Alert archive / Minnesota / Winter Weather Advisories in 2012
Winter Weather Advisory 10, NWS Twin Cities, MN
NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this winter weather advisory at Dec 14, 2012, 4:37 AM CST for 17 counties in Minnesota; Polk County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Dec 15, 2012, 3:00 AM CST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 14, 2012, 4:37 AM CST (10:37 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 15, 2012, 3:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 15, 2012, 11:34 PM CST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Twin Cities, MN
Counties Benton County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pope County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Polk County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 792 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 75 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -121 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 52 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
884 WWUS43 KMPX 141037 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 437 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO GLENWOOD LINE FROM 3 AM TONIGHT TO 3 PM SATURDAY. THIS IS FOR THE POTENTIAL COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY SPREAD INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND PULL OUT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS AFTER PRECIPITATION STARTS...IT IS EXPECTED TO COME DOWN AS LIQUID. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING AS THIS OCCURS...AND ANYWHERE TEMPERATURES CAN REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...THIS PRECIPITATION WILL COME IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. TOWARD SUNRISE ON SATURDAY...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING. MNZ047-048-054>056-064-141900- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.121215T0900Z-121215T2100Z/ STEVENS-POPE-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...GRANITE FALLS 437 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AFTER 3 AM. IT WILL LIKELY FALL AS RAIN FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THIS BEING FREEZING RAIN WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. BY SATURDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW...THAT WILL TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...FOLLOWED BY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
12 follow-up statements
523 WWUS43 KMPX 141816 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1216 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO GLENWOOD LINE FROM 3 AM TONIGHT TO 3 PM SATURDAY. THIS IS FOR THE POTENTIAL COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY SPREAD INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE OUT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS AFTER PRECIPITATION STARTS...IT IS EXPECTED TO COME DOWN AS LIQUID. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING AS THIS OCCURS...AND ANYWHERE TEMPERATURES CAN REMAIN BELOW FREEZING... THIS PRECIPITATION WILL COME IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. TOWARD SUNRISE ON SATURDAY...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN AND SNOW...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THE ADVISORY WILL BE EXPANDED EAST...INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO A PORTION OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...FOR THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MNZ047-048-054>056-064-150230- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.121215T0900Z-121215T2100Z/ STEVENS-POPE-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...GRANITE FALLS 1216 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY... * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AFTER 3 AM. IT WILL LIKELY FALL AS RAIN FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS... WITH THIS BEING FREEZING RAIN WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING... PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN OR SNOW...THAT WILL TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...FOLLOWED BY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
387 WWUS43 KMPX 142042 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 242 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED EAST ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND A SMALL PART OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THE ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRANITE FALLS...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE...FROM 3 AM TONIGHT TO 3 PM SATURDAY. THIS IS FOR THE POTENTIAL COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY SPREAD INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE OUT SATURDAY EVENING. FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS AFTER PRECIPITATION STARTS...IT IS EXPECTED TO COME DOWN AS LIQUID. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING AS THIS OCCURS... AND WHERE TEMPERATURES CAN REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY... THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN AND SNOW...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ041>045-049>053-057-WIZ014-150500- /O.EXA.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.121215T0900Z-121215T2100Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE- ISANTI-CHISAGO-KANDIYOHI-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER... CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...WILLMAR...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 242 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AFTER 3 AM. IT WILL LIKELY FALL AS RAIN FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS...WITH THIS BEING FREEZING RAIN WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN OR SNOW...THAT WILL TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...FOLLOWED BY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ047-048-054>056-064-150500- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.121215T0900Z-121215T2100Z/ STEVENS-POPE-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...GRANITE FALLS 242 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY... * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AFTER 3 AM. IT WILL LIKELY FALL AS RAIN FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS... WITH THIS BEING FREEZING RAIN WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING...PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW...THAT WILL TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...FOLLOWED BY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
