Fire Weather Watch 21, NWS Jacksonville, FL

473 
WWUS82 KJAX 110128
RFWJAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
928 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

FLZ020>022-035-110930-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0021.120511T1600Z-120511T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-
928 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR HIGH ERC VALUES AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
SUWANNEE VALLEY OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN FLORIDA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 020...021... 
  022 AND 035. 

* ERC...VALUES AROUND 35 UNITS.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES 30 TO 35 PERCENT...WITH RH VALUES 
  BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/JAX

055 
WWUS82 KJAX 110740
RFWJAX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
340 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2012

FLZ020>022-035-110845-
/O.CAN.KJAX.FW.A.0021.120511T1600Z-120511T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-
340 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR SUWANNEE VALLEY OF 
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FOR 4 TO 6 
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ERC VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD OF 35. THUS A WARNING WILL NOT BE
ISSUED. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED INSTEAD.

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/JAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
210 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SURFACE HUGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTH TO
FLORIDA WILL GRADUALLY PUSH TO THE EAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST FRIDAY...WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS...AND NEAR
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ON THE COAST.

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
RETURN FLOW AROUND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST WILL PROVIDE
INCREASED MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BETTER
LAYER MOISTURE FOR SUNDAY. A FAIRLY WEAK LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH MID WEEK UNDER A 500H TROUGH...CONTINUING
PRECIP CHANCES. TROUGHING WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY SO CONTINUING
PRECIP CHANCES. WITH THE FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW SEASONAL
AVERAGES THIS WEEKEND...WITH READINGS CLOSER TO NORMAL NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THIS 18Z TAF PERIOD. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE AT KVQQ/KGNV WHERE SOME
MVFR FOG CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE...WITH ALL LOCATIONS UNDER SCEC CRITERIA
SO WILL LOWER CAUTION WITH THE AFTN ISSUANCE. WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN
UNDER CRITERIA THROUGH FRIDAY...INCREASING FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THE HIGH WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST WITH LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME...BUT SEAS WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED DUE TO A LONG FETCH OF EASTERLY WINDS.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH FRIDAY UNDER CONTINUED ONSHORE
FLOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION...DRIER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO FILTER SOUTH. RH AND ERC VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO MEET
RED FLAG CRITERIA OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
INCREASINGLY ONSHORE FLOW WILL PROVIDE MORE MOISTURE ACROSS THE
REGION FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...SO HIGHER
RH VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED. RAIN CHANCES WILL EXIST FROM LATE
SATURDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  55  87  58  85 /   0   0   0  20
SSI  65  78  66  80 /   0   0  10  20
JAX  59  84  60  82 /   0   0   0  20
SGJ  66  80  68  80 /   0   0   0  20
GNV  59  87  59  84 /   0   0   0  20
OCF  62  88  61  86 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE.

GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

ALLEN/STRUBLE/NELSON/KEEGAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
349 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-111000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL
CAMDEN-
349 AM EDT THU MAY 10 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY...

THERE WILL BE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT NORTHEAST FLORIDA
BEACHES TODAY DUE TO INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.