River Flood Warning 7, NWS Baltimore/Washington

826 
WGUS81 KLWX 292059
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
  GOOSE CREEK NEAR LEESBURG AFFECTING LOUDOUN COUNTY 
  CACAPON RIVER NEAR GREAT CACAPON AFFECTING MORGAN COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-300458-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.121030T0300Z-121101T1434Z/
/MBGW2.3.ER.121030T0300Z.121031T0000Z.121101T0834Z.NR/
458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* FROM LATE THIS EVENING UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND CREST 
  NEAR 18.0 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS 
  HOMES ARE FLOODED EAST OF MARTINSBURG...ALONG WITH ALL OF THE LOWER
  PORTION OF THE STONEBRIDGE GOLF CLUB. THE WORST FLOODING IS SOUTH 
  OF THE RAILROAD BRIDGE.

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED          8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME        MON  TUE  TUE   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0  3.6 MON 4 PM        7.9 12.0 14.9  18.0 TUE 8 PM 

$$

VAC107-300458-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0009.121030T0400Z-121031T2130Z/
/LEEV2.3.ER.121030T0400Z.121030T1800Z.121031T1530Z.NO/
458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GOOSE CREEK NEAR LEESBURG.
* FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND CREST 
  NEAR 18.5 FEET BY MID-AFTERNOON TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...WATER THREATENS SEVERAL HOMES SOUTH OF 
  LEESBURG. HIGHWAY 15 WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE CLOSED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.9 FEET
  ON MAY 12 2008.  

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED          8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME        MON  TUE  TUE   STG DAY TIME

GOOSE CREEK
LEESBURG      12.0  3.2 MON 4 PM        5.1 13.5 16.4  18.5 TUE 2 PM 

$$

WVC065-300458-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0005.121030T0900Z-121101T1724Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.121030T0900Z.121031T0000Z.121101T1124Z.NO/
458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CACAPON RIVER NEAR GREAT CACAPON.
* FROM TOMORROW MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 1.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CREST 
  NEAR 14.0 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS REACH TRAILER PARK ROAD NEAR 
  LARGENT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.1 FEET
  ON MAY 19 2011.  

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED          8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME        MON  TUE  TUE   STG DAY TIME

CACAPON RIVER
GREAT CACAPON  9.0  1.6 MON 4 PM        3.3  7.2 10.2  14.0 TUE 8 PM 

$$

JE

701 
WGUS81 KLWX 300238
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
1038 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-301038-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.121030T0613Z-121101T0834Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0613Z.121031T0000Z.121101T0234Z.NO/
1038 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND CREST 
  NEAR 14.7 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER REACHES HOMES ON DOUGLAS GROVE 
  ROAD...AND MAY BE NEAR A HOME ON ABBIE LANE. HUNDREDS OF ACRES OF 
  FIELDS ARE FLOODED NEAR THE CREEK. BLAIRTON ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD...
  AND NUMEROUS OTHER ROADS ARE ALREADY FLOODED AND CLOSED.

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   MON  MON  TUE  TUE   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0  6.2 MON 10 PM 14.2 14.7 13.7 12.6  14.7 TUE 8 PM 

$$

101 
WGUS81 KLWX 300811
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
411 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MARYLAND...
 
  CONOCOCHEAGUE CREEK AT FAIRVIEW AFFECTING WASHINGTON COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

MDC043-301611-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-121101T1245Z/
/FAVM2.2.ER.121030T1000Z.121031T0000Z.121101T0645Z.NO/
411 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONOCOCHEAGUE CREEK AT FAIRVIEW.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 
  14.0 FEET BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER FLOODS SEVERAL HOMES NORTH OF 
  WILLIAMSPORT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.6 FEET
  ON APR 17 2011.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   TUE  TUE  WED  WED   STG DAY TIME

CONOCOCHEAGUE CREEK
FAIRVIEW      10.0  9.4 TUE 4 AM  12.4 14.0 13.7 12.9  14.0 TUE 8 PM 

$$

474 
WGUS81 KLWX 301353
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
953 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-302153-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121101T0500Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0654Z.121031T0000Z.121031T2300Z.NO/
953 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  10 AM TUESDAY WAS 11.7 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER REACHES HOMES ON DOUGLAS GROVE 
  ROAD...AND MAY BE NEAR A HOME ON ABBIE LANE. HUNDREDS OF ACRES OF 
  FIELDS ARE FLOODED NEAR THE CREEK. BLAIRTON ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD...
  AND NUMEROUS OTHER ROADS ARE ALREADY FLOODED AND CLOSED.

