Severe Thunderstorm Warning 365, NWS Jackson, MS

900 
WWUS54 KJAN 152006
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
306 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

MSC163-152016-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0365.000000T0000Z-120615T2115Z/
YAZOO MS-
306 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR YAZOO COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MYRLEVILLE BY 330 PM CDT...
  MIDWAY BY 335 PM CDT...
  BENTONIA AND BENTON BY 340 PM CDT...
  LITTLE YAZOO BY 345 PM CDT...
  PHOENIX AND TINSLEY BY 400 PM CDT...
  SATARTIA...YAZOO CITY AND EDEN BY 405 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3250 9058 3251 9055 3240 9024
      3239 9016 3229 9016 3225 9020 3219 9020
      3213 9072 3224 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 120DEG 17KT 3239 9033

$$

MSC049-152115-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0365.000000T0000Z-120615T2115Z/
HINDS MS-
306 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR HINDS COUNTY...

AT 306 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CLINTON MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BOLTON AND LEARNED BY 320 PM CDT...
  BROWNSVILLE BY 330 PM CDT...
  EDWARDS BY 340 PM CDT...
  NEWMAN BY 345 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3250 9058 3251 9055 3240 9024
      3239 9016 3229 9016 3225 9020 3219 9020
      3213 9072 3224 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 120DEG 17KT 3239 9033

$$

MME

241 
WWUS54 KJAN 152011 CCA
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
311 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

MSC163-152016-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0365.000000T0000Z-120615T2115Z/
YAZOO MS-
311 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR YAZOO COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3250 9058 3251 9055 3240 9024
      3239 9016 3229 9016 3225 9020 3219 9020
      3213 9072 3224 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 120DEG 17KT 3239 9033

$$

MSC049-152115-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0365.000000T0000Z-120615T2115Z/
HINDS MS-
311 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR HINDS COUNTY...

AT 306 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CLINTON MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BOLTON AND LEARNED BY 320 PM CDT...
  BROWNSVILLE BY 330 PM CDT...
  EDWARDS BY 340 PM CDT...
  NEWMAN BY 345 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

&&

LAT...LON 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3250 9058 3251 9055 3240 9024
      3239 9016 3229 9016 3225 9020 3219 9020
      3213 9072 3224 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 120DEG 17KT 3239 9033

$$

MME

773 
WWUS54 KJAN 152039
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
339 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

MSC049-152047-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0365.000000T0000Z-120615T2115Z/
HINDS MS-
339 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HINDS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE COUNTY HOWEVER LIGHTNING 
STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY 
FROM LEARNED TO NEWMAN MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH.

LAT...LON 3235 9069 3234 9063 3237 9064 3244 9059
      3248 9060 3250 9058 3251 9055 3240 9024
      3239 9016 3229 9016 3225 9020 3219 9020
      3213 9072 3224 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 120DEG 17KT 3246 9048

$$

40

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1003 AM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

.UPDATE...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS THIS MORNING...BUT
CHANGES ARE ON THE WAY. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS ACROSS THE
HWY 84 CORRIDOR AND IS SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE NORTH. THE BOUNDARY
WILL BE THE FOCUS OF SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO REMAIN SUB-SEVERE...BUT STRONG STORMS
CONTINUE TO LOOK POSSIBLE WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS...DISSIPATING BY
SUNSET. OTHER THAN MAKING A FEW HOURLY ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS THE
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND NO OTHER UPDATES ARE NEEDED AT THIS
TIME./15/

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

TODAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A RATHER ACTIVE CONVECTIVE DAY...
PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WHERE THE
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY PRECIPITABLE WATER > 1.5 INCHES
AND MIXED LAYER CAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG. THE MID LEVEL LOW CENTER
RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAY'S TSTM ACTIVITY IS STILL IN THE FORECAST
AREA DUE TO A STABLE REX BLOCK PATTERN THAT FEATURES A RIDGE OVER
THE MID MS/OH VALLEYS.

LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW COMBINED WITH INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW
AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SHOULD LEAD TO SHOWER/TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY
EARLY AFTERNOON. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO SHIFT FROM EAST TO WEST
DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND WITH DOWNDRAFT CAPE EXCEEDING 1000 J/KG
ALONG WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG AS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SO WILL CONTINUE THIS
MENTION IN THE HWO AND GRAPHICS. EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORMS TO
DIMINISH THIS EVENING LEADING TO QUIET WEATHER FOR THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND BRINGING STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND A
DRIER AIR MASS TO THE ARKLAMISS. THIS WILL EFFECTIVELY END THE TSTM
RISK AS DRIER AIR SURGES INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND DROPS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BELOW AN INCH AT MOST PLACES. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR CLIMATIC NORMAL FOR MID JUNE WITH OW
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER THAN NORMAL DUE TO THE DRIER AIR IN
PLACE. /EC/

SUNDAY THROUGH THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...

