Fire Weather Watch 2, NWS Melbourne, FL

589 
WWUS82 KMLB 020910
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
410 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

...MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR BEHIND A WINTER SEASON COLD FRONT...

FLZ041-044>046-053-141-144-031030-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0001.120102T1700Z-120102T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0001.120102T1800Z-120103T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0002.120103T1600Z-120104T0000Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-
410 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA... INLAND VOLUSIA... NORTHERN LAKE... ORANGE... 
  SEMINOLE... OSCEOLA... COASTAL VOLUSIA... SOUTHERN LAKE. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH AND WILL 
  BE GUSTY AT TIMES.

* HUMIDITY...VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT 
  DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS...LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS.

&&

$$

FLZ047-054-058-059-064-147-031030-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0002.120103T1600Z-120104T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
410 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA... SOUTHERN BREVARD... INDIAN RIVER... 
  OKEECHOBEE... ST. LUCIE... MARTIN... NORTHERN BREVARD. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES.

* HUMIDITY...VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT 
  DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS...LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS.

&&

$$

SEDLOCK

326 
WWUS82 KMLB 021926
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
226 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

...MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR BEHIND A WINTER SEASON COLD FRONT...

FLZ041-044>046-053-141-144-030000-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0002.120103T1600Z-120104T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0002.120103T1500Z-120104T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120103T0000Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-
226 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA... INLAND VOLUSIA... NORTHERN LAKE... ORANGE... 
  SEMINOLE... OSCEOLA... COASTAL VOLUSIA... SOUTHERN LAKE. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH AND WILL 
  BE GUSTY AT TIMES. 

* HUMIDITY...VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT 
  DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

FLZ047-054-058-059-064-147-030000-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0002.120103T1600Z-120104T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0002.120103T1500Z-120104T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
226 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA... SOUTHERN BREVARD... INDIAN RIVER... 
  OKEECHOBEE... ST. LUCIE... MARTIN... NORTHERN BREVARD. 

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTY AT TIMES.

* HUMIDITY...VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT 
  DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

67

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
237 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...
...TURNING MUCH COLDER MONDAY NIGHT...
...REMAINING CHILLY TUESDAY WITH A WIDESPREAD FREEZE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

CURRENT...SURFACE RIDGE BEING PUSHED TO THE SOUTHEAST AS A COLD
FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. DIURNAL CU FORMING AND BEING PUSHED TOWARD THE
ATLANTIC BY THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ALONG THE
COAST AND BEING PUSHED IN THE ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE SAINT
LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE AREA THEN MOSTLY CLEAR NORTH OF
THESE THREE COUNTIES. TEMPS IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

REST OF NEW YEARS DAY LOOKS TO BE QUITE NICE.

TONIGHT-MONDAY...THE DRY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
NORTH LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES AROUND MIDNIGHT. REGIONAL
RADAR MOSAIC LOOP SHOWING VERY LITTLE PRECIP WITH THE FRONT AS IT
MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR MLB/S
SOUTHERN COUNTIES EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING A MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR MASS
INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA. WITH UPSTREAM DEW POINTS BEHIND THE FRONT IN
THE MID 30S RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD START FALLING DURING
THE AFTERNOON. DO NOT EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL HAVE JUST STARTED. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT
IN THE LOW AND MIDDLE 60S EXCEPT FOR THE UPPER 60S IN MARTIN
COUNTY WHERE THE NORTHWEST WIND WILL HAVE NOT YET ADVECTED THE
COLD AIR INTO.

MON NIGHT...STRONG COLD ADVECTION OF ARCTIC AIRMASS COMMENCES.
EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS WITH CLEAR SKIES TO PLUMMET INTO THE 30S
EVERYWHERE...EXCEPT IMMEDIATE TREASURE COAST/BARRIER ISLANDS WHERE
THEY WILL BE LUCKY TO STAY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS WITH A WELL MIXED LL MON OVERNIGHT/TUE MORNING SHOULD KEEP
FROST FROM FORMING...THOUGH LOWEST WIND CHILL READINGS FOR AFTER
MIDNIGHT LIKELY WILL BE REALIZED IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S (LOWER
30S TREASURE COAST) IN MANY PLACES. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED AREA WIDE.