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   TUE  TUE  WED  WED   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0 11.7 TUE 10 AM 12.9 14.0 13.2 12.3  14.0 TUE 8 PM 

$$

JE

166 
WGUS81 KLWX 301911
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
311 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-310311-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121101T0400Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0654Z.121031T0000Z.121031T2200Z.NO/
311 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 3 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  3 PM TUESDAY WAS 12.6 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY 
  EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...THE CREEK IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS. 
  PORTIONS OF STONEBRIDGE GOLF CLUB ARE FLOODED. GOLF COURSE ROAD 
  /COUNTY ROAD 36/ IS FLOODED NEAR THE STONE BRIDGE. FIELDS AND 
  BACKYARDS NEAR THE CREEK ARE FLOODED AND SOME RESIDENTS MAY NEED TO
  MOVE ITEMS TO HIGHER GROUND. SEVERAL OTHER ROADS ARE FLOODED...
  INCLUDING GRAPEVINE ROAD...DOUGLAS GROVE ROAD...AND PAYNES FORD 
  ROAD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.3 FEET
  ON MAY 18 2011.  

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED          8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME        TUE  WED  WED   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0 12.6 TUE 3 PM       13.2 12.9 12.1  13.2 TUE 8 PM 

$$

JE

416 
WGUS81 KLWX 310125
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
925 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-310925-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121101T0600Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0654Z.121031T0600Z.121101T0000Z.NO/
925 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 9 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  9 PM TUESDAY WAS 13.4 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY 
  OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...THE CREEK IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS. 
  PORTIONS OF STONEBRIDGE GOLF CLUB ARE FLOODED. GOLF COURSE ROAD 
  /COUNTY ROAD 36/ IS FLOODED NEAR THE STONE BRIDGE. FIELDS AND 
  BACKYARDS NEAR THE CREEK ARE FLOODED AND SOME RESIDENTS MAY NEED TO
  MOVE ITEMS TO HIGHER GROUND. SEVERAL OTHER ROADS ARE FLOODED...
  INCLUDING GRAPEVINE ROAD...DOUGLAS GROVE ROAD...AND PAYNES FORD 
  ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON SMALL TRIBUTARIES...
  INCLUDING TUSCARORA CREEK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.9 FEET
  ON MAR 14 2010.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2AM  8AM  2PM  8PM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  WED  WED   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0 13.4 TUE 9 PM  13.5 12.9 11.7 10.0  13.5 WED 2 AM 

$$

900 
WGUS81 KLWX 310744
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
VIRGINIA...
 
  GOOSE CREEK NEAR LEESBURG AFFECTING LOUDOUN COUNTY
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MARYLAND...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...
 
  POTOMAC RIVER AT POINT OF ROCKS AFFECTING FREDERICK AND LOUDOUN 
  COUNTIES 
  POTOMAC RIVER NEAR LITTLE FALLS AFFECTING MONTGOMERY AND FAIRFAX 
  COUNTIES 
  SHENANDOAH RIVER AT MILLVILLE AFFECTING CLARKE AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
  RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER AT REMINGTON AFFECTING CULPEPER AND FAUQUIER 
  COUNTIES 
  CONOCOCHEAGUE CREEK AT FAIRVIEW AFFECTING WASHINGTON COUNTY 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
  ANTIETAM CREEK NEAR SHARPSBURG AFFECTING WASHINGTON COUNTY 
  MONOCACY RIVER NEAR FREDERICK AFFECTING FREDERICK COUNTY 
  CACAPON RIVER NEAR GREAT CACAPON AFFECTING MORGAN COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MARYLAND...VIRGINIA...WEST VIRGINIA...
  POTOMAC RIVER AT HARPERS FERRY AFFECTING WASHINGTON...LOUDOUN AND 
  JEFFERSON COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

