Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1150 AM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

.UPDATE...A LARGE AREA OF RAIN HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WITH RAIN TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS FOR THE
PAST FEW HOURS. LUCKILY RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN SMALL. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE...EXPECTING ISOLATED DOWNPOURS NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST BUT
STRUGGLES FURTHER INLAND. BEST INSTABILITY REMAINS JUST WEST OF THE
CWA...SO EXPECTING MORE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN PARTS
OF THE CWA SHORTLY. THE BOUNDARY WAS NOT MOVING SOUTH VERY FAST...SO
ADJUSTED THE POPS AND THUNDER WORDING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...MAINLY
TO PUSH WIDESPREAD THUNDER BACK A LITTLE LATER INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WENT WITH ISOLATED THUNDER WORDING FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS FOR
AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 55. MODELS KEEP THE INSTABILITY TO THE
WEST...BUT COULD SEE ENOUGH ENERGY TO BRING SOME STORMS INTO THE
AREA...MAINLY THE WEST. WILL KEEP THE STRONG WORDING IN THE HWO.

TEMPS WERE ON TARGET. OVERALL NO BIG CHANGES. UPDATE COMING SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD MVFR CLOUD DECKS...ALONG WITH LOCAL POCKETS
OF IFR...WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF RAIN WILL
BE COMMON ALONG AND E OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE WITH SCT TSTMS DVLPG AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS TO THE NW OF THE
TRACE WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING AS A COLD FRONT/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACH TODAY. LOW
CEILINGS WILL BE A PROBLEM FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY LATE
TONIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD LIFR CATEGORY LOW STRATUS COULD DEVELOP.
MVFR OCNL IFR VSBYS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  56  70  54 /  79  88  55  20
MERIDIAN      72  57  71  52 /  78  84  63  23
VICKSBURG     76  54  68  49 /  74  79  37  15
HATTIESBURG   77  58  74  53 /  66  75  56  18
NATCHEZ       74  57  69  53 /  70  77  37  15
GREENVILLE    75  53  65  48 /  77  68  20  11
GREENWOOD     73  55  67  52 /  81  79  37  16

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

07/03

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
226 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-032-
034>037-040>043-047>049-053-054-059>062-052030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CHOCTAW-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
226 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH AND SMALL HAIL ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAIN. ONE OR TWO SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH
AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. LOCAL FLOODING PROBLEMS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE RISK OF STRONGER STORMS WILL END BY
MIDNIGHT.

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT AND WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-050>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-
052030-
CLAY-LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-
NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
226 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH
AND SMALL HAIL ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERIODS OF
HEAVIER RAIN. THE RISK OF STRONG STORMS WILL END BY MIDNIGHT.

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT AND WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

03

LAZ009-MSZ040-042205-
ISSAQUENA MS-EAST CARROLL LA-
320 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
320 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER SHELBURN AT 320 PM CST...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTY...AND NORTHERN EAST CARROLL
PARISH SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3286 9134 3288 9131 3294 9131 3296 9127
      3299 9127 3299 9126 3301 9127 3301 9091
      3293 9092 3277 9134 3284 9135
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 244DEG 11KT 3291 9123

DHB

MSZ019-025-035-042205-
SUNFLOWER MS-LEFLORE MS-HUMPHREYS MS-
336 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
336 PM CST TUE DEC 4 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
30 TO 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER INVERNESS AT 336 PM CST...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN HUMPHREYS...SOUTHERN LEFLORE AND SOUTHERN
SUNFLOWER COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3359 9029 3337 9017 3336 9018 3334 9022
      3337 9032 3335 9028 3334 9028 3332 9030
      3321 9063 3337 9072
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 244DEG 16KT 3333 9058

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>