Gale Watch 39, NWS Medford, OR

152 
WHUS76 KMFR 100958
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
158 AM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

PZZ350-356-102300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121110T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.A.0039.121112T0000Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.A.0040.121112T0000Z-121112T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
158 AM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS
MORNING. 

* SEAS: SEAS WILL REMAIN STEEP TODAY AT 7 TO 8 FEET WITH A 9
  SECOND PERIOD THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. WIND WAVES WILL
  INCREASE SHARPLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH CHOPPY COMBINED SEAS
  POTENTIALLY REACHING 10 FEET WITH AN 8 SECOND PERIOD.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...POTENTIALLY
  REACHING GALE FORCE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 30 TO 35 KT AND GUSTS
  TO 40 KT BY SUNDAY EVENING.

* AREAS AFFECTED: THE STRONGEST WINDS AND THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE
  BEYOND 5NM FROM THE COAST FROM FLORENCE TO GOLD BEACH. WINDS AND
  SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LIGHTER FROM GOLD BEACH SOUTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HAZARDOUS SEAS
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR
LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-102300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121110T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.A.0039.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.A.0040.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
158 AM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING. 

* SEAS: SEAS WILL SUBSIDE LATE THIS MORNING TO 9 FEET. WIND WAVES
  WILL INCREASE SHARPLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH CHOPPY COMBINED SEAS
  POTENTIALLY REACHING 10 TO 12 FEET WITH A 10 SECOND PERIOD.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY
  MORNING...POTENTIALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 35
  KT AND GUSTS TO 45 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HAZARDOUS SEAS
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR
LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

PZZ376-102300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121110T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.A.0039.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.A.0040.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
158 AM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE GALE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING. 

* SEAS: SEAS WILL REMAIN STEEP TODAY AT 10 TO 13 FEET WITH 11 
  SECOND PERIOD...THEN SUBSIDE LATE SATURDAY MORNING TO LESS 
  THAN 10 FEET. WIND WAVES WILL INCREASE SHARPLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING...WITH CHOPPY COMBINED SEAS POTENTIALLY REACHING 10 TO 
  12 FEET WITH A 6 TO 7 SECOND PERIOD. 

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING...POTENTIALLY 
  REACHING GALE FORCE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 30 TO 35 KT AND GUSTS 
  TO 45 KT. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND SEAS WILL BE LOWER 
  WITHIN 5NM FROM THE COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF HAZARDOUS SEAS
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR
LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

FB

176 
WHUS76 KMFR 102246
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
246 PM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

PZZ370-111145-
/O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0039.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0047.121112T0000Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0109.121111T1200Z-121112T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0052.121111T1200Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0040.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
246 PM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM PST
MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST
SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM PST
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY. IN ADDITION...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST SUNDAY. THE
HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SEAS: WIND WAVES WILL INCREASE SHARPLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH
  CHOPPY COMBINED SEAS REACHING 10 TO 12 FEET LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
  VERY STEEP SEAS WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 15 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
  DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 TO 9 SECONDS...WITH A 5 FOOT AT 10 SECONDS
  WEST SWELL CONTRIBUTING TO THE HAZARDOUS SEAS. COMBINED SEAS
  WILL DIMINISH BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY MORNING... REACHING
  GALE FORCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT AND GUSTS
  TO 45 KT. WINDS WILL PEAK SUNDAY NIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF
  50 KT. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ376-111145-
/O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0039.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0047.121112T0300Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0109.121111T1500Z-121112T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0052.121111T1200Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0040.121111T1800Z-121112T1800Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
246 PM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM PST
MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM PST
SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM PST
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY. IN ADDITION...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM PST SUNDAY. THE
HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SEAS: WIND WAVES WILL INCREASE SHARPLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH
  CHOPPY COMBINED SEAS REACHING 8 TO 10 FEET LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
  VERY STEEP SEAS WILL PEAK AT 10 TO 14 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
  DOMINANT PERIOD OF 8 TO 9 SECONDS...WITH A 5 FOOT AT 10 SECONDS
  WEST SWELL CONTRIBUTING TO THE HAZARDOUS SEAS. COMBINED SEAS
  WILL DIMINISH BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SUNDAY MORNING... REACHING
  GALE FORCE SUNDAY EVENING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 30 TO 35 KT AND
  GUSTS TO 45 KT. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* AREAS AFFECTED: THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS ARE
  EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE ZONE...WEST AND NORTH OF
  GOLD BEACH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ350-356-111145-
/O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0039.121112T0000Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0047.121112T0600Z-121112T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0109.121111T1800Z-121112T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0052.121111T1800Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0040.121112T0000Z-121112T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
246 PM PST SAT NOV 10 2012