MDC021-311544-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-121101T0100Z/
/FDKM2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.121031T0345Z.121031T1900Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONOCACY RIVER NEAR FREDERICK.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 2 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  2 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 21.8 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MID-AFTERNOON TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER REACHES GAMBRILL MILL ON THE MONOCACY
  NATIONAL BATTLEFIELD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.1 FEET
  ON DEC 27 2009.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

MONOCACY RIVER
FREDERICK     15.0 21.4 WED 2 AM  15.0 13.0 11.1  9.8       

$$

MDC043-VAC107-WVC037-311544-
/O.CON.KLWX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HFEW2.1.ER.121031T1620Z.121031T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POTOMAC RIVER AT HARPERS FERRY.
* FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY MID-AFTERNOON TODAY. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...THE EMPLOYEE PARKING LOT AT HISTORIC 
  HARPERS FERRY FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.1 FEET
  ON MAY 19 2011.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

POTOMAC RIVER
HARPERS FERRY 18.0 14.9 WED 2 AM  18.5                 18.5 WED 2 PM 

$$

MDC021-VAC107-311544-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-121102T0000Z/
/PORM2.2.ER.121031T0355Z.121101T0000Z.121101T1800Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POTOMAC RIVER AT POINT OF ROCKS.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  3 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  MID-AFTERNOON TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE C AND O CANAL 
  TOWPATH NEAR POINT OF ROCKS AND BRUNSWICK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET
  ON JAN 27 2010.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

POTOMAC RIVER
POINT OF ROCK 16.0 17.0 WED 3 AM  20.1 21.1 19.4 17.9  21.1 WED 8 PM 

$$

MDC031-VAC059-311543-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0018.121031T1200Z-121101T2024Z/
/BRKM2.1.ER.121031T1200Z.121101T0000Z.121101T1424Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POTOMAC RIVER NEAR LITTLE FALLS.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 
  10.7 FEET BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING .
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...WATER COVERS THE TOWPATH BETWEEN SWAINS 
  LOCK AND PENNYFIELD LOCK...MILEPOSTS 17 TO 19. THE BASEMENTS OF THE
  EDWARDS FERRY LOCKHOUSE AND RILEYS LOCKHOUSE ARE FLOODED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.8 FEET 
  ON SEP 9 2011.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

POTOMAC RIVER
LITTLE FALLS  10.0  9.6 WED 3 AM  10.4 10.7 10.6 10.2  10.7 WED 8 PM 

$$

WVC003-037-311543-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121101T0300Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0654Z.121031T0345Z.121031T2100Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  3 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 13.4 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.5 FEET...THE CREEK IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS. 
  PORTIONS OF STONEBRIDGE GOLF CLUB ARE FLOODED. GOLF COURSE ROAD 
  /COUNTY ROAD 36/ IS FLOODED NEAR THE STONE BRIDGE. FIELDS AND 
  BACKYARDS NEAR THE CREEK ARE FLOODED AND SOME RESIDENTS MAY NEED TO
  MOVE ITEMS TO HIGHER GROUND. SEVERAL OTHER ROADS ARE FLOODED...
  INCLUDING GRAPEVINE ROAD...DOUGLAS GROVE ROAD...AND PAYNES FORD 
  ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON SMALL TRIBUTARIES...
  INCLUDING TUSCARORA CREEK.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.3 FEET
  ON MAY 18 2011.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0 12.9 WED 3 AM  10.8  9.4  8.1  6.8       

$$

VAC043-WVC037-311543-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-121031T1900Z/
/MILW2.1.ER.121030T1850Z.121031T0400Z.121031T1300Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHENANDOAH RIVER AT MILLVILLE.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR 
  10.2 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...PARTS OF BLOOMERY ROAD AND JOHN RISSLER 
  ROAD ARE FLOODED NEAR BLOOMERY WEST VIRGINIA. ONCE THESE ROADS 
  FLOOD...ACCESS TO HOMES IS IMPAIRED BUT THE HOMES THEMSELVES ARE 
  NOT IN ANY DANGER OF FLOODING. MOULTON PARK AND THE MILLVILLE BOAT 
  LAUNCH ARE ALSO FLOODED.

