Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Chicago, IL

May 20, 2012Iroquois County, Kankakee County, Illinois

NWS Chicago, IL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 20, 2012, 8:38 PM CDT for Iroquois County, Kankakee County, Illinois. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2012, 8:38 PM CDT (01:38 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2012, 9:32 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Chicago, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2012-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2012-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2073 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

992 
WUUS53 KLOT 210138
SVRLOT
ILC075-091-210245-
/O.NEW.KLOT.SV.W.0036.120521T0138Z-120521T0245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
838 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  IROQUOIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  SOUTHEASTERN KANKAKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 834 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CLIFTON TO BUCKLEY...AND MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CHEBANSE AND BUCKLEY AROUND 845 PM CDT.
  CISSNA PARK AROUND 850 PM CDT.
  CLAYTONVILLE AROUND 855 PM CDT.
  AROMA PARK AROUND 905 PM CDT.
  MOMENCE AROUND 925 PM CDT.
  WATSEKA AROUND 930 PM CDT.
  ST. ANNE AND HOPKINS PARK AROUND 945 PM CDT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF 
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. 

&&

LAT...LON 4051 8812 4058 8812 4077 8808 4096 8799
      4117 8779 4120 8757 4110 8753 4064 8774
      4050 8788
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 213DEG 21KT 4093 8786 4058 8808
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$
3 follow-up statements
330 
WWUS53 KLOT 210158
SVSLOT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
858 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ILC075-091-210245-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120521T0245Z/
KANKAKEE IL-IROQUOIS IL-
858 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR IROQUOIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN KANKAKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 857 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HOPKINS PARK TO ST. ANNE TO
BUCKLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HOPKINS PARK AROUND 905 PM CDT.
  ONARGA AROUND 915 PM CDT.
  GILMAN AND MOMENCE AROUND 925 PM CDT.
  ST. ANNE AND ASHKUM AROUND 945 PM CDT.


LAT...LON 4051 8812 4059 8812 4077 8808 4096 8798
      4117 8779 4120 8757 4110 8753 4064 8774
      4050 8788
TIME...MOT...LOC 0158Z 213DEG 21KT 4105 8759 4100 8780
          4060 8806
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

IZZI
585 
WWUS53 KLOT 210217
SVSLOT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
917 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ILC075-210227-
/O.CAN.KLOT.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120521T0245Z/
IROQUOIS IL-
917 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR IROQUOIS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED.

LAT...LON 4101 8759 4101 8783 4115 8777 4120 8760
      4120 8757 4110 8753 4109 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 213DEG 21KT 4111 8750 4110 8765

$$

ILC091-210245-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120521T0245Z/
KANKAKEE IL-
917 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
KANKAKEE COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 913 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS EXTENDED FROM 
CONRAD TO HOPKINS PARK AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MOMENCE AROUND 925 PM CDT.


LAT...LON 4101 8759 4101 8783 4115 8777 4120 8760
      4120 8757 4110 8753 4109 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 213DEG 21KT 4111 8750 4110 8765
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

IZZI
291 
WWUS53 KLOT 210232
SVSLOT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
932 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ILC091-210242-
/O.CAN.KLOT.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-120521T0245Z/
KANKAKEE IL-
932 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANKAKEE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4101 8759 4101 8783 4115 8777 4120 8760
      4120 8757 4110 8753 4109 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 0232Z 213DEG 21KT 4118 8743 4117 8758

$$

IZZI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Chicago, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 20, 7:54 PM CDT, 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 20, 7:54 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
754 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
305 PM CDT

FORECAST FOCUS WILL SHIFT FROM THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THIS
EVENING...TO TEMPERATURE TRENDS THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG WITH
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER SUBSTANTIAL WARM UP NEXT WEEKEND OR EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WITH SOME CONCERNS ABOUT ADDITIONAL THUNDER CHANCES
LATER IN THE WEEK AS WELL. AFTERNOON MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY SHOWS
A CUTOFF UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WITH A RIDGE TO ITS
NORTH OVER THE GREAT LAKES...NEW ENGLAND..AND SOUTHERN
ONTARIO/QUEBEC. A CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN TOWARDS
SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY WITH A TROUGH AXIS MOVING EASTWARD INTO THE MID
AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. TO THE WEST...LOW AMPLITUDE
RIDGING IS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A LONGWAVE TROUGH AND
EMBEDDED CLOSED LOW APPROACHING THE WEST COAST...BUT STILL A WAYS
OFFSHORE. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM NORTHERN WISCONSIN WITH AN ATTENDANT COLD
FRONT ABOUT TO ENTER THE CWA WHILE HIGH PRESSURE SPREADS ACROSS THE
PLAINS.

LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION FOR DETAILS INTO EARLY EVENING.

TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MARCH ACROSS THE CWA
INTO EARLY TONIGHT SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO REMAIN CLOSELY TIED TO THE FRONT SO AM
EXPECTING A QUICK END TO THE ACTIVITY AS THE FRONT PASSES. A GOOD
SURGE OF COOLER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S NORTHWEST TO UPPER 50S SOUTHEAST. WILL NEED
TO KEEP AN EYE ON CLOUD COVER AND HAVE SOME CONCERN THAT COVERAGE
MAY BE LOWER THAN FORECAST THOUGH AN INFLUX OF STRATOCU IS
PLAUSIBLE GIVEN THE PUSH OF COLDER AIR.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING IN MONDAY
MORNING WITH A BRISK NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IN PLACE.
ITS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW SHOWERS COULD LINGER NEAR THE EASTERN CWA
BORDER OF NORTHWEST INDIANA EARLY MONDAY MORNING BUT OTHERWISE IT
LOOKS DRY. LOW/MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL BE IN FULL FORCE DURING
THE MORNING WITH H85 TEMPS FALLING TO AROUND +4 TO +5 C. HAVE
LOWERED TEMPS A FEW DEGREES MOST AREAS WITH THIS IN MIND IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF RESIDUAL CLOUDINESS EXPECTED IN
THE MORNING. MUCH OF THIS MAY BEGIN TO SCATTER LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN CWA SO THEY MAY BE ABLE
TO WARM SLIGHTLY MORE THAN FORECAST. LAKE AREAS WILL BE COLDEST
AND PROBABLY BE HELD AROUND 60 DEGREES...IF NOT UPPER 50S IF CLOUD
COVER HOLDS LONG ENOUGH INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL BE ABOUT
OVERHEAD MONDAY NIGHT ALLOWING WINDS TO SLACKEN COMBINING WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. HAVE
LOWERED OVERNIGHT LOWS A FEW DEGREES TO THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50
FOR NOW...WITH LOWER 50S IN THE IMMEDIATE CHICAGO METRO. THE HIGH
WILL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD TUESDAY SO LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
LIKELY ALLOWING A LAKE BREEZE TO DEVELOP AND PUSH INLAND KEEPING
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S BEHIND IT WHILE HIGHS SHOULD WARM TO AROUND
70/LOWER 70S INLAND.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OFF TO THE
EAST AND WEAKENING EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH WEAK UPPER RIDGING BUILDING
OVERHEAD AHEAD OF A BROAD TROUGH SPREADING INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND NORTHERN PLAINS. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL ALSO BE OFF TO THE EAST
AND LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AS THIS PATTERN EVOLVES WARMER AIR WILL RETURN
TO THE LOCAL AREA AS WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY. AS H85 TEMPS WARM BACK
INTO THE MID TEENS SURFACE HIGHS SHOULD REBOUND INTO THE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80 WITH A SLIGHT EAST COMPONENT TO THE SURFACE WIND PROVIDING
SOME LAKE COOLING. THERE IS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT OF A WAVE
REBOUNDING THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WHICH SPAWNS A SURFACE LOW
WHICH ZIPS NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR
THURSDAY. THIS WILL DRAG A COOL FRONT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL BE STRETCHING OUT
WITH THE PARENT LOW LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD SO RAIN/THUNDER CHANCES
MAY BE LIMITED. THINGS BECOME MORE COMPLICATED INTO THE WEEKEND.
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT ON ANOTHER LONGWAVE TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WITH A RIDGE ATTEMPTING TO BUILD OVER THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S. MODELS BEGIN TO REALLY DIVERGE WITH HOW THESE
FEATURES EVOLVE DUE IN PART TO A BROAD TROUGH OVER EAST-CENTRAL
CANADA HELPING TO TEMPER THE RIDGING...AT LEAST ACCORDING TO SOME
MODEL DATA. THIS IS AN ISSUE BECAUSE AS THE THURSDAY NIGHT COLD
FRONT DROPS ACROSS THE AREA IT STALLS OUT OVER THE CENTRAL OR
SOUTHERN CWA. THE BUILDING RIDGE AND RESULTANT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
HELP DICTATE HOW QUICKLY THIS FRONT MOVES BACK NORTH WHICH WILL HAVE
A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TEMPS /AND LAKE INFLUENCES/ AND THUNDER
CHANCES. THE 12Z GFS KEEPS THE FRONT NEARBY INTO SATURDAY THEN SENDS
IT NORTHWARD IN A WASHED OUT STATE SUNDAY WITH THE COOLEST SOLUTION
OF OPERATIONAL MODELS WITH FLOW OFF THE LAKE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEKEND. THE 12Z ECMWF NOW HAS THE RIDGING SUPPRESSED SOMEWHAT
SATURDAY AND HOLDS THE WARMEST AIR ALOFT TO THE WEST AND SOUTH UNTIL
MONDAY...THOUGH SATURDAY/SUNDAY WOULD BE MUCH WARMER THAN THE GFS.
THE 12Z GEM IS SIMILAR TO THE ECMWF AT THE END OF ITS RUN AT 12Z
SATURDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT HEAT IS THERE BUT CONFIDENCE
IS NOT ALL THAT GREAT GIVEN THESE DIFFERENCES IN HANDLING THE LARGE
SCALE FEATURES SO WILL MAKE MINIMAL CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST FOR
NOW.

