Small Craft Advisory 56, NWS Milwaukee, WI

752 
WHUS73 KMKX 071448
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
948 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...INCREASING WINDS THIS MORNING...

.WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST BEHIND A SURFACE FRONT SAGGING
SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. THE
COMBINATION OF A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND COOLER AIR
MOVING ACROSS THE WARM LAKE MICHIGAN WATERS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS.

THE GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS BUILDING TO 3 TO
5 FEET. BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
AS WAVES SLOWLY SUBSIDE.

LMZ643-644-072300-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.120707T1500Z-120708T1200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
948 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ645-646-072300-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.120707T1800Z-120708T1200Z/
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
948 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH
  FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

205 
WHUS73 KMKX 071702
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS...

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES IN THE WAKE OF A
COLD FRONT. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS BUILDING
TO 3 TO 5 FEET. BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY... AS WAVES SLOWLY SUBSIDE.

LMZ645-646-080115-
/O.EXT.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.120707T1702Z-120708T1200Z/
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO
  25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ643-644-080115-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-120708T1200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

375 
WHUS73 KMKX 072025
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
325 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS...

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES IN THE WAKE OF A
COLD FRONT. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 5
FEET. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLACKEN FOR SUNDAY BUT REMAIN FROM THE
NORTHEAST. 

LMZ643-072130-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-120708T1200Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
325 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

NORTHEAST HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW CRITERIA...THUS THE ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED EARLY. 

$$

LMZ644>646-080430-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-120708T1200Z/
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
325 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 
  25 KNOTS. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

524 
WHUS73 KMKX 080245
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
945 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TONIGHT...

.BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED INTO ILLINOIS. THE WINDS AND
WAVES WILL SUBSIDE SOME FOR SUNDAY.

LMZ644>646-081045-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-120708T1200Z/
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
945 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 
  25 KNOTS. 

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX
GEHRING

807 
WHUS73 KMKX 080821
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
321 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...WINDS AND WAVES CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING...

.NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH BELOW
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS EARLY THIS MORNING AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT FURTHER WEAKENS OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. 

LMZ644-080930-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-120708T1200Z/
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
321 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS.

$$

LMZ645-646-081200-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-120708T1200Z/
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
321 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
  25 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

KAVINSKY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
325 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH

NO CHANGES PLANNED TO EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING /EH.W/ HEADLINES FOR
TODAY.  SURFACE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS REST OF
SOUTHERN WI THRU MID-MRNG...SWITCHING WINDS TO THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST.  COOLER...LESS HUMID AIR GRADUALLY SETTLES IN BEHIND THE
FRONT...BUT WL TAKE ITS TIME ADVANCING INTO THE SOUTHWEST CWA.
SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS IN THE SOUTHWEST TO
REACH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S MOST AREAS BY LATE MRNG...WHILE INCREASING
CLOUDS...THE COOLER AIR AND STRONGER ONSHORE FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN
RESULT IN IN COOLER CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE.  HENCE WL LET EH.W EXPIRE
ACROSS THE NORTH AT 12Z AND IN THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE LATE AFTN.
THIS AREA MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED EARLIER THIS AFTN.  925H TEMPS
REMAIN IN THE UPPER 20S IN THE SOUTHWEST THIS MRNG BEFORE SLIDING
BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S.

WEAK LAYER Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE AXIS SLIDES THROUGH SRN WI FROM LATE
MRNG INTO THE EARLY EVENING...WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL RH.  THIS
TEAMS UP WITH SOME 850-700MB FN VECTOR RESPONSE TO FULL WIND
FRONTOGENESIS TO ADD SOME ENHANCED SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT.  THIS MAY BE
ENOUGH LIFT TO BREAK THROUGH THE ELEVATED CAP AND PRODUCE ISOLD TO
SCT CONVECTION FROM LATE MRNG INTO THE EARLY EVE.  BEST CHANCES WILL
BE IN THE NORTH...CLOSER TO RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER LEVEL
JET.  SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING SLIDES SOUTH OVERNIGHT...SO WL CONFINE
SMALL CONVECTION THREAT IN SOUTH TO EVENING.

.SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND NORTHWEST FLOW TO BRING A NEEDED BREAK TO
THE HEAT FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE 80S AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN...WITH ONSHORE WINDS LIKELY
HOLDING HIGHS IN THE 70S NEAR THE LAKE MOST DAYS. THOUGH MUCH NICER
TEMPS EXPECTED...NOT A GREAT SETUP FOR RAIN CHANCES. MODELS NOT
SHOWING A CONSISTENT SUBSTANTIAL WAVE IN THE FLOW...SO KEPT DRY
FORECAST GOING.

UPPER RIDGING TO EVENTUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST BY LATE IN THE
WEEK...WITH TEMPS WARMING UP A BIT...POSSIBLY BACK TOWARD THE 90S BY
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...WL NEED TO WATCH FOR ISOLD TO SCT CONVECTION
LATER THIS MRNG AND AFTN AS MID LEVEL FORCING SLIDES SOUTHWARD
ACROSS SRN WI.  BRIEF MVFR CIGS AND GUSTY WINDS WL ACCOMPANY ANY
CONVECTION. CONVECTION THREAT ENDS OVERNIGHT AND SHIFTS SWD.
SEVERAL HOURS OF MVFR CIGS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTN AND EVE DUE TO
LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION...BUT TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
POINT TO PUT INTO TAFS.

&&

.MARINE...FAVORING SHORT TERM NAM GUIDANCE WITH STRONGER LOW LEVEL
WINDS.  NORTHERN LAKE MI BUOY GUSTING OVER 20KTS SINCE 04Z.  LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION EXPECTED TO SAG SOUTHWARD OVER SOUTHERN
LAKE MI THIS MRNG AND EARLY AFTN...CREATING STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES.  LATEST MODIS IMAGERY FROM 03Z/07 HAD MID-LAKE TEMPS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S OVER SRN LAKE MI AND AROUND 70 FARTHER NORTH.  WITH
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT...EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO REACH 25KTS AT
TIMES BEGINNING LATER THIS MRNG.  HENCE WL BE ISSUING SMALL CRAFT
ADVY WITH STAGGERED START TIMES...BEGINNING MID-MRNG IN THE NORTH
AND LATE MRNG/EARLY AFTN IN THE SOUTH.  BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS WL
CONTINUE ON SUN...BUT THINKING WINDS AND WAVES WL HOLD BELOW ADVY
LEVELS FOR NOW. BETTER CHANCE FOR ISOLD TO SCT CONVECTION LATER THIS
MRNG AND AFTN.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR WIZ062-
     063-067>069.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR WIZ046-
     047-051-052-056>060-066.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 2 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR WIZ064-
     065-070>072.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY
     FOR LMZ645-646.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM CDT SUNDAY
     FOR LMZ643-644.

&&

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...MBK
SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DDV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
621 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-072045-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
621 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING WITH
HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 75 OR HIGHER OVERNIGHT. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH ALL OF TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY...RESULTING IN A
SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH THE FRONT WILL BRING COOLING TO NORTHERN AND EASTERN
SECTIONS...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LONE ROCK...MADISON TO
MENOMONEE FALLS LINE. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
FOR THESE AREAS INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

LMZ643>646-072045-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
621 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN SATURDAY...BRINGING
SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

PERSISTENT NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL CREATE HIGHER
WAVES SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND MAY REQUIRE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

REM/GEHRING
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX