Gale Warning 12, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

012 
WHUS72 KMHX 212310
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
610 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...GUSTY NORTH WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY PRODUCING NORTHERLY
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND SEAS TO 13 FEET.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY BUT ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 6 FEET OVER THE
OUTER WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A COLD IS FORECAST TO CROSS
THE WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT PRODUCING NORTHERLY WINDS TO 25 KNOTS
SATURDAY.

AMZ152-154-220915-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121122T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.GL.W.0012.121122T1200Z-121123T0000Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
610 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 35 KT 
  THURSDAY.

* SEAS...8 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ150-220915-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121125T1600Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
610 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ156-158-220915-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121124T1300Z/
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
610 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ135-220915-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121123T0600Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
610 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ130-220915-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0085.121122T0000Z-121123T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-
610 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

477 
WHUS72 KMHX 220848
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
348 AM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GUSTY NORTH WINDS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TODAY AND
AGAIN ON SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TODAY PRODUCING NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35
KNOTS AND SEAS TO 13 FEET.

WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY.
SEAS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 6 FEET OVER THE OUTER WATERS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE
WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT PRODUCING NORTHERLY WINDS TO 25 KNOTS
SATURDAY.

AMZ152-154-222100-
/O.CON.KMHX.GL.W.0012.121122T1200Z-121123T0000Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
348 AM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TODAY.

* SEAS...7 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ156-158-222100-
/O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121125T0000Z/
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TODAY.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ150-222100-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121125T1600Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 KT TODAY.

* SEAS...7 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ135-222100-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121123T0600Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
348 AM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TODAY.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ130-222100-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-121123T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-
348 AM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT TODAY.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

764 
WHUS72 KMHX 222008
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
308 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...GUSTY NORTH WINDS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT AND
AGAIN ON SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL MOVE
AWAY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WATERS FRIDAY. A DRY COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT. NORTHERLY
WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY ON FRIDAY
THEN INCREASE AGAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TO 25 KNOT SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. 12 FOOT SEAS TONIGHT WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 6
FEET OVER THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY. 

AMZ152-154-230900-
/O.CAN.KMHX.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-121123T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121125T1800Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
308 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT TONIGHT. 

* SEAS...8 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ150-230900-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121125T1600Z/
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
308 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...8 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ156-158-230900-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121125T0000Z/
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
308 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ135-230600-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-121123T0600Z/
PAMLICO SOUND-
308 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ130-230000-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-121123T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-
308 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...AROUND 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
101 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WELL OFF OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
EAST THROUGH FRIDAY. MEANWHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. A COLD FRONT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST FRIDAY AND CROSS THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 100 PM WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER THE
EASTERN US WITH WHAT APPEARS TO BE AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE OVER THE
CAROLINA PIEDMONT. THIS SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO SWING THROUGH
EASTERN NC THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY KICK THE TROUGH OFFSHORE.
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS OUT OF THE NORTH. EXTENSIVE AREA OF LOW
CLOUDS THIS MORNING HAS DISSIPATED BUT PATCHES OF DENSER CLOUD
COVER REMAINDER ROUGHLY FROM JACKSONVILLE NORTH TO COLUMBIA. THINK
THESE DENSER CLOUD PATCHES WILL PERSIST UNTIL THE SHORTWAVE
CROSSES THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS WILL
EXPERIENCE SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH HIGHS AROUND 60
DEGREES. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
DIGGING UPPER TROF WILL INDUCE CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPMENT OFF THE SE
COAST TONIGHT. SUBSEQUENT DEEPENING OF THE SFC LOW FURTHER
TIGHTENS THE PRES GRADIENT WITH WINDS AGAIN BECOMING GUSTY NEAR
THE COAST. CLOUD COVER MAY BACK IN OVER COASTAL AREAS IN
WRAPAROUND MOISTURE BUT EXPECT PRECIP WILL REMAIN LARGELY OFFSHORE
OVERNIGHT. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND AT LEAST PARTIAL DECOUPLING
YIELDS LOW TEMPS IN THE 30S INLAND WITH 40S TO NEAR 50 AT THE
COAST WITH WIND OFF THE WARMER WATER.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM WED...A LARGE POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THANKSGIVING DAY WITH
A SURFACE CYCLONE FORMING AS THE ENTIRE SYSTEM PUSHES EAST TOWARDS
BERMUDA AND OUT TO SEA. WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL SLIDE ACROSS
THE REGION THURS/THURS NIGHT WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS DIGS SOUTH TOWARDS THE REGION. SURFACE RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO NOSE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION THURS/FRI AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATE FRI INTO FRI NIGHT. THE NORTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THANKSGIVING DAY INTO FRI
MORNING PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS. WINDS FINALLY
BEGIN TO WEAKEN FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER. LOW LEVEL
THICKNESSES WILL RANGE 1335-1340 METERS THURS...THEN INCREASE TO
1350-1360 ON FRI. WINDS WILL BACK WEST THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT FRI...ALLOWING FOR WEAK RETURN FLOW BRIEFLY FRI. EXPECT
MAX TEMPS AROUND 60 THURS INCREASING TO THE MID 60S ON FRI UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BOTH DAYS.

