Alert archive / Virginia / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Baltimore/Washington

October 19, 20125 counties in Virginia; Montgomery County, Maryland

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this special weather statement at Oct 19, 2012, 12:49 AM EDT for 5 counties in Virginia; Montgomery County, Maryland. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 19, 2012, 12:49 AM EDT (04:49 UTC)
Expired
Oct 19, 2012, 1:30 AM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington

Counties Montgomery County, MD, Arlington County, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Fairfax County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2012-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 203 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2012-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 208 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
203 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
714 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
334 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 19, 12:09 AM EDT, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 12:09 AM EDT, 40 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 10:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-
191015-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SHORES OF THE
UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER UNTIL 2 AM EDT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR
THE MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER FROM
INDIAN HEAD TO SMITH POINT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION LATE THIS
EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
WATERS...THEN CONTINUES FOR SOUTHERN MARYLAND WATERS FRIDAY
EVENING.

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY OCCUR NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING ALONG THE SHORE OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER
AND THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

MDZ003>005-009-010-501-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050-051-501>504-
WVZ050>053-055-501>506-191015-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE LATE
THIS EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 18, 11:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 18, 11:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 18, 11:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 18, 11:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 19, 12:12 AM EDT, 37 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 19, 12:49 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 8:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXRockingham30 min
Oct 18, 8:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPage, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Warren52 min
Oct 18, 9:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXFrederick, City of Winchester28 min
Oct 18, 9:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Frederick, Shenandoah, Warren, City of Winchester39 min
Oct 18, 9:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXMadison, Rappahannock34 min
Oct 18, 9:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXRockingham, Shenandoah35 min
Oct 18, 9:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Fauquier, Loudoun, Page, Rappahannock, Shenandoah and 1 more26 min
Oct 18, 10:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXFauquier, Loudoun37 min
Oct 18, 10:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville36 min
Oct 18, 10:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXOrange35 min
Oct 18, 10:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXLoudoun37 min
Oct 18, 10:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXLoudoun32 min
Oct 18, 10:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXOrange26 min
Oct 18, 11:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXOrange35 min
Oct 18, 11:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Madison, Orange29 min
Oct 18, 11:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXFauquier26 min
Oct 18, 11:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville37 min
Oct 18, 11:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXCulpeper31 min
Oct 19, 12:04 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryLWX3 hr
Oct 19, 12:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXPrince William, City of Manassas33 min
Oct 19, 12:56 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX47 min
Oct 19, 3:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXSpotsylvania33 min
Oct 19, 8:14 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX26 min
Oct 19, 2:06 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryLWX11 hr
Oct 19, 3:29 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryLWXArlington, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church11 hr
Oct 19, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXArlington, Fairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church32 min
Oct 19, 5:14 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX91 min
Oct 19, 5:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXArlington, Fairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church57 min
Oct 19, 5:53 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX97 min
Oct 19, 6:31 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX89 min
Oct 19, 6:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXArlington, City of Alexandria55 min
Oct 19, 7:59 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX91 min
Oct 18, 9:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXFrederick37 min
Oct 18, 9:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXFrederick24 min
Oct 18, 9:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXWashington38 min
Oct 18, 9:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick, Washington30 min
Oct 18, 10:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXCarroll30 min
Oct 18, 10:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXCarroll37 min
Oct 18, 11:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXHoward, Montgomery25 min
Oct 19, 1:29 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXBaltimore, Howard, City of Baltimore46 min
Oct 19, 2:11 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXHarford34 min
Oct 19, 6:27 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore33 min
Oct 19, 6:52 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore, Harford38 min
Oct 18, 9:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWXMorgan29 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Virginia, 2012Special Weather Statements in Maryland, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.