Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Lubbock, TX

June 2, 2012Castro County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this special weather statement at Jun 2, 2012, 6:26 PM CDT for Castro County, Texas. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2012, 6:26 PM CDT (23:26 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Lubbock, TX

County Castro County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2483 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 2, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
625 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS THUS FAR HAVE BEEN LESS THAN ANTICIPATED SO HAVE
REMOVED MENTION OF THUNDER FOR KCDS FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING.
THERE IS STILL A VERY SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDER DEVELOPMENT LATE
THIS EVENING OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AT KCDS. OTHERWISE...VFR WILL
CONTINUE WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 312 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012/

SHORT TERM...
FOCUS CONTINUES ON STORM CHANCES THROUGH TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. MID-LEVEL FLOW WAS BACKING AND WEAKENING A BIT /AS SEEN
IN THE TUCUMCARI PROFILER DATA/ AS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS WAS SHIFTING
FROM THE EASTERN ROCKIES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. AN EJECTING
EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE AND PLENTY OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WAS ALREADY
RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
CENTRAL CO INTO NORTHEAST NM. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONGEAL INTO
ONE OR MORE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS AS IT TRANSLATES
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND PERHAPS OVER OUR
NORTHERN ZONES THIS EVENING. LIFT WITH THE APPROACHING WAVE WAS ALSO
ENHANCING THE MID-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NM...AND
HIGH-BASED CONVECTION COULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN THE SFC TROUGH HERE
TOO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. LAST PLACE OF CONCERN FOR POSSIBLE
CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL BE ALONG A RETREATING BOUNDARY NOTED ON
RADAR LIFTING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. UP TO
THIS POINT CU DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE BOUNDARY HAS BEEN FAIRLY TAME.
HOWEVER...BOTH THE 18Z RAP AND 16Z HRRR DO INDICATE ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 1-3 HR IN CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO OUR NORTHWEST ZONES. 19Z LAPS ANALYSIS SHOWS SFC BASED
CAPES OF 800-2400 J/KG WITH DIMINISHING CIN. GIVEN T/TD SPREADS
AROUND 50 DEGREES ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES...STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS
WILL BE A CONCERN WITH ANY STRONGER CORES ALOFT AND THE INSTABILITY
COULD ALSO SUPPORT THE OCCURRENCE OF LARGE HAIL. ALL SAID...HAVE
DRAWN CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE N/NW/W ZONES...TAPERING TO SLIGHT
CHANCE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS TONIGHT. ACTIVITY SHOULD
WANE LATE TONIGHT...THOUGH STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LLJ COULD KEEP
SOME ACTIVITY GOING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...FAVORING THE
NORTHEAST ZONES. SOUTHERLY BREEZES...DECENT MOISTURE LEVELS AND SOME
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MILD...WITH LOWS ONLY IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S.

HEIGHTS WILL BE EVEN HIGHER ON SUNDAY WITH QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
THIS FLOW REGIME WILL CAUSE THE SFC TROUGH/DRYLINE TO ADVANCE
EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS BY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH LARGE SCALE
SUPPORT WILL BE MINIMAL AT BEST...STRONG HEATING/MIXING COUPLED WITH
THE DRYLINE MAY BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
LATE AFTERNOON HIGH-BASED STORMS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE RATHER
WEAK /AOB 20 KTS/...SO STORM ORGANIZATION WILL BE TOUGH TO COME
BY...BUT MODERATE INSTABILITY AND A DEEPLY MIXED BL COULD SUPPORT AN
ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORM. TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR WITH HIGHS NEAR
THE CENTURY MARK EXPECTED.

