND LAKE ENHANCED SNOW OVER UPPER MI.
AS WOULD BE EXPECTED FOR A FORECAST FOR DAYS 5/6... THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE PATH AND STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012
EXPECT LOW MVFR TO IFR STRATUS DECK TO HOLD OVER TAF SITES OVERNIGHT
...ESPECIALLY WITH UPSLOPE E-SE FLOW AT KCMX AND KSAW. CONTINUED
UPSLOPE E-SE FLOW AND ONSET OF RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER EXISTING SNOW
COVER WILL LOWER CONDITIONS TO LIFR BY LATE SAT AFTERNOON INTO SAT
EVENING. VLIFR MAY EVEN BE POSSIBLE AT KCMX LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&
.MARINE...(FOR THE 4 AM LAKE SUPERIOR FORECAST ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 442 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012
AS LO PRES APPROACHES FROM THE SW...TIGHTENING GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT
AN INCREASING SE WIND INTO TONIGHT. AFTER COORDINATION WITH
ENVIRONMENT CANADA...OPTED TO ISSUE A GALE WARNING FOR THE FAR E...
WHERE THE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO BE TIGHTEST AND TERRAIN OFTEN
ACCENTUATES A SE FLOW. OVER THE W WHERE THE GRADIENT WILL BE
WEAKER...WIND SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 25 KTS.
&&
.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UPPER MICHIGAN...
NONE.
LAKE SUPERIOR...
GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
LSZ267.
LAKE MICHIGAN...
NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...JLB
AVIATION...VOSS
MARINE...KCHazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 3:41 PM EST, 13 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 341 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2012 MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-152045- KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE- GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT- SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT- 341 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2012 /241 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY LIGHT TO MODERATE WET SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR WEST HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SNOWFALL REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED THIS WEEKEND. LSZ162-240>251-263>267-152045- LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM-SAXON HARBOR WI TO BLACK RIVER MI- BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI- ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI- EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI- MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI- POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI- LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS-HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI- MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI- GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE ROYALE NATIONAL PARK- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE- LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER- 341 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2012 /241 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. LMZ221-248-250-152045- GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI- 5NM EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRPORT MI TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE- 341 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE NEED FOR WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. TITUS
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.