Alert archive / Oregon / Flood Watches in 2012

Flood Watch 6, NWS Medford, OR

November 27, 2012Siskiyou County, California; 6 counties in Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this flood watch at Nov 27, 2012, 1:24 PM PST for Siskiyou County, California; 6 counties in Oregon. It took effect at Nov 29, 2012, 10:00 AM PST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 27, 2012, 1:24 PM PST (21:24 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 29, 2012, 10:00 AM PST
Expired
Nov 29, 2012, 8:53 PM PST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR
Flood severity
None

Counties Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2012-11-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2012-11-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1188 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

932 
WGUS66 KMFR 272124
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
124 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG STORM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS IS 
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND MINOR URBAN FLOODING MAY IMPACT 
CITY AREAS.

ORZ022-024-281230-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121201T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH...
GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION
124 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CURRY COUNTY COAST AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTY 
  AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION WITH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
  WITH RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON AREA
  SMALL RIVERS CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME MINOR FLOODING OF AREA
  ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY.

* THE CHETCO RIVER SHOULD EXPERIENCE SIMILAR RATES OF RISE AS
  COMPARED TO THE EVENT THAT OCCURRED MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
  NOVEMBER 19TH AND 20TH. HOWEVER...THE RIVER CURRENTLY IS NOT
  EXPECTED TO REACH AS HIGH AS IT DID DURING THAT EVENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-281230-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT...HOWARD PRAIRIE...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
124 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH 
  CENTRAL OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN 
  CALIFORNIA...NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY... 
  SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN 
  SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON...SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON 
  CASCADES. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
  WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SMALL RIVERS.
  DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081-ORZ026-281230-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
124 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST 
  OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN 
  CALIFORNIA...CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  JACKSON COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON AREA SMALL
  RIVERS CREEKS AND STREAMS. MINOR URBAN FLOODING OF AREA ROADS
  AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER
  TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

STAVISH
7 follow-up statements
896 
WGUS66 KMFR 280643
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1043 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG STORM WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS IS
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND MINOR URBAN FLOODING MAY IMPACT
CITY AREAS.

ORZ022-024-282300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121201T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH...
GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION
1043 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CURRY COUNTY COAST AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND 
  JOSEPHINE COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION WITH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY 
  WITH RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON 
  AREA SMALL RIVERS CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME MINOR FLOODING OF 
  AREA ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY. 

* THE CHETCO RIVER SHOULD EXPERIENCE SIMILAR RATES OF RISE AS 
  COMPARED TO THE EVENT THAT OCCURRED MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY 
  NOVEMBER 19TH AND 20TH. HOWEVER...THE RIVER CURRENTLY IS NOT 
  EXPECTED TO REACH AS HIGH AS IT DID DURING THAT EVENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-282300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT...HOWARD PRAIRIE...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
1043 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...NORTH 
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU 
  COUNTY AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
  WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SMALL RIVERS.
  DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081-ORZ026-282300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
1043 PM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA... 
  CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST OREGON...JACKSON COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON AREA SMALL
  RIVERS CREEKS AND STREAMS. MINOR URBAN FLOODING OF AREA ROADS
  AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER
  TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
784 
WGUS66 KMFR 282256
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
256 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG SLOW MOVING STORM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO
THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
SMALL RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND STREET FLOODING MAY
IMPACT CITY AREAS. ANOTHER COUPLE OF STORMS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ORZ021-023-290600-
/O.EXB.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121130T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT...
BANDON...PORT ORFORD...COQUILLE...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...
SUTHERLIN...GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE...GLENDALE
256 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY AND 
  SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST. 

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES THURSDAY
  MORNING THEN PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS
  AND STREAMS. SOME MINOR FLOODING OF AREA ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ022-024-290600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121201T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH...
GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION
256 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CURRY COUNTY COAST AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND 
  JOSEPHINE COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLY
  FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME FLOODING OF
  ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY.

