Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
727 AM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

.AVIATION...

LITTLE CHANGE IN THE 12Z TAFS. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. BUT BOTH THE EAST
AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES SHOULD FORM IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW FROM PREVIOUS DAYS IS
EXPECTED TO START RETREATING TO THE EAST...IT SHOULD STILL RESULT IN
A CHANCE OF A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MAINLY
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MORNING THEN WITH SHOWERS
AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON BRIEF PERIODS OF SUB-VFR TO
IFR CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE ALL TAF SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012/

..WILL AFFECT PRIMARILY THE INTERIOR AND E COAST. SOME OF THE THUN
-DERSTORMS STILL COULD BECOME STRONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE
PULLING SOME DEEPER MOISTURE TOWARDS FLA WHICH WILL INCH UPWARDS THE
CHANCES OF RAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE INTERIOR AND E AGAIN WILL BE
AFFECTED THE MOST. THE FRONT APPEARS TO REACH THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
REGION LATE MONDAY AND MAY MOVE THROUGH THE S PORTIONS OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WITH A DEEP NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW DEVELOP
-ING WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH DRIER CONDITIONS...AND...WITH ANY
DIURNAL CONVECTION AFFECTING THE INTERIOR AND W. NO REAL TEMPERATURE
COOL OFF EXPECTED EXCEPT THE WIND FLOW OFF OF THE ATLC WILL GIVE THE
EASTERN AREAS SOME MINOR RELIEF BUT WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR
IN THE W.

MARINE...THOUGH LESLIE ESSENTIALLY STALLED...A SMALL NORTHEASTERLY
SWELL GENERATED BY THIS SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE PALM BEACH WATERS
WHICH MAY SPREAD SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 'TIL LESLIE GETS
MOVING NORTHWARD THIS WILL PERSIST POSSIBLY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
BEFORE SWELLS BECOME GREATER THAN 2 FEET IN THE PALM BEACH WATERS.
COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE LOW TIDES...THE SWELL WILL LEAD TO AN
INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLC BEACHES. TODAY AND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 KNOTS WITH SEAS 3
FEET OR LESS. BUT SEAS INCREASE IN THE ATLC WATERS OFF OF PALM BEACH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. BEFORE THE FRONT...THE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY LEAD
TO SOME RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE W COAST BEACHES AS WELL OVER THE
WEEKEND.

FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  89  74  90  76 / 30 20 30 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  88  77  90  79 / 20 20 30 20
MIAMI            89  76  90  78 / 20 20 20 20
NAPLES           89  74  89  76 / 20 20 20 20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...15/JR
AVIATION/RADAR...60/BD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
439 AM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
072345-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
439 AM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY CONTINUES...
...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND POSSIBLE HAIL.

WATERSPOUTS: THE COMBINATION OF CLOUD CONVERGENCE BANDS AND A FAVORABLE LOW
LEVEL WIND PROFILE ACROSS THE GULF AND ATLANTIC WATERS WILL RESULT
IN A RISK OF WATERSPOUTS.

WIND: WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS.

HAIL: SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

FLOODING: ALTHOUGH AREAS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS FLOODING
CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH
COUNTY WITH SOME ROADS STILL IMPASSABLE DUE TO STANDING WATERS. THE
FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.

TEMPERATURES: THE HEAT INDEX COULD REACH NEAR ONE HUNDRED DEGREES
ACROSS THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE PENINSULA CAN BE
EXPECTED. LATE IN THE WEEKEND WESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS ALONG THE GULF COAST BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION: WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL AND
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
113 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

FLZ072>074-172-173-071800-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL INLAND
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE
FL
113 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
BROWARD COUNTY...NORTHEASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...FOR FREQUENT TO
EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP TO
NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

* AT 112 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CAROL CITY...AND MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  CAROL CITY...
  MIAMI GARDENS...
  IVES ESTATES...
  MIRAMAR...
  MIRAMAR PARKWAY AND UNIVERSITY DRIVE...
  NORTH PERRY AIRPORT...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

LAT...LON 2612 8038 2609 8013 2584 8019 2584 8039
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 187DEG 6KT 2594 8028

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