TUE-SAT...HIGHS ON TUE WILL ONLY RECOVER INTO THE 50S WITH MARTIN COUNTY
POSSIBLY REACHING THE 60 DEGREE MARK. MAINLY 60S FOR HIGHS EXPECTED
WED-THU WITH POSSIBLE MAXIMUM READINGS NEAR 70 DEGREES TO LOWER 70S
RETURNING FOR FRI/SAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER EASTERN CONUS WITH DRY COLD AIR MOVING
SOUTH INTO THE STATE THROUGH MID WEEK. WE CAN EXPECT THE COLDEST
STRETCH OF TEMPERATURES THIS WINTER THUS FAR TO CONTINUE TUE/WED
NIGHTS. TUE NIGHT WILL SEE WIDESPREAD FREEZE WITH COOP MOS NUMBERS
POINTING TO MID TO UPPER 20S OVER RURAL LOCATIONS ALONG WITH
FROST. COLDER READINGS WILL FOCUS INLAND ON WED NIGHT AND WL
PROBABLY SEE SOME FREEZING READINGS IN THE TRADITIONALLY COLDER
SPOTS. THE EXTENDED PERIOD REMAINS DRY FROM PRECIP MENTION WITH A
WARMING TREND LATE WEEK.

TKS FOR COORD JAX...TBW...MIA

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KNOTS UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE
TONIGHT/MON. MVFR FOG KFPR TO KOBE TO KSUA MIDNIGHT TO AROUND
SUNRISE OR FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT.
INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY BUILD
SEAS TO 6 TO 9 FEET OFFSHORE AND IN THE GULF STREAM AND 4 TO 6 FEET
IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

TUE-THU...NORTHWEST SURGE OF WINDS BEHIND COLD FRONT WILL DRIVE
WINDS 20-25 KT MON MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH WITH THIS TREND
SPREADING SOUTHWARD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. GALE FORCE
EXPECTED OVER THE OUTER WATERS LATE MON INTO TUE WITH THE SECONDARY
WIND SURGE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DECREASE BY LATE TUE
WITH THIS TREND CONTINUING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED. SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TUE NIGHT-THU.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MON...DEW POINTS FALL SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT. MIN RH/S IN THE
UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S FROM COASTAL VOLUSIA TO LAKE SOUTH TO
OSCEOLA COUNTY. ALTHOUGH DURATION OF LOW RH/S MAY BE LIMITED WINDS
MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO HAVE INSTANTANEOUS RED FLAG CONDITIONS
MONDAY AFTERNOON. A WATCH IS IN PLACE FOR TUE AS WELL FOR VERY LOW
RH'S IN THE TEENS AND 20S FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  53  63  34  50 /  10  10   0   0
MCO  55  64  36  51 /  10  10   0   0
MLB  57  67  35  51 /  10  10   0   0
VRB  56  68  37  54 /  10  10   0   0
LEE  54  62  33  48 /  10  10   0   0
SFB  55  64  35  51 /  10  10   0   0
ORL  56  63  38  50 /  10  10   0   0
FPR  55  69  40  54 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
     NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
     SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND
     VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY
     LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY
     LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     GALE WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60
     NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20
     NM.

&&

SHORT TERM...WIMMER
LONG TERM....PENDERGRAST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
443 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-020000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
AREAS OF LATE NIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ONCE AGAIN
ACROSS OKEECHOBEE SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES. THE FOG COULD
BECOME LOCALLY DENSE IN SOME AREAS...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO A
FEW HUNDRED YARDS OR LESS AT TIMES. DRIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
SUDDEN VISIBILITY DROPS DUE TO FOG TONIGHT. SLOW DOWN...AND ALWAYS
USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS WHEN DRIVING IN FOG.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. A SURGE OF STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY A SECOND SURGE ON TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BRING WITH IT THE
COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON THUS FAR WITH WIDESPREAD LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS...AND
WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS THE MID TO UPPER 20S. LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR
FREEZING ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD TEMPERATURES AND LOW WIND CHILLS...THE AIR
MASS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE VERY DRY AS WELL AND THE COMBINATION
OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FINALLY...THE STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL ALSO BRING
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC FROM EARLY
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

CRISTALDI