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

SHENANDOAH RIVER
MILLVILLE     10.0  9.6 WED 3 AM   9.3  8.2  7.8  7.2       

$$

VAC047-061-311337-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-121031T1337Z/
/RENV2.1.ER.121030T1730Z.121030T2315Z.121031T0737Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER AT REMINGTON.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  3 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 15.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  OVERNIGHT LAST NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...TIN POT RUN ROAD AND SUMERDUCK ROAD NEAR 
  REMINGTON ARE FLOODED.

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER
REMINGTON     15.0 15.2 WED 3 AM  10.8  8.7  7.3  6.8       

$$

MDC043-311543-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-121031T2000Z/
/FAVM2.1.ER.121030T1050Z.121030T2215Z.121031T1400Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONOCOCHEAGUE CREEK AT FAIRVIEW.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  3 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 11.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SEVERAL ROADS...INCLUDING WISHARD ROAD...
  KEMPS MILL ROAD...INDEPENDENCE ROAD...CRESS POND ROAD...AND WALNUT 
  POINT ROAD...ARE FLOODED NORTH OF WILLIAMSPORT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 9.7 FEET 
  ON APR 15 2007.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

CONOCOCHEAGUE CREEK
FAIRVIEW      10.0 11.2 WED 3 AM   9.3  8.4  7.7  7.1       

$$

MDC043-311543-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-121031T2100Z/
/SACM2.1.ER.121030T0224Z.121031T0345Z.121031T1500Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ANTIETAM CREEK NEAR SHARPSBURG.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  3 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 9.8 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES THE LOWEST CORNER OF THE 
  OLD BURNSIDE BRIDGE. BURNSIDE BRIDGE ROAD IS FLOODED AND CLOSED...
  AND TRAILS ALONGSIDE THE CREEK IN ANTIETAM BATTLEFIELD ARE FLOODED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.4 FEET 
  ON APR 29 2011.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

ANTIETAM CREEK
SHARPSBURG    8.0  9.1 WED 3 AM   7.7  7.3  6.8  6.4       

$$

WVC065-311543-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121031T2338Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.121030T1223Z.121031T0000Z.121031T1738Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CACAPON RIVER NEAR GREAT CACAPON.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 2 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  2 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 15.1 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...RUNNING WATERS WAY BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.9 FEET
  ON APR 21 2008.  

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

CACAPON RIVER
GREAT CACAPON 9.0 12.0 WED 2 AM   8.9  7.9  7.3  6.7       

$$

VAC107-310814-
/O.CAN.KLWX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-121031T1800Z/
/LEEV2.3.ER.121030T0558Z.121030T1815Z.121031T0618Z.NO/
344 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GOOSE CREEK NEAR LEESBURG.
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE CREEK REACHES BANKFULL. SOME MINOR 
  OVERBANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING BETWEEN MIDDLEBURG AND OATLANDS.

&& 


RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

GOOSE CREEK
LEESBURG      12.0 11.4 WED 3 AM   5.6  4.3  3.8  3.4       

$$

533 
WGUS81 KLWX 311309
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
909 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-312100-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121031T2100Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0654Z.121031T0345Z.121031T1500Z.NO/
909 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. 
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE MAXIMUM RIVER STAGE IN THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT
  9 AM WEDNESDAY WAS 12.4 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS BEGIN TO COVER DOUGLAS GROVE 
  ROAD /COUNTY ROAD 9 OVER 16/ EAST OF MARTINSBURG. LOW LYING AREAS 
  NEAR THE CREEK BEGIN TO FLOOD. WATER ALSO BEGINS TO COVER THE 
  STREAM ACCESS POINT AT STONE BRIDGE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.4 FEET
  ON APR 29 2011.  

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED     2PM  8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME   WED  WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0 10.2 WED 9 AM   9.4  8.3  7.1  6.2     CRESTED  

$$

JE

009 
WGUS81 KLWX 311908
FLSLWX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 
308 PM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...
 
  OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG AFFECTING BERKELEY AND JEFFERSON 
  COUNTIES
  CACAPON RIVER NEAR GREAT CACAPON AFFECTING MORGAN COUNTY
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH A FLOODED ROADWAY...THIS IS HOW MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS RESULT.  

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR 
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET.

&&

WVC003-037-311938-
/O.CAN.KLWX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121031T2100Z/
/MBGW2.2.ER.121030T0654Z.121031T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
308 PM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE OPEQUON CREEK NEAR MARTINSBURG.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED          8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME        WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

OPEQUON CREEK
MARTINSBURG   10.0  6.8 WED 2 PM        6.3  5.7  5.2     CRESTED

$$

WVC065-311938-
/O.CAN.KLWX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121101T0000Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.121030T1223Z.121031T0000Z.121031T1648Z.NO/
308 PM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CACAPON RIVER NEAR GREAT CACAPON.
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.

&& 

RIVER        FLOOD    OBSERVED          8PM  2AM  8AM        CREST
LOCATION     STAGE  STG DAY TIME        WED  THU  THU   STG DAY TIME

CACAPON RIVER
GREAT CACAPON 9.0   8.8 WED 2 PM        8.2  7.7  6.9      CRESTED

$$

JE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
432 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...

HURRICANE SANDY IS APPROXIMATELY 390 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WASHINGTON
D.C. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST TODAY...AND
MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY TONIGHT. THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE WILL THEN SLOWLY TRACK INLAND INTO PENNSYLVANIA. THIS
LARGE STORM WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO THE ENTIRE REGION
THROUGH MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

06Z IAD SNDG IS IN.

HISTORIC WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS FOR THE CENTRAL MID ATLANTIC
AS SANDY MAKES LANDFALL. FOR A CONCISE SUMMARY OF THREATS AND THEIR
IMPACTS PLEASE SEE THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ON
SANDY...SPSLWX. THERE IS A LINK TO THIS IN BIG RED LETTERS AT THE
TOP OF OUR WEBPAGE... WEATHER.GOV/LWX.

AS OF 08Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY IS MOVING QUICKLY TO THE
NORTH. IT IS NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS AND PRETTY MUCH EVEN WITH THE
NC/VA BORDER. CONVERGENT WIND IS STILL APPARENT ACROSS THE LWX CWA
WITH NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WEST OF I-95 AND NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY
EAST. THIS HAS KEPT THE HEAVY BANDS MOSTLY EAST OF THE WRN SHORE OF
THE BAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REST OF THE
CWA THROUGH THE MORNING. SNOW IS ONGOING ABOVE ABOUT 3500 FT /KHSP
IS 34 AND MODERATE SNOW/. WHETHER THIS STAYS COLD/SNOW THROUGH THE
DAY IS A QUESTION...BUT ANY ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE AT THE EXTREME
POINTS. TRUE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS
/SAY ABOVE 3000 FT/ THIS EVENING WHERE THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT.

SANDY WILL MAKE HER NORTHWEST THEN WEST TURN BEFORE MAKING
LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AS A POTENT POST-TROPICAL STORM
THIS EVENING. A COMBINATION OF THE POST-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND
TURN OF SANDY WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN BANDS MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN
2/3 OF THE CWA. PLEASE PAY ATTENTION TO AREAL AND RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS ISSUED THROUGH THIS EVENT. SEVERAL INCHES...PARTICULARLY
IN URBAN AREAS WILL BE QUITE IMPACT FULL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...

WORST OF THE WORST FOR LWX. THE WESTWARD INLAND TRACK OF
SANDY THEN MUDDIES WITH THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE
AND THE 00Z NAM NORTH OF HARRISBURG PA. WIND DIRECTION PLAYS
DIRECTLY INTO THE LOCATION OF THE LOW CENTER. ONLY THING OF
CERTAINTY WIND WISE FOR TONIGHT WAS TO BACK FLOW TO WLY EARLIER...IN
THE EARLY MORNING TIMEFRAME. WIND GUSTS STILL EXPECTED IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH WITH 70 MPH CERTAINLY POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY NORTH FROM DC.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR WESTERLY FLOW LIMITING PRECIP LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

WE ARE CONCERNED BECAUSE THE MDLS ARE IN CONSENSUS REGARDING THE CUTOFF
LOW STALLING OVR CENTRAL MD TUE. HVY RAINS WILL EXACERBATE THE FLD
THREAT. AN XCLNT HYDRO SXN IS BLO.

