River Flood Warning 19, NWS Lake Charles, LA

083 
WGUS84 KLCH 081605
FLSLCH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 
1000 CST WED FEB 8 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
TEXAS...

  PINE ISLAND BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
LOUISIANA...

  WHISKY CHITTO CREEK NEAR MITTIE 
  CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR GLENMORA 
  CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR OAKDALE 
  CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR KINDER 
  CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER 
  BAYOU NEZPIQUE NEAR BASILE 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
LOUISIANA..
  CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR OBERLIN 
  CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY 

LAC079-090605-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120213T0300Z/
/GLML1.2.ER.120201T1130Z.120207T0330Z.120212T2100Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR GLENMORA.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE RIVER
  AND ITS TRIBUTARIES BEGINS...INCLUDING ASHMORE ROAD. STROTHERS 
  CROSSING ROAD NEAR CALCASIEU AND PRICE CROSSING ROAD NEAR HINESTON 
  HAVE SEVERAL FEET OF WATER OVER THEM AND SUBJECT TO WASHOUTS.

$$

LAC003-090605-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120211T2200Z/
/OKDL1.1.ER.120204T0406Z.120204T2015Z.120210T2200Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR OAKDALE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING, MAINLY FORESTED 
  AREAS ALONG THE RIVER WILL OCCUR. PARK AND PICNIC GROUND OFF OF 
  HIGHWAY 10 BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

LAC003-090605-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OBCL1.3.ER.120203T1452Z.120206T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR OBERLIN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 15 FEET MODERATE FLOODING WILL OCCUR WITH SEVERAL ACCESS ROADS TO THE RIVER.

$$

LAC003-053-090605-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120213T2100Z/
/KDRL1.2.ER.120204T2210Z.120207T1400Z.120213T0900Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR KINDER.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...IF GAGE READING AT KINDER REACHES 18 
  FEET...FLOODING BEGINS TO CUT OFF SOME OF THE ROADS AROUND TOPSY IN
  NORTHWEST JEFF DAVIS PARISH. 

$$

LAC019-090605-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.2.ER.120204T1120Z.120209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...GOOS FERRY ROAD BECOMES IMPASSABLE.

$$

LAC019-090605-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0017.120210T0000Z-120213T1800Z/
/LCHL1.1.ER.120210T0000Z.120210T0000Z.120213T0600Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER.
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 4.0 FEET...MINOR MARSHLAND FLOODING OCCURS. FLOODING 
  ALSO BEGINS ON RIVER ROAD IN NORTH LAKE CHARLES.

$$

LAC003-090605-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-120209T1930Z/
/MTTL1.1.ER.120205T0050Z.120206T0730Z.120209T0730Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WHISKY CHITTO CREEK NEAR MITTIE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING NEAR THE CREEK WILL
  OCCUR.

$$

LAC001-003-039-053-090605-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120209T1500Z/
/BSLL1.1.ER.120204T2219Z.120206T1430Z.120209T0300Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU NEZPIQUE NEAR BASILE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOOD DAMAGE WILL 
  OCCUR.

$$

TXC199-245-081635-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-120210T0600Z/
/SOLT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM CST WED FEB 8 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PINE ISLAND BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE.
* AT  8:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIVER IS AT BANKFULL STAGE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
554 PM CST TUE FEB 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
LATEST PEEK AT INCOMING KLCH RAOB DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW A VERY
MOIST PROFILE BETWEEN H85-H7...WHILE THE COLUMN HAS DRIED OUT A
BIT ABOVE THIS LAYER. THIS MATCHES UP FAIRLY WELL WITH MODEL RH
TIME HEIGHTS...WHICH INDICATE EROSION OF THIS MOIST LAYER DURING
THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS. WITH NO WORSE THAN A VFR CIG
EXPECTED...AND WINDS PROGGED TO CHANGE ONLY SLIGHTLY IN DIRECTION
AND SPEED...WILL RUN WITH VFR ONE LINERS.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 PM CST TUE FEB 7 2012/

DISCUSSION...
UNDER CLOUDY SKIES TODAY TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID TO UPPER
60S WITH A FEW LOCATIONS REPORTING 70 DEGREES OVER ST MARY PARISH
IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. CURRENTLY A FAST MOVING DRY COLD FRONT
IS PUSHING THROUGH THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH LOCATION AND LOOKS TO
MAKE THE CNTRL LOUISIANA COAST BEFORE MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES
BEHIND THE FRONT DROP BY 20 DEGREES. SNOW WAS REPORTED EARLIER IN
AMA TODAY BEHIND THIS LATEST FRONT...BUT FOR US TEMPS WILL REMAIN
WAY TO WARM FOR THAT ACTIVITY. WHAT WE WILL SEE IS NORTH WINDS
PICKING UP AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING.

TOMORROW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION WITH TEMPS RUNNING
ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. THURSDAY MORNING WILL SEE TEMPS
ACROSS THE LAKES REGION IN SE TX AND CNTRL LOUISIANA IN THE UPPER
30S WHILE LOWER 40S WILL BE THE RULE FROM THE I-10 CORRIDOR SOUTH TO
THE COAST.

AS FOR THE WEEKEND LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWER LATE SUNDAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE ON MONDAY AS
MOISTURE OVERRIDES A WARM FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING UP THE TEXAS
COAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  46  63  43  62 /  10  10  10  10
KBPT  46  64  44  62 /  10  10  10  10
KAEX  42  61  37  59 /  10  10  10  10
KLFT  48  63  43  62 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
424 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2012

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-081215-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
424 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED ON WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
081215-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
424 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.