Freeze Warning 1, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

243 
WWUS72 KMHX 112313
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
713 PM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT...

.A COLD AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY
BRIEFLY DROP TO AROUND 30 BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 17 AND IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS CLOSER TO
THE COAST.

NCZ029-044>046-079>081-090>094-098-121000-
/O.CON.KMHX.FZ.W.0001.120412T0600Z-120412T1300Z/
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-ONSLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...
WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...
ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...
VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...JACKSONVILLE
713 PM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED UPPER 20S AND WIDESPREAD READINGS AROUND 32
  DEGREES. 

* TIMING...EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES COULD DAMAGE SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

119 
WWUS72 KMHX 121134
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
734 AM EDT THU APR 12 2012

...FREEZE WARNING CANCELLED...

NCZ029-044>046-079>081-090>094-098-121245-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120412T1300Z/
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-ONSLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...
WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...
ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...
VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...JACKSONVILLE
734 AM EDT THU APR 12 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS
CANCELLED THE FREEZE WARNING.

TEMPERATURES ARE STARTING TO RISE AND THE FREEZE THREAT HAS ENDED. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
113 PM EDT WED APR 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY AND CONTINUE TO
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 100 PM WEDNESDAY...COLD AIR SCU MAINLY OVER NRN SECTIONS
THIS AFTN. TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPR 50S TO LWR 60S ACRS
AREA. WILL ISSUE FREEZE WARNING SHORTLY FOR MOST INLAND COUNTIES
FOR TONIGHT.

/PREVIOUS DISCUSSION/
AS OF 315 AM WEDNESDAY...COLD FRONT NEAR THE COAST AND WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAIN LIFT WITH STRONG SHRT WV BEGINNING TO
SHIFT E OF AREA PER LATEST STLT IMAGERY...AND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
SHIFTING OFFSHORE PER RADAR. WILL KEEP SCT POPS IN THROUGH 5
AM...THEN JUST OVER SRN HALF OF COASTAL WATERS 5 AM - 8 AM.
DECREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED THROUGH 8 AM...WITH A FEW HOURS OF MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING. COLD AIR SCU EXPECTED LATE MORNING THROUGH
AFTN...THICKEST OVER NRN HALF OF AREA. MUCH COOLER TODAY WITH STRONG
CAA. USED MOS BLEND FOR MAX TEMPS UPR 50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM WEDNESDAY...MAIN FOCUS TONIGHT WILL BE IF WINDS
DECOUPLE TO ALLOW MAX RADIATIONAL COOLING INLAND...WITH MIN TEMPS
AROUND FREEZING PSBL. GIVEN RECENT HISTORY.../LAST FRIDAY NIGHT/SAT
MORNING/...LEANED TO DECOUPLING AND TEMPS COOLER THAN MOS GDNC...AND
POSTED FREEZE WATCH FOR ALL BUT COASTAL SECTIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 245 AM WED...NO SIG CHANGES NEEDED TO EXTENDED AT THIS TIME. A
LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWARD OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD THU AND THU NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION
FOR FRI. LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES AND NW FLOW SUPPORT HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW/MID 60S FOR THU. COOLER AIR WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS IN PLACE AND WITH WINDS LIKELY DECOUPLING COULD SEE
AREAS OF FROST DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN NC...ESP AREAS AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST. SFC HIGH PRES WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE AREA
FRI...THEN WILL SLIDE OFF THE SE COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
UPPER RIDGING BUILDS ALOFT. UPPER RIDGING KEEPS THE STORM TRACK N
OF THE AREA AND EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST. S/SWLY FLOW
ALLOWS FOR A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP LATE IN THE WEEK AND ESPECIALLY
THIS WEEKEND WHERE A RETURN TO THE L80S IS EXPECTED AWAY FROM THE
COAST. GFS HAS BACKED OFF ON STRENGTH OF A SYSTEM DROPPING S
ACROSS THE AREA MON...ONLY BRIEFLY MOVING INTO FAR NRN SECTIONS
WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THE SYSTEM WELL N OF THE AREA WITH MUCH MORE
AMPLIFIED RIDGING ACROSS THE EAST COAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP
FCST DRY.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
AS OF 100 PM WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH TAF
PERIOD. VFR SCU CIGS EXPECTED DURING AFTN WITH CAA AND COLD TEMPS
ALOFT. NW WINDS WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS AFTN. WINDS
DECREASING WITH CLEARING SKIES THIS EVENING. NO CHANGES.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 245 AM WED...PREDOMINATE VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN FROM THE NW THU...MOVES OVER THE
AREA FRI THEN OFFSHORE SAT. NW WINDS WILL BECOME S/SW SAT INTO
SUN.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 100 PM WEDNESDAY...WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SCA
LEVELS THUS NO SCA.

/PREVIOUS DISCUSSION/
AS OF 315 AM WEDNESDAY...GUSTS TO 25-30 KTS CURRENTLY OBSERVED OVER
MOST OF MARINE AREA...WITH PRE-FRONTAL WESTERLY WINDS SRN
SECTIONS...AND POST-FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS NRN SECTIONS. CAA SURGE
WILL CONTINE TO SPREAD S NEXT FEW HOURS...AND STRONGER GUST
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MID MORNING...THUS WILL CONTINUE SCA
ALL WATERS UNTIL 10 AM. PERIOD OF SUB-SCA WINDS EXPECTED LATE
MORNING INTO AFTN...THEN SECONDARY CAA SURGE LIKELY TO PRODUCE GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 KT OUTER WATERS TONIGHT.

BLEND OF WW3...SWAN AND PREVIOUS FCST USED FOR SEAS. SOME HEIGHTS TO
AROUND 6 FT OUTER PORTIONS OF NRN WATERS WITH CAA SURGE THIS
MORNING...OTRW MAINLY 3-5 FT.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 245 AM WED...NW FLOW WILL CONTINUE THU AS UPPER TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NW
BUILDS OVER THE REGION. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH
THU...THOUGH EARLY THU AM COULD STILL SEE SOME GUSTS TO 25KT ESP
FOR NORTH OF OCRACOKE. FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY VEER FRI AND
FRI NIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND S/SE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE WATERS. HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SAT...WITH MODERATE S/SW FLOW
RETURNING FOR THE WEEKEND. SWLY FLOW CONTINUES SUN BUT INCREASES
TO AROUND 15-20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS A GRADIENTS TIGHTEN WITH A
SYSTEM PASSING WELL TO THE NORTH. SEAS EXPECTED TO BE AOB 4 FT FRI
AND SAT...THEN BUILD TO AROUND 3-6 FT SUN AS SWLY FLOW INCREASES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AS OF 100 AM WEDNESDAY...NO CHANGES. COOLER TEMPS AND SOME CLOUD
COVER IN AFTN WILL KEEP RH AND WINDS JUST OUTSIDE OF CRITICAL
RANGE. SPS IS OUT FOR INCREASED FIRE DANGER IN LIEU OF POSTING
ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING.

PROLONGED DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NCZ029-
     044>046-079>081-090>094-098.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JBM
NEAR TERM...JAC/JBM
SHORT TERM...JBM
LONG TERM...SK/CQD
AVIATION...JAC/JBM/CQD
MARINE...JAC/JBM/CQD
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
521 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

NCZ029-044>046-079>081-090>094-098-120930-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-
LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-ONSLOW-
521 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER TODAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THURSDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT WIDESPREAD FROST WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ103-104-120930-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
521 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ047-095-120930-
MAINLAND DARE-CARTERET-
521 AM EDT WED APR 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED
FIRE DANGER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.