980 WWUS43 KMPX 150559 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1159 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRANITE FALLS...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE...FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM TODAY. THIS IS FOR THE COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING AND MOVE OUT LATE THIS EVENING. FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS AFTER PRECIPITATION STARTS...IT IS EXPECTED TO COME DOWN AS LIQUID. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING AS THIS OCCURS... AND WHERE TEMPERATURES CAN REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY... THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION OVER TO RAIN AND SNOW...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ041>045-047>057-064-WIZ014-151400- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.121215T0900Z-121215T2100Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON... MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 1159 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY... * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AFTER 3 AM. IT WILL LIKELY FALL AS RAIN FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS...WITH THIS BEING FREEZING RAIN WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING... PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN OR SNOW...THAT WILL TAPER OFF IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING...FOLLOWED BY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
495 WWUS43 KMPX 151047 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 447 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRANITE FALLS...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST WI. THIS IS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY SPREADING NORTH ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS MORNING. FORTUNATELY THOUGH...TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE ENTIRE AREA EXCEPT FOR RIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER...WHERE A FEW OF HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR LAC QUI PARLE AND WESTERN YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTIES. DEPENDING ON HOW LONG TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THERE...THEY COULD POTENTIALLY SEE UPWARDS OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IN THESE TWO COUNTIES BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. OTHERWISE...RAIN WILL BE THE DOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE THROUGH NOON TODAY...BUT AFTER NOON...A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. HOW MUCH SNOW IS SEEN WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY THIS TRANSITION OCCURS. CURRENTLY...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO MORA LINE. IF AN EARLIER TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURS...THEN 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY NORTHWEST OF A MORA TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ041>045-047>053-WIZ014-151900- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 447 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON...WITH SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY RAIN CAN CHANGE TO SNOW...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ054>057-064-151900- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO... WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS 447 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER THROUGH 9 AM. A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER NOON...WITH SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER WHILE TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW FREEZING THIS MORNING. FOR THE REST OF THE ADVISORY AREA 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
460 WWUS43 KMPX 151218 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 618 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...ICE STORM EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER TODAY... ...ACCUMULATING SNOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... .AN ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY FOR YELLOW MEDICINE AND LAC QUI PARLE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. RAIN IS MOVING INTO THESE COUNTIES...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MIDDLE 20S. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ALL DAY...WITH FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED UNTIL PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. BESIDE MAKING TRAVEL TREACHEROUS...POWER OUTAGES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...AS THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWERLINES. ONCE THE TRANSITION TO SNOW IS MADE THIS AFTERNOON...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TOP OF THE ICE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST WI. THIS IS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY SPREADING NORTH ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES THOUGH HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA. AS A RESULT...RAIN WILL BE THE DOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE THROUGH NOON TODAY...BUT AFTER NOON...A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. HOW MUCH SNOW IS SEEN WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY THIS TRANSITION OCCURS. CURRENTLY...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO MORA LINE. IF AN EARLIER TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURS...THEN 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY NORTHWEST OF A MORA TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ054-064-152030- /O.UPG.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.IS.W.0001.121215T1218Z-121216T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...GRANITE FALLS 618 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS MOST OF LAC QUI PARLE COUNTY AND LOCATIONS IN YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTY WEST OF CLARKFIELD. FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS MADE IN THE AFTERNOON. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH. * MAIN IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS THIS MORNING WILL LEAD TO TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ALONG THE WITH POSSIBILITY FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES...LEADING TO THE THREAT FOR POWER OUTAGES AS WELL. * OTHER IMPACTS...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. && $$ MNZ041>045-047>053-WIZ014-152030- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 618 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON...WITH SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY RAIN CAN CHANGE TO SNOW...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ055>057-152030- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR 618 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON...WITH SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT... 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