MDB

&&

.AVIATION...

//ORD AND MDW CONCERNS...UPDATED 00Z...

* PSBL TS THRU 02Z AT MDW.

* WIND VEERING FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST...THEN NORTHWEST AS FRONT
  APPROACHES.

* PSBL PATCHY MVFR CIGS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.

BEACHLER

//DISCUSSION...UPDATED 00Z...

UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST ACROSS NORTHERN
IL/NORTHWEST IN EARLY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME
IT APPEARS THE THUNDER THREAT WILL REMAIN SOUTHEAST OF ORD...WHILE
MDW/GYY CONTINUE TO SEE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SEEING THUNDER.
THUS HAVE MAINTAINED MENTION OF THUNDER AS A TEMPO GROUP FOR THOSE
SITES. IN ADDITION GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH 02Z FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...THEN ARND SUNSET THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND
WIND DIR VEERS TO THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY NORTH OVERNIGHT.
THE NEXT CONCERN OVERNIGHT WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR MVFR CIGS.
AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE FOR MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP
WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN WISC AIRFIELDS...HOWEVER HAVE HELD ONTO
SCT CIGS AT 2-3KFT AGL. FEEL MORE CONFIDENT THAT ENOUGH DRY AIR
WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN IL AIRFIELDS AND LIMIT SKY COVER.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...AS WINDS VEER
FURTHER NORTHEAST BY DAYBREAK. THIS WILL ALLOW A STEADY FEED OF
NORTHEAST WINDS TO ORD/MDW AIRFIELDS...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
20KT BY MIDDAY MON. AT THIS TIME SCT TO PSBLY BKN CIGS WILL OCCUR
MIDDAY...WITH BASES ARND 5KFT AGL.

