Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 53, NWS Jackson, MS

December 25, 2012Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Dec 25, 2012, 9:24 AM CST for Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 26, 2012, 2:00 AM CST. It was in force for 10 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Dec 25, 2012, 9:24 AM CST (15:24 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 26, 2012, 2:00 AM CST
Expired: Jan 4, 2013, 4:30 PM CST
In force: 10 days
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Attala County, MS, Holmes County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Black River at West (WSTM6). The gauge peaked at 17.56 ft at Jan 3, 2013, 12:00 AM CST.

Action stage: 12 ft
Minor stage: 15 ft
Moderate stage: 20 ft
Major stage: 25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07289350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

388 
WGUS44 KJAN 251524
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
924 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES


SYNOPSIS...

VERY STRONG SYSTEMS PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA.  VERY EFFICIENT 
RAINFALL PRODUCING WARM FRONT PROGRESSING NORTHWARD THIS MORNING
FOLLOWED BY A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PROGRESSING THROUGH OUR
NORTH CENTRAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A THREAT FROM 2 TO 3 WITH HIGHER MAXIMUMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-262124-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0053.121226T2256Z-121228T1012Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T2256Z.121227T0600Z.121227T1912Z.NO/
924 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE 
  RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15   5.9 TUE 09 AM  11.1  16.0  11.3  16.0 12 AM 12/27

$$

12 follow-up statements

145 
WGUS84 KJAN 260145
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
745 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-270745-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.121226T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T0800Z.121227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
745 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  6:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE 
  RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  12.8 TUE 07 PM  15.8  17.0  16.3  17.0 06 AM 12/27

$$

593 
WGUS84 KJAN 261703
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1103 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI..

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-272303-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1930Z.121228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE 
  RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  14.8 WED 10 AM  16.5  16.6  15.7  17.0 06 PM 12/27

$$

MSC089-163-272303-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-121228T1500Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121227T0000Z.121228T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...LOW WOODED LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD. 
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOCAL FARMERS CONCERNED. MINOR LOW LAND 
  FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  22.2 WED 10 AM  22.3  21.7  21.1  22.5 06 PM 12/26

$$

460 
WGUS84 KJAN 270118
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
718 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI..

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-280718-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
718 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  15.7 WED 07 PM  16.5  16.7  15.7  17.0 06 PM 12/27

$$

MSC089-163-280717-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121229T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
718 PM CST WED DEC 26 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  22.5 WED 06 PM  22.6  23.1  23.5  23.5 12 AM 12/29

$$

472 
WGUS84 KJAN 271348
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
748 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-281948-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130101T1030Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121228T0000Z.121231T1930Z.NO/
748 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 17 FEET
  BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  16.8 THU  7 AM  16.9  16.5  16.5  17.0  6 PM 12/27

$$

MSC089-163-281948-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
748 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 23.5 FEET
  BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURA LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.3 THU  7 AM  23.5  23.5  23.5  23.5  6 PM 12/27

$$

MSC049-149-281948-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-121231T2324Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121230T0600Z.121231T0824Z.NO/
748 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 29.5 FEET
  BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.3 THU  7 AM  28.7  29.3  29.5  29.5 12 AM 12/30

$$

DL

153 
WGUS84 KJAN 280252
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
852 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-290852-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130101T1551Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121227T2330Z.130101T0051Z.NO/
852 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  17.1 THU 08 PM  17.0  16.5  16.5    CRESTING      

$$

MSC089-163-290852-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121228T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.  
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.5 THU 08 PM  23.6  23.6  23.6   NEAR CREST  

$$

MSC049-149-290852-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121230T1200Z.121231T0900Z.NO/
852 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.4 THU 08 PM  28.5  28.9  29.5  29.5 06 AM 12/30

$$

741 
WGUS84 KJAN 281703
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1103 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 


 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-292303-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  16.4 FRI 11 AM  16.8  17.5  17.1  17.5 06 AM 12/30

$$

MSC089-163-292303-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.130101T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IS 
  OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURA LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.4 FRI 10 AM  24.5  24.5  24.5  24.5 12 PM 12/29

$$

MSC049-149-292303-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130102T0442Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121231T1200Z.130101T1342Z.NO/
1103 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.2 FRI 10 AM  28.9  29.2  29.5  29.5 06 AM 12/31

$$

208 
WGUS84 KJAN 290343
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
943 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
   MISSISSIPPI...

   BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 
   BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
   BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-300943-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE 
  RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  16.0 FRI 09 PM  16.2  17.5  16.8  17.5 06 AM 12/30

$$

MSC089-163-300943-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
943 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IS 
  OCCURRING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURA LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...LOW WOODED LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD. 
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOCAL FARMERS CONCERNED. MINOR LOW LAND 
  FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.6 FRI 09 PM  23.9  24.0  23.8  24.0 06 PM 12/29

$$

MSC049-149-292100-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-121229T2100Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121228T0500Z.121229T0600Z.NO/
943 PM CST FRI DEC 28 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.1 FRI 09 PM  27.5  18.0  15.5     FALLING

$$

855 
WGUS84 KJAN 291511
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
911 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI..

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-302111-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 17.5 FEET
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  16.1 SAT  9 AM  17.5  17.0  15.9  17.5  6 AM 12/30

$$

MSC089-163-302111-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER SLOWLY RISE TO A CREST NEAR 23.6 FEET THIS
  AFTERNOON AND REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.  
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.6 SAT  8 AM  23.6  23.6  23.5     CRESTING

$$

MSC049-149-302111-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-121231T2100Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121228T0500Z.121231T0600Z.NO/
911 AM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.2 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY OVER THE NEXT DAY
  THEN SLOWLY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 28 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.2 SAT  8 AM  28.2  27.9  27.6      CRESTED

$$

972
WGUS84 KJAN 300129
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
729 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...

BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES
BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES
BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-310729-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130103T0412Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T1800Z.130102T1312Z.NO/
729 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 6:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY
EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND
LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE CREST TIME DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST 15 16.6 SAT 07 PM 17.3 17.1 16.1 17.5 12 PM 12/30

MSC089-163-310729-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
729 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO
FLOOD.

FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE CREST TIME DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA 22 23.7 SAT 06 PM 23.7 23.6 23.5 NEAR CREST

MSC049-149-310729-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130101T1200Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121228T0500Z.121231T2100Z.NO/
729 PM CST SAT DEC 29 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 6:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STEADY OVER THE NEXT DAY THEN SLOWLY FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER
BEGINS TO FLOOD.

FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE CREST TIME DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA 28 28.3 SAT 06 PM 28.3 28.1 27.6 NEAR CREST

266 
WGUS84 KJAN 301312
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
712 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-311912-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130103T0300Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T1800Z.130102T1200Z.NO/
712 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 6:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  17.3 SUN 07 AM  17.2  16.4  15.0  17.5 12 PM 12/30

$$

MSC089-163-311912-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
712 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURA LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.8 SUN 06 AM  23.7  23.6  23.4    FALLING          

$$

MSC049-149-311912-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130101T0900Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121228T0500Z.121231T1800Z.NO/
712 AM CST SUN DEC 30 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.2 SUN 06 AM  28.1  27.6  27.1    FALLING          

$$

312 
WGUS84 KJAN 310108
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
708 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER 
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-010708-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130105T0500Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T2030Z.130104T1400Z.NO/
708 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 5:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOWLAND BECOME INUNDATED.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  17.4 SUN 06 PM  17.2  16.7  16.2     NEAR CREST    

$$

MSC089-163-010708-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.121231T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
708 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.9 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.  
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.9 SUN 06 PM  23.8  23.6  23.5     CRESTING   

$$

MSC049-149-010300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130101T0300Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.121228T0500Z.121231T1200Z.NO/
708 PM CST SUN DEC 30 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  28.1 SUN 06 PM  28.0  27.5  27.1      CRESTED

163 
WGUS84 KJAN 311514
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
914 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES 
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA AFFECTING MADISON AND YAZOO COUNTIES
  BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA AFFECTING HINDS AND WARREN COUNTIES 

SYNOPSIS...

