Severe Thunderstorm Warning 194, NWS Jacksonville, FL

123 
WWUS52 KJAX 161802
SVSJAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
202 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

FLC083-161845-
/O.CON.KJAX.SV.W.0194.000000T0000Z-120816T1845Z/
MARION FL-
202 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY...

AT 202 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BURBANK TO MOSS BLUFF TO WEIRSDALE...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM FORT MCCOY TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LYNNE TO LADY
LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO JUNIPER
SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

LAT...LON 2895 8166 2897 8200 2914 8197 2928 8202
      2932 8201 2932 8195 2931 8169 2912 8163
      2905 8163 2904 8165
TIME...MOT...LOC 1802Z 285DEG 11KT 2929 8196 2911 8184
          2896 8188

$$

SHASHY

399 
WWUS52 KJAX 161832
SVSJAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
232 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

FLC083-161843-
/O.CAN.KJAX.SV.W.0194.000000T0000Z-120816T1845Z/
MARION FL-
232 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

ALTHOUGH THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT...FREQUENT 
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH CAN BE 
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2895 8166 2897 8200 2914 8197 2928 8202
      2932 8201 2932 8195 2931 8169 2912 8163
      2905 8163 2904 8165
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 280DEG 23KT 2907 8163

$$

SHASHY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
953 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

.UPDATE...SFC DATA SHOWS HIGH PRES RIDGE AXIS OVER CENTRAL FL WITH
PREVAILING FLOW FROM THE WSW OVER THE LOCAL AREA. MOISTURE LEVELS
HAVE NOTED TO INCREASE THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH PWAT OF NEAR 2 INCHES
AND MEAN 1000-500 MB VALUES JUST SHY OF 70%. A COUPLE OF MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVES NOTED IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE WITH ONE OVER SRN GA AND
ANOTHER ONE IN THE NE GULF OF MEXICO. AS A RESULT...WE CURRENTLY
SEE VERY ISOLD SHOWERS NOW JUST ENTERING OUR FAR NW ZONES AND SW
ZONES. SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUD COVER MAY DECREASE THE UPWARD SWING
IN MAX TEMPS TODAY ESPECIALLY OVER SE GA. THINK SCT COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS LOOKS GOOD TODAY WITH BEST CHANCES INITIALLY
OVER OUR EXTREME N AND S ZONES AND FILLING IN BETTER FROM ALACHUA
COUNTY TO MARION COUNTY THROUGH NOON. ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY
SPREAD EWD WITH THE MEAN FLOW FROM 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MODIFIED
JAX SOUNDING SBCAPE FOR 92/72 WAS NEAR 3400 J/KG AND MPDI VALUE
OF ABOUT 1. THUS...COULD CERTAINLY SEE A FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY
SEVERE STORMS IN THE MID TO LATE AFTN HRS.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT-LCL CU DEVELOPING 2 KFT EARLY THIS MORNING. ISOLD
SHOWERS MAY IMPACT GNV TERMINAL WITHIN NEXT FEW HRS...WITH VCTS
ANTICIPATED FOR TAFS IN THE AFTN. TOO EARLY TO INSERT ANY TEMPO
GROUPS BUT ANTICIPATING AMDS FOR GNV AND VQQ IN THE MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...NO CHANGES. WINDS S TO SW NEAR 10 KT AND SEAS 2-3 FT.
ISOLD TO SCT STORM ACTIVITY POSSIBLE FROM ABOUT 2 PM INTO THE EVENING.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK FOR TODAY AND LIKELY ON FRI AS WELL...DUE
TO LOW SEA/SWELL HEIGHTS NEARSHORE OF 2 FT OR LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  93  72  92  72 /  30  30  30  20
SSI  91  76  90  74 /  30  20  30  20
JAX  93  73  91  72 /  40  30  30  20
SGJ  91  74  89  74 /  30  30  30  20
GNV  93  71  90  72 /  30  20  30  20
OCF  93  72  90  72 /  30  20  30  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHASHY/MCALLISTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
251 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-171000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
251 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE FIRST STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE GULF THIS MORNING AND AFFECT AREAS
WEST OF INTERSTATE 75...THEN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE FURTHER
INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW OF THE
STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. ANY STORMS WHICH DO
DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1229 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

FLZ036-161700-
ALACHUA-
1229 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL
ALACHUA COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 100 PM EDT...

AT 1229 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 5 MILES EAST OF NEWBERRY...OR 12 MILES
WEST OF GAINESVILLE...MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND NEWBERRY AND ARCHER
THROUGH 100 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS
OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2952 8257 2953 8257 2953 8260 2955 8264
      2973 8261 2966 8229 2950 8233 2950 8252
TIME...MOT...LOC 1629Z 280DEG 13KT 2962 8252

SHASHY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
117 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

FLZ040-161800-
MARION-
117 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CENTRAL MARION
COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 200 PM
EDT...

AT 116 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 6 MILES WEST OF LOWELL...OR 11 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WILLISTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND REDDICK...LOWELL...
OCALA...ANTHONY...SPARR...SILVER SPRINGS SHORES...SANTOS AND BURBANK
THROUGH 200 PM EDT. ANOTHER STORM JUST WEST OF BELLEVIEW WILL MOVE
EAST AT 15 MPH. FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS
OF 40 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2896 8219 2922 8239 2940 8238 2942 8203
      2935 8199 2896 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 1716Z 271DEG 12KT 2930 8228

SHASHY