Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2012
River Flood Warning 106, NWS New Orleans, LA
NWS New Orleans, LA issued this river flood warning at Dec 26, 2012, 11:14 AM CST for Saint Tammany Parish, Washington Parish, Louisiana; Hancock County, Pearl River County, Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 29, 2012, 8:00 AM CST. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 26, 2012, 11:14 AM CST (17:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 29, 2012, 8:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 1, 2013, 11:14 AM CST
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS New Orleans, LA
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Hancock County, MS, Pearl River County, MS
The river
Written for the forecast point Pearl River near Bogalusa (BXAL1). The gauge peaked at 20.63 ft at Jan 2, 2013, 11:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 16 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 21 ft
- Major stage
- 23 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02489500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
290 WGUS44 KLIX 261714 FLWLIX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1114 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA... MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY AND WASHINGTON PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-272314- /O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0106.121229T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T2100Z.121231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1114 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON DECEMBER 29TH AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING DECEMBER 31ST. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$
10 follow-up statements
041 WGUS84 KLIX 270119 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 719 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-280719- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0106.121230T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121230T0000Z.121231T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 719 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE TO RISE UNTIL CRESTING AT AROUND 18.5 FEET BY MONDAY DECEMBER 31ST. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$
226 WGUS84 KLIX 271527 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 927 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY AND WASHINGTON PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-282127- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0106.121229T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T2100Z.121231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 927 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON DECEMBER 29TH AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING DECEMBER 30TH. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$ 98/SO
270 WGUS84 KLIX 280108 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 708 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-290708- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0106.121229T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T2100Z.121230T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 708 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO AROUND 18.5 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-290707- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0107.130102T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.130102T1800Z.130102T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 708 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY JANUARY 2ND. * IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS. $$
467 WGUS84 KLIX 281653 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1053 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-292253- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0106.121229T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1500Z.130102T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1053 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE TO RISE TO AROUND 19.5 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING JANUARY 1ST. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-292252- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0107.130101T0600Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.130101T0600Z.130104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1053 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY NEXT TUESDAY MORNING JANUARY 1ST AND THEN CONTINUE TO RISE TO AROUND 15.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING JANUARY 4TH. * IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS. $$
234 WGUS84 KLIX 290056 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 656 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-300656- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0106.121229T1400Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1400Z.130102T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 656 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 19.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING JANUARY 2ND. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-300655- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0107.130102T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.130102T1800Z.130104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 656 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING JANUARY 4TH. * IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK. * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS.
812 WGUS84 KLIX 291545 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 945 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-302145- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1031Z.130101T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 945 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING UNTIL CRESTING AT AROUND 20.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING JANUARY 1ST. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY AT OR NEAR ITS CREST OF 20.0 FEET FOR SEVERAL DAYS AFTERWARD. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-302145- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0107.130101T0300Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.130101T0300Z.130104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 945 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * FROM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE TO RISE UNTIL CRESTING AT OR NEAR 15.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING JANUARY 4TH. * IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS. $$
268 WGUS84 KLIX 300058 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 658 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-310658- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1031Z.130102T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 658 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 20.0 FEET ON EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING JANUARY 2ND THEN BEGIN FALLING. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-310658- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0107.130101T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.130101T1800Z.130104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 658 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY JANUARY FIRST AND CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET ON FRIDAY MORNING JANUARY 4TH. * IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK. * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS.
189 WGUS84 KLIX 301543 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 943 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-312143- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1031Z.130102T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 943 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING UNTIL SLOWLY CRESTING AT AROUND 20.5 FEET BETWEEN TUESDAY EVENING JANUARY 1ST AND THURSDAY EVENING JANUARY 3RD. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY FALLIN THEREAFTER. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$
904 WGUS84 KLIX 310105 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 705 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-010705- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1031Z.130102T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 705 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS THEN EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY FOR SEVERAL DAYS. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-010704- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0107.121231T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.121231T2100Z.130104T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 705 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LOWER PORTIONS OF STREETS IN RIVER GARDENS SUBDIVISION WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP WILL REMAIN INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK. THE BOGUE CHITTO NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL BE CLOSED TO HUNTING AT THE 15.5 FOOT STAGE. * IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK. THE BOGUE CHITTO NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL BE CLOSED TO HUNTING AT THE 15.5 FOOT STAGE.
