Tornado Warning 18, NWS Baltimore/Washington

271 
WWUS51 KLWX 012230
SVSLWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
630 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

VAC069-139-171-187-012245-
/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120601T2245Z/
SHENANDOAH VA-WARREN VA-FREDERICK VA-PAGE VA-
630 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR PAGE...
FREDERICK...WARREN AND SHENANDOAH COUNTIES...

AT 627 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STRASBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FORT VALLEY...
  STRASBURG...
  FISHERS HILL...
  KARO...
  BUCKTON...
  MIDDLETOWN...
  RIVERSIDE...
  RELIANCE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR
VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

THIS TORNADO MAY BE WRAPPED IN RAIN AND HARD TO SEE. DO NOT WAIT TO
SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 7854 3886 7859 3908 7832 3899 7823
      3886 7818
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 233DEG 39KT 3891 7838

$$



HTS

427 
WWUS51 KLWX 012241
SVSLWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
641 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

VAC069-139-171-187-012251-
/O.EXP.KLWX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120601T2245Z/
SHENANDOAH VA-WARREN VA-FREDERICK VA-PAGE VA-
641 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...THE TORNADO WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM EDT FOR PAGE...
FREDERICK...WARREN AND SHENANDOAH COUNTIES...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. THUS THE TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3874 7854 3886 7859 3908 7832 3899 7823
      3886 7818
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 233DEG 39KT 3896 7824

$$

KRAMAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
228 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES SATURDAY AND PERSIST ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN AN A SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED PATTERN SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE
PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COMPLICATED SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE CENTER
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES...WITH A STRONG COLD
FRONT STRETCHING SOUTHWARD TO THE DEEP SOUTH. A WARM FRONT IS DRAPED
ACROSS THE MASON DIXON LINE.

MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. NICE
INVERTED V MODIFIED SOUNDING SHOWS THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WITH ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS. TORNADOES WILL BE  POSSIBLE
IN THE ACTIVITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND ALONG THE QLCS LINE ALONG THE
COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. QLCS FEATURES ARE CLIMATOLOGICAL LY FAVORED
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND ONLY MINIMAL INSTABILITY IS NECESSARY.
SO...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE EVEN
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.

THE QLCS LINE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD BEGIN IMPACTING THE
WESTERN CWFA AROUND 5 TO 6 PM...CROSSING THE BLUE RIDGE AROUND 7 TO
8 PM...AND FINALLY EAST OF THE CWFA BETWEEN 10 AND MIDNIGHT. THE
MULTICELLULAR CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT CONTINUES TO FILL IN
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE THIS AFTERNOON.

PWATS HAVE DOUBLED FROM LAST NIGHTS SOUNDING TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH
ACTIVITY EXPECTED ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AND THE COLD
FRONT...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE STORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE
ACROSS. IN ADDITION...AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE
LAST WEEK OR SO...IE DC...PRINCE WILLIAM...WESTERN MARYLAND AND
PORTIONS OF THE WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE WILL BE EVEN MORE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

PRECIP WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT IN MOST
LOCALES...BUT MAY HANG ON ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY THROUGH MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWS DOWN.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SATURDAY...SFC HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. EXPECT WLY WINDS 15 TO 20
MPH. TEMPERATURES RETURN BELOW NORMAL WITH MID 70S AND MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AN UPPER TROUGH SETS UP ACROSS THE ERN CONUS SATURDAY NIGHT AND
PERSISTS AT LEAST INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. SHORTWAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ENOUGH TO NOT WARRANT BETTER THAN LOW CHANCE POPS.
DETAILS ON THE IMPACTS OF THIS COMPLEX PATTERN WILL STILL NOT BE
AVAILABLE FOR PROBABLY A COUPLE MORE DAYS. THROUGH THE
EXTENDED...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST BELOW NORMAL
WITH EITHER CLOUDS OR COOLER CANADIAN SOURCED AIR ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC.  SOME STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF 60 KT AND GREATER WINDS...
LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.  AN ADDITIONAL LINE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH 1-2 HRS OF IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AT 5-10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY RETURNS FOR SATURDAY WITH WLY FLOW 15 KT WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20 KT. A SEMI-ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CAN THEN BE
EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH PERSISTS ACROSS
THE ERN CONUS.

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS OVERNIGHT. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM. NO
CHANGES TO THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NEEDED. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND
TO THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT TOWARDS DAWN.

WLY FLOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 18 KT ON SATURDAY SO NO SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY AS OF THIS TIME. A SEMI-ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS
THEN SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK UNDER AN UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
LESSER PREFERRED HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL BE CLOSE BUT EXPECTED
BELOW MINOR CRITERIA AT SENSITIVE LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...THE EARLY
MORNING PREFERRED HIGH TIDE WILL PROBABLY EXCEED MINOR AT
SENSITIVE LOCATIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE COMING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...SO THAT MAY DISRUPT THE INCREASE IN WATER LEVELS.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ530>543.

&&

LISTEMAA/SHEFFIELD/JACKSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
610 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-
021030-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
610 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT. IN ADDITION TO
ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A STRONG
COLD FRONT AND MOVE THROUGH THE METROPOLITAN AREAS BETWEEN 7 PM
AND MIDNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD ALSO
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR THE
WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER
AND MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE
SHORES OF THE UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS HAVE BEEN ACTIVATED. PLEASE RELAY ALL SEVERE WEATHER
REPORTS TO YOU LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MDZ003>005-009-010-501-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050-051-501>504-
WVZ050>053-055-501>506-021030-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
610 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT.  A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONT
AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD ALSO LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS HAVE BEEN ACTIVATED. PLEASE RELAY ALL SEVERE WEATHER
REPORTS TO YOU LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

KONARIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
505 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E CLINTON             38.76N  76.88W
06/01/2012                   PRINCE GEORGES     MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1200197

TCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
529 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 E JEFFERSON           39.36N  77.51W
06/01/2012                   FREDERICK          MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF A FUNNEL CLOUD 500 TO 1000 FEET OFF
            THE GROUND NEAR THE US 340 AND US 15 INTERSECTION

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1200198

JE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
531 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     HAIL             1 SSW EUDOWOOD          39.38N  76.60W
06/01/2012  E0.75 INCH       BALTIMORE          MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1200199

BJL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
558 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E REMINGTON           38.53N  77.79W
06/01/2012                   FAUQUIER           VA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            DAMAGE WAS REPORTED ACROSS 6 TO 12 HOMES OFF JUSTIN
            COURT IN REMINGTON.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1200200

BJL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
607 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BENSON              39.50N  76.39W
06/01/2012                   HARFORD            MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON PARSONAGE LANE IN
            FALLSTON.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1200201

JE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
609 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENSON                  39.50N  76.38W
06/01/2012                   HARFORD            MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1200202

BJL