BEACHLER

//ORD AND MDW CONFIDENCE...UPDATED 00Z...

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ORD REMAINING DRY THIS EVENING AND NO
  THUNDER.

* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN MDW TEMPO GROUP OF TSRA.

* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIND DIR/SPEED...ALONG WITH WINDS VEERING
  NORTHWEST THEN NORTHEAST EARLY MONDAY.

* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN CIGS FORECAST OVERNIGHT EARLY MONDAY.

BEACHLER

//OUTLOOK FOR ORD/MDW FOR 12Z TUESDAY-12Z SUNDAY...UPDATED 00Z...

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...VFR.
THURSDAY...VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA LATE.
FRIDAY...VFR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA.
SATURDAY...VFR.

BEACHLER

&&

.MARINE...
241 PM CDT

AT MID AFTERNOON...LOW PRES WAS OVER THE WESTERN U.P. OF MI WITH
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SSW ACROSS WI...NW AND W CENTRAL IL...THEN
CURVING SW ACROSS MO. AS THE LOW CONTINUES MOVING NE ACROSS LAKE
SUPERIOR AND INTO ONTARIO THIS EVENING...THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH E ACROSS LAKE MI SHIFTING WINDS FROM S AND SW TO W AND
NW AT MODERATE STRENGTH.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...HIGH PRES WILL MOVE SE FROM THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST...MID MO VALLEY AND THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND PRES
RISES DO NOT ARRIVE UNTIL OVERNIGHT/EARLY MON MORNING...AFTER THE
MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROF AXISES MOVE E OVER THE LAKE.

WITH THE RIDGE OF HI PRES SHIFTING E OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES...MID MS VALLEY AND THE OZARKS DURING MON AND MON NIGHT THE
N WINDS WILL SLACKEN...AND EVENTUALLY BECOME LIGHT WHILE THE RIDGE
CROSSES LAKE MI BEFORE A RETURN FLOW OF SE AND S WINDS KICK IN ON
THE BACK SIDE HIGH DURING TUE NIGHT. THE S WINDS INCREASE TO
MODERATE STRENGTH WED NIGHT AND THU AS ANOTHER LOW PRES AND COLD
FRONT COMBO APPROACH LAKE MI FROM THE W.

WITH THE DELAYED ONSET OF STRONGER N WINDS REACHING THE S END OF
LAKE MI OVERNIGHT AND THE PRES GRADIENT STARTING TO LESSEN MON
MORNING LO LONGER APPEARS THAT WINDS NOR WAVES WILL REACH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA SO WILL BE CANCELED.

TRS

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 20, 4:23 PM CDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
423 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-
212130-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-
DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
423 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012 /523 PM EDT SUN MAY 20 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW MAY MAY PRODUCE:
  STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
  HAIL TO ONE INCH.
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
  ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL ILLINOIS STRETCHING SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL
  ILLINOIS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
  TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF
  NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA AHEAD OF THE
  MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT.
  ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST.

  DISCUSSION:

  A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER NORTHCENTRAL WISCONSIN
  CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON...AS A TRAILING
  COLD FRONT STRETCHES SOUTHWEST THROUGH FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
  AND SOUTHEAST IOWA WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS
  LATER THIS EVENING...AND PUSH THROUGH NORTHWEST INDIANA
  SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

  THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME MOIST AND UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THIS COLD
  FRONT OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF
  THE COLD FRONT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
  WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING THE POTENTIAL FOR MICRO BURSTS
  WHICH COULD PRODUCE STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

