Freeze Warning 7, NWS Lake Charles, LA

366 
WWUS74 KLCH 301156
NPWLCH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
556 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012


LAZ027>033-TXZ180-259-260-301300-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-121230T1200Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
TYLER-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...NEW LLANO...ALEXANDRIA...
PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...
MANSURA...DE RIDDER...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...
OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...WOODVILLE...COLMESNEIL...JASPER...
KIRBYVILLE...NEWTON
556 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012

...HARD FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
HARD FREEZE WARNING. 


$$

LAZ041>045-TXZ201-216-261-262-301300-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FZ.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121230T1200Z/
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
HARDIN-ORANGE-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...JENNINGS...
WELSH...LAKE ARTHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...CHURCH POINT...
LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...LUMBERTON...
SILSBEE...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY...BUNA...DEWEYVILLE
556 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZE WARNING. 


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1135 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. VFR TO PREVAIL WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. LOW CLOUDS MAY BEGIN TO MOVE
INTO KBPT AND KLCH TOWARD THE END OF THIS FCST PERIOD SUNDAY
EVENING...BUT SHOULD REMAIN VFR UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 741 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT ANALYSIS SHOWS RIDGE AXIS OF THE COLD SFC HIGH OVER E
TX/E OK. SAT IMAGERY AND LCH SOUNDING SHOWS SCT/BKN CIRRUS ~18K
FEET STREAMING OVERHEAD THE REGION. OTHERWISE...VERY DRY ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS WITH PRECIP H2O OF 0.26 INCHES. WITH SUCH A DRY AND COLD
AIRMASS IN PLACE...DON'T EXPECT THE SCT/BKN CIRRUS TO AFFECT
OVERNIGHT LOWS...AS WE STILL EXPECTING A HARD FREEZE NORTH OF
I-10...AND A LIGHT FREEZE FURTHER SOUTH TO THE COAST BY DAYBREAK.
OTHER THAN MAKING MINOR TWEAKS IN THE EVENING TEMPS (MAINLY FOR
CURRENT TRENDS)...NO OTHER CHANGES MADE. FOR THE MARINE ZONES...ADDED
SCEC WORDING FOR THE 0-20NM ZONES TILL 6 AM...COMPLEMENTING THE
ONGOING SCA FOR THE 20-60NM ZONES THRU 6 AM AS WELL.

DML

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 556 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 00Z TAF PACKAGE.

AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING EAST ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL YIELD
GENERALLY LIGHT SFC WINDS. HIGH CIRRUS THE ONLY CLOUDS TO SPEAK
OF. VFR IS EXPECTED.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012/

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE TEENS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AT THIS TIME
WITH SNOW FALLING IN THE OHIO VALLEY AND IN THE NORTHEAST. UNDER
CLOUDY SKIES TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S
ACROSS CNTRL LOUISIANA AND SE TEXAS WITH DEW POINTS HOLDING IN THE
MID 20S.

HI CLOUDS THAT ARE STREAMING IN FROM THE PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...TEMPS
WILL FALL QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET THEN MORE SLOWLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
BEFORE SETTLING IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP AROUND THE FREEZING MARK FOR
COASTAL COUNTIES AND PARISHES. SUNDAY MORNING IS SHARPING UP TO
BE THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE SEASON. A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE IN
EFFECT FROM CNTRL LA AND LAKES REGION IN SE TX TO THE I-10
CORRIDOR WITH A FREEZE WARNING TO THE COAST.

THE SURFACE HI THAT IS OVER TEXAS ATTM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE APPALACHIANS BY TOMORROW EVENING WITH RETURN FLOW BEGINNING TO
SETUP. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE MID 50S ON SUNDAY. AS THE HI
MOVES OFF CLOUDS OVER THE SWRN GULF WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AND INTO
SE TX AND FINALLY INTO LA. THIS WILL BEGIN THE PROCESS TO THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL TAKE PLACE ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP
DOWN INTO CNTRL TX BY THE AFTN HRS ON MONDAY AND THIS WILL ALLOW
MOISTURE TO POOL AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WITH THE APPROACH OF THE
UPPER LVL TROF..WILL SUPPORT STORM DEVELOPMENT. THE NEXT FRONT
LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND INTO THE GULF
TWRDS THE NOON HOUR. A SURFACE LOW LOOKS TO FORM ALONG THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF FRONT LATE TUESDAY AND THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
MOISTURE TO RIDE UP AND OVER THE FRONT AND INTO SE TX AND SRN LA
ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. LOOKING AT RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO
INCHES MOST LOCATIONS WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND FIVE INCHES.
RAINS ENDING ON THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  28  53  42  60 /   0   0  10  50
KBPT  30  55  44  62 /   0   0  10  50
KAEX  24  52  37  54 /   0   0  10  60
KLFT  27  53  40  60 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CST SUNDAY FOR ACADIA-ALLEN-
     AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
     LAFAYETTE-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CST SUNDAY FOR EAST CAMERON-IBERIA-
     LOWER ST. MARTIN-ST. MARY-VERMILION-WEST CAMERON.

TX...HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CST SUNDAY FOR HARDIN-NORTHERN
     JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-ORANGE-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN
     NEWTON-TYLER.

     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CST SUNDAY FOR JEFFERSON.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS
     FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1236 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
301215-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
1236 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING FOR AREAS
GENERALLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 20S ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 3 AND 8 AM. A LIGHT FREEZE IS
POSSIBLE TO THE COAST WITH TEMPERATURES OF 28 TO 32 DEGREES DURING
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM OVER THE TEXAS COASTAL
WATERS ON MONDAY...BEFORE DEEPENING AND DRIFTING EASTWARD BY MONDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED. THE RAIN WILL SLOWLY BE
COMING TO AN END ON NEW YEARS DAY...AS THE TROUGH TRAVELS INTO
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-301215-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
502 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL GULF WATERS
BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES FROM SHORE THROUGH 6 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM OVER THE TEXAS COASTAL
WATERS ON MONDAY...BEFORE DEEPENING AND DRIFTING EASTWARD BY MONDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED. THE RAIN WILL SLOWLY BE
COMING TO AN END ON NEW YEARS DAY...AS THE TROUGH TRAVELS INTO
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.