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM PST
MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM
PST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM PST
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY. IN ADDITION...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY.
THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SEAS: WIND WAVES WILL INCREASE SHARPLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH
  CHOPPY COMBINED SEAS REACHING 10 FEET WITH AN 8 SECOND PERIOD BY
  EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WEST SWELL AT 4 TO 5 FEET AT 10
  SECONDS WILL ADD TO THE HAZARDOUS SEAS. VERY STEEP COMBINED
  SEAS WILL PEAK AT 12 TO 14 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT...AND THEN DIMINISH
  BELOW 10 FEET MONDAY EVENING.

* WINDS: SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...INCREASING
  FROM 25 KT IN THE MORNING TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT BY SUNDAY
  NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 25 KT BY MONDAY EVENING.

* AREAS AFFECTED: THE STRONGEST WINDS AND THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL
  BE BEYOND 5NM FROM THE COAST FROM FLORENCE TO GOLD BEACH. 
  WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LIGHTER FROM GOLD 
  BEACH SOUTH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SK
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
912 AM PST FRI NOV 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF COLD TEMPERATURES AND SNOWFLAKES AT THE LOWEST ELEVATIONS
SEEN THUS FAR THIS SEASON HAVE OCCURRED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE
MEDFORD AIRPORT PLUNGED TO 29F THIS MORNING, BREAKING THE RECORD STREAK
OF DAYS WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE 32F. THIS STILL SHATTERED THE OLD
RECORD STREAK BY 11 DAYS, AND TIED FOR THE 4TH LATEST DATE THAT IT HAS
TAKEN TO GET TO 32F OR LOWER IN THE AUTUMN.

SNOWFALL REPORTS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO ARRIVE THIS MORNING. THUS FAR,
WE HAVE REPORTS OF 7 INCHES AT THE MOUNT ASHLAND SKI LODGE, 1.6
INCHES AT CRATER LAKE NATIONAL PARK HEADQUARTERS AND ODELL LAKE, AND
1 INCH AT KENO AND 10 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SPRAGUE RIVER.
FROM AN IMPACT PERSPECTIVE, WHILE SNOW AMOUNTS WERE GENERALLY
LIGHT, ROADS WERE SNOW COVERED AT MANY LOCATIONS AT AND ABOVE
ABOUT 4100 FEET AT SUNRISE THIS MORNING.

FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE, WITH SNOW
LEVELS LOWERING LOCALLY DURING PERIODS OF MORE INTENSE SHOWER
ACTIVITY. WE WILL BE ASSESSING WHETHER OR NOT WE NEED TO EXTEND
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES AT ALL INTO THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. AT
THIS TIME SUSPECT ROAD TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING AT
MOST LOCATIONS, BUT HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS JUST EAST OF THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS AND OTHER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS COULD STILL HAVE SOME SLICK
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. UPDATES TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL
BE POSTED IN THE NEXT HOUR. BTL

