Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2012
River Flood Warning 65, NWS New Orleans, LA
NWS New Orleans, LA issued this river flood warning at Aug 26, 2012, 11:21 AM CDT for Harrison County, Mississippi. It took effect at Aug 29, 2012, 9:49 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 26, 2012, 11:21 AM CDT (16:21 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 29, 2012, 9:49 AM CDT
- Expired
- Sep 1, 2012, 11:14 AM CDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS New Orleans, LA
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Harrison County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tchoutacabouffa River near D Iberville (DIBM6).
- Action stage
- 8 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 18 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02480590, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
652 WGUS44 KLIX 261621 FLWLIX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1121 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-272221- /O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120829T0415Z-120830T0724Z/ /DIBM6.1.ER.120829T0415Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0124Z.NO/ 1121 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN RAPIDLY RISING TUESDAY AUGUST 28TH THEN RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY EVENING AUGUST 28TH. THIS RISE IS DUE TO POTENTIAL STORM SURGE FROM APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AUGUST 29TH. THE RIVER IS THEN EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING AUGUST 29TH. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$
12 follow-up statements
602 WGUS84 KLIX 270117 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 817 PM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN/BAY ST. LOUIS AFFECTING HANCOCK COUNTY THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC045-280717- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0063.120829T0051Z-120830T1349Z/ /KLNM6.2.ER.120829T0051Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0749Z.NO/ 817 PM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN/BAY ST. LOUIS. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING. * AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 0.5 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE UNTIL CRESTING AT AROUND 8.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE RIVER DOCK RESTRAUNT WILL FLOOD. DRAINAGE DITCHES ALONG MISSISSIPPI HIGHWAY 43 WILL BE RUNNING FULL AND NEAR THE SHOULDER OF THE ROAD AT THE BRIDGE APPROACH. WATER WILL COVER MOST OF THE RIVER DOCK PROPERTY AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ON THE SOUTH BANK * IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...WATER WILL COVER MOST OF THE RIVER DOCK PROPERTY AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ON THE SOUTH BANK * IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...THE BOAT DOCK AT THE RIVER DOCK RESTAURANT WILL BE UNDER WATER AND PROPERTY ALONG BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH BANKS WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. $$ MSC047-280717- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120829T0208Z-120830T0717Z/ /DIBM6.1.ER.120829T0208Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0117Z.NO/ 817 PM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE RISING UNTIL CRESTING AT AROUND 9.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$
404 WGUS84 KLIX 271428 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 928 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN/BAY ST. LOUIS AFFECTING HANCOCK COUNTY WOLF RIVER ABOVE GULFPORT AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC045-282028- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0063.120829T0036Z-120830T1354Z/ /KLNM6.2.ER.120829T0036Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0754Z.NO/ 928 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN/BAY ST. LOUIS. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING. * AT 8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.1 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 8.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE RIVER DOCK RESTRAUNT WILL FLOOD. DRAINAGE DITCHES ALONG MISSISSIPPI HIGHWAY 43 WILL BE RUNNING FULL AND NEAR THE SHOULDER OF THE ROAD AT THE BRIDGE APPROACH. WATER WILL COVER MOST OF THE RIVER DOCK PROPERTY AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ON THE SOUTH BANK. * IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...WATER WILL COVER MOST OF THE RIVER DOCK PROPERTY AND RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ON THE SOUTH BANK * IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...THE BOAT DOCK AT THE RIVER DOCK RESTAURANT WILL BE UNDER WATER AND PROPERTY ALONG BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH BANKS WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. $$ MSC047-282027- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0064.120828T1825Z-120830T1000Z/ /GLFM6.1.ER.120828T1825Z.120829T0600Z.120830T0400Z.NO/ 928 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE WOLF RIVER ABOVE GULFPORT. * FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.5 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AUGUST 29TH. * IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...BELLS FERRY ROAD WILL BE IMPASSABLE WITH DEEP WATER ON THE EAST BRIDGE APPROACH. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...BELLS FERRY ROAD WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. THERE WILL BE WATER OVER THE ACCESS ROAD JUST UPSTREAM OF THE BRIDGE AND THE ROAD WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE VERY QUICKLY. $$ MSC047-282027- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120829T0300Z-120830T0810Z/ /DIBM6.1.ER.120829T0300Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0210Z.NO/ 928 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 PM TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 9.5 FEET ON THE MORNING OF AUGUST 29TH. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$
