Small Craft Advisory 13, NWS Chicago, IL

908 
WHUS73 KLOT 290302 CCA
MWWLOT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
902 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012


LMZ744-745-291115-
/O.CAN.KLOT.GL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120129T0300Z/
/O.COR.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.120129T0900Z-120130T0400Z/
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
902 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 PM CST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 PM CST SUNDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FT WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES TO 12 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-290415-
/O.CAN.KLOT.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120129T0300Z/
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
902 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TO AROUND 30 KT TONIGHT...THUS THE
GALE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

LMZ740>743-290415-
/O.CAN.KLOT.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-120129T0300Z/
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
902 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

OFF SHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TONIGHT...ALONG WITH
SIGNIFICANT WAVES...THUS THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE.

$$

BMD

681 
WHUS73 KLOT 290936
MWWLOT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
336 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ740>743-291745-
/O.EXB.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.120129T1200Z-120129T2200Z/
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
336 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FT WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES TO 8 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ744-745-291745-
/O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
336 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FT WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES TO 10 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MTF

523 
WHUS73 KLOT 292129
MWWLOT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
329 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ740>743-300000-
/O.EXT.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120130T0000Z/
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
329 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FT WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES TO 7 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ744-745-300400-
/O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
329 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FT WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES TO 10 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

IZZI

746 
WHUS73 KLOT 292331
MWWLOT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
531 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ740>743-300045-
/O.EXP.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120130T0000Z/
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
531 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE
EVENING.

$$

LMZ744-745-300400-
/O.CON.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
531 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FT WITH OCCASIONAL WAVES TO 10 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 22 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FT WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

IZZI

814 
WHUS73 KLOT 300406
MWWLOT

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1006 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ744-745-300515-
/O.EXP.KLOT.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
1006 PM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
742 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

.DISCUSSION...
738 PM CST

COMPACT BUT IMPRESSIVE VORT MAX MOVING INTO WESTERN MN EARLY THIS
EVENING CONTINUES TO RACE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA. WHILE
MOISTURE IS LACKING WITH THIS SYSTEM INSTABILITY ISNT WITH
EXCEPTIONALLY STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM JUST ABOVE THE SFC UP TO
NEARLY 400MB...SO FORCING WILL NOT BE MET WITH MUCH RESISTANCE
TONIGHT. RECENT BLOSSOMING OF AREA OF SNOW OVER MN LIKELY TO
CONTINUE AS IT SPREADS SOUTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHERN WI/NORTHERN IL
LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WHILE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL TOTAL
WILL LIKELY TOP OUT AROUND AN INCH...SNOW INTENSITY COULD BE
IMPRESSIVE FOR A SHORT TIME LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. HAVE BEEFED UP THE POPS A BIT MORE FOR LATE TONIGHT TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS AND CHANGED P-TYPE TO SNOW SHOWERS VS LIGHT SNOW
SINCE INTENSITY COULD BE PRETTY IMPRESSIVE FOR BRIEF PERIOD OF
TIME. STILL LOOKS LIKE SNOW SHOWERS WILL FAVOR THE NORTHERN 1/3RD
TO 1/2 OF THE CWA.

DID NUDGE TEMPS UP MONDAY INTO TUESDAY JUST A BIT AS WELL AS
MODELS LIKELY CONTINUE TO UNDERESTIMATE TEMPS IN WHAT LOOKS TO BE
ANOTHER PERIOD OF UNSEASONABLE WARMTH. THE WRF-NAM IS ONCE AGAIN
TRYING TO HANG ONTO SNOW COVER FAR TOO LONG WITH WHAT LITTLE SNOW
THAT IS OUT THERE LIKELY TO BE GONE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WHERE THE
MODEL THINKS THE GROUND IS BARE IT HAS 2M TEMPS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL IL...WHICH IF STRATUS IS
SLOW TO ARRIVE WOULD BE VERY REASONABLE. TUESDAYS RECORD HIGH AT
RFD IS ONLY 48F (1968) AND THAT LOOKS LIKE IT COULD BE TOAST WHILE
EVEN CHI'S 56F (1968) ISNT COMPLETELY SAFE EITHER. INTERESTINGLY
RFD'S RECORD HIGH TUES IS THE LOWEST RECORD HIGH OF ANY DAY OF THE
YEAR (AT LEAST FOR NOW THAT IS). IRONIC HOW WE WENT FROM RECORD
BREAKING SNOWFALL TO KICK OFF LAST FEB TO POTENTIAL RECORD WARMTH
TO KICK OFF THIS FEB...PROBABLY ONLY FITTING GIVEN HOW ANOMALOUSLY
WARM THIS WINTER HAS BEEN THUS FAR.

