Severe Thunderstorm Warning 333, NWS Memphis, TN

467 
WWUS54 KMEG 262357
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
657 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

ARC021-MOC069-270015-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0333.000000T0000Z-120727T0015Z/
CLAY AR-DUNKLIN MO-
657 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN DUNKLIN AND CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 657 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 11 MILES EAST OF PROVIDENCE TO ST. FRANCIS TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST 
OF MCDOUGAL TO 8 MILES WEST OF SUCCESS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CORNING...
DATTO...GREENWAY...HICKORIA...KNOBEL...MCDOUGAL...PEACH ORCHARD...
PIGGOTT...POLLARD...ST. FRANCIS...SUCCESS...CAMPBELL...CLARKTON AND
GLENNONVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3662 8996 3645 8995 3635 8996 3634 8999
      3627 9075 3641 9075 3643 9077 3649 9077
      3650 9078 3650 9023 3654 9022 3655 9019
      3659 9019 3664 9014
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 289DEG 18KT 3650 8976 3644 9010
          3651 9044 3645 9085

$$

BORGHOFF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
346 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM NEAR MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS TO
SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO POP
UP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A FEW OF THEM HAVE BEEN SEVERE
ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...THUS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED JUST NORTH OF THE MIDSOUTH. SO FAR ONLY TWO
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER RANDOLPH AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES
IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. THE ACTIVITY IN MISSOURI WILL SINK
SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. HAVE BUMPED POPS UP TO
LIKELY FOR TONIGHT OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY DIE OUT BUT THAT MAY NOT BE UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT SO THE
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD SINK AS FAR SOUTH AS
MEMPHIS THUS HAVE RAISED POPS TONIGHT TO 40 PERCENT. HEAT ADVISORY
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 7 PM.

REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ON FRIDAY
GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WITH NORTH MISSISSIPPI HAVING THE
BEST CHANCE. EXPECT ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER OVER THE MIDSOUTH DURING
THE MORNING HOURS WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING UP AS
QUICKLY. IN ADDITION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL ALSO KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN. HEAT INDICES WILL BE MUCH LOWER THUS NO HEAT
ADVISORIES WILL BE NECESSARY. NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL MAY BE THE WARMEST EVEN BEHIND THE FRONT AS CLOUDS SHOULD
BREAK UP AND WITH DRIER AIR IN PLACE...READINGS MAY REACH INTO THE
MID 90S. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S.

THE WEEKEND...EXPECT WARM DAYS AND COOLER NIGHTS AS NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE AREA MOVES INTO NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT THUS EXPECT ONE MCS AFTER ANOTHER TO DEVELOP OVER THE MIDWEST AND
DRIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE CWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
HOURS THEN DIE OUT. THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET.
THEN EXPECT A REPEAT SCENARIO AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT...TUESDAY NIGHT ETC.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF SET

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE MIDSOUTH LATE THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.
CONTINUED VCTS AT KJBR AND KMKL. SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15
KTS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KTS LATER THIS MORNING. JBR AND MKL MAY
SEE A NORTHWEST SHIFT TOMORROW MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT AT
THIS POINT IT IS SO ILL-DEFINED DECIDED TO MAINTAIN SOUTHWEST
FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  76  90  75  96 /  40  30  10  10
MKL  73  88  71  95 /  60  20  10  10
JBR  73  93  73  98 /  60  20   0  10
TUP  77  92  74  95 /  20  60  20  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
354 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-271200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
354 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH TODAY
AS HEAT INDICES EXCEED 105 DEGREES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING NORTH OF A LINE FROM CLARKSDALE MISSISSIPPI TO TUPELO MISSISSIPPI.
THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS IS DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.