145 WWUS43 KMPX 151349 CCA WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 748 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...ICE STORM EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER TODAY... ...ACCUMULATING SNOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... .AN ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY FOR YELLOW MEDICINE AND LAC QUI PARLE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. RAIN IS MOVING INTO THESE COUNTIES...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MIDDLE 20S. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ALL DAY...WITH FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED UNTIL PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. BESIDE MAKING TRAVEL TREACHEROUS...POWER OUTAGES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...AS THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER-LINES. ONCE THE TRANSITION TO SNOW IS MADE THIS AFTERNOON...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TOP OF THE ICE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE. IT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST WI. THIS IS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOW BY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIPITATION IS QUICKLY SPREADING NORTH ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES THOUGH HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA. AS A RESULT...RAIN WILL BE THE DOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE THROUGH NOON TODAY...BUT AFTER NOON...A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. HOW MUCH SNOW IS SEEN WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY THIS TRANSITION OCCURS. CURRENTLY...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO MORA LINE. IF AN EARLIER TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURS...THEN 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ054-064-152215- /O.UPG.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ /O.COR.KMPX.IS.W.0001.121215T1348Z-121216T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...GRANITE FALLS 748 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS MOST OF LAC QUI PARLE COUNTY AND LOCATIONS IN YELLOW MEDICINE COUNTY WEST OF CLARKFIELD. FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS MADE IN THE AFTERNOON. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH. * MAIN IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS THIS MORNING WILL LEAD TO TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ALONG THE WITH POSSIBILITY FOR DOWNED TREES AND POWER-LINES...LEADING TO THE THREAT FOR POWER OUTAGES AS WELL. * OTHER IMPACTS...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. && $$ MNZ041>045-047>053-WIZ014-152215- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 748 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON...WITH SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY RAIN CAN CHANGE TO SNOW...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ055>057-152215- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR 748 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON...WITH SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT... 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MPG/JLT
404 WWUS43 KMPX 151638 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1038 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW IN WESTERN MINNESOTA... ...ACCUMULATING SNOW SPREADING NORTH AND EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... .THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR YELLOW MEDICINE AND LAC QUI PARLE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AS FREEZING RAIN HAS CHANGED OVER TO SNOW. THESE COUNTIES ARE NOW UNDER A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM. AS TEMPERATURES HOLD NEAR THE FREEZING MARK AND LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF WET SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MONTEVIDEO...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND UNTIL MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. THIS IS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW WITH UP TO FOUR INCHES BY THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS MINNESOTA...THERE IS A DRY POCKET ALONG THE MINNESOTA...IOWA BORDER. THIS DRY POCKET WILL ALLOW FOR THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION TO END...WITH ONLY DRIZZLE FROM THE TWIN CITIES...SOUTHWARD TO THE IOWA BORDER...THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND AROUND 35 TO 40 DEGREES ACROSS THE REST OF MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. BY THE LATE AFTERNOON...A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA...WITH A POSSIBILITY OF A CHANGE OVER ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNSET. HOW MUCH SNOW IS SEEN WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW QUICKLY THIS TRANSITION OCCURS. CURRENTLY...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO MORA LINE. IF AN EARLIER TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURS...THEN 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ054-064-160000- /O.CAN.KMPX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...GRANITE FALLS 1038 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER 1 PM. THE SNOW EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT... 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... && $$ MNZ041>045-047>053-WIZ014-160045- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 1038 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY RAIN CAN CHANGE TO SNOW...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ055>057-160000- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR 1038 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS...WITH A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT... 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ JLT
965 WWUS43 KMPX 151828 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1228 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON... ...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA THIS EVENING... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRANITE FALLS...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND UNTIL MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. THIS IS FOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES BY EVENING. PRECIPITATION CONTINUED IN THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA SINCE EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED NORTH INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA THAT WAS IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA THIS MORNING. HOWEVER..ANOTHER AREA OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WAS BEGINNING TO MOVE FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...INTO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA WILL LIKELY SPREAD EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH A CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST BY SUNSET. DUE TO TEMPERATURES HOLDING NEAR THE FREEZING MARK IN CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT AND UNDER TWO INCHES. AFTER SUNSET...EXPECT MORE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA WHERE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CURRENTLY...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF A GRANITE FALLS TO MORA LINE. IF AN EARLIER TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURS...THEN 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME PLACES. THIS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ041>045-047>053-WIZ014-160230- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE 1228 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED BY SUNSET. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY RAIN CAN CHANGE TO SNOW...6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW MAY OCCUR FOR LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF A MORRIS TO MILLE LACS LAKE LINE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ054>057-064-160000- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO... WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS 1228 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH LIGHT RAIN EARLY...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT... 2 TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ JLT
