Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
217 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING WELL DEFINED MID LEVEL
TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE NW GOFMEX FROM S TX WHICH IS GENERATING
NUMEROUS CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. AT THE SAME TIME, A
LARGE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS LOCATED FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN INTO
THE ATLANTIC WITH SFC RIDGE ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
PENINSULA/NORTHERN FL STRAITS AND A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
DRAPED ACROSS N FL. ALL OF THESE SYSTEMS ARE COMBINING TO PROVIDE
A DEEP WSW FLOW OVER S FL WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE BEING
PULLED FROM THE CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHEAST GULF WITH DEW POINTS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 70S. THERE WAS SOME MID LEVEL DRYING DEPICTED BY
THE 12Z MFL SOUNDING AND THIS ALLOWED FOR SOME CLEARING TO TAKE
PLACE WHICH IN TURN HAS AIDED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION
OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS AND WILL ALSO FAVOR STRONGER STORMS TO
POSSIBLY PRODUCE SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE THINNING CLOUD LAYER
HAS ALSO HELPED SFC TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB AROUND 90 AND A SEA
BREEZE IS DEVELOPING ALONG THE E CST AND THIS WILL ALSO ONLY ADD
FUEL TO THE ALREADY ONGOING CONVECTION.

A VERY LARGE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THIS WEEKEND AND THIS WILL KICK THE WESTERN MID LEVEL
TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF STATES WITH THE
CARIBBEAN RIDGE TO BEGIN BUILDING NORTHWARD. AS THESE TWO SYSTEMS
SHIFT NORTH, THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE TO ALSO
SHIFT NORTH AND SOME DRYING IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS S FL OVER THE
WEEKEND AND A LOWERING TREND TO THE POPS WILL ENSUE. HOWEVER,
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED WITH THE BEST
CHANCES OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION. AN EASTERLY FLOW IS
ALSO EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHILE THE CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY BE ENHANCED ACROSS THE LAKE REGION AS SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES
COLLIDE. AN EVEN DRIER TREND IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS THE MID LEVEL
RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE AREA AND THICKNESSES ARE ON THE
RISE. TEMPERATURES THEREFORE WILL ALSO BE ON THE RISE AND HIGHS ON
SUNDAY COULD APPROACH THE UPPER 90S OVER THE INTERIOR WEST AND
MAINLY LOWER 90S ELSEWHERE.

MID AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER OR NEAR
THE REGION THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK...WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINING ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS LOUISIANA AND THE NORTHERN GULF.
SO LIGHT EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE...AND SEA BREEZE
INTERACTION WILL DICTATE SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ACROSS THE GULF COAST AND INTERIOR. THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY...AND THEN REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
GULF AND NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEAK. THIS FEATURE
MAY HELP ENHANCE THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SLIGHTLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...POPS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR CLIMO AT LOW END CHANCE EACH DAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.MARINE...THE WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 KNOTS TONIGHT THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND OVER ALL THE LOCAL WATERS...AS THEY SWING FROM A
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST DIRECTION TODAY TO A EASTERLY DIRECTION THIS
WEEKEND. THE SEAS WILL ALSO REMAIN AT 4 FEET OR LESS OVER BOTH THE
ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. SO BOATING
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE GOOD OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO PROBLEMS OR CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  74  88  75  87 / 50 50 20 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  77  90  78  90 / 40 40 20 20
MIAMI            77  90  77  90 / 40 40 20 20
NAPLES           75  90  76  91 / 40 50 30 40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...30/KOB
AVIATION/RADAR...47/RGH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-082200-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
415 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

...NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY RAINFALL, AND POTENTIALLY
SMALL HAIL.

WIND: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH.

FLOODING: SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL. THIS MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE
AREAS AND URBAN AREAS.

RIP CURRENTS: A WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE THE COLLIER COUNTY BEACHES, ESPECIALLY
THIS AFTERNOON, AS WINDS INCREASE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE
PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES, BRIEF GUSTY WINDS, AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND, HAIL, AND
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
131 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

FLZ067-081800-
INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL
131 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY

* UNTIL 200 PM EDT

* AT 126 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES EAST OF HOLEY LAND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
  AREA...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  RURAL SOUTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND UP TO
NICKEL SIZED HAIL. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER
IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER
IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2665 8037 2636 8032 2635 8065 2653 8070
TIME...MOT...LOC 1732Z 255DEG 11KT 2646 8057

GARCIA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

FLZ067-068-071-072-168-081830-
COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL INLAND PALM
BEACH COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL
205 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY

* UNTIL 230 PM EDT

* AT 200 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAKE WORTH
  TO 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF CORAL SPRINGS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT...
  LOXAHATCHEE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...
  BOYNTON BEACH...
  OCEAN RIDGE...
  DELRAY BEACH...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING. LIGHTNING IS
THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN
SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL
THE STORM PASSES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2655 8004 2647 8005 2636 8006 2621 8031
      2644 8056 2667 8003 2666 8003 2663 8003
      2662 8004 2661 8003 2660 8004 2659 8003
      2655 8003
TIME...MOT...LOC 1805Z 291DEG 12KT 2659 8002 2638 8042

GARCIA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
232 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

FLZ067-068-071-072-168-172-081900-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL INLAND BROWARD
COUNTY FL INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL METRO
PALM BEACH COUNTY FL
232 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 231 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF OCEAN RIDGE TO TAMARAC...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT...
  BOCA RATON...
  COCONUT CREEK...
  DEERFIELD BEACH...
  LAUDERDALE LAKES...
  LIGHTHOUSE POINT...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2613 8010 2620 8040 2660 8013 2657 8003
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 284DEG 14KT 2647 8000 2624 8026

GARCIA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND GST     DELRAY BEACH            26.46N 80.09W
06/08/2012  E40.00 MPH       PALM BEACH         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A WIND GUST FROM A
            THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH NEAR LYONS ROAD ON THE
            BOARDER OF DELRAY BEACH AND BOCA RATON.

&&

CARACOZZA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
317 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

FLZ071-072-172-081945-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD
COUNTY FL
317 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 312 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LAUDERHILL. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
  STATIONARY.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  LAUDERHILL...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2626 8007 2617 8009 2615 8010 2613 8009
      2610 8010 2611 8036 2629 8037 2632 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 180DEG 0KT 2615 8021

85-GIBBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
349 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

FLZ072-074-172-173-082015-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL METRO BROWARD
COUNTY FL METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL
349 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY
  EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 348 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HALLANDALE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  HALLANDALE...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2589 8012 2590 8023 2608 8021 2608 8010
      2591 8011 2591 8010 2590 8010
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 276DEG 24KT 2598 8012

85-GIBBS