&&

.AVIATION...
...BASED ON THE 09/12Z TAF CYCLE...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS MORNING BRINGING AREAS
OF MVFR CIGS AND ISOLATED IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS.
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE WIDESPREAD. SNOW LEVELS
WILL LOWER FROM 2500 FEET TO LOCALLY 1500 FEET. THIS MAY RESULT IN
SOME WET SNOW EVEN AT VALLEY FLOOR LOCATIONS ON THE WEST SIDE
EARLY THIS MORNING. SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...SO THE COVERAGE OF THE LOWER
CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH AS WELL. /FB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 600 AM PST FRI NOV 9 2012/

DISCUSSION...THIS MORNING IS THE FIRST DAY THIS SEASON MEDFORD
HAS DROPPED TO 32 DEGREES. THIS OCCURRED EARLIER THIS MORNING.

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGE SHOWS THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
OVER NORTHERN CAL. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH...BUT WE'LL
CONTINUE TO HAVE AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT AND NEAR THE SURFACE. THE NAM AND GFS SHOW ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVING FROM THE NORTH INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON THIS AFTERNOON. THE NET
RESULT WILL BE INCREASING SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST RANGE AND
CASCADES. SNOW LEVELS THIS MORNING START OUT AROUND 2000 FEET AND
LOCALLY DOWN TO 1500 FEET IN JOSEPHINE AND WESTERN SISKIYOU
COUNTY..THEN COME UP TO AROUND 3000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER
COULD TEMPORALLY LOWER TO 2000 FEET IN HEAVIER SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW TOTALS TODAY WILL BE MAINLY 1 TO 3
INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND EASTSIDE VALLEYS AND 3 TO 6 OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. A FEW STRIKES HAVE SHOWN UP OVER THE MARINE WATERS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A VORT LOBE MOVING SOUTH. THIS ALONG WITH
SUFFICIENT COLD AIR ALOFT WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED STORMS REMAINING A
CONCERN OVER THE MARINE WATERS AND ADJACENT COAST THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING.

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...THEN SLOWLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT
AS THE LAST OF THE SHORTWAVES MOVES THROUGH AND A DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. THE MAIN QUESTION WILL BE HOW
MUCH IF ANY CLEARING DEVELOPS. AT THIS POINT DO NOT THINK THERE WILL
BE MUCH CLEARING TONIGHT WHICH WILL SLOW DOWN THE AMOUNT OF COOLING.

SATURDAY SHOULD BE DRY MOST OF THE DAY. A FEW  SHOWERS MAY LINGER
ALONG THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DRY THE
REST OF THE DAY WITH SOME CLEARING. THE MODELS KEEP QPF IN PARTS OF
THE AREA DURING THE DAY...BUT THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THAT IS
SETTING UP OVER THE FORECAST AREA NORMALLY RESULTS IN DRY AND COOL
CONDITIONS.

WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER. THERE
ARE INDICATIONS THAT HIGH AND PERHAPS MID LEVEL CLOUDS INCREASE
AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT. THE QUESTION IS WILL IT BE SUFFICIENT TO
LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF COOLING.

THE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH WARM FRONTAL
PRECIPITATION SPREADING ALONG THE COAST LATE SUNDAY MORNING...THEN
SPREADING INLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME MOST OF THE
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE CONFINED TO COOS AND NORTHWEST
DOUGLAS COUNTY...THEN SPREAD SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT.
SNOW LEVELS SUNDAY MORNING START OUT BETWEEN 2500 AND 3000
FEET...THEN WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 4000 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON AS
MILDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA.

THE EC AND GFS SUGGEST A LONG MOISTURE FETCH EXTENDING OUT OVER THE
PACIFIC AND HEADING TOWARDS THE OREGON COAST...BUT THEY DIFFER WITH
RESPECT TO THE EXACT LOCATION OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION.
-PETRUCELLI

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR
     ORZ029>031.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR ORZ024.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR
     ORZ027-028.

CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR
     CAZ082>085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR CAZ080.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
     EVENING FOR PZZ350-356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY
     FOR PZZ370-376.

BTL/FB/MP