IZZI

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
337 PM CST

SYNOPSIS...LARGE TROUGH OVERHEAD WITH A CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHING
FROM THE NORTHWEST.  AS THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION AND
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST US LATE THIS WEEKEND...ONE LAST CLIPPER SYSTEM
SLIDES DOWN THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.  THE PATTERN
SETTLES DOWN FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WITH A COUPLE OF DRY
DAYS...BEFORE AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ARRIVES MID WEEK.  A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THEN A LARGE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM SETTLES OVER THE CENTRAL US THROUGH THURSDAY.  AN
ELONGATED TROUGH FORMS ACROSS MOST OF THE US FRIDAY PRODUCING A
CUTOFF LOW.

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY...A CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING.  THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING LIGHT
SNOW IN NORTH DAKOTA...AND WITH NO ACCESS TO ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE...THINKING THE CLIPPER WILL PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW IN OUR
REGION AS WELL.  IN ADDITION FORCING LOOKS LESS IMPRESSIVE THAN
THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM. THAT BEING SAID...CURRENT TEMPS ARE MUCH MORE
FAVORABLE FOR SNOW TODAY THAN THEY WERE YESTERDAY.  WHILE THE WHOLE
CWA WILL SEE FLURRIES TO LIGHT SNOW...ONLY EXPECTING ACCUMULATING
SNOW NORTH OF I-90 TONIGHT.  UP TO AN INCH CAN BE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY THE CLOSER YOU ARE TO THE IL/WI BORDER.  THE
FORCING AND SYSTEM SHIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD
DAWN...THEREFORE INCLUDED A DUSTING TO HALF AN INCH OF NEW SNOWFALL
FOR LAKE...PORTER...AND JASPER COUNTIES IN INDIANA.  SKIES CLEAR OUT
BRIEFLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BEHIND THE CLIPPER WITH HIGH TEMPS JUST
BELOW FREEZING.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A SECOND CLIPPER SYSTEM
ARRIVES SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT TRENDS INDICATE THE MAJORITY OF SNOW FROM
THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH.  NOT EXPECTING MUCH IMPACT
FROM THIS SYSTEM.  TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO CLIMB BEHIND THIS SYSTEM
WITH HIGH TEMPS ON MONDAY ABOVE AVERAGE.  WARM AIR ADVECTION PUSHES
INTO THE REGION MONDAY...STRONG WAA COMBINED WITH LITTLE TO NO SNOW
ON THE GROUND WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO SOAR INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S ON
MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE BECOMES SUB-PAR BEGINNING TUESDAY WITH THE FIRST LARGE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WE HAVE SEEN IN AWHILE.  SLOWLY BUT SURELY THE
MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO AGREE ON A SOLUTION...BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF INDICATE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND PASSES NORTH OF US TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  RAIN
MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S IN THE
NORTH AND LOW 50S IN THE SOUTH.  RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THE
MAJORITY OF RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL FALL JUST EAST OF THE
CWA...BUT AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH TEMPS WILL TUMBLE TO
BELOW FREEZING AND WE MAY SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX TUESDAY NIGHT.

EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN WEDNESDAY...BUT THE ZONAL PATTERN
KEEPS OUR TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S THROUGH THURSDAY.  TEMPS
CONTINUE THEIR DOWNWARD TREND AS THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH MOVES
OVERHEAD FRIDAY.  WHILE BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A CUTOFF LOW
WILL FORM...THE LOCATION OF THIS LOW DIFFERS GREATLY BETWEEN THE TWO
SOLUTIONS.   LUCKILY...NEITHER MODEL HAS THE CUTOFF LOW OVER OUR
AREA.  PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS INDICATED PRECIP WOULD MOVE OVER THE
REGION...WHILE THE NEW MODEL RUNS KEEP THE AREA DRY.  SINCE THE
MODELS HAVE BEEN VERY INCONSISTENT BETWEEN RUNS...KEPT ALLBLEND
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CONFIDENCE IS LOW
REGARDING THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

JEE

&&

.AVIATION...

//ORD AND MDW CONCERNS...UPDATED 00Z...

* CHANCE OF -SHSN LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY
* MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE SUNDAY

IZZI

//DISCUSSION...UPDATED 00Z...

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COME WHIZZING BY
THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BRINGING ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SOME SNOW SHOWERS. MOISTURE IS LIMITED...BUT FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES SO THE WEAK STABILITY AND
ASCENT WITH THE APPROACHING WAVE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO KICK OFF AT
LEAST SCT SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW COULD FALL AT A GOOD CLIP AT TIMES
KNOCKING VSBYS SOLIDLY DOWN TO IFR...BEFORE SNOW SHOWERS PUSH EAST
BY MID MORNING SUNDAY. GETTING MIXED SIGNALS FROM GUIDANCE ABOUT
HOW MUCH CLOUDINESS LINGERS...BUT WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AND
CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL FLOW FELT PREVIOUS TAF PROBABLY HAD A GOOD
HANDLE ON THINGS HANGING ONTO AN MVFR DECK THRU AT LEAST MIDDAY.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN PICK UP SUNDAY THOUGH
SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS TODAY.

IZZI

//ORD AND MDW CONFIDENCE...UPDATED 00Z...

* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN SHSN THREAT LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY
* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL OTHER ASPECTS

IZZI

//OUTLOOK FOR ORD/MDW FOR 12Z MONDAY-12Z SATURDAY...UPDATED 00Z...

MONDAY...VFR

TUESDAY...IFR CIGS AND -RA/-DZ POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...VFR

IZZI

&&

.MARINE...
244 PM CST

A RATHER PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

IN THE NEAR TERM...WESTERLY GALES WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE LAKES AND INTO SOUTHERN
QUEBEC TONIGHT. WHILE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE...THE
GRADIENT WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT TIGHT AS ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
QUICKLY DROPS SOUTHEAST FROM THE DAKOTAS TO LOWER MICHIGAN BY SUNDAY
MORNING. AFTER A PUSH OF SOMEWHAT COLDER AIR AND A PERIOD OF GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY MORNING...THE GRADIENT WILL FINALLY LOOSEN
AND ALLOW WINDS TO DIMINISH LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN LAKES. THE LULL WONT
LAST TOO LONG HOWEVER...AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTH BEHIND
THE WARM FRONT BY LATE MONDAY...BUT WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTHWEST
TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW ALONG THE BORDER MOVES EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN LAKES AND TRAILS ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN.

RATZER

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ080-LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-LMZ565-
     LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ744-LMZ745-LMZ777-
     LMZ779-LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878 UNTIL 9 PM
     SATURDAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...NEARSHORE WINTHROP HARBOR TO GARY IN UNTIL 9 PM
     SATURDAY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
409 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-
292215-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-
DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
409 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012 /509 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE KANKAKEE RIVER NEAR SHELBY IN INDIANA WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS AFTER
MIDNIGHT...POSSIBLY MOVING INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA DURING THE
PREDAWN HOURS. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE ILLINOIS WISCONSIN STATE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE KANKAKEE RIVER NEAR SHELBY IN INDIANA WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD
THROUGH THURSDAY.

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN
INDIANA THROUGH MID MORNING SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

LMZ740>745-292215-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
409 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

STRONG WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO LEAD TO HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-292215-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
409 PM CST SAT JAN 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

JEE