Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Watches in 2012

River Flood Watch 12, NWS Twin Cities, MN

June 19, 2012Todd County, Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this river flood watch at Jun 19, 2012, 12:25 PM CDT for Todd County, Minnesota. It took effect at Jun 21, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2012, 12:25 PM CDT (17:25 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 21, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 20, 2012, 1:54 PM CDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Twin Cities, MN
Flood severity
None

County Todd County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 171 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Long Prairie River at Long Prairie (LGPM5). The gauge peaked at 5.15 ft at Jun 21, 2012, 12:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate46806/1906/2006/21
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
7 ft
Moderate stage
8 ft
Major stage
10 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05245100, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

625 
WGUS63 KMPX 191725
FFAMPX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 
1225 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA...

  LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE AFFECTING TODD COUNTY 
  CROW RIVER AT ROCKFORD AFFECTING HENNEPIN AND WRIGHT COUNTIES 

.RECENT RAINFALL HAS SATURATED THE GROUND AND FILLED MOST
OF THE MARSHES ACROSS THE REGION. THUS MUCH OF THE WATER
IS DIRECTLY MOVING INTO THE RIVERS ESPECIALLY IN THE CROW 
RIVER SYSTEM. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL FELL OVERNIGHT MONDAY 
NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AMOUNTS RANGED FROM AROUND 
0.75 INCHES IN THE CROW RIVER SYSTEM TO 0.25 IN THE LONG 
PRAIRIE RIVER SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT 
AND INTO WEDNESDAY. FORECAST RAINFALL OF 1.5 INCHES 
THROUGH 7 AM ON WEDNESDAY HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN 
THESE RIVER FORECASTS. HOWEVER THE RAIN EXPECTED 
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY HAS NOT BEEN INCORPORATED 
INTO THE FORECAST.

AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES ON THE AMOUNTS AND LOCATIONS FOR 
THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS FOR WEDNESDAY...THIS RAINFALL WILL 
BE INCLUDED IN THE RIVER FORECASTS. IN ADDITION AS 
CONFIDENCE INCREASES ON THE FORECASTS AND WHETHER OR 
NOT RIVER LEVELS WILL EXCEED FLOOD STAGES....FOLLOWUP 
WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED.

MNC153-211725-
/O.NEW.KMPX.FL.A.0012.120621T1000Z-120624T0000Z/
/LGPM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1225 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR
  THE LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

MNC053-171-211725-
/O.NEW.KMPX.FL.A.0013.120622T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/RKFM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1225 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR
  THE CROW RIVER AT ROCKFORD
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 9.2 FEET.
* FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE MAY BE REACHED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$
1 follow-up statement
828 
WGUS63 KMPX 201854
FFAMPX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 
154 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2012

...THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...
 
  LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE AFFECTING TODD COUNTY

.THE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN THAT WAS EXPECTED LAST NIGHT INTO 
TODAY HAS NOT MATERIALIZE. WHILE RISES ARE STILL EXPECTED 
THE LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED
TO REACH FLOOD STATE. HENCE THE RIVER FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

MNC153-201924-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FL.A.0012.000000T0000Z-120624T0000Z/
/LGPM5.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
154 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2012

THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE
  AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
* AT  1:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET.
* BANKFULL STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood watch went out at Jun 19, 11:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 11:15 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1115 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