329 WWUS43 KMPX 152027 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 227 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRANITE FALLS...TO ST CLOUD AND BALSAM LAKE. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FOR WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND UNTIL MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW...WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF WET SNOW HAS ALREADY FALLEN...AND AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ047-053-WIZ014-160000- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ STEVENS-CHISAGO-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRIS...CENTER CITY...AMERY... BALSAM LAKE 227 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED BY SUNSET. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ041>045-048>052-160430- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- SHERBURNE-ISANTI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY... ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE 227 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EXPECTED BY SUNSET. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ054>057-064-160000- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO... WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS 227 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH LIGHT RAIN EARLY... WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 5 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ JRB
066 WWUS43 KMPX 160006 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 606 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MINNESOTA. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW...WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ047-053>057-064-WIZ014-160115- /O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0000Z/ STEVENS-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI- YELLOW MEDICINE-POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRIS...CENTER CITY...MADISON... BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS...AMERY... BALSAM LAKE 606 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT ONLY MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. $$ MNZ041>045-048>052-160600- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- SHERBURNE-ISANTI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY... ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE 606 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...2 TO 4 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ BORGHOFF
514 WWUS43 KMPX 160312 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 912 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...LIGHT SNOW BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF... .A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER ONE INCH. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL BELOW FREEZING...SO BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MNZ041-042-048-160415- /O.CAN.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-POPE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...GLENWOOD 912 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THE SNOW IS TAPERING OFF WITH NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. $$ MNZ043>045-049>052-160600- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA... ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE 912 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS EVENING. * MAIN IMPACT...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS UNDER ONE INCH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ BORGHOFF
223 WWUS43 KMPX 160534 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1134 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...SNOW IS ENDING... .THE LIGHT SNOW IS BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. MNZ043>045-049>052-160645- /O.CAN.KMPX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-121216T0600Z/ MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA... ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE 1134 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ BORGHOFF
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Dec 14, 4:10 AM CST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 4:10 AM CST, 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
410 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012
.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN THIS PERIOD CONTINUES TO REVOLVE AROUND SYSTEM THAT
WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...WHOSE P-TYPE
SCENARIO IS STILL VERY MUCH UP IN THE AIR. AFTER THAT...BEGINNING
TO SEE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HONE IN ON ANOTHER POTENTIAL SNOW MAKER
FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
THIS MORNING...UPPER LOW THAT WILL HEAD THIS DIRECTION FOR THE
WEEKEND IS NOW SPINNING ACROSS THE NORTH END OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA. A POWERFUL MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ROUNDED THE BASE
OF THE TROUGH OVERNIGHT...BEGINNING THE PROCESS OF THIS SYSTEM
EJECTING OUT ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES. STRIP OF CIRRUS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA IN RESPONSE TO JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES HAS HELD FOG IN CHECK ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA...THOUGH DENSE FG DID MANAGE TO TAKE HOLD ACROSS WRN WI FROM
EAU UP TOWARD OEO...WHERE CIRRUS CLEARED OUT AND WINDS REMAIN CALM
UNDER A SFC RIDGE. ACROSS CENTRAL MN...SKIES ARE CLEAR...BUT THE
COMMENCING OF ESE WINDS OVERNIGHT HAS KEPT THE FG IN CHECK /AT
OBSERVING STATIONS AT LEAST/...SO HAVE PULLED DENSE FOG ADVISORY
BACK THIS MORNING TO INCLUDE ALL BUT PEPIN/RUSK IN WI...ALONG WITH
WASHINGTON AND CHISAGO COUNTIES IN MN.
NOT MUCH IS EXPECTED IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER TODAY...AS THE
UPPER LOW OVER NW MEX HEADS FOR THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. WITH SE WINDS
STRENGTHENING DURING THE DAY...WILL SEE A RENEWED PUSH WAA...WITH
TEMPERATURES RESPONDING LIKE WISE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WRN MN...WHERE
HIGHS TODAY SHOULD BE A GOOD 10 DEGS WARMER THAN YESTERDAY.
FOR THE SYSTEM ARRIVING TONIGHT...HAVE SEEN A BIT OF A SLOWING
WITH NCEP MODELS WITH THE RESPECT TO THE ECMWF...WHICH IS A BIT
MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE LOW...ESPECIALLY COME SAT NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...THOUGH RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY REMAINS HIGH WITH THE
ECMWF. OTHER AREA OF DIFFERENCE IS WITH TEMPERATURE PROFILES.
