Severe Thunderstorm Warning 173, NWS Memphis, TN

148 
WWUS54 KMEG 060606
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
106 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

TNC079-183-060616-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0173.000000T0000Z-120506T0630Z/
WEAKLEY TN-HENRY TN-
106 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN HENRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN WEAKLEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 106 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA 
AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3578 8831 3572 8860 3579 8861 3579 8862
      3607 8869 3607 8865 3610 8865 3614 8845
      3601 8841 3600 8839 3598 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 0606Z 345DEG 21KT 3607 8852

$$

TNC017-077-060630-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0173.000000T0000Z-120506T0630Z/
CARROLL TN-HENDERSON TN-
106 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON AND WESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 106 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HICO...OR NEAR MCKENZIE...MOVING SOUTH AT 25
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CEDAR
GROVE...CLARKSBURG...HUNTINGDON...MCLEMORESVILLE...PARKER'S CROSS
ROADS...TREZEVANT...HINKLEDALE...JARRELL...WINGO...NEW ZION...HICO...
LEACH...TATE AND PALMER SHELTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8831 3572 8860 3579 8861 3579 8862
      3607 8869 3607 8865 3610 8865 3614 8845
      3601 8841 3600 8839 3598 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 0606Z 345DEG 21KT 3607 8852

$$

167 
WWUS54 KMEG 060620
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
120 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

TNC017-077-060630-
/O.EXP.KMEG.SV.W.0173.000000T0000Z-120506T0630Z/
CARROLL TN-HENDERSON TN-
120 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON AND
WESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 130 AM CDT...

AT 120 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3578 8831 3572 8860 3579 8861 3579 8862
      3607 8869 3607 8865 3610 8865 3614 8845
      3601 8841 3600 8839 3598 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 0620Z 345DEG 21KT 3599 8849

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1230 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.UPDATE... /ISSUED 839 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012/

SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
IT APPEARS THAT THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT IS OVER SO
HAVE REMOVED POPS FROM FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. HAVE
ALSO REMOVED MENTION OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE HWO.

ARS

&&

.DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012/

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY FELT BY MIDSOUTHERNERS
THIS EARLY MAY AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID
80S OVER NORTHWEST TENNESSEE TO 90F OVER THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA.
WINDS WERE SOUTHERLY AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNDER A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN.
DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED SLIGHTLY THIS MORNING FROM THE LOW 70S TO
THE MID AND UPPER 60S...WITH HEAT INDICES RUNNING BETWEEN 88-93F.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY...A WEAK VORT MAX OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP A THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED STORM ALONG AND WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...WITH MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI. CU FIELD IN
THIS AREA THOUGH IS STILL CAPPED AS OF 2PM WITH A HIDDEN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THIS MORNING'S CONVECTION STRETCHED FROM DYERSBURG
TO PICKWICK DAM IN TENNESSEE. MODELS IN THIS AREA SHOWING MOST OF
THE QPF ACTUALLY FALLING BETWEEN THE 00-06Z TIME FRAME...WITH ONLY
THE GFS AND ECMWF HINTING AT SOMETHING FORMING PRIOR TO 00Z. HAVE
KEPT BEST CHANCES IN THE 21-03Z TIME FRAME. THE AIRMASS IS A
LOADED GUN FOR NOW WITH A STOUT CAP AT 850MB. IF THE SHORTWAVE CAN
BREAK THROUGH THIS INVERSION CAPE VALUES OF 4000 J/KG+...WILL
PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL AND WET MICROBURSTS. WILL LEAVE THIS
MENTION IN THE HWO. LATER SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY LATE WITH
LOWS STILL RUNNING TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE
MIDWEST. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A DIVING SHORTWAVE IN THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES FLATTENING THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ANY
CONVECTION SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CWA...WITH AN INCREASING THREAT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. SEVERE CHANCES LOOK TO BE BEST OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE AREA SHOULD BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT SEVERAL 90F READINGS
ON SUNDAY...WITH THE SOUTHERN HALF POSSIBLY HITTING 90 DEGREES ON
MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA THEN AGAIN OVER THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY AS THE FRONT
SLOWS. CLOUDY SKIES WITH PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP TUESDAY'S HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS PLACING A DRY EASTERLY
FLOW OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH CLOSER TO NORMAL
FOR EARLY MAY WITH READINGS IN THE 70S.

NEXT WEEKEND...LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS FROM THE ECMWF AND GFS SHOW A
BROAD TROUGH OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY WITH THE GFS DEPICTING
A POTENT CLOSED LOW CROSSING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE EURO
HAVING A MORE PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE UPPER/MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. HAVE INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY STARTING LATE
FRIDAY AS A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW SET UPS OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REBOUND BACK INTO THE 80S THIS PERIOD WITH DEWPOINTS
RETURNING TO THE 60S.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF SET

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD...DID
CONTINUE WITH A TEMPO GROUP FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF VISIBILITY 3SM IN
FOG AT KTUP 05/08Z-05/11Z. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST SATURDAY HELPING TO SPARK ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. MENTIONED VCTS AT KJBR 05/16Z-06/00Z. AT
KMEM...KMKL...AND KTUP MENTIONED VCTS 05/18Z-06/00Z AS DAYTIME
HEATING INCREASES THE INSTABILITY. S-SW WINDS MAINLY 7 KTS OR LESS
OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING SATURDAY TO 8-12 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 18
KTS AT KMEM AND KJBR. AFTER 06/00Z WINDS S-SW 5 KTS OR LESS.

JCL/KRM

&&

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  71  90  68  82 /  20  50  50  20
MKL  67  87  65  80 /  30  60  60  20
JBR  68  87  64  79 /  30  60  30  10
TUP  68  89  68  82 /  20  40  60  40

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
835 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-070345-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
835 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL SETTLE INTO THE MIDSOUTH LATE MONDAY THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY. SCATTERED STRONG AND ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT... LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1103 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

TNZ003-004-060445-
WEAKLEY TN-HENRY TN-
1103 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR...

  NORTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  NORTHEASTERN WEAKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED 8
MILES NORTH OF LATHAM AT 1103 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN HENRY AND WEAKLEY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 8855 3650 8881 3651 8881 3651 8835
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 298DEG 7KT 3655 8867

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1223 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

TNZ003-004-021-060600-
WEAKLEY TN-CARROLL TN-HENRY TN-
1223 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR...

  NORTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
  SOUTHEASTERN WEAKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED
OVER GLEASON AT 1223 AM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CARROLL...HENRY AND WEAKLEY COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS
NEAR MCKENZIE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8840 3601 8864 3625 8878 3634 8859
TIME...MOT...LOC 0523Z 330DEG 8KT 3622 8863

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1242 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 AM     HAIL             GLEASON                 36.22N 88.61W
05/06/2012  E1.25 INCH       WEAKLEY            TN   PUBLIC

            DIME TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL FELL IN GLEASON.

&&

KRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1243 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

TNZ004-060615-
HENRY TN-
1243 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR...

  NORTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED
OVER PARIS LANDING STATE PARK AT 1243 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN HENRY COUNTY...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR PARIS LANDING STATE
PARK...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3635 8809 3633 8809 3632 8810 3635 8822
      3651 8816 3651 8805 3647 8804 3644 8805
      3640 8801 3636 8799
TIME...MOT...LOC 0543Z 287DEG 18KT 3641 8808