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING
RAINFALL FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 1.75 INCHES ACROSS THE HYDROLOGIC
SERVICE AREA. ALL RIVER FORECASTS CONTAIN FORECAST RAINFALL FOR
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-012114-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-130104T2230Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.121226T1735Z.121230T2030Z.130104T0730Z.NO/
914 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS TO 
  AROUND 16 FEET AND THEN WILL RISE BACK UP TO 16.5 FEET ON WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
WEST           15  17.0 MON 08 AM  16.4  16.4  16.4  16.5 12 PM 01/02

$$

MSC089-163-012114-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.1.ER.121226T1234Z.130102T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BENTONIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 23.5 FEET ON TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE TO 24 FEET LATE BY TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...AGRICULTURA LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BENTONIA       22  23.7 MON 08 AM  23.5  24.0  24.0  24.0 12 AM 01/02

$$

MSC049-149-012114-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.121227T0425Z.130102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 AM CST MON DEC 31 2012


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER NEAR BOVINA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT WITH ADDITIONAL 
  RAINFALL THE RIVER WILL RISE BACK ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TO AROUND 28.2 FEET 
  ON WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER BIG BLACK RIVER
BOVINA         28  27.9 MON 08 AM  27.8  28.2  28.2  28.2 06 AM 01/02

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 25, 5:00 AM CST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 5:00 AM CST, 4 hours 24 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
500 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS LIKELY TODAY ESPECIALLY SOUTH...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A WET AND STORMY
CHRISTMAS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MUCH COLDER DAY AFTER.  WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/RUC ANALYSIS EARLY THIS MORNING HAD A POTENT SHORTWAVE THAT
WILL BECOME A CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. AS
THE LOW CONTINUES EAST AND DEEPENS IT WILL STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THAT WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES
ACROSS OUR CWA TODAY. INCREASING WAA AHEAD OF THIS DEEPENING SYSTEM
HAS ALREADY LED TO CONVECTION BREAKING OUT ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT OVER EAST TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD
ACROSS OUR WHOLE CWA THIS MORNING AND THE WARM FRONT WILL TRY TO
WORK LOWER 60 DEW POINTS BACK NORTH TO THE I-20 CORRIDOR BY
AFTERNOON. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY INCLUDING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BUT
A MORE SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL TAKE PLACE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND STILL...GENERALLY EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A WINNSBORO TO JACKSON TO DE KALB LINE. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF
TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IS EXPECTED. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL LIKELY BRING RISES IN RIVER LEVELS AND SOME
RUNOFF PROBLEMS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BUT FLASH FLOODING IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. THERE WERE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES WITH THE
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW BUT THE 00Z ECMWF EXHIBITED GOOD CONTINUITY
WITH PREVIOUS RUNS AND WAS LEANED TOWARD. THE 1002MB SURFACE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO BE JUST SOUTH OF SHREVEPORT BY NOON...997MB JUST SOUTH
OF GREENVILLE BY 6 PM AND 995MB OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY
MIDNIGHT. VERY STRONG FORCING WILL BE PRESENT BY AFTERNOON INCLUDING
0-6KM BULK SHEAR AROUND 70-80KTS...65KT H85 LOW LEVEL JET AND H5 JET
APPROACHING 100KT BY EVENING. IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-20 CORRIDOR...MLCAPES WILL BE APPROACHING 500-1500 J/KG. STRONG
CLOCKWISE CURVING HODOGRAPHS AND 0-1SRH AROUND 400-600 M2/S2 WILL
SUPPORT TORNADOES...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG AND LONG TRACK.
DISCRETE CELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN AS
THE MAIN ASSENT OCCURS A LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO SWING ACROSS
THE AREA PRESENTING A MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL
AS A TORNADO THREAT. THE SEVERE CONVECTION SHOULD SHIFT OUT OF OUR
AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT. A NEAR 10MB GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW AND CAA IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW WILL RESULT IN
STRONG GUSTY WINDS MEETING LOCAL WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA TONIGHT.
THIS AREA IS GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM NATCHEZ TO GRENADA. THE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BRING IN A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS.
THERE REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY THAT LIGHT SNOW WILL MIX IN WITH THE
RAIN BEFORE ENDING AS SNOW FLURRIES WEDNESDAY MORNING. MORNING LOWS
WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 30S OVER THE DELTA BUT THE PCPN SHOULD
END BEFORE ANY ACCUMULATIONS CAN OCCUR. A DRIER BUT MUCH COOLER DAY
IS ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL HOLD HIGHS IN THE 40S
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED TO OUR NORTH
WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONGER RADIATIONAL COOLING
IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE FCST PERIOD. MORNING
LOWS WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. /22/

