Gale Watch 4, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
350 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AND FLOOD WATCH FOR SE GA THIS AFTN
AND EARLY THIS EVENING....

.SHORT TERM...TODAY...A COUPLE OF PRE-FRONTAL LINES OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL APPROACH OUR WNW ZONES LATE THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS SE GA WITH
SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NE FL THIS AFTN ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEST
COAST SEA BREEZE. DYNAMICS AND THERMODYNAMICS STILL SUPPORT STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SE GA LATE THIS AFTN AND EVENING WITH THE
MAIN CONVECTIVE HAZARDS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS SE
GA...WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SEA BREEZE CONVECTION ACROSS
NE FL THIS AFTN.

FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST BETTER DIURNAL MIXING WILL SUPPORT LAKE WIND
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS NE FL AND COASTAL SE GA. HIGH TEMPS WILL
RANGE FROM THE MID 70S UNDER CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS SE GA TO THE MID
80S ACROSS OUR SE FL ZONES UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND
WARM...WINDY SW FLOW.

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SE GA WHERE MODEL CONSENSUS
SUPPORTS WIDESPREAD 2-4 INCH RAINFALL AMTS THIS AFTN INTO THIS
EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH THE STALLING SFC COLD FRONT THIS AFTN...THEN
A STRATIFORM AREA OF PRECIP DEVELOPS TRAILING THE SFC FRONT ACROSS
SE GA THIS EVENING AS UPPER LEVEL FORCING ENHANCES LIFT. WHERE
TRAINING CELLS OCCUR THIS AFTN INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS SE
GA...LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL AMTS (4-6 INCHES) IN ADDITION TO THE
WIDESPREAD 2-4 INCHES COULD CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS IN URBAN AN
LOW LYING AREAS. THE FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 18Z THIS AFTN TO
06Z TONIGHT.

TONIGHT...LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS SE GA THAT WILL
SLOW ITS PROGRESS AND ENHANCE THE HEAVY RAINFALL IN TRAINING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING HOURS. AS LOW
PULLS NE INTO THE CAROLINAS IT WILL FINALLY START TO PUSH FRONT SE
INTO NE FL WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN TSTM ACTIVITY STILL
POSSIBLE BUT FOR NOW WILL END FLOOD WATCH FOR SE GA AROUND MIDNIGHT.
GUSTY WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE IN LINGERING STRONG TSTM
ACTIVITY. WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS STILL IN THE 1-3
INCH RANGE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3-5 INCHES.

SUNDAY...WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER
POSSIBLE EARLY. SHOWERS WILL THEN PUSH OFFSHORE WITH THE FRONT BY
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CLEARING SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDY
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AS W/NW FLOW INCREASES TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 40 MPH EXPECTED AND WIND ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.
MAX TEMPS WILL ONLY REBOUND INTO THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S.

SUNDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLEAR AND COOL BEHIND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH MIN TEMPS FALLING INTO THE 35-40 DEGREE RANGE OVER INLAND AREAS
WITH SOME PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE. IN THE 40S ALONG THE COAST AND ST
JOHNS RIVER BASIN.

MONDAY...SUNNY AND BREEZY AS LOW PASSING THROUGH THE CAROLINAS
PUSHES DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH THE REGION. WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH ONSHORE FLOW KEEPING TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS. THE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
A FEW REACHING THE COAST AT TIMES...BUT WAY TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT
BEST TIMES FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...IFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT FL TERMINALS EARL THIS
MORNING...THEN INCREASE TO MVFR AFTER SUNRISE. SSI WILL HAVE IFR
CIGS ENCROACH FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING. CONVECTION APPROACHES ALL
TERMINALS FROM THE WEST THIS AFTN...IMPACTING SSI AND GNV FIRST. LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES IN THE TAFS THIS MORNING WITH BREEZY SW
FLOW AFTER SUNRISE WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.

&&

.MARINE...
HAVE UPDATED THE MARINE TO INCLUDE A GALE WATCH FOR THE STRONG FLOW
ALONG THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT AND THE STRONG NW PUSH BEHIND
THE FRONT ON SUNDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS AT 25-30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS OF
35-40 KNOTS POSSIBLE. SEAS MAY BUILD AS HIGH AS 7-11 FEET OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ONSHORE FLOW FROM TUESDAY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL KEEP WINDS/SEAS ELEVATED INTO
ADVISORY LEVELS AT TIMES.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH MONDAY...THEN BECOMING MODERATE TO
POSSIBLY HIGH TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK WITH EXTENDED
PERIOD OF ONSHORE FLOW. BREAKER HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY BUILD INTO THE
5-7 FT RANGE LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HAVE EXPANDED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH INTO ALL AREAS OF NE FL AND SE
GA AS STRONG W/NW WINDS AT 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH RH VALUES THAT MAY DROP DOWN INTO THE 25-35% RANGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  77  47  63  40 / 100 100  70   0
SSI  76  48  59  44 /  90 100  90   0
JAX  84  50  63  38 /  60 100  90   0
SGJ  84  52  61  43 /  50  90  90   0
GNV  83  52  63  37 /  50 100  80   0
OCF  86  54  63  37 /  30  90  80   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
     CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
     NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
     SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
     FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL
     CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND
     GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-
     BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-
     COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-
     WARE-WAYNE.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-
     INLAND GLYNN.

AM...GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

HESS/ENYEDI

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>