.UPDATED WITH MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

VERY IMPRESSIVE WARM FRONT NOT HARD TO FIND AT 11 AM EXTENDING
FROM A SFC LOW SOUTH OF CHAMBERLAIN...SD EAST INTO SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA. THE FRONT COMES INTO THE STATE JUST NORTH OF PIPESTONE
AND EXTENDS EAST THROUGH MANKATO AND OVER INTO THE LA CROSSE AREA.
NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS IN PLACE ACROSS
SE NODAK INTO NORTHERN MN AS A 40+ KT LLJ PUSHES UP INTO THE
STATE. AT H7...THE +12C ISOTHERM AND ASSOCIATED CAP IS ROUGHLY
PARALLEL TO I-94 AND IS ON ITS WAY NORTH. HRRR AND LOCAL WRF SHOW
CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN MN REMAINING IN PLACE TODAY...WHICH WILL
LIKELY INHIBIT THE NORTHERN PROGRESSION OF THE WARM FRONT. AT THE
MOMENT...CURRENT THINKING BASED ON THE RAP...HRRR...AND 12Z GEM IS
THAT BY 21Z...THE FRONT WILL BE NEAR A GRANITE FALLS...TO ST.
CLOUD...TO MORA LINE. GIVEN CONVECTION OVER NRN MN...FEEL 12Z
GFS/NAM PUSH THE FRONT TOO FAR NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR SEVERE THREAT...VERY WARM EML WILL KEEP A LID ON THINGS
THROUGH AT LEAST 21Z OVER THE MPX CWA. HOWEVER...ALL GUIDANCE
SHOWS H7 TEMPS BEGINNING TO COOL BY 00Z AND EXPECT THE CAP TO BE
ERODED ENOUGH TO GET CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY...WITH INITIATION LIKELY IN THE 22Z TO 00Z WINDOW. BY
THEN...MLCAPE ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL BE BETWEEN 3000 AND 4000
J/KG...AND STRONGLY BACKED WINDS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WILL RESULT
IN STRONG 0-1KM SHEAR OF 30 TO 40 KTS. CONDITIONAL
SIGNIFICANT TORNADO PROBABILITY NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY FOR 21Z AND
00Z ON THE RAP EXCEED 90 PERCENT. IF REALITY INSTABILITY AND SHEAR
VALUES END UP ANYWHERE NEAR WHAT THE RAP HAS...WOULD EXPECT SOME
TORNADIC ACTIVITY WITH STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL/WEST
CENTRAL MN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES...STORMS
SHOULD GROW UP-SCALE FAIRLY QUICKLY INTO A LINE...WITH BOWING
SEGMENTS ONCE AGAIN LIKELY. FLASH FLOOD WATCH STILL LOOKS LIKE A
GOOD THING TO HAVE...AS STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST
WILL REALLY SLOW THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
FULLY EXPECTED TRAINING OF CELLS TONIGHT. IN FACT...CURRENT
INDICATIONS FROM THE NAM/GEM/SREF IS THAT ACTIVITY MAY STRUGGLE TO
MAKE IT AS FAR EAST OF A FAIRMONT/TWIN CITIES/SIREN...WI
LINE...OVERNIGHT...WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FROM
SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHEAST MN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 659 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012/

TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEVERAL PARAMETERS IN PLACE LATER TODAY THAT
SUPPORT ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THREAT ONCE AGAIN.
THEREFORE...DESPITE THE ONGOING CONVECTION...DECIDED TO FOCUS MORE
ON LATER TODAY THAN THE PRESENT WEATHER. THE CONDITIONAL THREAT
THIS AFTERNOON WILL DEPEND ON WHETHER OR NOT THE CAP CAN
HOLD...AND HOW MUCH DYNAMIC DESTABILIZATION TAKES PLACE WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL WAVE. EARLY MORNING WV IMAGERY OVERLAID
WITH RAP40 500MB HEIGHTS AND WINDS SHOWED THE UPCOMING WEATHER
MAKER IN THE FORM OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DOWNSTREAM OF THIS WAVE. AT THE
SURFACE...A WARM FRONT WAS DRAPED E/W ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
DEWPOINTS NEAR 60 ACROSS THE METRO AND NEW RICHMOND WI...WHILE
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY DEWPOINTS WERE NEAR 70 WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS.
AS ONE WOULD EXPECT...THE CAPE GRADIENT WAS RIGHT ALONG THIS WARM
FRONT. AN MCS WAS ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA...WHOSE OUTFLOW
WILL LIKELY REINFORCE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD
INTO WISCONSIN WHILE BEING FUELED BY THE LOW LEVEL JET DURING THE
REST OF THE MORNING. ONCE THE THUNDERSTORMS EXIT THE
REGION...CLEAR SKIES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALLOW THE BOUNDARY
LAYER TO QUICKLY DESTABILIZE...WITH 3000J/KG OF SBCAPE EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THESE LARGE CAPE VALUES DON/T COME WITHOUT A CATCH. THE
CATCH IS THAT 700MB TEMPS +10 TO +12C BENEATH AN ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER WILL SUPPRESS CONVECTION DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.
MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
DAKOTAS INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA. AS IT DOES SO...THE WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25G35KTS.
FORECAST SOUNDING ALONG THIS WARM FRONT SHOW BOTH INCREDIBLE SPEED
AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE WIND PROFILE. STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
ELEVATED ALONG THE FRONT AND NOT REALIZE THE FAVORABLE
DYNAMICS...BUT IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO BECOME SURFACE BASED THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS...MAINLY NORTH OF I-94.
AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE ARROWHEAD OF
MN...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE MN/DAKOTA BORDER DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS FRONT...IN COMBINATION WITH
MID LEVEL COOLING FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL
WAVE...SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION. STORMS WILL
INITIALLY START OUT AS DISCRETE CELLS WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER POSSIBLE...BUT SHOULD GROW UPSCALE INTO A LINEAR COMPLEX
AND TRANSITION TO MORE OF A WIND/HAIL THREAT. STORMS MAY
EVENTUALLY BECOME ELEVATED AT THE COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTHEASTWARD...BUT COULD STILL POSE A HAIL/WIND THREAT.
FINALLY...GIVEN THE RECENT RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...NOT TO
MENTION THE ONGOING MCS...SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY HEAVY RAIN
WILL POSE A FLOOD THREAT. ESPECIALLY IN THE SENSITIVE CANNON RIVER
BASIN. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ELONGATED CDFNT BETWEEN SFC LOWS
CENTERED OVER SE MANITOBA AND WRN KANSAS WILL GAIN IMPETUS TO PUSH
E AS A TROUGH AXIS OVER THE NRN ROCKIES MOVES INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS
BY LATE MRNG WED. STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG WITH HIGHLY
CONCENTRATED LIFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO PLENTY OF RAINFALL ACRS MUCH
OF THE MPX CWFA. MAY HAVE BEEN A LITTLE CONSERVATIVE ON THE
RAINFALL FCST FOR WED BUT POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL MAY EASILY
PRODUCE AN INCH OF RAIN OR MORE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY.
SEVERE WX PROSPECTS ARE QUITE LOW SINCE THE BULK OF THE SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY WILL BE EAST OF THE FRONT...WORKING WITH LITTLE
INSOLATION BEFORE THE FROPA. RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH GREATLY WED
NIGHT AS THE FRONT EXITS TO THE W...TO BE FOLLOWED BY A DRIER NW
FLOW ALOFT AND SFC HIGH PRES EXPANDING NEWD FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THU. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WITH THE COLD FROPA...WITH HIGHS BUMPED BACK DOWN INTO THE 70S AND
LOWS INTO THE 50S.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THE HIGHLIGHT OF THE END OF THIS WEEK INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER STRONG RAIN-MAKER FRI
NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A STORM SYSTEM MEANDERING OVER THE NRN
CALIFORNIA COAST THU WILL BE NUDGED OVER THE ROCKIES THU INTO FRI
AS A LARGE LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE THE PAC NW. THIS SFC LOW
WILL BECOME ENHANCED ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE ROCKIES FRI AND SHIFT
E INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY EARLY SUN MRNG. NOT A HUGE PUNCH OF
WARMER AIR WITH THIS SYSTEM AS THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP
SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER AIR SUPPRESSED TO THE S...BUT TEMPS WILL
STILL BE NUDGED INTO LOWER 80S THROUGH THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH
DEWPOINTS RETURNING INTO THE MID- TO UPPER-60S. THE BEST CHCS FOR
PRECIP COMES FRI NIGHT INTO SAT AS THE SYSTEM EJECTS OUT OF THE
PLAINS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN DRIER HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION.../12Z TAF ISSUANCE/
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE REGION THIS MORNING...WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE STATE...AND SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20G30KT WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH
OF THE FRONT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OUT WEST AND MOVE
EASTWARD THROUGH MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN.