GFS/SREF ARE CONSIDERABLY WARMER AND PRODUCE MORE RAIN THAN THE
NAM/ECMWF. FOR THIS SYSTEM...LEANED TOWARD THE ECMWF FOR
PLACEMENT OF PRECIP AND A NAM/ECMWF BLEND FOR P-TYPE.
BASED ON NAM SOUNDINGS FOR P-TYPE...THE QUESTION COMES DOWN TO
RAIN OR SNOW...WITH SFC TEMPS DETERMINING WHETHER RAIN IS FREEZING
RAIN OR NOT. PRECIP WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA IN ERNEST FROM THE
SOUTH AFTER 6Z...AS STRONG PUSH OF THETA-E ADVECTION ARRIVES.
BEFORE 12Z...H85-H7 THICKNESS FROM BOTH THE NAM AND ECMWF HIGH
ENOUGH TO INDICATE TEMPS IN THIS LAYER WARM ENOUGH TO MELT
ANYTHING THAT FALLS INTO IT...WHICH IS BACKED UP BY NAM FORECAST
SOUDINGS WHICH SHOWS AN ABOVE FREEZING WARM NOSE AT ALL MPX
LOCATIONS. AFTER 12Z THOUGH...AFTER SEVERAL HOURS OF LIFT THIS
SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MANUFACTURE ITS OWN COLD AIR IN A SENSE FROM
DYNAMIC COOLING...WITH THE H85-H7 THICKNESS FROM BOTH THE
ECMWF/NAM COLLAPSING BELOW 155 DM AS WE LOSE THAT WARM NOSE. AT
THIS POINT IT TURNS INTO A RA/SN QUESTION THAT IS DEPENDENT ON
DEPTH OF ANY NEAR SFC MELTING LAYERS. EXPECT THIS TO RESULT IN A
MAINLY RAIN SCENARIO DURING THE DAY SE OF A NEW ULM...SRN TWIN
CITIES METRO...EAU CLAIRE LINE. WILL LIKELY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL
SNOW ALONG AND NW OF A GRANITE FALL...SAUK CENTRE...BRAINERD LINE.
IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS...PRECIP WILL LIKELY JUMP BETWEEN RAIN
AND SNOW DURING THE DAY.
AS FOR ADVISORIES...GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES...WAS LEANING TOWARD
ISSUING NONE...BUT AFTER COLLABORATION...DID ISSUE ONE FOR WESTERN
MN. THAT PART OF THE CWA WILL BE THE COLDEST...WITH THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR REMAINING BELOW FREEZING THE WHOLE TIME. AT THE
MOMENT...EXPECT THE ADVISORY AREA TO SEE 2-4 HOURS OF FZRA AT
PRECIP ONSET...BEFORE THINGS TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW...WITH 2-4
INCHES OF SNOW THEN EXPECTED. ADDING AT LEAST A LITTLE CONFIDENCE
TO HAVING AN ADVY IN THOSE COUNTIES IS THAT THE CIPS ANALOG
GUIDANCE PROBABILITY FOR SEEING MORE THAN 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS
40-50% IN FAR WRN MN BASED ON A 48 HOUR NAM FORECAST. IF PRECIP
CAN CHANGE TO SNOW FAST ENOUGH TO THE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL
MN...THEN THE ADVY WOULD LIKELY NEED TO BE EXPANDED EAST...AS
HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS THERE WOULD QUICKLY TRANSLATE INTO MORE SNOW.
HPC WINTER WEATHER GUIDANCE HAS THIS SCENARIO PLAYING OUT...WITH
4-6 INCHES OF SNOW FALLING ALONG OUR COMMON BORDER WITH THE
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES IN DULUTH AND GRAND FORKS.
FOR SUNDAY...FAVORED THE ECMWF AND ITS MORE PROGRESSIVE SCENARIO
FOR CLEARING POPS OUT OF THE AREA AS A COOL AND DRY POLAR HIGH
BUILDS INTO WRN MN.