891 WGUS84 KLIX 311558 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 958 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012 ...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI... THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA AFFECTING ST. TAMMANY...WASHINGTON... HANCOCK AND PEARL RIVER COUNTIES/PARISHES PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV. && LAC103-117-MSC045-109-012158- /O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BXAL1.1.ER.121229T1031Z.130102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 958 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA. * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING. * IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. * IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS. * IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER WILL BE FLOODED. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED. $$ LAC103-MSC045-109-012158- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0107.121231T1556Z-000000T0000Z/ /PERL1.1.ER.121231T1541Z.130104T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 958 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012 THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR PEARL RIVER. * NTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * THE FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. * FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LOWER PORTIONS OF STREETS IN RIVER GARDENS SUBDIVISION WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP WILL REMAIN INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK. THE BOGUE CHITTO NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL BE CLOSED TO HUNTING AT THE 15.5 FOOT STAGE. * IMPACT...AT 15.5 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK. THE BOGUE CHITTO NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE WILL BE CLOSED TO HUNTING AT THE 15.5 FOOT STAGE. * IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS TO THE RIVER AND THROUGHOUT HONEY ISLAND SWAMP ARE INUNDATED. PROPERTY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED THREATENING ABOUT 20 HOMES ALONG THE LEFT BANK * IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE EAST AND WEST CHANNELS OF THE RIVER WILL BEGIN TO MERGE. HONEY ISLAND SWAMP TRAILS WILL BE UNDER WATER AS INUNDATION OF THE SWAMP BEGINS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 26, 7:59 AM CST, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 7:59 AM CST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
759 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012
.UPDATE...
...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
NO PROBLEMS WITH THE FLIGHT THIS MORNING. THE SOUNDING IS JUST A
BIT DIFFERENT LOOKING THIS MORNING WHEN COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. THE
FRONT IS WELL OFF TO OUR EAST NOW WITH THE LINE OF STORMS NOW
PUSHING THROUGH THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA AND NEARING THE
JACKSONVILLE AREA. PW VALUES THIS MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW ON
HALF INCH BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO GET
INTO THE 40S AT THE PRESENT TIME. THERE IS A LARGE INVERSION JUST
OFF OF THE SURFACE WHERE THE TEMPERATURE IS ABOUT THREE TO FIVE
DEGREES HIGHER THAN AT THE SURFACE. WINDS AT THE SURFACE ARE OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN RATHER STRONG AND GUSTY. WINDS ALOFT
ARE OUT OF THE WEST WHERE STRONG H25 WINDS OF AROUND 130 KNOTS
WAS NOTED.
98/SO
&&
.DECISION SUPPORT...
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012/
SHORT TERM...
A MUCH NICER AND MUCH COOLER DAY CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AS THE
STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT ALL OF THE SEVERE WEATHER
YESTERDAY ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUES TO PULL OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.
SURVEY TEAMS WILL BE GOING OUT TODAY TO ASSESS THE DAMAGES FROM
THE STORMS YESTERDAY. BUT GETTING BACK TO THE FORECAST...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO STRUGGLE TO REACH THE 50 DEGREE MARK ACROSS THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL STILL BE A LITTLE BIT
ELEVATED TODAY ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE LAKE WHERE THERE
COULD STILL BE A FEW ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 MPH. WITH HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO
DROP BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE NORTHSHORE THE BATON ROUGE AREA AND
JUST ABOVE FREEZING FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE LAKE. THE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY AND WILL ALLOW
WINDS TO SWITCH MORE TO AN ESE DIRECTION AHEAD OF ANOTHER SYSTEM
THAT WILL IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.