KMSP...A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE METRO AREA...BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING THE STORMS SHOULD
BE DONE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS
AFTERNOON...AND COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 30 KTS AT TIMES.
FINALLY...STORMS SHOULD MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATER TONIGHT...SO
TRIED TO TIME IT FROM 03-06Z.

/OUTLOOK/
WEDNESDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH TSRA POSSIBLE...WINDS BECOMING NW.
THURSDAY...VFR...WINDS NW AT 10KT
FRIDAY...VFR...WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR ANOKA-CARVER-
     CHISAGO-DAKOTA-GOODHUE-HENNEPIN-ISANTI-KANABEC-LE SUEUR-
     MCLEOD-RAMSEY-RICE-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-SIBLEY-WASHINGTON-WRIGHT.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR BENTON-
     CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-POPE-RENVILLE-
     STEARNS-SWIFT-TODD.

WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR PIERCE-POLK-
     ST. CROIX.

&&

MPG/JPC/JRB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 10:04 AM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1004 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
201515-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
1004 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA... AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF A WARM FRONT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY
AFTER 4 PM ACROSS CENTRAL INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL COME WITH THE RISK OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS...AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES. GOING INTO THIS
EVENING...THE STORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO FORM INTO A LINE THAT
WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS MINNESOTA TONIGHT...BRINGING A THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL INTO EAST CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA. LATE TONIGHT...THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...WHEN THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH. IN ADDITION...SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES EXCEEDING
2 INCHES PER HOUR...WHICH MAY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS FROM NOT
ONLY RAINFALL RECEIVED THIS MORNING BUT ALSO RAINFALL RECEIVED
OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN
WISCONSIN.

FINALLY...DANGEROUSLY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE UP INTO THE AREA SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT TODAY FOR MOST OF
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 90S WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH LEVELS OF MOISTURE TO CREATE
DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES BY THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE FIRST HALF OF WEDNESDAY AS
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS OUT OF SOUTH DAKOTA AND
ACROSS MINNESOTA...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. THERE
IS A VERY SMALL RISK THAT A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THESE STORMS ALSO HAVE
THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAIN AND AREAS OF FLOODING.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING AS ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 9:10 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
910 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WOODBURY                44.91N 92.92W
06/19/2012                   WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

            1 FT DIAMETER TREE DOWNED NEAR INTERSECTION OF BAILEY
            ROAD AND RADIO DRIVE. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MKM
Local storm report, Jun 19, 9:19 AM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
919 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BELLE PLAINE            44.62N 93.76W
06/19/2012                   SCOTT              MN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            50 TO 60 TREES DOWN. POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

MKM
Local storm report, Jun 19, 9:41 AM CDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
941 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 AM     HAIL             LAKE ELMO               45.00N 92.91W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

            REPORTED NEAR INTERSECTION OF LAKE ELMO AVE AND HWY 5.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

0630 AM     HAIL             STILLWATER              45.06N 92.82W
06/19/2012  M1.50 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR
            INTERSECTION OF ORLEANS AND HARRIET.