* THE CHETCO RIVER SHOULD EXPERIENCE SIMILAR RATES OF RISE AS
  COMPARED TO THE FLOOD EVENT THAT OCCURRED MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
  NOVEMBER 19TH AND 20TH. HOWEVER...THE RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO
  REACH AS HIGH AS IT DID DURING THAT EVENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-290600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT...HOWARD PRAIRIE...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
256 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...NORTH 
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU 
  COUNTY AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND PERSIST
  THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND
  SMALL RIVERS. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN.
  SOME FLOODING OF ROADS IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081-ORZ026-290600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
256 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA... 
  CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST OREGON...JACKSON COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON AREA SMALL
  RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. MINOR URBAN FLOODING OF ROADS AND
  LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER
  TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

DW
540 
WGUS66 KMFR 290540
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
940 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG SLOW MOVING STORM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO
THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
SMALL RIVERS IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE 
ACROSS THE STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND STREET FLOODING MAY
IMPACT CITY AREAS. ANOTHER COUPLE OF STORMS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ORZ022-024-291345-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121201T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH...
GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION
940 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CURRY COUNTY COAST AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND 
  JOSEPHINE COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE RAPID RISES AND 
  POSSIBLY FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME 
  FLOODING OF ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY. 

* THE CHETCO RIVER SHOULD EXPERIENCE SIMILAR RATES OF RISE AS 
  COMPARED TO THE FLOOD EVENT THAT OCCURRED MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY NOVEMBER 19TH AND 20TH. HOWEVER...THE RIVER IS NOT 
  EXPECTED TO REACH AS HIGH AS IT DID DURING THAT EVENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-291345-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT...HOWARD PRAIRIE...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
940 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...NORTH 
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU 
  COUNTY AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND PERSIST
  THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND
  SMALL RIVERS. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN.
  SOME FLOODING OF ROADS IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ021-023-291345-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121130T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT...
BANDON...PORT ORFORD...COQUILLE...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...
SUTHERLIN...GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE...GLENDALE
940 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST. 

* FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES THURSDAY
  MORNING THEN PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS
  AND STREAMS. SOME MINOR FLOODING OF AREA ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081-ORZ026-291345-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
940 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA... 
  CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST OREGON...JACKSON COUNTY. 

* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON AREA SMALL
  RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. MINOR URBAN FLOODING OF ROADS AND
  LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER
  TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

SPILDE
811 
WGUS66 KMFR 291003
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
203 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG SLOW MOVING STORM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO
THE REGION TODAY INTO FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS
IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND STREET FLOODING MAY IMPACT CITY
AREAS. ANOTHER COUPLE OF STORMS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
LATER FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ORZ022-024-292100-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121201T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH...
GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION
203 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM PST THIS MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CURRY COUNTY COAST AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND 
  JOSEPHINE COUNTY. 

* FROM 10 AM PST THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLY FLOODING
  OF SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME FLOODING OF ROADS IS
  ALSO LIKELY.

* THE CHETCO RIVER SHOULD EXPERIENCE SIMILAR RATES OF RISE AS 
  COMPARED TO THE FLOOD EVENT THAT OCCURRED MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY NOVEMBER 19TH AND 20TH. HOWEVER...THE RIVER IS NOT 
  EXPECTED TO REACH AS HIGH AS IT DID DURING THAT EVENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-292100-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT...HOWARD PRAIRIE...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
203 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...NORTH 
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU 
  COUNTY AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. 

* FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AND
  PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA
  CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SMALL RIVERS. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT
  STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN. SOME FLOODING OF ROADS IS ALSO
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ021-023-292100-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121130T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT...
BANDON...PORT ORFORD...COQUILLE...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...
SUTHERLIN...GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE...GLENDALE
203 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM PST THIS MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST. 

* FROM 10 AM PST THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES THIS
  MORNING THEN PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS
  AND STREAMS. SOME MINOR FLOODING OF AREA ROADS IS ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081-ORZ026-292100-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
203 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA... 
  CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST OREGON...JACKSON COUNTY. 

* FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
  WITH RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING ON
  AREA SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. MINOR URBAN FLOODING OF
  ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT
  STEEPER TERRAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

SPILDE
601 
WGUS66 KMFR 291346
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
546 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG SLOW MOVING STORM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO
THE REGION TODAY INTO FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS
IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND STREET FLOODING MAY IMPACT CITY
AREAS. MORE STORMS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LATER FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

ORZ022-024-291500-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121201T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD BEACH...
GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION
546 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON HAS BEEN
REPLACED BY AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING FOR CURRY AND WESTERN JOSEPHINE
COUNTIES. SEE PDXFLWMFR FOR DETAILS.

$$

CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-292200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT...HOWARD PRAIRIE...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
546 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
   THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...NORTH 
  CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU 
  COUNTY AND WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON... 
  SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. 

* FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING AND 
  PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS... 
  STREAMS...AND SMALL RIVERS. DEBRIS FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER 
  MOUNTAIN TERRAIN. SOME FLOODING OF ROADS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ021-023-292200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121129T1800Z-121130T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT...
BANDON...PORT ORFORD...COQUILLE...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...
SUTHERLIN...GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE...GLENDALE
546 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM PST THIS MORNING
   THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST. 

* FROM 10 AM PST THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES THIS 
  MORNING THEN PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE 
  RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLY MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL RIVERS... 
  CREEKS AND STREAMS. SOME MINOR FLOODING OF AREA ROADS IS ALSO 
  LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081-ORZ026-292200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
546 AM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
   THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST OREGON... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA... 
  CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST OREGON...JACKSON COUNTY. 

* FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 
  FRIDAY WITH RAPID RISES AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING DEVELOPING 
  ON AREA SMALL RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. MINOR URBAN 
  FLOODING OF ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. DEBRIS 
  FLOWS MAY IMPACT STEEPER TERRAIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

STOCKTON
771 
WGUS66 KMFR 292113
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
113 PM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.A STRONG SLOW MOVING STORM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO
THE REGION TODAY INTO FRIDAY. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND SMALL RIVERS
IS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN...AND STREET FLOODING MAY IMPACT CITY
AREAS. MORE STORMS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LATER FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

ORZ021-023-292215-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-121130T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COOS BAY...NORTH BEND...REEDSPORT...
BANDON...PORT ORFORD...COQUILLE...DRAIN...ELKTON...ROSEBURG...
SUTHERLIN...GREEN...MYRTLE CREEK...CANYONVILLE...GLENDALE
113 PM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR COOS...AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL DOUGLAS
COUNTIES PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
WHILE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREAS...AMOUNTS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLOODING.

THE SOUTH FORK OF THE COQUILLE RIVER AND THE COQUILLE RIVER AT
COQUILLE...HOWEVER...MAY REACH FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY. THUS...THERE
IS A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

$$

CAZ080>082-ORZ026-028-292215-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW...YREKA...
WEED...MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...MEDFORD...ASHLAND...
HOWARD PRAIRIE...SISKIYOU SUMMIT
113 PM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON
HAS BEEN UPGRADED.

HEAVY RAIN IN WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY AND THE EXPECTATION FOR MORE
HEAVY RAINFALL THERE HAS PROMPTED THE AREAL FLOOD WATCH TO BE
UPGRADED TO AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING.

FOR CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY TO INCLUDE THE SHASTA VALLEY AND MOUNT
SHASTA AREA AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS REPLACED
THE AREAL FLOOD WATCH.

$$

CAZ083-300515-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0006.121130T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TENNANT
113 PM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREA...NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY...TO INCLUDE
  THE TENNANT AREA AND AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF MOUNT SHASTA.

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RAPID RISES EXPECTED
  ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SMALL RIVERS. DEBRIS FLOWS COULD
  IMPACT STEEPER MOUNTAIN TERRAIN. SOME FLOODING OF ROADS IS ALSO
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

BTL
325 
WGUS66 KMFR 300453
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
853 PM PST THU NOV 29 2012

CAZ083-300600-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-121201T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TENNANT
853 PM PST THU NOV 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. OCCASIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED
TO CAUSE MINOR IMPACTS OVER THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

WRIGHT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Nov 27, 8:50 AM PST, 4 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 8:50 AM PST, 4 hours 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
850 AM PST TUE NOV 27 2012

