Alert archive / Arkansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2012

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Memphis, TN

February 13, 20125 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; Lake County, Tennessee

NWS Memphis, TN issued this winter storm warning at Feb 13, 2012, 3:44 AM CST for 5 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; Lake County, Tennessee. It took effect at Feb 13, 2012, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 13, 2012, 3:44 AM CST (09:44 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 13, 2012, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 13, 2012, 7:24 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN

Counties Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Lake County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-02-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-02-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

419 
WWUS44 KMEG 130944
WSWMEG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEARING DOWN ON THE MIDSOUTH...

.INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE MIDSOUTH THIS
MORNING WITH VERY DRY AIR REMAINING IN PLACE NEAR THE SURFACE. AS
THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO MOISTEN THIS AFTERNOON...PRECIPITATION
WILL WORK ITS WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE...GRADUALLY OVERCOMING THE
DRY AIR. AS IT DOES SO...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL AND SUPPORT SNOW
AND SLEET BY LATE AFTERNOON.

WARMER MID LEVEL AIR WILL THEN BEGIN TO WORK NORTH THIS EVENING
WITH A TRANSITION TO LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY 9 OR 10 PM.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-132200-
/O.UPG.KMEG.WS.A.0001.120213T1800Z-120214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMEG.WS.W.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WITH SOME SLEET
  MIXED IN EARLY THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
  NORTH OF JONESBORO OVER LAWRENCE AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL THEN MIX WITH SLEET DURING
  THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO DRIZZLE OR POSSIBLY
  FREEZING DRIZZLE BY 9 OR 10 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

MOZ113-115-TNZ001-132200-
/O.UPG.KMEG.WS.A.0001.120213T2200Z-120214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMEG.WS.W.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 2 INCHES OF SNOW WITH SOME
  SLEET MIXED IN THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL THEN MIX WITH SLEET DURING
  THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO DRIZZLE OR POSSIBLY
  FREEZING DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

ARZ027-035-132200-
/O.UPG.KMEG.WS.A.0001.120213T1800Z-120214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
POINSETT-CROSS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...WYNNE
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1
PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

ARZ028-132200-
/O.UPG.KMEG.WS.A.0001.120213T2200Z-120214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
MISSISSIPPI-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BLYTHEVILLE
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1
PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

TNZ002>004-019>021-048>051-132200-
/O.UPG.KMEG.WS.A.0001.120213T2200Z-120214T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T2200Z-120214T0300Z/
OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-
CROCKETT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...
DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4
PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AS
  ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

ARZ036-048-049-132200-
/O.NEW.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1
PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1 INCH.

* TIMING...SNOW...SLEET...AND SOME RAIN WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION
  WILL THEN TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

MSZ001>005-007-008-TNZ052>055-088>092-132200-
/O.NEW.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T2200Z-120214T0300Z/
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TUNICA-TATE-MADISON-
CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...
TUNICA...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...
COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...
SAVANNAH
344 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4
PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING.

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 1 INCH.

* TIMING...SNOW...SLEET...AND SOME RAIN WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION
  WILL THEN TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF
4 follow-up statements
736 
WWUS44 KMEG 131321
WSWMEG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
721 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEARING DOWN ON THE MIDSOUTH...

.INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE MIDSOUTH THIS
MORNING WITH VERY DRY AIR REMAINING IN PLACE NEAR THE SURFACE. AS
THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO MOISTEN THIS AFTERNOON...
PRECIPITATION WILL WORK ITS WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE...GRADUALLY
OVERCOMING THE DRY AIR. AS IT DOES SO...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL
AND SUPPORT SNOW AND SLEET BY LATE AFTERNOON.

WARMER MID LEVEL AIR WILL THEN BEGIN TO WORK NORTH THIS EVENING
WITH A TRANSITION TO LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY 9 OR 10 PM.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-MOZ113-115-TNZ001-132200-
/O.CON.KMEG.WS.W.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE
721 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WITH SOME 
  SLEET MIXED IN EARLY THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE 
  EXPECTED NORTH OF JONESBORO OVER LAWRENCE AND RANDOLPH 
  COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL THEN MIX WITH SLEET 
  DURING THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO DRIZZLE OR 
  POSSIBLY FREEZING DRIZZLE BY 9 OR 10 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-132200-
/O.CON.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T1900Z-120214T0300Z/
POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...
WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY
721 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN 
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

MSZ001>005-007-008-TNZ002>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-132200-
/O.CON.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T2200Z-120214T0300Z/
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TUNICA-TATE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...
TUNICA...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
721 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES NORTH OF I-40 AND UP TO
  AN INCH SOUTH OF I-40.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN 
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AS 
  ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF
907 
WWUS44 KMEG 131551
WSWMEG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
951 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEARING DOWN ON THE MIDSOUTH...

.INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE MIDSOUTH THIS
MORNING WITH VERY DRY AIR REMAINING IN PLACE NEAR THE SURFACE. AS
THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO MOISTEN THIS AFTERNOON...
PRECIPITATION WILL WORK ITS WAY DOWN TO THE SURFACE...GRADUALLY
OVERCOMING THE DRY AIR. AS IT DOES SO...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL
AND SUPPORT SNOW AND SLEET BY THE AFTERNOON.

WARMER MID LEVEL AIR WILL THEN BEGIN TO WORK NORTH THIS EVENING
WITH A TRANSITION TO LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY 9 OR 10 PM.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-MOZ113-115-TNZ001-140000-
/O.EXT.KMEG.WS.W.0001.120213T1800Z-120214T0300Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE
951 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WITH SOME SLEET
  MIXED IN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST
  AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF JONESBORO OVER LAWRENCE AND
  RANDOLPH COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL THEN MIX WITH SLEET 
  DURING THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO DRIZZLE OR 
  POSSIBLY FREEZING DRIZZLE BY 9 OR 10 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-140000-
/O.EXT.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T1800Z-120214T0300Z/
POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...
WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY
951 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN 
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

MSZ001>005-007-008-TNZ002>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-140000-
/O.EXT.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.120213T2100Z-120214T0300Z/
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TUNICA-TATE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...
TUNICA...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
951 AM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES NORTH OF I-40 AND UP 
  TO AN INCH SOUTH OF I-40. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN 
  TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE AROUND 9 PM. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AS 
  ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

RRH
214 
WWUS44 KMEG 132155
WSWMEG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
355 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH...

.RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW HAS MOVED IN FROM THE WEST AHEAD
OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. WARM MID-LEVEL AIR WILL BEGIN
WORKING ITS WAY IN THIS EVENING...LEADING TO A TRANSITION FROM
MOSTLY SNOW AND SLEET TO RAIN THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AS DRIER
AIR MOVES IN LATE THIS EVENING...THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL
DIMINISH AND DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. SOME
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS WHERE
TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER AROUND FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026-MOZ113-115-TNZ001-140300-
/O.CON.KMEG.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120214T0300Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE
355 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW WITH SOME 
  SLEET MIXED IN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE 
  HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF JONESBORO OVER LAWRENCE 
  AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW
  WILL MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
  TRANSITIONING TO DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

&&

$$

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-140300-
/O.CON.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120214T0300Z/
POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...
WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY
355 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
  EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT RAIN OR
  DRIZZLE BY AROUND 9 OR 10 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EVENING AS ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

MSZ001>005-007-008-TNZ002>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-140300-
/O.CON.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120214T0300Z/
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TUNICA-TATE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...
TUNICA...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
355 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES NORTH OF I-40 AND UP 
  TO AN INCH SOUTH OF I-40. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
  EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT RAIN OR
  DRIZZLE BY AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS THIS EVENING AS 
  ROADWAYS BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

RRH
608 
WWUS44 KMEG 140124
WSWMEG

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
724 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTRY PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH...

.SLEET...AND SNOW IS QUICKLY TRANSITIONING OVER TO RAIN ACROSS
THE MIDSOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND SLIGHTLY WARMER FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-MOZ113-115-TNZ001-140230-
/O.CAN.KMEG.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120214T0300Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...
KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE
724 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

WARMER AIR IS FILTERING IN ALOFT RESULTING IN A CHANGE OVER TO ALL
RAIN. NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF WINTER PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED. 

$$

ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-140230-
/O.CAN.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120214T0300Z/
POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...
WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY
724 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

WARMER AIR IS FILTERING IN ALOFT RESULTING IN A CHANGE OVER TO ALL
RAIN. NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF WINTER PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED. 


$$

MSZ001>005-007-008-TNZ002>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-140300-
/O.CON.KMEG.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120214T0300Z/
DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TUNICA-TATE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-
MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...
TUNICA...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...
HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...
BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH
724 PM CST MON FEB 13 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* SLEET ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN 1 INCH.

* TIMING...SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
  PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY
  AROUND 9 PM.

* IMPACTS...SOME SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 12, 11:36 PM CST, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 11:36 PM CST, 4 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1136 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 855 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012/

DISCUSSION...02Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A 1030 MB RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS IS RESULTING IN
CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES AS OF
8 PM CST.

