Small Craft Advisory 19, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1020 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012

.UPDATE...ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. MCS OVER THE EASTERN
GULF WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SE TOWARDS S FL...ONLY EFFECTS SHOULD
BE TO INCREASE HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER OUR AREA. WILL LOWER POPS TO
SLIGHT CHANCE OR NIL FOR THIS EVENING.

SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR TOMORROW AS STRONG SHORT WAVE
AHEAD OF UPPER SOUTHERN PLAINS LOW SWINGS ACROSS THE SE. STRONG
WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANY CONVECTION
THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AND WILL
NOT MENTION. WITH A SHORTWAVE PASSING TO THE NORTH...ENOUGH LIFT
WILL BE PRESENT TO LIMIT FOG FORMATION. WILL USE A PERIOD OF MVFR
FOR GNV 09-13Z...OTHERWISE NO FOG EXPECTED TNGT. A GREATER CHANCE
OF SHWRS/TSTMS TOMORROW AFTN WITH A MORE POTENT SHORTWAVE...WILL
USE VCTS FOR NOW UNTIL SPECIFICS CAN BE BETTER DETERMINED.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS TO 15 KT OR SO. HAVE
UPDATED FCST FOR EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHWRS/TSTMS THURSDAY AFTN COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY ROUGH
CONDITIONS. WINDS INCREASE LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI AS SFC LOW
APPROACHES GA. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE EXPECTED FRI THROUGH
SUNDAY DUE TO INCREASED NLY WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS UP TO 11 FT WELL
OFFSHORE.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH THURSDAY DUE TO EASTERLY
SWELLS OF 2-3 FT WITH 11 SECOND PERIODS. ANTICIPATE A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS FRI INTO SATURDAY DUE TO INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

ZIBURA/ALLEN/KEEGAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
815 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-050815-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
815 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

MKT/MZ