Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Jacksonville, FL

410 
WWUS82 KJAX 271747
RFWJAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
147 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-280000-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120428T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
147 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH ERC VALUES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

* WIND...WEST WINDS 10 MPH AND GUSTY.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
  35 PERCENT FOR 3 TO 5 HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. 

* DISPERSION...VALUES ABOVE 75 ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

* ERC...VALUES AROUND 35 THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/JAX

515 
WWUS82 KJAX 271806
RFWJAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
206 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-280000-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0020.120428T1700Z-120428T2300Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120428T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
206 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH ERC VALUES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR HIGH ERC VALUES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MOST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

* WIND...WEST WINDS 10 MPH AND GUSTY.

* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 
  35 PERCENT FOR 3 TO 5 HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.

* DISPERSION...VALUES ABOVE 75 ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

* ERC...VALUES AROUND 35 THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

FOR SATURDAY...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RH AND HIGH ERC VALUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/JAX

511 
WWUS82 KJAX 272338
RFWJAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
738 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-281000-
/O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-120428T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0020.120428T1700Z-120428T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
738 PM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR HIGH ERC VALUES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR HIGH
ERC VALUES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...


* HUMIDITY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 35
  PERCENT FOR 3 TO 5 HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* ERC...VALUES AROUND 35 SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/JAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
240 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

...WARM AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

EARLY THIS MORNING...OTHER THAN A FEW WISPS OF HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING
IN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE I-75 CORRIDOR OF NE FL. MIN TEMPS CLOSE TO 60 DEGREES.

TODAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA WHILE A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE CAROLINAS NORTH
OF THE REGION. PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN AN INCH AND THIS WILL KEEP PCPN ALONG THE
FRONT GENERALLY NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH ONLY SILENT 10%
CHANCES OF AFTN/EVE SHOWERS ALONG THE ATLAMAHA RIVER BASIN. SKIES
STILL EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND SW STEERING FLOW WILL PUSH MAX
TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 80S NEAR 90 DEGREES AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON.

SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STARTS TO DRIFT NORTHWARD WITH ITS
AXIS OVER NORTH FLORIDA BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DRIER AIRMASS WITH
PWATS STILL LESS THAN ONE INCH EXPECTED AND RAIN CHANCES REMAIN LESS
THAN 10%. MAX TEMPS WILL TOP OUT CLOSE TO 90 DEGREES...BUT A
SLIGHTLY STRONGER ATLC COAST SBRZ WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE
80S ALONG THE COAST.

SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTH GEORGIA BY LATE IN THE DAY. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL LIFT
NORTHWARD UNDER THE RIDGE TO TRIGGER A FEW ISOLD AFTERNOON/EVENING
SHOWERS IN THE GNV/OCF METRO AREAS. OTHERWISE SKIES EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH MAX TEMPS AROUND 90 DEGREES ONCE AGAIN OVER INLAND
AREAS AND IN THE MID 80S ALONG THE COAST.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

NEW MODEL RUNS ARE SHOWING BACK DOOR FRONT PUSHING DOWN THE EAST
COAST HANGING UP JUST NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL STILL BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION THEN SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. ONSHORE FLOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING
THIS PERIOD. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO PREVENT MUCH
IN THE WAY OF PCPN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THEN DEEPER MOISTURE
MOVING UP THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL LEAD TO 20-30% POPS ON WED/THU
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS. MAX TEMPS WILL COOL DOWN CLOSER TO
CLIMO LEVELS WITH LOWER 80S ALONG THE COAST AND MID/UPPER 80S
FURTHER INLAND.

&&

.AVIATION...

HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL LEAD TO PREVAILING VFR
CONDITIONS THIS 06Z TAF PERIOD. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR MVFR FOG THIS MORNING AT GNV/VQQ.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MET THIS AFTERNOON IN
NORTHEAST FL...FOR RH/DISPERSIONS/ERC. THEREFORE...THE WATCH WILL BE
UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

&&

.MARINE...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL
LEAD TO ELEVATED SEAS AND WINDS NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  86  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  85  66  83  66 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  88  59  89  62 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  83  63  82  65 /   0   0   0  10
GNV  87  58  90  62 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  87  58  89  64 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-
     GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-
     UNION.

GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

HESS/STRUBLE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
346 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-281000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
346 AM EDT FRI APR 27 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...HIGH FIRE DANGER CONTINUES...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND STEEP SEAS WILL
KEEP MARINE CONDITIONS UNFAVORABLE FOR SOME SMALL BOATERS.

THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED HIGH FIRE DANGER AREA WIDE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED HIGH FIRE DANGER AREA WIDE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ALONG
WITH AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT LOCAL BEACHES.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

JCH