Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Jackson, KY

376 
WWUS53 KJKL 012154
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
554 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYC095-131-133-193-012215-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-120801T2215Z/
LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-PERRY KY-HARLAN KY-
554 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
HARLAN...SOUTHEASTERN PERRY...SOUTHWESTERN LETCHER AND EXTREME EAST
CENTRAL LESLIE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 549 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SLEMP...OR 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAZARD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LILLEY CORNETT WOODS...SKYLINE...HIRAM...GORDON...DEFEATED CREEK...
  CREECH...CHAD...SAND HILL...KINGDOM COME S.P....CUMBERLAND...
  LINEFORK...FLINT...CLUTTS...KINGS CREEK...BENHAM...CLOVER...
  PARTRIDGE...LYNCH...BIG BLACK MOUNTAIN AND OVEN FORK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3703 8320 3715 8314 3704 8274 3703 8274
      3702 8276 3701 8278 3700 8282 3697 8286
      3693 8285 3691 8287 3690 8287 3688 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 296DEG 25KT 3705 8304
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

JACOBSON

365 
WWUS53 KJKL 012207
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
607 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYC131-012216-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-120801T2215Z/
LESLIE KY-
607 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL LESLIE
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3697 8309 3712 8304 3704 8274 3703 8274
      3701 8278 3700 8282 3697 8286 3693 8285
      3691 8287 3690 8287 3688 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 283DEG 19KT 3705 8297

$$

KYC095-133-193-012215-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-120801T2215Z/
LETCHER KY-PERRY KY-HARLAN KY-
607 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
HARLAN...SOUTHEASTERN PERRY AND SOUTHWESTERN LETCHER COUNTIES UNTIL
615 PM EDT...

AT 603 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
DEFEATED CREEK...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WHITESBURG...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LINEFORK...CLUTTS...FLINT...CLOVER...BENHAM...KINGS CREEK...
  PARTRIDGE...LYNCH...OVEN FORK...EOLIA...BIG BLACK MOUNTAIN...BLAIR
  AND MAGGARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3697 8309 3712 8304 3704 8274 3703 8274
      3701 8278 3700 8282 3697 8286 3693 8285
      3691 8287 3690 8287 3688 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 283DEG 19KT 3705 8297
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$
JACOBSON

249 
WWUS53 KJKL 012214
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
614 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYC095-133-193-012223-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-120801T2215Z/
LETCHER KY-PERRY KY-HARLAN KY-
614 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HARLAN...
SOUTHEASTERN PERRY AND SOUTHWESTERN LETCHER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
615 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3697 8309 3712 8304 3704 8274 3703 8274
      3701 8278 3700 8282 3697 8286 3693 8285
      3691 8287 3690 8287 3688 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 283DEG 19KT 3704 8293

$$

JACOBSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
432 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 356 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS INITIATED ACROSS THE AREA IN
THE PAST HOUR...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. THE
MAIN TRIGGER IS A PASSING SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING OVERHEAD
OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. A WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARY HAS ALSO HELPED TO
POOL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE BOUNDARY IS NOW NEAR AN KHTS TO KLAY
LINE. SOME OF THE CONVECTION HAS REACHED SEVERE STATUS...AND SOME
SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING
UNTIL WE LOSE HEATING AND THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXITS OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST.

THERE SHOULD BE SOME DECENT SUBSIDENCE TONIGHT...SO EXPECT AREAS OF
FOG TO FORM...BECOMING LOCALLY DENSE IN THE DEEPER RIVER VALLEYS AND
WHERE MORE SUSTAINED POCKETS OF RAIN FALL. LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

THE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING
FAIR WEATHER. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT A BIT WARMER ON THURSDAY...WITH
LOWER 90S...AND SOME MID 90S. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 65
TO 70 DEGREE RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 432 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE WILL BE MAKING A COMEBACK AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD...WITH A NOTABLE AND PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW. HOWEVER...MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON THE TIMING OR TRACK OF A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH MAY AFFECT THE AREA IN THE FRIDAY-SATURDAY
TIME FRAME. HAVE USED LARGELY LOW CHANCE POPS DURING THIS TIME. WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED IF HIGHER POPS END UP BEING NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF
THIS TIME PERIOD AT SOME POINT...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT GREAT ENOUGH
TO NARROW DOWN THE HIGHER THREAT RIGHT NOW.

