Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 AM CDT MON AUG 6 2012

.AVIATION...
TSRA CHANCES APPEAR BEST ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST
SECTIONS...BETWEEN 20-23Z. EXPECT SCATTERED MVFR CONDITIONS
BETWEEN 10 AND 14Z DUE TO FOG.

55

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 AM CDT MON AUG 6 2012/

AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT REMAINS ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR
THE FRONT MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP CENTRAL AND
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON BUT HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE DOMINANT. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 543 AM CDT MON AUG 6 2012/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SAGGING INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS OR
NORTHERN LOUSIANA THIS MORNING BEFORE STALLING. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
STATE NEAREST THE FRONT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

OTHER THAN SMALL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION...THERE WILL BE SOME
PATCHY FOG IN THE WEST/SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING FOLLOWING STORMS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS...BUT
WILL REMAIN A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...BUT THEN THE FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN. THE
EXITING FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A NEW COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH LATE
THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN.
IN THE END...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COMMON IN
THE NEAR TERM AS IN THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
AN UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL BE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA TO
BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH AN UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE LOW WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST SUNDAY BUT THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.

WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER OVER THE AREA FOR FRIDAY. HOWEVER...A COUPLE
OF SHORT WAVES MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
TO BRING SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.
HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 90S
WITH SOME UPPER 80S IN THE NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     93  69  95  70 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         96  73  97  73 /  30  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       94  66  96  70 /  10  10   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    97  72  98  73 /  20  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  97  72  97  73 /  20  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     96  72  96  73 /  30  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      97  71  99  73 /  20  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  94  66  96  70 /  10  10   0  10
NEWPORT AR        94  70  94  71 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     96  72  96  73 /  30  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   97  70  99  72 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         95  71  96  72 /  20  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      96  72  95  72 /  20  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT MON AUG 6 2012

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-071000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT MON AUG 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT IN SOUTH ARKANSAS WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE TO THE LOUISIANA
BORDER BY LATE TODAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE REGAINING CONTROL OVER
MUCH OF THE STATE. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S IN
MOST LOCATIONS. MEANWHILE...HEAT INDEX READINGS WILL MAINLY BE IN
THE 95 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE.

THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN
SOUTH ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...LARGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

THE WILDFIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN HIGH TO EXTREME TODAY DUE TO THE
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BURN BANS ARE IN PLACE OVER MOST
COUNTIES OF ARKANSAS AND BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST LATER IN THE WEEK AS
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE PLAINS STATES.

THE WILDFIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN HIGH TO EXTREME THROUGHOUT THE WORK
WEEK. RAINFALL THAT DOES OCCUR EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL HAVE LITTLE
AFFECT ON THE CURRENT DROUGHT SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

51

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
855 AM CDT MON AUG 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GURDON                  33.92N 93.15W
08/05/2012                   CLARK              AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE OAK TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. SHINGLES WERE
            REMOVED FROM SEVERAL STRUCTURES AND TIN ROOFING WAS
            RIPPED OFF AND THROWN 500 FEET. POWER LINES AND POWER
            POLES ARE DOWN. SEVERAL TREES FELL ON A SUBSTATION
            KNOCKING OUT POWER TO MOST OF GURDON. A SEMI WAS BLOWN
            OFF THE ROAD AT THE TIME OF THE EVENT.

&&

MCLAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
904 AM CDT MON AUG 06 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S AMITY               34.22N 93.46W
08/05/2012                   CLARK              AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN OVER WESTERN CLARK COUNTY.

&&

MCLAY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
101 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2012

ARZ042-043-061830-
GARLAND AR-SALINE AR-
101 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN SALINE AND NORTHEASTERN
GARLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

AT 1256 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTH OF LAKE LAGO...OR 18 MILES NORTH
OF HOT SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LAKE WINONA...        LAKE LAGO...          LAKE CORONADO...
  LAKE BALBOA...        HOT SPGS VILLAGE...   REFORM...
  WOLF PINNACLE...      SHORT MTN...          MUSE MTN...
  LAKE PINEDA...        LAKE DESOTO...        LAKE CORTEZ...
  GOOSEPOND MTN...      BREAD CREEK PINNACLE...
  ANGLING PINNACLE...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3482 9278 3457 9294 3469 9306 3480 9297
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 298DEG 5KT 3474 9295

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