  THERE IS ALSO A SMALL THREAT OF LARGE HAIL DUE TO THE COLD
  AIR ALOFT. HOWEVER...THIS THREAT WILL BE LIMITED
  DUE TO THE OVERALL WEAK DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR. A FEW PRE
  FRONTAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
  THE MAJORITY OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  THERE IS A CHANCE OF UNSEASONABLY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
  DEVELOPING BY NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NECESSARY THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

LMZ740>745-212130-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
423 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT FOR THE ILLINOIS AND INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS FROM
NORTHERLY ISLAND THROUGH MICHIGAN CITY INDIANA MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-212130-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
423 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF LAKE MICHIGAN
TONIGHT...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY LINGERING OVER THE
FAR SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE LAKE INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE LAKE THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

BEACHLER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 20, 7:41 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
741 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ILZ021-023-032-033-039-210115-
FORD IL-GRUNDY IL-IROQUOIS IL-KANKAKEE IL-LIVINGSTON IL-
741 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 738 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DWIGHT TO CULLOM...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS TO 50 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ODELL...              DWIGHT...             CULLOM...
  HERSCHER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO STANDING WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND POOR VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

LAT...LON 4115 8815 4091 8801 4078 8856 4108 8874
TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 249DEG 15KT 4106 8846 4085 8840

BIRK/RC
Special weather statement, May 20, 7:42 PM CDT, 56 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
742 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

ILZ021>023-210115-
GRUNDY IL-KANKAKEE IL-WILL IL-
742 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 733 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR GARDNER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL...WINDS TO 50 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BRACEVILLE...         GARDNER...            MAZON...
  BRAIDWOOD...          DIAMOND...            COAL CITY...
  LAKEWOOD SHORES...    WILMINGTON...         ELWOOD...

THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED...
KANKAKEE RIVER STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND.  SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL
THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4143 8809 4116 8791 4112 8845 4121 8849
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 230DEG 23KT 4120 8825

BIRK/RC
Local storm report, May 20, 7:48 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
748 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             PAW PAW                 41.69N 88.98W
05/20/2012  E1.00 INCH       LEE                IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0358 PM     HAIL             BELVIDERE               42.25N 88.85W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       BOONE              IL   AMATEUR RADIO

0400 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARENGO                 42.25N 88.60W
05/20/2012  M75.00 MPH       MCHENRY            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO ENCOUNTERED PENNY SIZE HAIL

0401 PM     HAIL             PAW PAW                 41.69N 88.98W
05/20/2012  M0.75 INCH       LEE                IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 PM     HAIL             MARENGO                 42.25N 88.60W
05/20/2012  M1.00 INCH       MCHENRY            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 PM     HAIL             PORTAGE                 41.59N 87.18W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       PORTER             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

0410 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARENGO                 42.25N 88.60W
05/20/2012  M58.00 MPH       MCHENRY            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0414 PM     HAIL             WOODSTOCK               42.31N 88.44W
05/20/2012  E0.25 INCH       MCHENRY            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0415 PM     HAIL             5 NW WOODSTOCK          42.36N 88.51W
05/20/2012  M1.00 INCH       MCHENRY            IL   PUBLIC

            ALDEN RD. RELAYED BY WREX.

0423 PM     HAIL             W WOODSTOCK             42.31N 88.44W
05/20/2012  M1.00 INCH       MCHENRY            IL   PUBLIC

            US 14 AND KISHWAUKEE RD. RELAYED BY WREX

0439 PM     HAIL             RICHMOND                42.48N 88.31W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       MCHENRY            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0440 PM     HAIL             2 SW MOMENCE            41.14N 87.69W
05/20/2012  M0.50 INCH       KANKAKEE           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0445 PM     HAIL             GRANT PARK              41.24N 87.64W
05/20/2012  E0.88 INCH       KANKAKEE           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0450 PM     HAIL             7 W LOWELL              41.28N 87.54W
05/20/2012  M0.50 INCH       KANKAKEE           IL   COCORAHS