00Z KLZK UPPER AIR SOUNDING THIS EVENING SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF LOW AND MID LEVEL DRY AIR PRESENT THIS EVENING. LATEST
00Z WRF AND 18Z WRF/GFS SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATE ISENTROPIC
ASCENT /LIFT/ WILL BEGIN ARRIVING LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
INTO THE DAY MONDAY. HOWEVER...IT WILL TAKE UNTIL MID TO LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO MOISTEN UP SUFFICIENTLY TO
PRODUCE PRECIPITATION THAT REACHES THE GROUND. SNOW...AND SLEET
REMAIN THE MOST LIKELY WINTRY PRECIPITATION TYPES TO OCCUR THUS
FAR...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-40 FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
MONDAY EVENING. STILL AWAITING THE 00Z GFS TO ARRIVE BEFORE
CONSIDERING ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO CURRENT FORECAST/WINTER WEATHER
PRECIPITATION TYPES AND HEADLINES. WILL MAKE ADJUSTMENTS TO
TEMPERATURES AND SKY COVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AS
CLOUDS GRADUALLY BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT.

UPDATED GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

CJC

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012/

UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 430 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012/

DISCUSSION...

WINTER WEATHER IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
MIDSOUTH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINTER WEATHER WILL BE
THE FOCUS OF THIS FORECAST DISCUSSION.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT.
THE CLOUDS WILL NOT ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP AS MUCH AS EXPECTED
BY GUIDANCE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH.
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO PLUMMET IN WESTERN TENNESSEE
WHERE THE CLOUDS WILL NOT MOVE IN UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING. LIGHT
SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

FOR MONDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE REGION BY
NOON. HOWEVER...IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN
REACHING THE GROUND DUE TO DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE INITIALLY.
SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY TOMORROW...ALLOWING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE REGION. THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...ALONG WITH THE FALLING PRECIPITATION...WILL MOISTEN THE
ATMOSPHERE ENOUGH TO ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN FALLING TO THE
SURFACE. EXPECTING PRECIPITATION TO START REACHING THE GROUND IN
NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS FIRST AROUND AND JUST AFTER NOON...AND THEN
POINTS EAST THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MOST OF THE INITIAL
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE SNOW NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND RAIN TO
THE SOUTH.

WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT WILL RESULT IN MIXED MODES OF
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE CHANCES FOR FREEZING
RAIN ARE LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE DUE TO INDICATIONS
OF WARMER SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. THE WARM
AIR ADVECTION ALOFT WILL CAUSE A GRADUAL CHANGE-OVER IN
PRECIPITATION FROM SNOW TO A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET TO ALL
RAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
40. PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COULD END UP MISSING THE
WINTRY WEATHER COMPLETELY DUE TO SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID
TO UPPER 30S.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE MUCH WARMER THAT MONDAY NIGHT. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOVE
TO THE NORTHEAST. BY WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH FOR THURSDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES ON FRIDAY.
THIS WILL ELIMINATE ANY CHANCES OF RAIN FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

RRH

.AVIATION...

06Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR TH NEXT 24 HOURS. AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM WILL USHER IN A CHANCE OF RAIN SLEET AND SNOW TOWARD
THE END OF THE TAF CYCLE. HOWEVER A DRY AIRMASS IS IN PLACE SO IT
WILL TAKE QUITE A WHILE FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO MOISTEN BEFORE ANY
PRECIPITATION MAKES IT TO THE SURFACE. IN ADDITION...SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL KEEP WARMER AIR FLOWING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT FURTHER LIMITING THE CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION.
WILL  ONLY INCLUDE PREVAILING SN AT JBR WITH RAIN ELSEWHERE.

CIGS WILL TREND LOWER THROUGHOUT THE TAF CYCLE...LIKELY GOING MVFR
AT JBR BY 20Z...MEG BY 00Z...MKL BY 01Z AND TUP BY 02Z. IFR CIGS
MAY DEVELOP BY 06Z AT JBR...MEM AND MKL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  25  40  35  51 /   0  90  90  10
MKL  18  41  34  48 /   0  60  90  20
JBR  23  35  31  45 /   0 100  80  10
TUP  23  46  36  55 /   0  50 100  20

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-POINSETT-RANDOLPH.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR MISSISSIPPI.

MO...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...NONE.
TN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HAYWOOD-HENRY-LAKE-
     LAUDERDALE-OBION-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 4:03 PM CST, 11 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
403 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-140015-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
403 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF
THE MIDSOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. FAR SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH SHOULD SEE ONLY RAIN. A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
COUNTIES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE
NEEDED FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ANY SNOW AND SLEET REPORTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

RRH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 13, 3:44 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis17 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Arkansas, 2012Winter Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2012Winter Storm Warnings in Tennessee, 2012Every winter storm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.