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EXPECT A GENERALLY COOLER
PATTERN FOR THE PERIOD. DAILY HIGHS WILL BE GENERALLY BELOW
NORMAL...WHILE LOWS WILL BE AROUND NORMAL UNTIL IT GOES COOLER THAN
NORMAL FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FOR
THURSDAY SHORT WAVE RIDGING WILL BE OVER THE REGION. OUR NEXT CHANCE
OF RAIN WILL COME FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A SHORT WAVE PUSHES
TOWARDS THE REGION FROM THE PLAINS. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL INCREASE
FROM THE WEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE COLD CORE SYSTEM APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. AN ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON FRIDAY TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA ON SATURDAY.
INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED WITH PWATS AROUND 1.3 TO 1.5 INCHES. SO
EXPECTING ONLY SHOWERS WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE GFS,EURO, NOGAPS,
CANADIAN AND ENSEMBLES WERE GENERALLY SIMILAR WITH THE TIMING.
EXPECT THE RAINS TO MOVE OUT OF THE REGION BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THE EURO WAS SLIGHTLY SLOWER IN MOVING THE RAIN OUT BY SATURDAY
EVENING. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE PREVAILS. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL AFFECT THE REGION FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK ON TUESDAY. THE EURO WAS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE
GFS IN BRINGING THE RAIN IN FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. OPTED TO
GO CLOSER THE SLOWER GFS BRINGING RAIN IN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY. INSTABILITY WILL
BE LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM. SO ONLY EXPECT SHOWERS.

AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE CONCERN WENT WITH A BLEND OF MEX, MEN ENSEMBLE
AND GMOS GUIDANCE.  FOR POPS WENT WITH A BLEND OF MEX AND EURO
GUIDANCE WITH THE ONE SYSTEM./17/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WERE BEING REPORTED AT ALL TAF SITES AT
10Z EXCEPT AT HBG WHERE DENSE FOG WAS BEING OBSERVED. AREAS OF MVFR
AND SCATTERED/NUMEROUS TSRA WERE NOTED ON RADAR SPREADING INTO SW MS
AS A WARM FRONTAL ZONE JUST NORTH OF I-10 LIFTS SLOWLY NWD. WINDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE SE AT 11-15KTS THIS MORNING. BY DAYBREAK
THROUGH MIDDAY FLYING CONDITIONS QUICKLY DETERIORATE AGAIN FROM S TO
N DUE TO AN EXPANDING RAIN SHIELD WITH EMBEDDED TSRA. BY AFTN...SLY
WINDS OF 15-25KTS AND INCREASING AREAS OF IFR WITH HEAVY RAINS N OF
I-20...AND SCATTERED SEVERE TSRA S OF I-20 ALONG WITH SEVERAL
TORNADOES MAINLY ACROSS HIGHWAY 84 THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE ACCELERATES COLD FRONT EWD THROUGH ALL TAF
LOCATIONS BY 04-06Z TUESDAY EVENING. /40/22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       65  35  44  27 / 100  73   3   0
MERIDIAN      65  37  46  25 / 100  95   5   0
VICKSBURG     62  34  43  25 / 100  51   2   0
HATTIESBURG   71  39  51  27 / 100  90   4   0
NATCHEZ       68  35  44  26 / 100  33   2   0
GREENVILLE    52  33  40  26 / 100  95  10   0
GREENWOOD     56  36  41  25 / 100  95  10   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-040>042-047-053-059-060.

