Alert archive / Mississippi / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

July 14, 2012Newton County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2012, 3:10 PM CDT for Newton County, Mississippi. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2012, 3:10 PM CDT (20:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2012, 3:40 PM CDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS

County Newton County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2012-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1034 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2012-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1034 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
750 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 2:43 PM CDT, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 2:43 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
243 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...FOCUS OF THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE ON THE PRECIP
POTENTIAL FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. AFTER THAT...RAIN
CHANCES LOWER A GOOD BIT AND THE FOCUS SHIFTS MORE TOWARDS WARMER
TEMPS.

OVERALL...PRECIP HAS BEEN LESS TODAY THAN THE PREV DAYS...BUT THERE
EXISTS QUITE A BIT OF ACTIVITY OVER THE EAST HALF AND THE FACT THAT
IS MOVING NICELY TO THE N/NW...THE COVERAGE WILL BE QUITE HIGH. THE
WESTERN HALF HAS NOT SEEN MUCH SO FAR TODAY AS INSTABILITY IS LESS
OVER THAT WAY DUE TO WARMER MID LEVELS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPINNING
MCV. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE CWA REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE REGION WITH
SOLID LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
SHRA/FEW TSRA INTO EARLY EVENING. GUID POPS WERE FAIRLY HIGH AND
OPTED TO CUT ABOUT 10% ACROSS THE BOARD. MOST OF THE NIGHT PERIOD
WILL BE QUIET BUT SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE FAR NW AND SE
AREAS TO SEE SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY TOWARD SUNRISE AND HAVE THE WX
GRIDS INDICATING THAT.

FOR SUNDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING AND CENTERED JUST EAST
OF THE AREA. THE AXIS OF PRECIP ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS
RIDGE IS FOCUSED MORE ON THE MS/AL LINE TODAY SO LOOK FOR THIS AXIS
TO SHIFT WESTWARD FOR SUNDAY. THE CENTRAL SECTION OF THE CWA WILL BE
SITUATED IN A NICE LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW TO
HELP LOOSELY ORGANIZED BANDS OF SHRA/TSRA MOVING S TO N FROM MAINLY
MIDDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON. GUID POPS WERE DECENT...BUT DID INCREASE
VALUES A BIT TO GET LIKELY WORDING WITHIN THE AXIS OF BEST LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. FOR TEMPS...GFS GUID IS OFFERING WARMER READINGS
WITH THE NAM 3-5 DEGREES COOLER. TEMPS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAY
AND A BLEND OF THE GFS/NAM FIT.

FOR MONDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA AND DRIER MID
LEVEL AIR WILL ROTATE INTO THE CWA. LESS PRECIP CAN BE EXPECTED DUE
TO INCREASED SUBSIDENCE. WITH MORE SUNSHINE ACROSS THE AREA...TEMPS
WILL RESPOND AND LOOK FOR HIGHS TO PEAK BETWEEN 91-94 DEGREES. /CME/

&&

.AVIATION...A MIX OF VFR/MVFR CEILINGS ARE BEING OBSERVED THIS
AFTERNOON AT MOST TAF SITES.  SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON AS EXPECTED...PARTICULARLY
ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 (I.E. KHKS...KJAN...KGTR...KMEI...&
KHBG).  MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND/OR VISIBILITIES WILL EXIST AT SITES
WERE THIS ACTIVITY IS OBSERVED. CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO WANE DURING
THE EVENING...LEAVING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH
OF THE NIGHT. BY DAY BREAK SUNDAY MORNING HOWEVER...MVFR/IFR
CEILINGS AND/OR VISIBILITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE AT NAMELY KHBG AND
KMEI AS THE RESULT OF LOW STRATUS. SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS BETWEEN
3-8 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       73  89  73  93 /  28  63  18  12
MERIDIAN      71  89  70  94 /  22  36  12  12
VICKSBURG     72  89  72  93 /  33  63  21  18
HATTIESBURG   73  90  72  94 /  34  58  11  15
NATCHEZ       71  87  72  90 /  32  54  13  29
GREENVILLE    73  89  74  93 /  44  61  22  26
GREENWOOD     72  89  73  94 /  38  63  22  24

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

CME/19
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
200 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
151900-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
200 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

19

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 3:10 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
MSZ050-051-142040-
SCOTT MS-NEWTON MS-
310 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
310 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2012

...STRONG STORM NEAR THE SCOTT/NEWTON COUNTY LINE...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROBERTS AT 310 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN NEWTON AND SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3222 8914 3223 8937 3243 8949 3253 8916
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 160DEG 11KT 3228 8928

JC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 7:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale27 min
Jul 13, 7:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJones29 min
Jul 13, 8:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANJones84 min
Jul 14, 4:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw31 min
Jul 14, 5:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeflore28 min
Jul 14, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore50 min
Jul 14, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds39 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Mississippi, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.