THERE RMNS PTNTL FOR A PROLONGED UPSLOPE SNOW IN THE FAR WEST. MAIN
FOCUS SHOULD BE ON IMPACTS...WHICH LOOK TO BE SIGNIFICANT. IT'S
PRETTY AMAZING TO SEE THAT JUST LAST YR - OCT 29/30...A NOR'EASTER
BROUGHT HVY WET SNOW FM THE HIGHER ELEVS OF ERN W.V./WRN MD TO NEW
ENGLAND. THIS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT POWER OUTAGES IN THE NERN U.S.
FEAR IS THIS IMPACT WL HAPPEN AGN. METEOROLOGICALLY THIS STORM IS
SOMEWHAT UNCHARTERED TERRITORY...AND SNOWFALL AMTS ARE DIFFICULT
TO GET AN EXACT HANDLE ON. ELEVATION LOOKS TO BE A KEY FACTOR. FOR
NOW WE ARE LOOKING AT 2000 FT AS BEING THE KEY HGT. IN HIGHLAND CO
THE TOWN OF MONTEREY IS AT 2900 FT. DRIVING N TO PENDLETON CO THE
ELEVATION IN FRANKLIN IS 1800 FT - THIS COULD LEAD TO BIG
DIFFERENCES IN TOTALS FOR TOWNS JUST 21 MILES APART.

THE THREAT OF UPSLOPE SNOW CONTINUES THRU MUCH OF THE WK...PROBABLY
INTO THURSDAY. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF PRECIPITATION MAKING IT EVEN
BEYOND THE WESTERN FRONT INTO THE REST OF THE HIGHLANDS... MAYBE
EVEN UP TO THE BLUE RIDGE.

E OF THE MTNS...2ND HALF OF THE WK WILL BE THE CALM AFTER THE STORM.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S IN LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
AROUND 40.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

CIGS NEAR IFR THROUGH THE DAY WITH LOWERING VSBYS AS HEAVIER RAIN
SPREADS WEST ACROSS THE TERMINALS MIDDAY INTO TONIGHT. WLY FLOW MAY
RAISE CIGS INTO MVFR LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS PRECIP CONTINUES.
WINDS MOST IMPACT FULL WITH NLY GUSTS INCREASING ABOVE 30 KT THIS
MORNING...QUICKLY INCREASING TO NWLY 45 TO 50 KT BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. POSSIBLE NW 55 KT GUSTS TONIGHT NORTH FROM KDCA.

SEVERE IMPACTS ON AVIATION THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOW CLOUDS...EXTREME
WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION ARE EXPECTED FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEK AT THE MAJOR TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...

HURRICANE WIND WARNING...PARTICULARLY FOR NW WINDS GUSTING 50 TO
POSSIBLY 65 KT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING GOING DOWN THE BAY. STORM
WARNING FOR MID AND UPR TIDAL POTOMAC WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT
TONIGHT.

WINDS REACHING/EXCEEDING SCA CRITERIA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY...AND I ACTUALLY HAVE WIND
GUSTS MEETING SCA CRITERIA IN AT LEAST A PORTION OF THE WATERS
THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE COULD BUILD IN
AND WEAKEN THE WIND FIELDS BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

WE HV 5-9 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE IN THE I-270 CORRIDOR THROUGH
THE DC METRO AREA AND DOWN THROUGH SOUTHERN MARYLAND. AMOUNTS
COULD BE EVEN HIGHER CLOSE TO THE BAY. 3-5 INCHES OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN HIGHLANDS AND RAPPAHANNOCK BASIN...WITH
LOWER AMOUNTS OF JUST 1-3 INCHES IN THE STAUNTON/WAYNESBORO/
CHARLOTTESVILLE/HARRISONBURG AREAS.