LA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.

AR...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     ARZ074-075.

&&

22/17/40/22

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 9:10 AM CST, 14 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
910 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ038-039-043>066-072>074-261200-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-
RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-
JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
910 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG...
LONG TRACKED TORNADOES...IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH...AND HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE TODAY
INTO THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO
BE ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM WINNSBORO
LOUISIANA...CANTON...TO MACON MISSISSIPPI. THESE STORMS WILL DEVELOP
AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE ARKLAMISS DELTA
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES... AND IF THE STORMS DEVELOP INTO AN
INTENSE SQUALL LINE...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME POSSIBLE.

THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE. PEOPLE
SHOULD ENSURE THEY HAVE A WAY TO GET WEATHER WARNINGS WHILE
PARTICIPATING IN CHRISTMAS ACTIVITIES.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS...IS ANTICIPATED. WITH INTENSE DOWNPOURS
OF RAIN EXPECTED...SOME FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR. A WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AS NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH WILL DEVELOP GENERALLY ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND WEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS REQUESTED TODAY.

LAZ007>009-MSZ019-025>033-035>037-040>042-261200-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
910 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PARTS
OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF 70
MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...AND A FEW TORNADOES...WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL DEVELOP AS A
STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE ARKLAMISS DELTA REGION
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

THE MAGNITUDE AND AREAL EXTENT OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
GREATLY DEPEND ON HOW FAR NORTH A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
PRESSURE CAN MAKE IT INTO THE REGION. IF THE WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTH
OF THE AREA...A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WOULD BECOME MORE
LIKELY...WHILE IF THE FRONT STAYS SOUTH OF THE AREA THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE REDUCED.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS...IS ANTICIPATED. WITH INTENSE DOWNPOURS
OF RAIN EXPECTED...SOME FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR. A WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AS NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH WILL DEVELOP GENERALLY ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND WEST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS REQUESTED TODAY.

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-034-261200-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-WASHINGTON-
910 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL...HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZED...AND GUSTY WINDS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. WHILE THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BE
FARTHER SOUTHEAST...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS...IS EXPECTED. WITH INTENSE
DOWNPOURS OF RAIN EXPECTED...SOME FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT AS NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION. AS COLDER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE LOW PRESSURE AREA TONIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY...RAIN MAY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FOR A TIME. WHILE WIDESPREAD
TRAVEL ISSUES ARE NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED...A DUSTING OF SNOW COULD
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF US HIGHWAY 82. THIS FORECAST IS STILL
SUBJECT TO CHANGE...AND PEOPLE PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION...
AND PARTICULARLY THOSE THAT MAY BE PLANNING TO TRAVEL NORTH OR WEST
FROM THE AREA...SHOULD MONITOR FORECASTS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS
CLOSELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS REQUESTED TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

22/08

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 25, 6:31 AM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes before

MSZ061>064-072-251310-
MARION MS-LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-FRANKLIN MS-
631 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
631 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CENTER POINT TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KOKOMO AT 631 AM CST...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH SOME CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...
SOUTHERN LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN LINCOLN AND NORTHERN MARION COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3124 9005 3133 9005 3134 9011 3135 9074
      3158 9029 3133 8966 3114 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 1231Z 238DEG 43KT 3131 9063 3113 9019

MRM

Special weather statement, Dec 25, 7:54 AM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes before

MSZ055>057-064>066-251425-
SMITH MS-SIMPSON MS-JONES MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-JASPER MS-
COVINGTON MS-
754 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
754 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS
LOCATED OVER CARSON AT 755 AM CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN COVINGTON...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN JASPER...EASTERN
JEFFERSON DAVIS...NORTHWESTERN JONES...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON
AND SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3195 8946 3179 8928 3144 8975 3157 8989
TIME...MOT...LOC 1355Z 226DEG 39KT 3157 8974