894 WGUS84 KLIX 280227 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 927 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-290827- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120828T2207Z-120830T0717Z/ /DIBM6.1.ER.120828T2207Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0117Z.NO/ 927 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * AT 7:00 PM THE STAGE WAS 1.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE RISING TO A STAGE NEAR 9.5 FEET ON THE MORNING OF WEDNESDAY AUGUST 29TH. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE RISE ON THE RIVER IS DUE TO POTENTIAL STORM SURGE. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$
974 WGUS84 KLIX 281351 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 851 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA RIVER NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-291951- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120829T0513Z-120830T0834Z/ /DIBM6.1.ER.120829T0513Z.120829T1200Z.120830T0234Z.NO/ 851 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA RIVER NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * AT 7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$ 98/SO
077 WGUS84 KLIX 290321 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1021 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-300921- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120829T1554Z-120901T0300Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.120829T1554Z.120830T1800Z.120831T2100Z.NO/ 1021 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY AUGUST 30TH. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE INACCESSABLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE.
550 WGUS84 KLIX 291348 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 848 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA RIVER NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-301948- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.120829T1449Z-120901T0312Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.120829T1449Z.120830T1800Z.120831T2112Z.NO/ 848 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. * AT 8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE INACCESSABLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$ 98/SO
143 WGUS84 KLIX 300301 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1001 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-310901- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120901T0456Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.000000T0000Z.120831T0000Z.120831T2256Z.NO/ 1001 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * AT 1:00 PM THE STAGE WAS AT 8.40 FEET. * MINOR FLOOD IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING TO A STAGE NEAR 13.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE INACCESSIBLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE.
084 WGUS84 KLIX 301343 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 843 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-311943- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120901T1737Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.000000T0000Z.120831T0600Z.120901T1137Z.NO/ 843 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE INACCESSABLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES. * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED. * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$
544 WGUS84 KLIX 310346 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1046 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-010946- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120901T1651Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.000000T0000Z.120831T1200Z.120901T1051Z.NO/ 1046 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. * AT 9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE IN ACCESSABLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES. $$
784 WGUS84 KLIX 311442 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 942 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-012042- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120902T0206Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.000000T0000Z.120831T1800Z.120901T2006Z.NO/ 942 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST... THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT AROUND 13.8 FEET BY EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD BY MID AFTERNOON TOMORROW. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE INACCESSABLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES * IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...ROADS ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE IMPASSABLE. A FEW HOMES WILL BE ISOLATED * IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE BANKS WILL OVERFLOW A SHORT DISTANCE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM OF LAMEY BRIDGE. $$
320 WGUS84 KLIX 010355 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1055 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA RIVER NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && MSC047-012248- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120901T2248Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.000000T0000Z.120901T0000Z.120901T1648Z.NO/ 1055 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AT 7:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...RECREATIONAL CAMPS WILL BE INACCESSIBLE. PROPERTY ALONG LAMEY BRIDGE ROAD WILL BE INUNDATED. THE WATER LEVEL WILL BE AT THE UNDER CARRIAGE OF THE BRIDGE AND STRONG CURRENT WILL FLOW ACROSS THE BRIDGE APPROACHES. $$ 98/SO
261 WGUS84 KLIX 011614 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1114 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE AFFECTING HARRISON COUNTY PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... && MSC047-011644- /O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-120901T2248Z/ /DIBM6.1.ET.000000T0000Z.120901T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1114 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE TCHOUTACABOUFFA R. NEAR D'IBERVILLE. * AT 7:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5.5 FEET. NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR FORECAST. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 26, 7:45 AM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 26, 7:45 AM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
745 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012
.SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
NO PROBLEMS WITH THE 12Z FLIGHT. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED
AT RELEASE WITH A FEW LAYER OF ALTOCUMULUS CLOUDS. THESE MID
CLOUDS ARE ABOVE 10K FEET. THE PW VALUE REMAINS AT 1.80 INCHES.