.DISCUSSION...MORNING UPDATE. ENJOY THE DAY OF CALM BECAUSE MODELS
ARE STILL LOCKED INTO AN ABRUPT TURN IN THE PATTERN TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH A GOOD TROPICAL TAP OF MOISTURE. THE FORECAST FOR
TODAY LOOKS ON TRACK AND WILL NOT UPDATE AT THIS TIME.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE WEATHER PATTERN IS ABOUT TO CHANGE...AND
ABRUPTLY. TODAY WILL BE THE LAST FAIR WEATHER DAY FOR SOUTHWEST
OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THE
RIDGE THAT BROUGHT THE DRY WEATHER WILL PUSH TO THE EAST AND THIS
WILL ALLOW A STRONG TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA TO
SEND MULTIPLE FRONTS INTO THE WEST COAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE AT THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING
WITH SOME RAIN. THE 00Z NAM HAD BEEN THE ODD MODEL OUT BRINGING
THE SURFACE LOW INSIDE 130 W BUT ITS 06Z RUN HAS NOW COME IN LINE
WITH THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF KEEPING THE LOW ALONG OR JUST OUTSIDE 130.
EVEN SO, PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA WITH
MFR-RDD GRADIENT ABOUT 4-6 MB LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 700
MB WINDS INCREASE TO 50-70KT WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM IS TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT, SO WE ARE NOT EXPECTING
WINDS HIGH ENOUGH FOR WARNING CRITERIA AT THE COAST...DUE TO THE
OFFSHORE COMPONENT. HOWEVER, HAVE GONE WITH A WIND ADVISORY
(NPWMFR) FOR THE SHASTA, ROGUE VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE EAST
SIDE NEAR SUMMER LAKE FOR GUSTY WINDS. RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT TO
MODERATE FOR MOST AREAS BUT MAY NOT BE MUCH AT ALL HERE IN THE
ROGUE VALLEY DUE TO THE STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW. FARTHER SOUTH, THERE
SHOULD BE A 6-9 HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG SOUTH UPSLOPE FLOW FROM
12-21Z WEDNESDAY AROUND MOUNT SHASTA. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND
5000 FEET BUT MAY WAVER DOWN AS LOW AS 4500 FEET DURING TIMES OF
HEAVY PRECIP. HAVE GONE WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY (WSWMFR)
FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000 FEET FOR 4-6 INCHES OF SNOW.

ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE PACIFIC WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A STRONG COASTAL JET IS EXPECTED TO SET UP
JUST OFFSHORE AND THE FLOW WILL BE MORE ONSHORE THAN ITS
PREDECESSOR. AS A RESULT, HAVE GONE WITH A HIGH WIND WATCH
(NPWMFR) FOR THIS PERIOD ALONG THE COAST. MODEL 925 MB WINDS ARE
SHOWN TO BE AROUND 80 KT AND THIS IS USUALLY A GOOD PROXY FOR WIND
GUSTS AT THE HEADLANDS WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER SPEEDS AT THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. SINCE WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY HEAVY RAIN, EXPECT
DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES TO BE AN ISSUE. TRAVEL WILL BE VERY
DIFFICULT ON HIGHWAY 101 SHOULD TREES FALL ACROSS THE ROAD. THESE
WINDS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD ACROSS REST OF THE CWA THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. HAVE HELD OFF ON THE HIGH WIND WATCH FARTHER
INLAND THOUGH FOR NOW, BUT FUTURE SHIFTS WILL NEED TO CONSIDER
THIS LIKELIHOOD. REGARDING QPF...SINCE THIS FRONT WILL HAVE PLENTY
OF SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE TO TAP, A PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY
RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT THROUGH JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE CWA.
THE EXCEPTION BEING THE FAR EAST SIDE...WHERE LIGHTER RAIN IS
EXPECTED. AMOUNTS IN THIS TIME FRAME ALONE (THURSDAY) COULD BE IN
THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE ALONG THE CURRY COAST AND PARTS OF WESTERN
SISKIYOU COUNTY.

