Special Marine Warning 10, NWS Mobile, AL

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-191800-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1200 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL
ALABAMA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS FORECAST TRACK OF THE LOW
CENTER CONTINUES TO RESULT IN A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE
REGION.

LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW A WARM FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...RESULTING IN MORE INSTABILITY
MOVING NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN ZONES. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
GENERALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG AND SOUTH OF A CHATOM
TO ANDALUSIA LINE AS A SERIES OF SQUALL LINES MOVE EASTWARD OUT OF
LOUISIANA AND ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITHIN
THE LINE OF STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THIS STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
TOTALS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN THE INTERSTATE 10 AND HIGHWAY 84
CORRIDORS. GIVEN THE HEAVY RAIN EXPERIENCED WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THIS
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS. FLOOD WATCHES
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST. A WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS ON THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER PATTERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST WHICH WILL SEE
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BECOME
NECESSARY THIS EVENING.

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-191800-
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1200 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND TRACKS
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MARINE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY IN THE WAKE
OF THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
116 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     HAIL             1 W PERKINSTON          30.78N 89.15W
02/18/2012  E1.75 INCH       STONE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WILLIAMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
224 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N WIGGINS             30.87N 89.14W
02/18/2012                   STONE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES BLOWN OVER IN HIGH THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
227 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WHITES CROSSING         30.85N 89.04W
02/18/2012                   STONE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN FROM
            THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
247 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

ALZ061>064-182130-
UPPER BALDWIN AL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-
247 PM CST SAT FEB 18 2012

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN BALDWIN
AND NORTHERN MOBILE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 330 PM
CST...

AT 246 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES
NORTH OF CREOLA TO 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF SATSUMA TO 11 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TILLMANS CORNER...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOVICO...             TANNER WILLIAMS...    SEMMES...
  SATSUMA...            SARALAND...           PRICHARD...
  MOUNT VERNON...       I65 AND US 45...      I65 AND US 43...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 18 AND 41.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 47.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

&&

JP/MB

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