&&

MKM
Local storm report, Jun 19, 9:43 AM CDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
943 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ST PAUL                 44.95N 93.10W
06/19/2012                   RAMSEY             MN   PUBLIC

            2 FT DIAMETER TREE DOWNED IN SOUTHEAST ST. PAUL NEAR
            MAPLEWOOD BORDER. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MKM
Local storm report, Jun 19, 11:37 AM CDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1137 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 AM     HAIL             LE SUEUR                44.46N 93.91W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       LE SUEUR           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AJZ
Local storm report, Jun 19, 11:47 AM CDT, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1147 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 AM     TSTM WND GST     HUTCHINSON              44.89N 94.37W
06/19/2012  M53.00 MPH       MCLEOD             MN   AWOS

            MEASURED AT HUTCHINSON AIRPORT

0240 AM     HAIL             REDWOOD FALLS           44.54N 95.11W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       REDWOOD            MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DIME SIZED HAIL

0243 AM     TSTM WND GST     REDWOOD FALLS           44.54N 95.11W
06/19/2012  M45.00 MPH       REDWOOD            MN   ASOS

            MEASURED AT REDWOOD FALLS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT

0255 AM     HAIL             MORGAN                  44.42N 94.92W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       REDWOOD            MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DIME SIZED HAIL

0255 AM     HAIL             10 SE REDWOOD FALLS     44.44N 94.97W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       REDWOOD            MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL NEAR GILFILLAN

0300 AM     HAIL             PLYMOUTH                45.02N 93.46W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            DIME SIZED HAIL

0301 AM     TSTM WND GST     CRYSTAL                 45.04N 93.36W
06/19/2012  M46.00 MPH       HENNEPIN           MN   ASOS

            MEASURED AT MINNEAPOLIS CRYSTAL AIRPORT

0302 AM     TSTM WND GST     EDEN PRAIRIE            44.85N 93.46W
06/19/2012  M53.00 MPH       HENNEPIN           MN   ASOS

            MEASURED AT FLYING CLOUD AIRPORT.

0303 AM     HAIL             FAIRFAX                 44.53N 94.72W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       RENVILLE           MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DIME SIZED HAIL

0313 AM     TSTM WND GST     NEW ULM                 44.31N 94.46W
06/19/2012  M49.00 MPH       BROWN              MN   AWOS

            REPORTED AT NEW ULM MUNICIPAL AIRPORT

0314 AM     TSTM WND GST     MINNEAPOLIS             44.96N 93.27W
06/19/2012  M44.00 MPH       HENNEPIN           MN   ASOS

            MEASURED AT MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

0321 AM     HAIL             WINTHROP                44.54N 94.36W
06/19/2012  M0.88 INCH       SIBLEY             MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY POLICE DEPARTMENT

0330 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNW NEW GERMANY       44.91N 93.99W
06/19/2012  M56.00 MPH       CARVER             MN   MESONET

            MEASURED BY MNDOT SENSOR ON BWY 7 AT MILE POST 161.

0330 AM     HAIL             GAYLORD                 44.55N 94.22W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       SIBLEY             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ENOUGH HAIL TO MAKE THE GROUND WHITE

0335 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LESTER PRAIRIE          44.88N 94.04W
06/19/2012                   MCLEOD             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE ON HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0345 AM     HAIL             LE CENTER               44.39N 93.73W
06/19/2012  E0.75 INCH       LE SUEUR           MN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL AND WINDS APPROXIMATELY 30 MPH.

0348 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW COLOGNE            44.73N 93.85W
06/19/2012                   CARVER             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SIX TO EIGHT INCH TREE LIMBS SEVERED. TELEPHONE POLE
            LEANING AGAINST TREE.

0352 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 ENE HENDERSON         44.55N 93.83W
06/19/2012  M66.00 MPH       SCOTT              MN   MESONET

            MNDOT ROAD SENSOR

0355 AM     HAIL             BELLE PLAINE            44.62N 93.76W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       SCOTT              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0355 AM     TSTM WND GST     BELLE PLAINE            44.62N 93.76W
06/19/2012  M83.00 MPH       SCOTT              MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0355 AM     HAIL             LE SUEUR                44.46N 93.91W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       LE SUEUR           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0355 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BELLE PLAINE            44.62N 93.76W
06/19/2012                   SCOTT              MN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            50 TO 60 TREES DOWN. POWER LINES DOWN.