LONG TERM...
MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND TO POTENTIALLY WET WEATHER INTO THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BUILDING ON YESTERDAYS TURNABOUT WITH RESPECT
TO LOW LEVEL FLOW AND STRENGTH OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING. 12Z RUNS
CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS EARLY IN THE
WEEK WITH A NARROW BUT FAIRLY WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
PLAINS STATES WHILE AT THE SFC A COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO BACK
INTO THE NRN ZONES MONDAY THEN SLIP FURTHER SOUTH TUESDAY. BACKING
FLOW TO SE THEN EVENTUALLY EAST SHOULD HELP KEEP LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AND THE DRYLINE FROM MIXING TOO
FAR TO THE EAST. INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED IN THE
RIDGE LEADING TO PROGGED PWAT BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES MONDAY WITH
EASTERN AREAS INCREASING TO AROUND 1.75 INCHES TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. WHEN CONSIDERING RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT UNDER THE
RIDGE STORM ORGANIZATION NOT TOO LIKELY THUS PRECIP COULD END UP
BEING SCATTERED...BUT HIGHER PWATS SUGGEST SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER
RAINFALL NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. WILL CONTINUE WITH PRECIP
MENTION FOR MONDAY FAVORING NRN ZONES CLOSEST TO EXPECTED BOUNDARY
POSITION AND INSERT PRECIP MENTION INTO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN ENOUGH
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK TO POTENTIALLY END PRECIP CHANCES. WITH
UPSLOPE FLOW AND POTENTIALLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER COOLER
TEMPS SHOULD BE IN THE OFFING FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK...
ALTHOUGH GIVEN PROGGED THICKNESSES IT APPEARS MOS GUIDANCE MAY BE
A TOUCH COOL AND WILL GENERALLY TREND TOWARD WARMER END OF
ENSEMBLE NUMBERS FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        63  98  62  93  62 /  40  10  10  20  30
TULIA         66  98  65  92  65 /  40  20  20  20  30
PLAINVIEW     68  97  66  93  65 /  30  20  20  20  20
LEVELLAND     66  99  67  96  65 /  20  20  20  20  20
LUBBOCK       69 100  69  96  67 /  20  20  20  20  20
DENVER CITY   67  99  67  96  63 /  20  20  10  20  20
BROWNFIELD    67 100  67  96  65 /  20  20  20  20  20
CHILDRESS     69 101  70  96  68 /  30  20  20  10  30
SPUR          69 101  69  97  68 /  20  20  20  10  20
ASPERMONT     70 100  71  98  70 /  20  10  20  20  20

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

01
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 11:30 AM CDT, 6 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1130 AM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

TXZ021>044-031630-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1130 AM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED...A FEW STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM
FARWELL TO PLAINVIEW TO PADUCAH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JW

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 4:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
425 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

TXZ027-022145-
BAILEY-
425 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER BAILEY COUNTY...

AT 421 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER BAILEY COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

LAT...LON 3419 10262 3389 10262 3392 10292 3417 10292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 271DEG 18KT 3408 10280

JW
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 4:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
446 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

TXZ027-022200-
BAILEY-
446 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER BAILEY COUNTY...

AT 442 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER BAILEY COUNTY...WEST OF NEEDMORE
AND WEST OF MULESHOE WILDLIFE REFUGE. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE
PASSED.

LAT...LON 3423 10262 3388 10262 3387 10287 3421 10291
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 261DEG 13KT 3410 1027

JW
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:07 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
507 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

TXZ022-022230-
CASTRO-
507 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WESTERN CASTRO COUNTY...

AT 505 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF DIMMITT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

LAT...LON 3450 10220 3442 10229 3441 10252 3459 10253
      3461 10252 3470 10237
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 232DEG 16KT 3452 10246

JW
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:29 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
529 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

TXZ027-022300-
BAILEY-
529 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING OVER BAILEY COUNTY JUST SOUTHWEST
OF MULESHOE...

AT 526 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MULESHOE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

LAT...LON 3431 10289 3425 10261 3406 10274 3417 10293
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 213DEG 11KT 3416 10281

05
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 6:26 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
626 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

TXZ022-023-030000-
CASTRO-SWISHER-
626 PM CDT SAT JUN 2 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER CASTRO COUNTY...

AT 621 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES NORTHEAST OF DIMMITT...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA AROUND AND WEST OF HAPPY BY 700
PM CDT.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED BETWEEN DIMMITT AND NAZARETH
AND ALSO NEAR SUMMERFIELD. ALL OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH
YOUR LOCATION THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3448 10184 3436 10223 3456 10242 3456 10252
      3474 10252 3475 10184
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 256DEG 16KT 3470 10202

JW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 7:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBChildress31 min
Jun 1, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Swisher53 min
Jun 1, 8:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBChildress27 min
Jun 1, 8:10 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLUBBriscoe, Swisher110 min
Jun 1, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Floyd, Hale, Swisher35 min
Jun 1, 8:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBBriscoe32 min
Jun 2, 4:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBBailey20 min
Jun 2, 4:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBBailey14 min
Jun 2, 5:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBCastro23 min
Jun 2, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCastro28 min
Jun 2, 5:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLUBBailey31 min
Jun 2, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey22 min
Jun 2, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCastro29 min
Jun 2, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Lamb44 min
Jun 2, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Lamb45 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.