Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Lubbock, TX

946 
WWUS54 KLUB 050147
SVSLUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
847 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

TXC269-433-050157-
/O.CAN.KLUB.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-120605T0200Z/
KING TX-STONEWALL TX-
847 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN STONEWALL AND
SOUTHWESTERN KING COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3360 10052 3334 10052 3322 10080 3342 10082
      3359 10083
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 091DEG 17KT 3344 10061

$$

TXC125-263-050200-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-120605T0200Z/
DICKENS TX-KENT TX-
847 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
KENT AND SOUTHEASTERN DICKENS COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 842 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GIRARD...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF JAYTON...MOVING WEST AT 20
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GIRARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LUBBOCK AT 8067451290.

&&

LAT...LON 3360 10052 3334 10052 3322 10080 3342 10082
      3359 10083
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 091DEG 17KT 3344 10061

$$

JW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
648 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN FOR THIS TAF
CYCLE. ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OF THE TWO TAF SITES...KLBB EXPECTED
TO SEE THE GREATER IMPACTS AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE/LONGEVITY
THIS EVENING. WILL CARRY A TEMPO GROUP THROUGH 03Z AT KLBB WITH
VCTS MENTIONED THROUGH 07Z. MVFR TO IFR VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO RAIN AS WELL AS BLDU WITH STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF THE RAIN. COULD EVEN SEE LINGERING
THUNDERSTORMS BEYOND 07Z...BUT CHANCES SHOULD BE DIMINISHING BY
THIS TIME. MOST LIKELY TIMEFRAME FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS AT KCDS
WILL BE THROUGH 03Z. MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT KCDS AS WELL IN
THE STORMS. ASIDE FROM THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE AND LOCATION TOO UNCERTAIN TO
MENTION ATTM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012/

SHORT TERM...
AFTERNOON PROGRESSING ABOUT AS EXPECTED. TSRA HAS NOW FIRED NW OF
ROSWELL EWD TOWARD MORTON. STILL EXPECT STORMS TO DEVELOP EWD ALONG
A LOW LEVEL TROUGH...LESS INDICATED BY A WIND DISCONTINUITY NOW THAT
THE OVERALL FLOW HAS BACKED TO THE EAST...BUT STILL EVIDENT IN THE
PRESSURE FIELD AS EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM MORTON TO PLAINVIEW. ALSO
SEEING SCATTERED SHRA AND TSRA ACROSS NERN INTO SERN COLO. FORMER
AREA SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY OR DEVELOP SLOWLY TO THE SE ACROSS THE SRN
ZONES THROUGH THE EVENING WHILE THE LATTER AREA MENTIONED IS
EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTHWARD AND SHIFT SLOWLY EWD WITH TIME. LACK OF
DECENT SHEAR OR FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A LACK OF
ORGANIZATION INTO MORE THAN MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS AND AS SUCH WILL
KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY. WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT STILL LOOKS
SMALL WITH PULSE TYPE SVR OWING TO HEALTHY CAPE AND WEAK SHEAR. RAIN
CHANCE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH PROXIMITY OF MID-UPPER
TROUGH. THAT TROUGH AND COOL TEMPS ALOFT WILL HELP PROMPT ADDITIONAL
TSRA TUESDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTN HOURS. HARD TO SEE MUCH FOCUS
FOR STORMS ALTHOUGH WILL SEE THE LOW LEVEL TROUGH THAT SLIPPED INTO
THE AREA TODAY BEGIN TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH DURING THE AFTN.
CHANCE POPS CONTINUE TO BE JUSTIFIED. CAPE VALUES LIKELY TO BE LESS
THAN TODAY WITH FCST TEMPS A GOOD FIVE TO TEN DEGREES COOLER THAN
TODAY.

LONG TERM...
LOCATION OF BEST LIFT AND PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN LOWER THAN
AVERAGE CONFIDENCE INTO THE EXTENDED. MODELS IN GENERAL OVERALL
AGREEMENT ON UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPING AS SHORTWV ENERGY IS CUT
OFF UNDERNEATH HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDING OVER NORTH CENTRAL
U.S. TUE THROUGH WED TIME FRAME. NAM IS FASTER ON DROPPING UPPER
LOW SOUTH INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH TX. GFS AND 00Z ECMWF ARE SLOWER
IN DRIFTING THE CUTOFF LOW SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH TX BY THU. MODELS
ALSO HAVING TROUBLE DEALING WITH LOW LEVEL FEATURES AS SFC TROUGH
WHICH HAS BEEN A FOCUS IN SHORT TERM REMAINS IN THE GENERAL AREA
ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS THROUGH MID WEEK.