FOR NEXT WEEK...WE WILL SEE A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES PASS ACROSS
THE AREA...WITH THE ONE OF MOST SIGNIFICANCE PEGGED FOR THE
WED/THU TIMEFRAME. THE FIRST WAVE WILL COME IN THE FORM OF AN
ELONGATED WAVE MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE
SFC...SO THIS LOOKS TO BE NOTHING MORE THAN A CLOUD MAKER. THE NEXT
WAVE COMES ACROSS TUESDAY IN THE ECMWF AND GEM /GFS HAS WEAK
RIDGING THIS DAY/. THE ECWMF/GEM DO BRING A SFC TROUGH ACROSS WITH
THIS FEATURE AND DO AT LEAST HINT AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A SOME
LIGHT WAA PRECIP. THE NEXT...MOST SIGNIFICANT WAVE IS PROGGED TO
COME THRU WED NIGHT ON THE GFS...WHILE THE GEM/ECMWF HOLD IT BACK
ANOTHER 12 HOURS AND BRING IT ACROSS THURSDAY. IN EITHER
CASE...MODELS SHOW A SFC LOW GOING WELL SOUTH OF HERE...WITH AN
INVERTED TROUGH WORKING ACROSS THE MPX AREA. THIS LOOKS TO BE AN
ALL SNOW SCENARIO...WITH THE ECMWF CERTAINLY HAVING THE MOST
INTRIGUING SET UP...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY VERY
STRONG NW WINDS AND CRASHING TEMPS...HINTING AT MAYBE ANOTHER
BLIZZARD FOR WRN MN. CERTAINLY SOMETHING THAT BEARS WATCHING ONCE
WE FINISH WITH THE POTPOURRI OF PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION.../06Z TAF ISSUANCE/
FOG WILL LINGER EARLY THIS MORNING AT A FEW OF THE TAF SITES...BUT
A STEADY STREAM OF HIGH CLOUDS IS KEEPING MOST SITES FROM GETTING
TOO BAD...BESIDES KRNH...WHICH HAS BEEN DENSE FOR A FEW HOURS NOW.
A STRONGER SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL IMPROVE VIS THIS
MORNING...HOWEVER...IFR/LIFR STRATUS MAY LINGER IN WESTERN WI. THE
WALL OF WATER ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT...SO INCLUDE MVFR CEILINGS AT
MOST OF THE TAF SITES AND INCLUDED PRECIP AT KRWF AND KMSP. PRECIP
TYPE WILL VARY ACROSS THE TAF SITES.
KMSP...
HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD KEEP THE AIRPORT VFR UNTIL THE SYSTEM ARRIVES
TONIGHT. WE THINK RAIN WILL BE THE DOMINATE PRECIP TYPE GIVEN HOW
WARM WE ARE AT THE SURFACE...BUT A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW
ISN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION GIVEN WE'RE ONLY A COUPLE DEGREES AWAY
FROM EITHER OF THOSE. THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE SEEMS LESS FAVORABLE
FOR SLEET. THE CEILINGS SHOULD GO DOWN QUICK LATE THIS EVENING AND
THE RAIN WILL FOLLOW A FEW HOURS LATER.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...IFR/MVFR CONDS LIKELY IN RA/SN/ZR...E TO
NE WIND 5-10 KT.
SUN...IFR/MVFR CONDS EARLY...SLOW IMPROVEMENT DURING THE DAY. NW
WIND 5-10 KT.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SATURDAY FOR
CHIPPEWA-LAC QUI PARLE-POPE-STEVENS-SWIFT-YELLOW MEDICINE.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR CHISAGO-
WASHINGTON.
WI...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR BARRON-
CHIPPEWA-DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-POLK-ST. CROIX.
&&
99/99Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 9:21 PM CST, 7 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 921 PM CST THU DEC 13 2012 MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028- 150330- DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON- YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA- REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH- WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE- 921 PM CST THU DEC 13 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AREAS OF DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS WILL BE PRESENT OVERNIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SIGNIFICANT VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS...SLICK SPOTS ARE POSSIBLE ON ROADWAYS AND UNTREATED SURFACES DUE TO SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO APPEAR LIKELY FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM IOWA INTO WISCONSIN. PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY START OUT AS RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN...DEPENDING ON THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE FOR A PERIOD FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL INTO EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. IT WILL THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. STAY TUNED TO FUTURE OUTLOOKS FOR REFINED DETAILS ON THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 9:37 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | MPX | Anoka, Benton, Chippewa, Chisago, Douglas, Isanti and 15 more | 10 hr |
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in Minnesota, 2012Winter Weather Advisories in Wisconsin, 2012Every winter weather advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.