THERE IS A 7 DEGREE INVERSION JUST BELOW 500 FEET. THE LIFTED
INDEX IS NOW INDICATED AT -7.2 INDICATING A CONTINUED UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. MEAN LOW LEVEL WINDS FROM THE SURFACE THROUGH 5K FEET
ARE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10KTS. FROM 5K TO 10K FEET THE WINDS
BACK AND ARE EASTERLY AT JUST UNDER 10KTS. NORTHERLY WINDS ARE IN
PLACE FROM 25K FEET THROUGH NEARLY 35K FEET.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 506 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012/
..HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST AND FOR
LOWER ST. BERNARD AND LOWER PLAQUEMINES PARISHES IN LOUISIANA...
SHORT TERM...
QUICKLY...SINCE THERE ARE OTHER ISSUES TO DISCUSS...TODAY SHOULD
BE A FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER DAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW AMPLE TIME AND
DECENT CONDITIONS FOR PREPARATIONS TO BE COMPLETED. TEMPERATURES
WILL REACH INTO THE LOWER 90S TODAY WITH VERY LITTLE CHANCE FOR
ANY RAIN AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE AREA.
MONDAY IS LOOKING MUCH THE SAME AS ISSAC IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY IN THE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. WITH ISSAC POSITIONED OFF TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THAT WILL AID IN BRINGING SOME DRIER AIR INTO
THE AREA AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 90S EAST
AND SOUTH AND INTO THE MID 90S WEST. LOW RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY AS WELL BEFORE CONDITIONS BEGIN
TO DETERIORATE FROM EAST TO WEST BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM...
NO ON TO THE TOPIC OF MAIN CONCERN...TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. ISAAC
IS LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST AND
MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH. THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF
THE STORM CONTINUES TO LOOK RAGGED ON SATELLITE WITH LIMITED DEEP
CONVECTION MAINLY OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THAT
SAID...A RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHT HAS FOUND A SLIGHTLY LOWER PRESSURE
OF 995 MB AND WINDS OF 65 MPH. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK FROM THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONTINUES TO SHOW ISSAC MOVING GENERALLY
IN A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION TOWARDS THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE NEXT 36
HOURS...THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THAT TRACK.
BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THE HURRICANE CENTER TRACK PUTS ISSAC
AROUND 100 MILES TO THE NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST AND INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. ONCE ISAAC REACHES THE GULF...STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.
AT THAT POINT...MOST OF THE RELIABLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF...THE GFS...THE NAM AND THE CMC
ALL IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE CANADIAN THE FURTHEST WEST.
THAT IS WHERE THINGS START TO GET A LITTLE...OFF. THE DIFFERENCES
IN THE MODEL RUNS HINGE MOSTLY ON HOW THEY HANDLE THE EVOLUTION OF
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES TO THE WEST AND THE
EAST OF SAID TROUGH. THE GFS AND THE CMC SHOW THE TROUGH
BYPASSING ISSAC AND THE TWO RIDGES CLOSING THE GAP BETWEEN THEM
LEAVING ISSAC BEHIND TO CONTINUE IN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TOWARD
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE NAM AND THE ECMWF BOTH LEAVE ENOUGH OF
A WEAKNESS OVER THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO ALLOW FOR A
NORTHERLY MOTION TOWARDS THE END OF THE TRACK. DISCOUNTING THE NAM
FOR ITS NOTORIOUS ISSUES IN THE TROPICS...AND WITH THE IDEA THAT
THE ECMWF WAS ONE OF...IF NOT THE BEST...PERFORMING MODELS IN THE
RECENT PAST SOME COMPARISONS WERE DONE ON THE LAST TWO RUNS. THE
12Z RUN YESTERDAY TOOK ISSAC INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR
APALACHICOLA. THE 00Z RUN FROM A FEW HOURS AGO SHOWS A LANDFALL
POINT NEAR THE FLORIDA/ALABAMA BORDER. THE 00Z RUN OF THE MODEL
DEFINITELY SHOWED A STRONGER ATLANTIC RIDGE WHICH ACCOUNTED FOR
THE PUSH FURTHER WEST AS THERE WAS LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH IN THE TWO RUNS. THIS WILL BE WATCHED
CLOSELY IN THE NEXT RUN SINCE IT REMAINS ONE OF THE EASTERN MOST
MODELS AT THIS POINT. SHOULD IT SHIFT MORE TO THE WEST AND THE
OTHER MODELS CONTINUE THEIR WESTWARD SHOWING...ADDITIONAL
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HURRICANE CENTER ARE POSSIBLE.