OUR RAINFALL PROJECTIONS HAVE OVER AN INCH OF RAIN PER SIX HOUR
PERIOD FOR 24 HOURS IN THE AREA WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
ANTICIPATED. SOME FLASH FLOODING WOULD OCCUR IF MORE THAN THIS IS
EXPECTED...AND IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH LOWER AMOUNTS IN AREAS WHERE
FALLEN LEAVES /OR PERHAPS OTHER WIND-DRIVEN DEBRIS/ MAY CLOG
DRAINAGE SYSTEMS. THESE FACTORS ALSO APPLY FOR LONGER-DURATION
STREAM FLOODING...WHICH IS LIKELY TO BE SIGNIFICANT AND LENGTHY...
EVEN ON STREAMS THAT ARE USUALLY FAST TO RISE AND FALL.

THE FLOOD THREAT BEGINS LATE TONIGHT. THE SMALLER STREAM AND URBAN
FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY. THEN WE TURN ATTENTION TO
THE RIVER FORECAST LOCATIONS. AT THIS TIME...FIVE OF THOSE POINTS
/CONOCOCHEAGUE...MONOCACY...OPEQUON...SENECA...AND ANTIETAM/ ARE
FORECAST TO GO TO FLOOD. WE HAVE BEEN INCLUDING THAT IN THE FLOOD
WATCH BUT WARNING DECISIONS WILL LIKELY COME TONIGHT OR TOMORROW IF
THE FORECASTS HOLD...WHICH SO FAR...THEY HAVE.

IF EVERYTHING PLAYS OUT AS FORECAST...THE CREST MAY NOT GET DOWN TO
LITTLE FALLS UNTIL FRIDAY OR SATURDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

NORTHERLY FLOW INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. NORTHERN PART OF THE BAY
WILL SEE BLOW OUT THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE THE QUICKLY SURGING
BACK UP THE BAY TUESDAY MORNING. WILL DROP THE COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY FOR ANNE ARUNDEL AND NORTH FOR TODAY...THEN CONTINUE THE
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
     FOR DCZ001.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR DCZ001.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR DCZ001.
MD...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
     FOR MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR MDZ007-011-013-014-016>018.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR MDZ003>007-009>011-013-
     014-016>018-501-502.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR MDZ007-
     011-014-017-018.
VA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
     FOR VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050>057-501>504.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR VAZ503-504.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR VAZ052>055-057.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR VAZ028-031-042-052>055-
     057-501-502.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR VAZ054.
WV...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
     FOR WVZ050>053-055-501>506.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR WVZ501-503-505-506.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WVZ050>053-503-504.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     ANZ530>534-537>543.
     STORM WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ535-536.

&&

PRODUCTS...BAJ/CAS/WOODY!

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
557 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-
292015-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
557 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE FOLLOWING
HAZARDS...

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
SOUTH FROM ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY AS WELL AS THE CITY OF ALEXANDRIA.
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND LOWER
TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER. STORM WARNING FOR THE MID AND UPPER TIDAL
POTOMAC RIVER. FLOOD WATCH.

DETAILS OF THESE HAZARDS AND THEIR IMPACTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HEADER /WWUS81/.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE FOLLOWING
HAZARDS...

HIGH WIND WARNING.
FLOOD WATCH.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND LOWER
TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.
STORM WARNING FOR THE MID AND UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

DETAILS OF THESE HAZARDS AND THEIR IMPACTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HEADER /WWUS81/.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MDZ003>005-009-010-501-502-VAZ025>031-036>040-042-050-051-501>504-
WVZ050>053-055-501>506-292015-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-NELSON-
ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
557 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE FOLLOWING
HAZARDS...

FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY...FOOTHILLS...AND
POTOMAC HIGHLANDS.

DETAILS OF THESE HAZARDS AND THEIR IMPACTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HEADER /WWUS81/.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE FOLLOWING
HAZARDS...

HIGH WIND WARNING.
FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY...FOOTHILLS...AND
POTOMAC HIGHLANDS.
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MONOCACY RIVER AT FREDERICK.
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR HIGHLAND...PENDLETON...WESTERN GRANT...AND
WESTERN MINERAL COUNTIES.

DETAILS OF THESE HAZARDS AND THEIR IMPACTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HEADER /WWUS81/.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY TODAY AND TUESDAY.