0500 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 3 NE NORTH CHICAGO      42.35N 87.81W
05/20/2012  M37.00 MPH       LMZ740             IL   C-MAN STATION

0509 PM     HAIL             SCHAUMBURG              42.03N 88.08W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       COOK               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WISE AND SUMMIT RDS

0510 PM     HAIL             5 SW ARLINGTON HEIGHTS  42.03N 88.04W
05/20/2012  M0.50 INCH       COOK               IL   COCORAHS

0519 PM     HAIL             4 E BEECHER             41.35N 87.54W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       WILL               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0523 PM     HAIL             GRANT PARK              41.24N 87.64W
05/20/2012  M0.75 INCH       KANKAKEE           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO WINDS TO 60 MPH ESTIMATED

0535 PM     HAIL             3 NNW AURORA            41.82N 88.31W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       KANE               IL   COCORAHS

0535 PM     HAIL             2 N SUGAR GROVE         41.80N 88.46W
05/20/2012  E0.75 INCH       KANE               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR HARTER RD AND LASHER RD...LASTED 4 MINUTES.

0536 PM     HAIL             1 NE SUGAR GROVE        41.78N 88.45W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       KANE               IL   COCORAHS

0548 PM     HAIL             ELBURN                  41.89N 88.47W
05/20/2012  M0.88 INCH       KANE               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0604 PM     HAIL             NW MORRIS               41.37N 88.43W
05/20/2012  M0.75 INCH       GRUNDY             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0608 PM     HAIL             MORRIS                  41.37N 88.43W
05/20/2012  M0.75 INCH       GRUNDY             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RT 6 AND RT 47

0609 PM     HAIL             MORRIS                  41.37N 88.43W
05/20/2012  M0.88 INCH       GRUNDY             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            KINDLEY ST AND RT 47

0609 PM     HAIL             MORRIS                  41.37N 88.43W
05/20/2012  M1.00 INCH       GRUNDY             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UNION AND RT 6

0636 PM     HAIL             4 NNW COAL CITY         41.34N 88.30W
05/20/2012  M0.25 INCH       GRUNDY             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

0642 PM     HAIL             1 WSW DWIGHT            41.09N 88.44W
05/20/2012  M1.00 INCH       LIVINGSTON         IL   PUBLIC

0650 PM     HAIL             SHOREWOOD               41.52N 88.20W
05/20/2012  M0.50 INCH       WILL               IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

0706 PM     TSTM WND GST     GRANT PARK              41.24N 87.64W
05/20/2012  M59.00 MPH       KANKAKEE           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STATE LINE RD AND 10500N. ALSO HALF INCH HAIL.

0727 PM     HAIL             MOMENCE                 41.16N 87.66W
05/20/2012  M0.75 INCH       KANKAKEE           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ACS
Local storm report, May 20, 7:56 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
756 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GARY                    41.60N 87.34W
05/20/2012                   LAKE               IN   PUBLIC

            TREE FELL ON CHAIN LINK FENCE

&&

ACS
Local storm report, May 20, 8:05 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
805 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             N KENTLAND              40.77N 87.45W
05/20/2012  M0.88 INCH       NEWTON             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ACS
Local storm report, May 20, 8:21 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
821 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 E BEECHER             41.35N 87.54W
05/20/2012                   WILL               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE TREE LIMBS DOWN - SOME WERE 3 TO 4 INCHES IN
            DIAMETER. DELAYED REPORT.

0817 PM     HAIL             CROWN POINT             41.42N 87.36W
05/20/2012  E0.75 INCH       LAKE               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR ROUTE 231. STRONG WINDS.

&&

ACS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Chicago, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTKankakee, Will43 min
May 20, 7:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLOTGrundy37 min
May 20, 7:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLOTLivingston34 min
May 20, 7:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLOTGrundy33 min
May 20, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kankakee, Livingston, Will59 min
May 20, 7:47 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLOT118 min
May 21, 4:10 AM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryLOT29 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.