LONG TERM...ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. MODELS DO SHIFT THE MAIN AXIS OF PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER (AR) SOUTH OF THE AREA BY
FRIDAY MORNING. SO THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIP, BUT
BOTH THE ECMWF/GFS SHOW ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ARRIVING AT THE COAST
FRIDAY NIGHT AND PUSHING INLAND SATURDAY. ANOTHER AR EVENT MAY SET
UP OVER THE CWA THIS WEEKEND. SO, IT ALMOST GOES WITHOUT SAYING
THAT WE WILL ONCE AGAIN LIKELY BE DEALING WITH FLOOD CONCERNS WEST
OF THE CASCADES LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. SNOW LEVELS WILL
REMAIN HIGH MOSTLY 5500 TO 6500 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY, BUT MAY
LOWER A BIT BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SPILDE

&&

.AVIATION......BASED ON 27/06Z TAFS...

MVFR CIGS IN THE VALLEYS WITH AREAS OF IFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH MID-MORNING TUESDAY OVER THE COAST...COASTAL
VALLEYS...UMPQUA BASIN...ILLINOIS VALLEY...KLAMATH BASIN...UPPER
DESCHUTES VALLEY...SCOTT VALLEY...LOWER KLAMATH VALLEY...AND THE
FORT ROCK/CHRISTMAS VALLEYS AREAS. ALL AREAS WILL CLEAR TO VFR BY
THIS AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. AREAS OF
MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST TONIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES
THE COAST. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST...OVER
THE RIDGES...IN THE SHASTA VALLEY...AND EAST OF THE CASCADES.

&&

.MARINE...PLEASE SEE THE MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE AND COASTAL WATERS
FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THERE WILL BE A SERIES OF STRONG TO
VERY STRONG STORMS IMPACTING THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND BRINGING WARNING LEVEL WINDS AND WAVES TO THE AREA. THE
FIRST OF THESE IS MOST LIKELY TO BRING GALES. SINCE THE FLOW WILL
BE MOSTLY SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST BECOMING SOUTH TO NORTH MOST OF
THE STRONGER WINDS WILL REMAIN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND THROUGH
THURSDAY...A STRONGER FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE WATERS WITH STORM
FORCE WINDS LIKELY. EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR A COASTAL JET TO DEVELOP
WITH THIS ONE. THERE WILL BE AT LEAST TWO MORE FRONTS THAT WILL
AFFECT THE COAST FROM CAPE MENDOCINO TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLUMBIA
RIVER THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. HOW STRONG AND WHERE THESE END UP IS A
BIT IN QUESTION. BUT...THE GFS AND ECMWF DO AGREE ON TIMING THE
NEXT STRONG FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. THEN THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS
STRONGER THAN THE GFS WITH A FOLLOWING FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT. SO, I
WENT WITH A BLEND BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF WINDS IN THE EXTENDED.
BTL/DW

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR ORZ030-031.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR ORZ021-022.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR ORZ026.

CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY ABOVE
     5000 FEET FOR CAZ082-083.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
     CAZ081.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM PST WEDNESDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356.
     STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356.
     GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ350-356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM PST
     WEDNESDAY FOR PZZ350-356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10
PM
     PST THIS EVENING FOR PZZ370-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM PST
     FRIDAY FOR PZZ370-376.
     GALE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY FOR
     PZZ370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON
     TO 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR PZZ370-376.

SPILDE/DW/MSO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 27, 2:46 AM PSTHigh Wind WatchMFRSiskiyou36 hr
Nov 27, 2:46 AM PSTWind AdvisoryMFRModoc, Siskiyou3 days
Nov 27, 2:48 AM PSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMFRSiskiyou12 hr
Nov 27, 1:28 PM PSTHigh Wind WarningMFRModoc, Siskiyou63 hr
Nov 27, 2:58 PM PSTWinter Storm WarningMFRSiskiyou47 hr
Nov 27, 4:00 AM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for WindsMFR11 hr
Nov 27, 4:00 AM PSTStorm WatchMFR11 hr
Nov 27, 4:00 AM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasMFR11 hr
Nov 27, 12:48 PM PSTRiver Flood WatchMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas61 hr
Nov 27, 12:48 PM PSTRiver Flood WatchMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas4 days
Nov 27, 3:06 PM PSTStorm WarningMFR44 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Oregon, 2012Flood Watches in California, 2012Every flood watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.