JA

Special weather statement, Dec 25, 8:35 AM CST, 49 minutes before

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
250100-
ASHLEY AR-CHICOT AR-ATTALA MS-ADAMS MS-WINSTON MS-WEBSTER MS-
WASHINGTON MS-WARREN MS-SUNFLOWER MS-SMITH MS-SIMPSON MS-SHARKEY MS-
SCOTT MS-RANKIN MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-NOXUBEE MS-NEWTON MS-NESHOBA MS-
MONTGOMERY MS-MARION MS-MADISON MS-LOWNDES MS-LINCOLN MS-LEFLORE MS-
LEAKE MS-LAWRENCE MS-LAUDERDALE MS-LAMAR MS-KEMPER MS-JONES MS-
JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-JEFFERSON MS-JASPER MS-ISSAQUENA MS-HUMPHREYS MS-
HOLMES MS-HINDS MS-GRENADA MS-FRANKLIN MS-FORREST MS-COVINGTON MS-
COPIAH MS-CLAY MS-CLARKE MS-CLAIBORNE MS-CHOCTAW MS-CARROLL MS-
BOLIVAR MS-YAZOO MS-TENSAS LA-RICHLAND LA-MOREHOUSE LA-FRANKLIN LA-
EAST CARROLL LA-CONCORDIA LA-CATAHOULA LA-MADISON LA-WEST CARROLL LA-
835 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
835 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...LONG TRACKED TORNADOES...IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...

A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND PRODUCE AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. AT THE PRESENT
TIME...THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL
BE SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM WINNSBORO LA...TO CANTON...TO MACON.
TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG AND LONG TRACKED...ALONG
WITH DAMAGING WINDS OF 75 MPH AND HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN QUESTION STILL REMAINING WITH THIS SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE
IS HOW FAR NORTH AND WEST THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER
WILL SPREAD. THIS WILL BE CONTINGENT UPON HOW FAR NORTH A WARM FRONT
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI CAN MOVE THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THIS POINT...THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR
BEING SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT IS IN THE AREA OF ENHANCED RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLINED ABOVE...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE THREAT
COULD SPREAD AS FAR NORTH AS THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREA AND PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE DELTA
REGION...PARTICULARLY THE UPPER DELTA OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND FAR
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...HAS THE LEAST RISK OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
STORM ACTIVITY.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
THERE AND ANYWHERE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION. PEOPLE ARE URGED
TO ENSURE THEY HAVE A WAY TO GET WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION AS THEY
GO ABOUT THEIR CHRISTMAS ACTIVITIES TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

AEG

Special weather statement, Dec 25, 8:36 AM CST, 48 minutes before

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
260100-
ASHLEY AR-CHICOT AR-ATTALA MS-ADAMS MS-WINSTON MS-WEBSTER MS-
WASHINGTON MS-WARREN MS-SUNFLOWER MS-SMITH MS-SIMPSON MS-SHARKEY MS-
SCOTT MS-RANKIN MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-NOXUBEE MS-NEWTON MS-NESHOBA MS-
MONTGOMERY MS-MARION MS-MADISON MS-LOWNDES MS-LINCOLN MS-LEFLORE MS-
LEAKE MS-LAWRENCE MS-LAUDERDALE MS-LAMAR MS-KEMPER MS-JONES MS-
JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-JEFFERSON MS-JASPER MS-ISSAQUENA MS-HUMPHREYS MS-
HOLMES MS-HINDS MS-GRENADA MS-FRANKLIN MS-FORREST MS-COVINGTON MS-
COPIAH MS-CLAY MS-CLARKE MS-CLAIBORNE MS-CHOCTAW MS-CARROLL MS-
BOLIVAR MS-YAZOO MS-TENSAS LA-RICHLAND LA-MOREHOUSE LA-FRANKLIN LA-
EAST CARROLL LA-CONCORDIA LA-CATAHOULA LA-MADISON LA-WEST CARROLL LA-
836 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED EXPIRATION TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
836 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...LONG TRACKED TORNADOES...IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...