FOR THE TIME BEING HAVE GONE WITH A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND THE GFS
WITH A BIT MORE WEIGHT PLACED ON THE ECMWF SINCE IT IS CLOSER TO
THE CURRENT HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST TRACK. THIS WILL BRING THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY
NIGHT ALONG THE EASTERN PARTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST AND
TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY BY TUESDAY MORNING
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. RAIN CHANCES WILL OBVIOUSLY BE
DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF ISAAC...AND THEY CURRENTLY
REFLECT SOME OF THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK AS
MENTIONED IN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER DISCUSSION.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...THIS IS A DEVELOPING AND FLUID SITUATION THAT
CAN CHANGE GREATLY OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. THE BOTTOM LINE IS
THAT PARTS OF THE AREA ARE NOW UNDER A HURRICANE WATCH AND IN
THOSE AREA PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION AS QUICKLY
AS POSSIBLE. OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE WATCH...RESIDENTS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON ISAAC AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION IF NEEDED.
AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 12Z MONDAY WITH THE POSSIBLE
EXCEPTION OF SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO LIGHT FOG AROUND
DAYBREAK.
MARINE...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE ZONES EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. EXPECT DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS ISAAC IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE AS MOVES
INTO SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO AND TRACKS TOWARD THE NORTH GULF
COAST. THE LATEST FORECAST FROM NHC HAS ISAAC MAKING LANDFALL AS A
CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AROUND MOBILE BAY TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY.
DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...RED.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...MONITORING TROPICAL STORM ISAAC.
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR AND/OR
DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 91 67 92 72 / 10 10 10 10
BTR 92 70 94 73 / 10 10 0 10
ASD 91 70 91 75 / 10 10 10 20
MSY 90 74 91 78 / 10 10 10 20
GPT 91 73 90 75 / 10 10 20 30
PQL 91 69 90 75 / 10 10 20 40
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LOWER
PLAQUEMINES...AND LOWER ST. BERNARD.
GM...HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND.
MS...HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
HANCOCK...HARRISON...AND JACKSON.
GM...HURRICANE WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...LAKE BORGNE...AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 26, 6:14 AM CDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 614 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037- 039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-271115- LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA- WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE- EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES- ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON- ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON- LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA- SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER- HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- 614 AM CDT SUN AUG 26 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CALLS FOR TROPICAL STORM ISAAC TO STRENGTHEN INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. ISAAC IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING NEAR DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. ON THIS TRACK...STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR BOATING INTERESTS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IN ADDITION...A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES AND FOR LOWER PLAQUEMINES AND LOWER ST. BERNARD PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING AT THIS TIME. THE ACTIVATION OF AMATEUR RADIO WEATHER NETWORKS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 98/SO
The office that day
Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 4:06 AM CDT | Hurricane Watch | LIX | Pearl River | 12 hr |
| Aug 26, 10:54 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LIX | Hancock | 6 days |
| Aug 26, 11:12 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LIX | Harrison | 8 days |
| Aug 26, 4:25 PM CDT | Hurricane Warning | LIX | Pearl River | 70 hr |
| Aug 26, 4:25 PM CDT | Tropical Storm Warning | LIX | Amite, Pearl River, Pike, Walthall, Wilkinson | 4 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.