0359 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 N NEW PRAGUE          44.56N 93.57W
06/19/2012  M80.00 MPH       SCOTT              MN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MEASURED BY SPOTTER AT CO RD 2 AND 21. REPORTED BY
            EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0400 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 E SAVAGE              44.76N 93.34W
06/19/2012  M63.00 MPH       SCOTT              MN   MESONET

            APRSWXNET SENSOR. TIME ESTIMATED.

0400 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PRIOR LAKE              44.73N 93.43W
06/19/2012                   SCOTT              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWNED. TIME CORRECTED.

0400 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SAVAGE                  44.76N 93.36W
06/19/2012                   SCOTT              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 13 AND 150TH
            ST.

0403 AM     TSTM WND GST     PRIOR LAKE              44.73N 93.43W
06/19/2012  M60.00 MPH       SCOTT              MN   NWS EMPLOYEE

0404 AM     TSTM WND GST     EDEN PRAIRIE            44.85N 93.46W
06/19/2012  M54.00 MPH       HENNEPIN           MN   ASOS

            MEASURED AT FLYING CLOUD AIRPORT

0405 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BLOOMINGTON             44.83N 93.32W
06/19/2012                   HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON KNOX BETWEEN 82ND AND AMERICAN BLVD. TIN
            SHED BLOWN TO NEXT YARD NEAR 100 ST. TIME ESTIMATED.

0405 AM     TSTM WND DMG     N BURNSVILLE            44.76N 93.28W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON BURSVILLE PARKWAY AT HWY 35W. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

0410 AM     HAIL             LAKEVILLE               44.68N 93.24W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       DAKOTA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LAKEVILLE               44.68N 93.24W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            10 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWNED

0410 AM     TSTM WND DMG     APPLE VALLEY            44.75N 93.20W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            14 POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN OR SNAPPED IN HALF ALONG
            PILOT KNOB ROAD BETWEEN COUNTY RD 42 AND COUNTY ROAD
            46...CLOSING ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.

0411 AM     TSTM WND GST     LAKEVILLE               44.68N 93.24W
06/19/2012  M54.00 MPH       DAKOTA             MN   AWOS

            REPORTED AT LAKEVILLE AIRPORT

0414 AM     TSTM WND GST     FARIBAULT               44.30N 93.27W
06/19/2012  M55.00 MPH       RICE               MN   AWOS

            MEASURED AT FARIBAULT MUNICIPAL AIRPORT

0415 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSW ROSEMOUNT         44.72N 93.09W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            30 FT TREE DOWN. WOOD FENCE BLOWN OVER. NEAR INTERSECTION
            OF SHANNON PARKWAY AND HWY 46. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0419 AM     TSTM WND GST     MINNEAPOLIS             44.96N 93.27W
06/19/2012  M54.00 MPH       HENNEPIN           MN   ASOS

            MEASURED AT MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

0421 AM     HAIL             3 SSW DUNDAS            44.39N 93.23W
06/19/2012  M1.25 INCH       RICE               MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            LEAVES SHREDDED. LASTED FOR 7 MINUTES.

0423 AM     TSTM WND DMG     EAGAN                   44.82N 93.16W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            30 FT TALL PINE TREE UPROOTED. BRANCHES BROKEN OFF OTHER
            TREES.

0425 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SOUTH ST PAUL           44.89N 93.04W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS SNAPPED IN HALF. SMALL TREES DOWN. TIME
            ESTIMATED. MEDIA ALSO REPORTING UTILITY POLES DOWN IN
            SOUTH ST PAUL NEAR INTERSTATE 494.

0425 AM     HAIL             DUNDAS                  44.43N 93.20W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       RICE               MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0425 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE SOUTH ST PAUL     44.87N 93.03W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREES DOWN. ROAD TO NEIGHBORHOOD BLOCKED NEAR
            INTERSECTION OF HWY 494 AND CO RD 56. TIME ESTIMATED.