A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND PRODUCE AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. AT THE PRESENT
TIME...THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL
BE SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM WINNSBORO LA...TO CANTON...TO MACON.
TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG AND LONG TRACKED...ALONG
WITH DAMAGING WINDS OF 75 MPH AND HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL...ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN QUESTION STILL REMAINING WITH THIS SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE
IS HOW FAR NORTH AND WEST THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER
WILL SPREAD. THIS WILL BE CONTINGENT UPON HOW FAR NORTH A WARM FRONT
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI CAN MOVE THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THIS POINT...THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR
BEING SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT IS IN THE AREA OF ENHANCED RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLINED ABOVE...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE THREAT
COULD SPREAD AS FAR NORTH AS THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREA AND PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE DELTA
REGION...PARTICULARLY THE UPPER DELTA OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND FAR
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...HAS THE LEAST RISK OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
STORM ACTIVITY.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
THERE AND ANYWHERE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION. PEOPLE ARE URGED
TO ENSURE THEY HAVE A WAY TO GET WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION AS THEY
GO ABOUT THEIR CHRISTMAS ACTIVITIES TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

AEG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 25, 5:03 AM CST	Wind Advisory	JAN	Adams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 27 more	25 hr
Dec 25, 6:31 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lawrence	39 min
Dec 25, 7:54 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis	31 min
Dec 25, 7:57 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	11 days
Dec 25, 9:25 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Clay	26 hr
Dec 25, 10:17 AM CST	Flash Flood Watch	JAN	Adams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 41 more	9 hr
Dec 25, 10:54 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison, Rankin	26 min
Dec 25, 11:50 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson, Warren	4 hr
Dec 25, 1:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Warren	42 min
Dec 25, 1:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison, Rankin	43 min
Dec 25, 1:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams	38 min
Dec 25, 1:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds	50 min
Dec 25, 1:49 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Jefferson	41 min
Dec 25, 1:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Scott	29 min
Dec 25, 1:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Franklin, Lincoln	50 min
Dec 25, 1:57 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison, Rankin	3 hr
Dec 25, 2:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	43 min
Dec 25, 2:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Franklin	51 min
Dec 25, 2:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison, Rankin	42 min
Dec 25, 2:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lincoln	40 min
Dec 25, 2:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds	47 min
Dec 25, 2:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence, Simpson	34 min
Dec 25, 2:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah	23 min
Dec 25, 2:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott	52 min
Dec 25, 2:55 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson	2 hr
Dec 25, 2:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Franklin, Lincoln	46 min
Dec 25, 3:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Simpson	13 min
Dec 25, 3:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Leake, Madison	50 min
Dec 25, 3:17 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Simpson	43 min
Dec 25, 3:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Lawrence	34 min
Dec 25, 3:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott, Winston	47 min
Dec 25, 3:31 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lawrence, Lincoln	23 min
Dec 25, 3:34 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Scott, Smith	56 min
Dec 25, 3:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Jones, Lamar	54 min
Dec 25, 3:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest	33 min
Dec 25, 3:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson	38 min
Dec 25, 3:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Noxubee, Winston	65 min
Dec 25, 4:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Jones	29 min
Dec 25, 4:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion	13 min
Dec 25, 4:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper, Lauderdale, Newton	38 min
Dec 25, 4:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	35 min
Dec 25, 4:18 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar, Marion	57 min
Dec 25, 4:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis	26 min
Dec 25, 4:24 PM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	41 min
Dec 25, 4:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper, Jones	59 min
Dec 25, 4:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lowndes	25 min
Dec 25, 4:51 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton and 2 more	105 min
Dec 25, 4:54 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Covington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar, Marion	100 min
Dec 25, 4:54 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke	66 min
Dec 25, 4:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Clarke, Lauderdale	33 min
Dec 25, 4:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	61 min
Dec 25, 5:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jones	17 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2012 Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.