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
REGION LATE FRI NIGHT/EARLY SAT MORNING. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO REMAIN
LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND WILL MAINTAIN NO PRECIP WITH THIS
PACKAGE. MODERATE CAA IN GUSTY NW FLOW WILL BRING TEMPS BACK SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL SAT WITH HIGHS MID/UPPER 50S. UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SAT NIGHT WITH BROAD SURFACE RIDGE
BUILDING EAST OVER THE REGION SUN INTO MON. UPPER ZONAL FLOW WILL
PERSIST OVER THE REGION SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUES...AHEAD OF A LARGE
UPPER TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH REGION TUES. COLDEST NIGHT
OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED SAT NIGHT AS A STRONG SURFACE BASED
INVERSION DEVELOPS UNDER CLEAR SKIES WITH WEAK CAA ALOFT. LOWS WILL
FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S INLAND TO LOWER 30S ACROSS THE SOUND
COUNTIES AND LOWER 40S FOR THE OUTER BANKS. THIS WILL LIKELY BE COOL
ENOUGH TO END THE GROWING SEASON FOR TYRRELL...MAINLAND HYDE AND
DARE COUNTIES. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW 50S...THEN MODERATE
INTO THE LOWER 60S MON AS THE SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS OFF THE COAST
ALLOWING WEAK WAA TO INITIATE DUE TO SWLY  FLOW.

THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TUES AND
INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TUES AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THERE ARE
CONSIDERABLE TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM. WINDS BACK
SW MON INTO TUES AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE AND FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES BUILD TO 1355-1360
METERS TUES SUPPORTING TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. OVERALL...USED A
BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH LATEST MAV/ECMWF MOS FOR THE
EXTENDED WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS IN MAX/MIN TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON/...
AS OF 1230 PM WED...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AT ALL
TAF LOCATIONS.

LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL RETROGRADE WESTWARD SLIGHTLY...WHILE
STAYING WELL OFFSHORE...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME RESIDUAL CLOUDS
ARE STILL LINGERING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE COASTAL LOCATIONS AND
HAVE SINCE ERODED ACROSS KEWN/KOAJ. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH SOME CLOUDS FILTERING ACROSS THE COASTAL
AREAS LATER TOMORROW AFTERNOON...LIKELY NOT IMPACTING TAF
LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10-15 KTS TODAY...SUBSIDING A BIT
OVERNIGHT...AND BECOMING GUSTY YET AGAIN TOMORROW.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM WED...PREDOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRI...THEN A WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS LATE FRI/EARLY SAT WITH HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN RIDGING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. NW WINDS MAY BE GUSTY SAT AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 100 PM WEDNESDAY...MAIN STORY WILL BE THE STRENGTHENING
NORTHERLY FLOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH STRONG SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLY LOW END GALES EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NC COASTAL WATERS AS COLD ADVECTION OCCURS OVER
THE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL WATERS EXCEPT FOR THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. WILL BE MONITORING THE
ALBEMARLE SOUND AS FREQUENT GUSTS THERE COULD REACH 25 KT TONIGHT
NECESSITATING THE ISSUANCE OF AN ADVISORY. SEAS WILL AGAIN BUILD
IN THE STRENGTHENING NORTH FLOW THIS AFTN AND OVERNIGHT REACHING
THE 7-12 FT RANGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM WED...SCA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT FOR
ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS...AND INTO SUN MORNING FOR THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN WATERS. UPPER TROUGH WILL CLOSE OFF WELL OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING SOUTH INTO THE CAROLINAS.
THESE FEATURES WILL PRODUCE A TIGHTENED GRADIENT THROUGH THUR...AND
WINDS AND SEAS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ON THE INC. COULD SEE GUSTS
APPROACH GALE FORCE DURING THE DAY THUR. WAVEWATCH HAS INITIALIZED
A FOOT OR TWO TOO LOW RECENTLY...SO MAINTAINED PREVIOUS FORECAST
WITH MINOR TWEAKS. EXPECT SEAS TO BUILD TO 10-13 FEET ACROSS THE
NORTH/CENTRAL WATERS THUR...AND COULD ONCE AGAIN EXPERIENCE OCEAN
OVERWASH IN THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...PARTICULARLY RODANTHE MIRLO
BEACH AREA. EXPECT WAVE PERIODS GENERALLY ENE IN THE 10 TO 12
SECOND RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL DIMINISH ON FRI AS THE
OFFSHORE LOW FINALLY GETS KICKED WELL OUT TO SEA WITH DIGGING LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH DURING THE WEEKEND. SEAS
WILL BE SLOWER TO RESPOND AND REMAIN ABOVE 6 FEET THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE WATERS EARLY SAT MORNING...WITH NW
WINDS INCREASING BEHIND IT IN MODERATE CAA SAT AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING. SMALL CRAFT WINDS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN FOR MUCH OF THE
WATERS AND SOUNDS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
PER COORDINATION WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS HAVE CANCELLED THE HIGH
SURF AND COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR OBX THIS MORNING AS NEARSHORE
WAVES HAVE TEMPORARILY SUBSIDED. HOWEVER OCEAN OVERWASH TRAVEL
PROBLEMS REMAIN AT MIRLO BEACH MAINLY AT HIGH TIDE DUE TO THE
RECENT DESTRUCTION OF THE DUNE SYSTEM THERE. WILL HANDLE IMPACTS
IN A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. WILL LIKELY NEED
TO RE-POST HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES THERE FOR
EITHER LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY WITH INCREASING WINDS AND
WAVE RUNUP.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     NCZ103.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR NCZ103.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR AMZ135.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     THURSDAY FOR AMZ130.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ152-154.
     GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ152-154.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST SATURDAY FOR AMZ156-158.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BTC
NEAR TERM...BTC/JME
SHORT TERM...BTC/JME
LONG TERM...DAG
AVIATION...DAG/LEP
MARINE...JME/DAG/TL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...BTC/JME

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
444 AM EST WED NOV 21 2012

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-104-220945-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS HYDE-
444 AM EST WED NOV 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ103-220945-
OUTER BANKS DARE-
444 AM EST WED NOV 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN WELL OFFSHORE THURSDAY WITH NORTHERLY
WINDS INCREASING. THIS WILL LEAD TO SEAS AT OR ABOVE 10 FEET OFF
THE OUTER BANKS WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND OVERWASH POSSIABLE
AGAIN...ESPECIALLY NEAR PEA ISLAND AND RODANTHE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1228 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

NCZ103-220300-
OUTER BANKS DARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...
NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
1228 PM EST WED NOV 21 2012

...MINOR OCEAN OVERWASH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF HATTERAS ISLAND...

INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW AND SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FEET OCCURRING ALONG
THE OUTER BANKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
MINOR OCEAN OVERWASH A FEW HOURS AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

THE AREA MOST VULNERABLE TO THIS WILL BE AROUND MIRLO BEACH WHERE
THE DUNES WERE SEVERELY DAMAGED DURING PREVIOUS STORMS.

HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND 3 AM LATE
TONIGHT.

WINDS AND WAVES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ON THANKSGIVING LEADING
TO MORE ENHANCED MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THREAT ALONG HATTERAS ISLAND.
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR THIS
EXPECTED THREAT ALONG THE OUTER BANKS THURSDAY.