Severe Thunderstorm Warning 269, NWS Memphis, TN

813 
WWUS54 KMEG 112050
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
350 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

ARC035-TNC097-167-112100-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0269.000000T0000Z-120611T2115Z/
CRITTENDEN AR-LAUDERDALE TN-TIPTON TN-
350 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON...
SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE AND SOUTHEASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

AT 350 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA 
...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3465 8999 3491 9024 3496 9026 3555 8914
      3543 8885 3528 8880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 321DEG 38KT 3536 8898 3479 9006

$$

MSC033-093-137-TNC047-069-075-113-157-112115-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0269.000000T0000Z-120611T2115Z/
TATE MS-MARSHALL MS-DESOTO MS-SHELBY TN-FAYETTE TN-HARDEMAN TN-
HAYWOOD TN-MADISON TN-
350 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD...NORTHERN
HARDEMAN...FAYETTE...SOUTHERN SHELBY...DESOTO...NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL
AND NORTH CENTRAL TATE COUNTIES...

AT 350 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TOONE TO FREES CORNERS...OR ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF BOLIVAR TO HERNANDO...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HERNANDO...
HORN LAKE...MEMPHIS...NEWPORT...OLIVE BRANCH...SOUTHAVEN...BOLIVAR...
COLLIERVILLE...GERMANTOWN...HICKORY VALLEY...LA GRANGE...MOSCOW...
OAKLAND AND PIPERTON.

 THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR LAKE MCKELLAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3465 8999 3491 9024 3496 9026 3555 8914
      3543 8885 3528 8880
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 321DEG 38KT 3536 8898 3479 9006

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
320 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...

A SEVERE FORWARD PROPAGATING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (MCS)
CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHWEST TENNESSEE INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS WILL
CONTINUE TO RACE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THIS LINE HAS HAD A HISTORY OF WIND
DAMAGE AND THE PRE-CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
CONTINUED WIND DAMAGE WITH MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 4000 J/KG. THIS
MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF STRONGER
CAPPING/EML OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION. THIS LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE EVENING.

LATER TONIGHT...THE FORECAST BECOMES MORE UNCERTAIN AS THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL INITIALLY BE WORKED OVER FROM THIS AFTERNOONS MCS.
THE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SLOWS QUITE A BIT ACROSS NORTH-
CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND THIS AREA MAY BE PRIMED FOR REDEVELOPMENT
LATER THIS EVENING...WITH THE ATMOSPHERE POTENTIALLY RELOADING
ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
HINTS AT THIS OCCURENCE...BUT TIMING CONTINUES TO BE A PROBLEM AS
LATEST HRRR IS FASTER WITH MOST CONVECTION PRIOR TO 06Z AND ALL
OTHER MODEL GUIDANCE NOW SLOWER AND LINGERING CONVECTION THROUGH
THE NIGHT OVER THESE LOCATIONS. PLAN TO CARRY LIKELY POPS OVER THE
SOUTH AND WEST AFTER 06Z AND WILL MAINTAIN A SEVERE THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE LATE TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD
FRONT ALONG THE I-40 CORRIDOR BY MID MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTH THROUGH EASTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI BY AFTERNOON WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BECOMING MORE
NUMEROUS IN COVERAGE. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL AGAIN DESTABILIZE OVER
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE
STORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID SOUTH BY TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE AREA. THE FRONT
SHOULD STALL ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AS UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS
RISE. DRY AND VERY WARM WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL RETURN BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT BY FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR A DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO ADVANCE
BACK INTO THE MID SOUTH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE DURING PEAK HEATING ON BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A DRIER AIRMASS WILL WORK INTO THE AREA BY SUNDAY HELPING TO LIMIT
DIURNAL CONVECTION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONALLY WARM WITH
INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD.

JLH

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF SET

CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IS SET TO SWEEP THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS IS CORROBORATED WELL BY THE
LATEST HRRR RUN. HAVE TIMED TEMPO GROUPS AT ALL SITES. EXPECT A
FEW QUIET HOURS AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE FIRST ROUND OF TSRAS.
EXPECT REDEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO
THE REGION. KEPT A VCTS GOING FOR NOW SINCE IT IS DIFFICULT TO
TIME THIS MESOSCALE ACTIVITY BEYOND A FEW HOURS. EXPECT SSW WINDS
AT 8-10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE COMPLEX MOVES THROUGH WINDS
SHOULD SHARPLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND GUST. ADDED A WIND GROUP TO
KJBR IN ANTICIPATION OF THIS. NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH AT THE OTHER
3 SITES TO ADD THIS YET. EXPECT WINDS TO BACK AFTER THE COMPLEX
MOVES THROUGH AND THEN EVENTUALLY RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY
OVERNIGHT. THE FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AND WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AT 8-10 KTS.

SJM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  69  88  66  87 /  80  40  10  10
MKL  69  86  60  84 /  70  30  10  10
JBR  68  88  63  86 /  50  20  10  10
TUP  71  90  67  90 /  90  60  20  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1119 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-121830-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1119 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI
ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN AND
ANY STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...OR HAIL LARGER THAN QUARTER SIZE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.

JLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
229 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLYTHEVILLE             35.93N 89.92W
06/11/2012                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PIECES OF ROOF...PANELS OF SHINGLES...BEING BLOWN OFF A
            ROOF IN BLYTHEVILLE.

&&

RRH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
243 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SENATH                  36.13N 90.16W
06/11/2012                   DUNKLIN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOTS OF LIMBS DOWN 2 TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...WINDOW
            BLOWN OUT OF A TRAILER IN SENATH.

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GOSNELL                 35.96N 89.97W
06/11/2012                   MISSISSIPPI        AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOTS OF FENCES DOWN IN GOSWELL.

&&

RRH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
246 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JONESBORO               35.82N 90.69W
06/11/2012                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE TO A PLANT JUST EAST OF JONESBORO.

&&

RRH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
302 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E TIPTONVILLE         36.38N 89.44W
06/11/2012                   LAKE               TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN AT REELFOOT LAKE.

0254 PM     TSTM WND DMG     UNION CITY              36.42N 89.05W
06/11/2012                   OBION              TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN...1 TREE UPROOTED ON THE NORTH SIDE
            OF UNION CITY. WINDS ESTIMATED AT GREATER THAN 60 MPH.

&&

RRH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
316 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 S UNION CITY          36.31N 89.05W
06/11/2012                   OBION              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TRUCK BLOWN OFF HWY 45. TELEPHONE POLES SNAPPED. REPORT
            OF 60 MPH WIND GUST

&&

JPM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
318 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

ARZ035-036-048-049-MSZ007-112100-
CRITTENDEN AR-CROSS AR-LEE AR-ST. FRANCIS AR-TUNICA MS-
318 PM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR...

  SOUTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  LEE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN TUNICA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS
LOCATED FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF EARLE TO 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PALESTINE AT 318 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CRITTENDEN...CROSS...LEE...ST. FRANCIS AND TUNICA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR EARLE...FORREST CITY...HUGHES...
MADISON...MARIANNA...PALESTINE...PARKIN...VILLAGE CREEK STATE PARK
AND WYNNE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

.A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ADVISORY
AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 9115 3501 9106 3502 9105 3516 9105
      3544 9057 3544 9050 3503 9030 3499 9031
      3496 9028 3464 9080 3464 9104 3473 9106
      3474 9111 3486 9111 3490 9113 3491 9116
      3494 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 323DEG 33KT 3541 9045 3505 9103