LONG TERM...
MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BRINGING ANOTHER SYSTEM
INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. A MORE POSITIVE TO NEUTRAL TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE UNITED
STATES AND IN TURN A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND TRACK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY
NIGHT. LOOKING AT THE 500 MB PATTERN AND VORTICITY IT LOOKS AS
THOUGH THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM IS NOT AS STRONG. THE VORT MAX IS NOT
VERY CONSOLIDATED AS THE SYSTEM WAS YESTERDAY. THIS SYSTEMS
VORTICITY IS MORE ELONGATED. SO A SURFACE LOW TRACKS NEAR THE
COAST ON FRIDAY NIGHT...AND RIGHT NOW SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOOKS
TO BE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER WITH THE LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE
AREA AND THE WIND FIELD AND SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT SOME
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND MAYBE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BULK
SHEAR WILL BE IN THE 60 KNOT RANGE AND A PRETTY DECENT JET STREAK
MOVING OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE LIMITING
FACTOR RIGHT NOW LOOKS TO BE INSTABILITY AS AT THE MOMENT CAPE
VALUES STRUGGLE TO REACH 500 J/KG ON FRIDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION AND WILL MAKE UPDATES AS NECESSARY. RIGHT
NOW WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
AFTER THAT SYSTEM HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN ONCE AGAIN OVER THE AREA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 50S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S
ACROSS THE NORTHSHORE AND LOW TO MID 30S TO THE SOUTH. THE HIGH
MOVES EAST ON MONDAY SETTING UP RETURN FLOW OUT OF THE GULF AHEAD
OF ANOTHER SYSTEM FOR AS DEPICTED BY THE GFS. HOWEVER THE ECMWF
DOES NOT SHOW THIS SAME SCENARIO. THE ECMWF REINFORCES THE HIGH ON
MONDAY HOLDING OFF THE SYSTEM UNTIL LATER ON IN THE WEEK. STAY
TUNED TO THE FORECAST AS MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A
REASONABLE SOLUTION. BUT FOR NOW HAVE LEANED MORE WITH THE GFS FOR
THE LONG TERM FORECAST. 13/MH
AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO BOUNCE SCT-BKN TODAY AS COLD AIR ADVECTION
STRATOCUMULI REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION THROUGH ABOUT
00Z...THEN BECOMING VFR. STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON AS SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION. 24/RR
MARINE...
GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY EASE AROUND DAYBREAK AS GUSTS
FALL BELOW 35 KNOTS. THEREAFTER...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH AS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST. ANOTHER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...WEAKER BY COMPARISON TO RECENT
SYSTEM...DEVELOPS ALONG AN APPROACHING FRONTAL ZONE FRIDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS LIKELY FOR THE WEEKEND. 24/RR
DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...TWO STORM SURVEY TEAMS TODAY.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
SIGNIFICANCE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 46 27 52 41 / 10 0 0 20
BTR 49 31 56 46 / 10 0 0 20
ASD 50 31 55 44 / 0 0 0 10
MSY 49 35 54 49 / 0 0 0 20
GPT 51 32 54 44 / 0 0 0 10
PQL 52 32 54 41 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE
BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE
BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 10:31 AM CST, 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1031 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012 GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037- 039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-270445- LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA- WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE- EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES- ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON- ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON- LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA- SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER- HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- 1031 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN PLACE FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS UNTIL 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME... WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TUESDAY...JANUARY 1ST.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 6:11 PM CST | Special Marine Warning | LIX | 64 min | |
| Dec 25, 6:42 PM CST | Special Marine Warning | LIX | 63 min | |
| Dec 25, 7:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Plaquemines | 16 min |
| Dec 25, 7:49 PM CST | Special Marine Warning | LIX | 56 min | |
| Dec 26, 3:28 PM CST | Small Craft Advisory | LIX | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2012River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.