Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Little Rock, AR

090 
WWUS54 KLZK 302034
SVSLZK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
334 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

ARC019-302042-
/O.CAN.KLZK.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-120430T2100Z/
CLARK AR-
334 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA INTO HOT SPRING COUNTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 9281 3456 9280 3451 9279 3450 9277
      3434 9270 3427 9316 3437 9322
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 248DEG 19KT 3435 9307

$$

ARC051-059-302100-
/O.CON.KLZK.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-120430T2100Z/
GARLAND AR-HOT SPRING AR-
334 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN HOT
SPRING AND SOUTHEASTERN GARLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 330 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE HAMILTON...OR 
JUST NORTH OF BISMARCK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...  
  MALVERN...            LAKE HAMILTON...      ROCKPORT...  
  PERLA...              LONSDALE...           LAKE CATHERINE...  
  WILSON SPRINGS...     RED OAK...            PETTYVIEW...  
  MAGNET COVE...        GIFFORD...            DE ROCHE...  
  CANEY...              BISMARCK...           TRAP MTN...  
  TIGRE BAY...          SOCIAL HILL...        SLUNGER BAY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 89 AND 104.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 9281 3456 9280 3451 9279 3450 9277
      3434 9270 3427 9316 3437 9322
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 248DEG 19KT 3435 9307

$$

/46

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
246 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
CURRENT SURFACE DATA SHOWS THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE
NORTHWEST OF ARKANSAS HAS MOVED BACK TOWARD THE PLAINS. OUTFLOW
FROM MORNING CONVECTION HAS TOUCHED OFF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CENTRAL THIRD OF THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON.
NOT EXPECTING ANY WIDESPREAD OR EVEN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WITH
THIS...THOUGH A MARGINALLY STRONG STORM ISN/T OUT OF THE QUESTION
BEFORE SUNSET.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA TONIGHT...AS AN IMPULSE MOVES THROUGH IN THE MEAN
FLOW. ANY REMAINING CONVECTION FROM THIS SYSTEM SHOULD DIMINISH
DURING THE MORNING TUESDAY.

BIGGER STORY FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THE WARM WEATHER. UPPER
RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE AREA...WHICH WILL ENHANCE
SUBSIDENCE. SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL KEEP WARM AIR FLOWING
INTO THE REGION. THE END RESULT WILL BE SEVERAL DAYS OF
TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES.
&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE PERIOD. AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE IN THE
NORTHWEST EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING IN THE
EAST THE LOW WILL BE BLOCKED AND WILL NOT MOVE FAR INLAND.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE JUST SOUTHEAST OF ARKANSAS THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD. INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA. THE UPPER RIDGE SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH SUNDAY AND MONDAY TO
HOLD OFF ANY PRECIPITATION. WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE LONG TERM PERIOD...AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     64  85  65  86 /  40  20  10  10
CAMDEN AR         66  88  66  87 /  30  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       63  84  64  87 /  40  20  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    66  87  68  87 /  30  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  88  68  89 /  40  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  90  67  89 /  30  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      65  85  66  86 /  30  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  85  64  87 /  40  20  10  10
NEWPORT AR        67  86  67  87 /  40  20  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     66  87  66  87 /  30  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   63  87  63  88 /  40  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         63  85  62  85 /  40  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      66  87  67  87 /  40  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY...
RESULTING IN A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. WHILE THE THREAT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
LIMITED...A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD...
RESULTING IN MAINLY DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

44