A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY. TAKING DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION
INTO CONSIDERATION AS WELL...HAVE USED LIKELY POPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
PRECIP WILL PROBABLY HOLD OVER INTO SUNDAY NIGHT TO SOME EXTENT...BUT
THERE IS UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING HOW QUICKLY THE SYSTEM PULLS OUT TO
THE SOUTHEAST...AND HAVE ONLY USED CHANCE POPS.

THE LAST OF ANY PRECIP SHOULD LEAVE OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES ON
MONDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID
AIR MASS MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH MAINLY DRY WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 150 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

EXPECT SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION TO POP UP THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY DUSK. ANY STORMS WILL BRING IFR
CONDITIONS OR WORSE...BUT GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MINUTES OVER A GIVEN
LOCATION. GIVEN THE ISOLATED COVERAGE...WILL CONTINUE TO NOT MENTION
THESE AT THE TAF SITES.  FOG WILL LIKELY FORM IN THE VALLEYS
TONIGHT...AND HAVE INCLUDED TEMPORARY IFR CONDITIONS FOR LOZ AND
SME...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KTS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY DUSK.

STRAY CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SPARSELY AFFECT THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS SHOULD CLEAR UP BY 14Z. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
DOMINATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT TO SEE SOME PATCHY DENSE VALLEY
FOG LATE TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THE MAIN TAF
SITES SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR. OUTSIDE OF ANY STRAY THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY...THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...GEOGERIAN
LONG TERM....HAL
AVIATION...GEOGERIAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
501 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-
021115-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-
BREATHITT-OWSLEY-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...INEZ
501 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. A FEW STORMS MAY
APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS...CONTAINING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HEAT INDICES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL TOP OUT BETWEEN 95 AND 100
DEGREES.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THE STORMS ON FRIDAY...SATURDAY...AND SUNDAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE THIS
EVENING.

KYZ083>088-110-113-115>118-120-021115-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-
LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
PIKEVILLE
501 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 546 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
BEING THE BIGGEST THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HEAT INDICES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL TOP OUT BETWEEN 95 AND 100
DEGREES.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THE STORMS ON FRIDAY...SATURDAY...AND SUNDAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE THIS
EVENING.

GREIF/GEOGERIAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
426 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYZ110-120-012100-
PIKE-FLOYD-
426 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 500
PM EDT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

   CENTRAL PIKE AND
   EAST CENTRAL FLOYD.

AT 426 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GALVESTON...OR
6 MILES WEST OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

KAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
445 PM EDT WED AUG 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL             INEZ                    37.87N 82.54W
08/01/2012  E0.50 INCH       MARTIN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAYS 645 AND 3412.

&&

DSTAMPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
454 PM EDT WED AUG 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     HAIL             PIKEVILLE               37.48N 82.51W
08/01/2012  E0.25 INCH       PIKE               KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

TBREWER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
504 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYZ088-115-117-118-012130-
LESLIE-LETCHER-PERRY-HARLAN-
504 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 530
PM EDT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

   SOUTHERN LESLIE...
   EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LETCHER...
   SOUTH CENTRAL PERRY AND
   NORTH CENTRAL HARLAN.

AT 504 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHAPPELL...OR
9 MILES SOUTH OF HYDEN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

KAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
519 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYZ119-120-012145-
MARTIN-PIKE-
519 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 545
PM EDT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

   SOUTH CENTRAL MARTIN AND
   NORTH CENTRAL PIKE.

AT 519 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VARNEY...OR 9
MILES WEST OF WILLIAMSON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

KAS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
536 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

KYZ088-115-117-118-012200-
LESLIE-LETCHER-PERRY-HARLAN-
536 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 600
PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING...

   EAST CENTRAL LESLIE...
   SOUTHWESTERN LETCHER...
   SOUTHEASTERN PERRY AND
   NORTHEASTERN HARLAN.

AT 537 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SLEMP...OR 13
MILES SOUTH OF HAZARD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.

KAS