EXPECT SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW TO CONTINUE WITH THIS PATTERN
HOLDING MOISTURE IN PLACE BENEATH UPPER LOW SLOWLY MOVING EAST
WITH TIME. HAVE THEREFORE KEPT FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CHANCE POPS GOING
THROUGH WED WITH AREA CLOSEST TO THE UPPER LOW MOST FAVORED. WITH
TIME DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO WRAP INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM WHICH SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL RAIN CHANCES BY LATE WEEK. AS
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS REESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
INTO WESTERN NM NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL FAVOR SOME ACTIVITY
WORKING SOUTHEAST FROM HIGHER TERRAIN AS LONG AS AXIS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE...AT LEAST INTO THU. DRYLINE BEGINS TO
REESTABLISH ITSELF FRI ACROSS ERN NM AS SW FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS
AHEAD OF BROAD TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
ALTHOUGH POPS BEYOND FRI ARE BELOW 15% SOME ISOLD DRYLINE
CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL VALUES INTO THU WITH
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...UPSLOPE FLOW AND CLOUD COVER IN
PLACE. READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL ON FRI AND
GAIN SEVERAL MORE DEGREES OVER THE WEEKEND POSSIBLY BACK TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW BRINGING MUCH WARMER H8
AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1130 AM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

TXZ021>044-051630-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1130 AM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAYTIME HEATING WILL
COMBINE WITH ADEQUATE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO RESULT IN SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON...INITIALLY ALONG A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED
STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
627 PM CDT MON JUN 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 SSW WOLFFORTH         33.43N 102.05W
06/04/2012  M61 MPH          LUBBOCK            TX   MESONET

            MEASURED BY THE TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY WEST TEXAS
            MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200279

JDV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
637 PM CDT MON JUN 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NE ROPESVILLE         33.45N 102.10W
06/04/2012                   HOCKLEY            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FOUR UTILITY POLES SNAPPED ALONG US 62 82

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200280

JDV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
641 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

TXZ029-030-034>036-039>041-050200-
HALE-FLOYD-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...
LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...
PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL
641 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
FLOYD...HALE...LUBBOCK...HOCKLEY...LYNN...TERRY AND YOAKUM
COUNTIES...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS. SOME HAIL TO PENNY SIZE AND STRONG
DOWNBURST WINDS TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
IN ADDITION...DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE
AND CAN STRIKE SEVERAL MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM.

LOCATIONS FROM FLOYDADA TO PETERSBURG TO WOLFORTH AND BROWNFIELD
WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS.

GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE AREAS OF HAZARDOUS BLOWING DUST TO MOTORISTS...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES BELOW 1/2 MILE. WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE SMALL
BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY
AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
702 PM CDT MON JUN 04 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     HAIL             5 W FLOYDADA            33.98N 101.42W
06/04/2012  E1.75 INCH       FLOYD              TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200281

JDV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
730 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

TXZ031-032-037-038-050200-
MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...
DICKENS...SPUR...GUTHRIE
730 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MOTLEY...COTTLE...DICKENS AND
KING COUNTIES...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY MOVE WEST AND MERGE INTO A LARGER STORM COMPLEX THROUGH 8
PM. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS AS THEY IMPACT AREAS FROM PADUCAH TO FLOYDADA AND
FROM GUTHRIE TO DICKENS.

IN ADDITION TO THE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS...VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL
RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE THREAT FOR DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ALSO EXIST WITH THESE STORMS.

GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE AREAS OF HAZARDOUS BLOWING DUST TO MOTORISTS...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES BELOW 1/2 MILE. WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE SMALL
BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY
AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
819 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

TXZ027>029-033>035-039-040-050300-
BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-YOAKUM-TERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...
PLAINVIEW...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...
PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD
819 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS...

VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
10 PM IN THE WAKE OF A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
SOUTHEAST INTO THE ROLLING PLAINS AND PERMIAN BASIN. PERIODS OF
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDS ALONG WITH
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
LATER THIS EVENING AS THE MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES
SOUTHEAST.

AN OCCASIONAL GUST NEAR 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD CAUSE
SOME MINOR DAMAGE.

GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE AREAS OF HAZARDOUS BLOWING DUST TO MOTORISTS...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES BELOW 1/2 MILE ESPECIALLY NEAR OPEN FIELDS
AND CONSTRUCTION AREAS. WINDS WILL ALSO CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE
BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH
OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

TXZ030>032-036>038-041>044-050300-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...MATADOR...
ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...DICKENS...SPUR...
GUTHRIE...TAHOKA...ODONNELL...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT
819 PM CDT MON JUN 4 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE ROLLING PLAINS AND FAR
SOUTHEAST SOUTH PLAINS...

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
ROLLING PLAINS AND ALONG AND JUST WEST OF THE CAPROCK THROUGH
10 PM. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO
PENNY SIZE AND WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE STANDING WATER IN LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED INCLUDE
GUTHRIE...CROSBYTON...AND DICKENS. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP
FROM POST TO JAYTON.

GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE AREAS OF HAZARDOUS BLOWING DUST TO MOTORISTS...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES BELOW 1/2 MILE ESPECIALLY NEAR OPEN FIELDS. WINDS
WILL ALSO CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH
AS TREES. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.