A DRY VARIANT OF A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN FOR THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION WILL TAKE HOLD AT THE START OF NEXT
WEEK...PROBABLY LASTING THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WORK WEEK.

ALOFT THE TURBULENT WESTERLIES WILL BE WELL NORTH OF THE AREA WHILE
WEAK SUGGESTIONS OF A TROUGH TO OUR WEST BRING BETTER CHANCES OF
INCLEMENT WEATHER IN PLACES THAT GENERALLY NEED IT MORE THAN HERE.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD INITIALLY ATOP OUR AREA ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...BUT THEN WILL REALLY BECOME A HOT FORCE TO OUR NORTH AS THE
ANOMALY CENTER BLOSSOMS OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. IN OUR NECK-OF-THE-WOODS...THE GULF WILL REMAIN QUITE
MOIST BUT PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW VECTORS WILL KEEP BEST
MOISTURE SHUNTED WESTWARD INTO TEXAS AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
CONSIDERING THAT AND THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL WEAKNESS IT
COULD BE RATHER WET FOR MANY OUT IN THE THAT DIRECTION NEXT
WEEK...BUT REALLY ONLY OUR SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN AREAS HAVE THE
ONLY DECENT CUMULATIVE SHOT AT A STRAY AFTERNOON SHOWER OR STORM.
FORTUNATELY...WITH SUBSIDENCE FROM RIDGING ALOFT NOT TOO STRONG OVER
THE ARKLAMISS AND FLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST...TEMPERATURES FROM THE
RESULTING REGIME SHOULD BE ONLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES AT
WORST.

MODEL CONSENSUS STILL HINTS BROADLY AT SOME SORT OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF LATER NEXT WEEK...WHICH IS QUITE CONCEIVABLE
CONSIDERING TEMPORARILY FAVORABLE MJO PHASING. WITH THAT LOOSELY IN
MIND...ALONG WITH MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTIONS OF AN INCOMING TROUGH
OR WEAK FRONT...RAIN CHANCES WILL PROBABLY BE GOING UP AGAIN BY THE
END OF NEXT WEEK. /BB/

&&

.AVIATION...

THE BRIEF STRATUS THAT FORMED VCTY OF GTR HAS DISSIPATED AND VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AREAWIDE THROUGH SATURDAY...BUT TSTMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE GREATER IN COVERAGE THIS AFTN AND EVNG AS EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW AND MOISTURE INCREASE. HOT SURFACE TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH STEEPENING LAPSE RATES MEAN THAT STORMS COULD HAVE
MICROBURST POTENTIAL...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE JAN-MEI CORRIDOR. DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE
AREA SATURDAY WILL PRECLUDE TSTM CHANCES AT THE TAF SITES THEN.
OTHERWISE...TYPICAL PATCHY AREAS OF LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG
WILL BRING MVFR RESTRICTIONS AGAIN SATURDAY. /EC/22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       91  67  90  65 /  35   9   8   6
MERIDIAN      90  64  89  61 /  26   7   4   6
VICKSBURG     91  67  90  64 /  39   9  10   6
HATTIESBURG   90  68  89  66 /  54  24  18   7
NATCHEZ       89  68  87  65 /  56  24  27  10
GREENVILLE    91  69  90  66 /  19   4   5   5
GREENWOOD     91  67  90  64 /  19   4   4   5

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

EC/BB/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
132 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040>066-072>074-161845-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
132 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL COMBINE
WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO BRING
STORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING. THE STORMS WILL DISSIPATE
WHEN THE AIR BEGINS TO COOL AND STABILIZE AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>039-161845-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
132 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
222 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             5 NE FLOWOOD            32.37N 90.05W
06/15/2012  E0.25 INCH       RANKIN             MS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED FIVE MILES SOUTHWEST OF OLD FANIN
            ROAD.

&&

MME

MSZ048-049-152035-
RANKIN MS-HINDS MS-
235 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
235 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER FLOWOOD AT 236 PM CDT...MOVING
WEST AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL HINDS AND WEST CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3244 9048 3242 9024 3240 9024 3240 9006
      3222 9005 3212 9046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 085DEG 14KT 3231 9013

MME