Areal Flood Warning 9, NWS St. Louis, MO

789 
WGUS83 KLSX 010147
FLSLSX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
847 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

MOC019-010330-
/O.CON.KLSX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120501T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOONE MO-
847 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BOONE COUNTY UNTIL 1030 PM
CDT...

AT 840 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS AND ONE STATE
ROUTE. THESE INCLUDE ROUTE ZZ NORTH AND SOUTH AT HARMONY CREEK AND 
ROUTE Y NEAR THE CALLAWAY COUNTY LINE. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ASHLAND...
CENTRALIA...COLUMBIA...HALLSVILLE...MIDWAY...MURRY AND STURGEON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3925 9243 3924 9211 3907 9211 3906 9213
      3890 9217 3881 9214 3874 9218 3871 9222
      3864 9222 3864 9225 3868 9236 3872 9234
      3876 9241 3881 9238 3883 9244 3888 9248
      3890 9248 3899 9257

$$

GOSSELIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
256 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

.SHORT TERM...
ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012
(TONIGHT)

SHOWERS AND STORMS SLOWLY TAPERING OFF IN THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS
OF FORECAST AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS WEAK SURFACE RIDGE
BUILDS IN. SO SHOULD SEE DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH LATE EVENING. THEN
AS NEXT IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES SLIDES ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION.
BEST CHANCES OF STORMS WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA...MAINLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70. DO NOT FEEL THAT A FF WATCH IS NEEDED AS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA HAVE NOT HAD AS MUCH RAIN IN
THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE NORTHERN HALF HAS HAD...AND ONLY UP
TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AS FOR LOW TEMPS...TO REMAIN RATHER MILD WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S.

BYRD
&&

.LONG TERM...
ISSUED AT 222 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

(TUESDAY-THURSDAY)

PRECIP SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...ESP ACROSS CNTRL
AND SE MO. SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL ACT TO ENHANCE THE PRECIP COVERAGE
AND DRIVE IT THRU THE CWA. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH THRU THE DAY
AND PRECIP SHOULD FOLLOW SUIT AS WELL AND BE E/NE OF THE AREA BY 00Z.
WENT ON THE COOLER SIDE OF GUIDANCE ON TUESDAY...ESP ALONG AND EAST OF
THE STL METRO AREA WITH WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND PRECIP. IT LOOKS LIKE THE
HEAVIEST QPF SHOULD FALL SOUTH OF WHERE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP FELL OVER
THE WEEKEND. BUT IF THE PRECIP SETS UP FURTHER NORTH THEN A WATCH MAY
BE NEEDED.

AFTER TUESDAY...IT WOULD APPEAR MOST OF THE AREA WILL GET A BREAK FROM
THE RECENT WET PATTERN AS MAIN UPPER WINDS FOCUS FURTHER NORTH AND
BECOME MORE ZONAL. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL BUILD ALLOWING THE WARM FRONT TO
LIFT NORTH AND EVENTUALLY BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
THRU THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A HINT THAT A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL PASS
NORTH OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW PRECIP TO
DROP BACK INTO NE MO AND W CNTRL IL BY LATE THURSDAY. WENT ON THE WARM
SIDE OF GUIDANCE WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S AS AREA SHOULD BE WELL
INTO THE WARM SECTOR.

(THURSDAY NIGHT-MONDAY)

PRECIP CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD ACROSS THE
NRTHRN CWA. THEN ANOTHER BREAK UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT WHEN THE FRONT
BEGINS TO SLOWLY SAG SOUTH. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THRU THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AS UPPER HEIGHTS SLOWLY FALL. THE FRONT WILL
STILL BE IN THE AREA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEPS AT LEAST CHANCE POPS
AROUND THRU THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE WARM WITH 850
TEMPS IN THE UPPER TEENS. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE HIGH TEMPS IN THE 80S ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WITH THE FRONT CONTINUING TO SINK SOUTH...CLOUDS
AND PRECIP SHOULD KEEP TEMPS CLOSER TO AVERAGE BY MONDAY.

MILLER
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 1255 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED EAST OF TAF SITES AS OF 18Z...SO MAINLY
JUST DEALING WITH IFR/MVFR CIGS/VSBYS FOR KUIN AND KCOU...WHILE
METRO AREA TO SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF TAF FORECAST
PERIOD. CIGS/VSBYS TO SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR AT KUIN/KCOU BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. NEXT ROUND OF RAIN FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
REGION AFTER 06Z...SPREADING EAST INTO THE METRO AREA AFTER 14Z.
FEEL THAT KUIN WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY...SO
JUST ADDED VCSH MENTION THERE TOMORROW. AS FOR WINDS...WESTERLY TO
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...THEN PICKUP FROM THE SOUTH
ON TUESDAY.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...PRECIPITATION HAS SHIFTED EAST OF METRO AS OF
18Z...SO WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF TAF FORECAST
PERIOD. NEXT ROUND OF RAIN FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE METRO AREA
AFTER 14Z TUESDAY. AS FOR WINDS...WESTERLY TO BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT...THEN PICKUP FROM THE SOUTH BY 14Z TUESDAY.

BYRD
&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
340 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-011200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
340 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AREA WIDE ON TUESDAY. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS AS THE MAIN
THREATS.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR
AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1059 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S JEFFERSON CITY      38.56N  92.19W
04/30/2012  M1.75 INCH       COLE               MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL

&&

TES