0429 AM     TSTM WND GST     ST PAUL                 44.95N 93.10W
06/19/2012  M64.00 MPH       RAMSEY             MN   ASOS

            REPORTED AT ST PAUL DOWNTOWN AIRPORT

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HASTINGS                44.73N 92.85W
06/19/2012                   DAKOTA             MN   PUBLIC

            18 INCH DIAMETER TREE UPROOTED.

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ST PAUL                 44.95N 93.10W
06/19/2012                   RAMSEY             MN   PUBLIC

            2 FT DIAMETER TREE DOWNED IN SOUTHEAST ST. PAUL NEAR
            MAPLEWOOD BORDER. TIME ESTIMATED.

0433 AM     TSTM WND GST     STANTON                 44.47N 93.02W
06/19/2012  M63.00 MPH       GOODHUE            MN   AWOS

            REPORTED AT STANTON AIRFIELD

0435 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WOODBURY                44.91N 92.92W
06/19/2012                   WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

            1 FT DIAMETER TREE DOWNED NEAR INTERSECTION OF BAILEY
            ROAD AND RADIO DRIVE. TIME ESTIMATED.

0438 AM     HAIL             PRESCOTT                44.75N 92.79W
06/19/2012  M1.25 INCH       PIERCE             WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0454 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 NE RED WING           44.60N 92.57W
06/19/2012  M54.00 MPH       PIERCE             WI   AWOS

            MEASURED AT RED WING AIRPORT.

0535 AM     TSTM WND GST     MENOMONIE               44.89N 91.91W
06/19/2012  E49.00 MPH       DUNN               WI   AWOS

            MEASURED AT MENOMONIE AIRPORT

0540 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE ELK MOUND          44.85N 91.66W
06/19/2012                   DUNN               WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SMALL TREE DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

0546 AM     HAIL             2 N LAUDERDALE          45.03N 93.21W
06/19/2012  M0.75 INCH       RAMSEY             MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZED HAIL. TIME WAS ESTIMATED.

0549 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 N EAU CLAIRE          44.87N 91.49W
06/19/2012  M54.00 MPH       CHIPPEWA           WI   ASOS

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     EAU CLAIRE              44.82N 91.49W
06/19/2012                   EAU CLAIRE         WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWERLINES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

0555 AM     HAIL             VADNAIS HEIGHTS         45.06N 93.07W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       RAMSEY             MN   PUBLIC

0620 AM     HAIL             LAKE ELMO               45.00N 92.91W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

            REPORTED NEAR INTERSECTION OF LAKE ELMO AVE AND HWY 5.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

0622 AM     HAIL             2 SW STILLWATER         45.04N 92.85W
06/19/2012  M1.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

0630 AM     HAIL             STILLWATER              45.06N 92.82W
06/19/2012  M1.50 INCH       WASHINGTON         MN   PUBLIC

            QUARTER TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR
            INTERSECTION OF ORLEANS AND HARRIET.

&&

AJZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 11:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXLac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine43 min
Jun 19, 1:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXKandiyohi49 min
Jun 19, 2:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRedwood60 min
Jun 19, 2:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXChippewa38 min
Jun 19, 2:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRedwood, Renville, Yellow Medicine40 min
Jun 19, 2:43 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXHennepin, Ramsey, Washington62 min
Jun 19, 2:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Nicollet, Redwood, Renville, Sibley46 min
Jun 19, 3:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Le Sueur, McLeod, Nicollet, Rice, Scott and 1 more41 min
Jun 19, 3:30 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXCarver, Dakota, Goodhue, Le Sueur, Rice, Scott45 min
Jun 19, 3:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott, Wright40 min
Jun 19, 3:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Le Sueur, Rice, Scott50 min
Jun 19, 4:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Ramsey, Washington64 min
Jun 19, 4:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue52 min
Jun 19, 5:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXRamsey, Washington37 min
Jun 19, 6:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Ramsey, Washington34 min
Jun 19, 11:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMPXWright9 days
Jun 19, 12:25 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchMPXHennepin, Wright10 hr
Jun 19, 6:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMPXDouglas46 min

Nearby

River Flood Watches in Minnesota, 2012Every river flood watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.