Special Weather Statement, NWS Elko, NV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
256 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST WILL
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A DRYING
AND WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF
STORMS...MOSTLY DRY...WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STRONG CONVECTION
OCCURRING OVER MOST OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN DUE TO UPPER LOW
OFF PAC NORTHWEST COAST AND VESTIGES OF MONSOON FLOW. DRYLINE OVER
CENTRAL NEVADA WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S AND 50S TO EAST AND 20S
AND 30S TO WEST. WET STORMS ARE THE RULE BUT DRY ENOUGH IN THE LOW
LAYERS FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND ROUND OF SWA'S. GUST AROUND 50
MPH ARE COMMON. THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT AS A WEAK JET
STREAK DRIFTS OFF TO EAST AND THEN THE UPPER LOW DROPS SOUTH.
UPPER FLOW WILL TURN SOUTHWEST AND THEN DRY OUT AND PUSH THE
MONSOON REGIME TO THE EAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WARMER AND DRYER
THOSE DAYS. A FEW DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM ALONG THE WESTERN
EDGE OF NYE AND LANDER COUNTIES AND INTO THE OWYHEE DESERT THIS
EVENING BEFORE DYING OUT.

.LONG TERM...A FEW CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS PACKAGE AS A LITTLE
MOISTURE WILL INVADE CENTRAL NEVADA AGAIN BY THURSDAY. EXPECTING
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS AND SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL NEVADA
CONVERGENCE ZONE THURSDAY AND THEN EXPANDING INTO MOST OF
CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND NORTHERN NEVADA BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...MORE STABILITY AND LESS MOISTURE ON SATURDAY SO THAT
ANYTHING OCCURRING WILL BE MOSTLY SHOWERS AND NOT THUNDERSTORMS.
SAME WITH SUNDAY THOUGH EVEN LESS COVERAGE THAT DAY AND MOSTLY
CONFINED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EAST CENTRAL NEVADA. NORMAL
TEMPS OF MID WEEK WILL CLIMB A FEW DEGREES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CIGS AND VISIBILITY AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
TOMORROW. WILL SEE SOME VCTS AT KWMC...KEKO...AND KELY THROUGH
ABOUT 03Z TONIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF. KTPH SHOULD REMAIN
CLEAR. EXPECT GUSTY VARIABLE WINDS TO ABOUT 40KT WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. DRYING AND WARMING TUESDAY FOR MOSTLY SKC AT ALL SITES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A FEW DRY STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG WESTERN EDGE OF
457 AND 454...AND OVER THE 467/468 BORDER AREAS THIS EVENING.
STORMS EAST OF THIS AREA WILL BE WET...SOME WITH HEAVY RAINS. ALL
STORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL CONTAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS. STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
THEN DIE DOWN OVER NIGHT. TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY
AND WARM. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY WITH SOME
DRY LIGHTING. SHOWERS AND FEW STORMS RETURN FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...DIMINISHING TO A FEW SHOWERS OVER 455 SUNDAY.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

98/98/98/98

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
237 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

NVZ030-031-033>041-172145-
HUMBOLDT COUNTY-NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY-
RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
NORTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-
SOUTHWESTERN ELKO COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-
NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY-NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY-
237 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
NEVADA...NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA...NORTHEAST NEVADA...NORTHWEST
NEVADA AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO THUNDERSTORMS AND SOME HEAVY RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH TONIGHT OVER MAINLY CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND
NORTHERN NEVADA. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER ROUND
OF STORMS IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT WILL BE
DRIER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT WEATHER PHENOMENA ACCORDING TO
STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
359 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

NVZ034-039-162330-
SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY NV-SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY
NV-
359 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM
PDT...

AT 348 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 20 MILES SOUTH OF RUBY VALLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO CROSS HIGHWAY 93 NEAR OR JUST
SOUTH OF THE INTERSECTION WITH STATE ROUTE 229.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY...
  RURAL CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY...

&&

LAT...LON 4083 11506 4074 11475 4044 11501 4047 11519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 201DEG 19KT 4054 11505

ROOD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
431 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

NVZ034-038-170000-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY NV-SOUTHWEST ELKO COUNTY NV-
431 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ELKO COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM
PDT...

AT 424 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF JIGGS...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
   JIGGS...
   LEE...

&&

LAT...LON 4065 11569 4059 11541 4028 11565 4032 11578
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 202DEG 21KT 4038 11568

ROOD

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